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Do something! Tobacco smoking in New Zealand – where are we now and where should we be going? Richard Edwards Health Promotion and Policy Research Unit (HePPRU) Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background ,[object Object],[object Object]
Percentage  smoking by ethnicity, 1991-2008
Per-Capita Tobacco Consumption in New Zealand, 1970-2008 Data: Stats NZ
So why is that society’s problem?   Smokers bring it on themselves.
The Moral Case for Intervention   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The delusion gap
Tobacco industry and secondhand smoke/smoke free public places “ The anti-smoking forces’ latest tack … on the passive smoking issue … is quite a different matter.  What the smoker does to himself may be his business, but what the smoker does to the non-smokers is quite a different matter  …. This we see as the most dangerous development to the viability of the tobacco industry that has yet occurred” Tobacco Institute, 1978 Secondhand smoke is “probably the single most important challenge we face.”  Vice Chair of Phillip Morris (W Murray), 1989
Many international professional bodies have concluded that SHS is harmful ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Smoking prevalence among 20-24 year olds, 1996 and 2006 censuses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1950 Epidemiologic Evidence Richard Doll & A. Bradford Hill  ( British Medical Journal  UK)  Smoking and Carcinoma of the Lung; Preliminary Report “ We therefore conclude that smoking is a factor, and an  important factor , in the production of carcinoma of the lung.”
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tobacco control policies in NZ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Weak since 2001 N/A Almost complete ban since 1990, still occurs through Point of Sale and pack Mass media campaigns, Graphic Health Warnings 2008, but could do more Comprehensive legislation since December 2004 National quitline, increasing NRT subsidy, provider coverage patchy
Tobacco taxation (NZ) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tobacco taxation (cont) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why so slow? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lack of public support? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Lack of political will?
US EPA Air Quality Index
Windows closed Do we protect children from SHS in cars?
The Usual Suspects
Tobacco industry tactics ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
What is missing?
 
 
 
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More of the same - faster ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ban Point of Sale Displays
Plain packaging
Extend smokefree legislation - SmokefreeParks in New Zealand
Supply side measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Product modification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New structures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How do we get there? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
‘ Maori Murder’ and ‘Endangered species’ Campaigns
Paradigms Evidence of success Evidence required for intervention Intervention Types of evidence Public/policy-maker view Type Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
Protection, precautionary principle Paradigms Removal of exposure Evidence of success Presence of exposure Evidence required for intervention Remove Intervention Toxicological, epidemiological Types of evidence Any exposure = unacceptable Public/policy-maker view Environmental toxin Type Poison Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
Cautionary principle, balanced, evidence-based Protection, precautionary principle Paradigms Reduced uptake, increased quitting, reduced prevalence, no/minimal adverse effects Removal of exposure Evidence of success Exp/outcome, intervention effectiveness, lack of adverse effects Presence of exposure Evidence required for intervention Policy measures e.g. PoS regulations, PoS ban Remove Intervention Epidemiological – exp/outcome (strong), intervention/outcome (probable but incomplete) Toxicological, epidemiological (NB v. weak for low exposure) Types of evidence Possible cause of uptake (what’s the evidence?) Any exposure = unacceptable Public/policy-maker view Potential influence on behaviour Environmental toxin Type Risk factor Poison Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
Remember the human suffering behind the smoking statistics
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Richard Edwards on smoking in New Zealand

  • 1. Do something! Tobacco smoking in New Zealand – where are we now and where should we be going? Richard Edwards Health Promotion and Policy Research Unit (HePPRU) Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Percentage smoking by ethnicity, 1991-2008
  • 6. Per-Capita Tobacco Consumption in New Zealand, 1970-2008 Data: Stats NZ
  • 7. So why is that society’s problem? Smokers bring it on themselves.
  • 8.
  • 10. Tobacco industry and secondhand smoke/smoke free public places “ The anti-smoking forces’ latest tack … on the passive smoking issue … is quite a different matter. What the smoker does to himself may be his business, but what the smoker does to the non-smokers is quite a different matter …. This we see as the most dangerous development to the viability of the tobacco industry that has yet occurred” Tobacco Institute, 1978 Secondhand smoke is “probably the single most important challenge we face.” Vice Chair of Phillip Morris (W Murray), 1989
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. 1950 Epidemiologic Evidence Richard Doll & A. Bradford Hill ( British Medical Journal UK) Smoking and Carcinoma of the Lung; Preliminary Report “ We therefore conclude that smoking is a factor, and an important factor , in the production of carcinoma of the lung.”
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.  
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. US EPA Air Quality Index
  • 24. Windows closed Do we protect children from SHS in cars?
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 29.  
  • 30.  
  • 31.  
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37. Ban Point of Sale Displays
  • 39. Extend smokefree legislation - SmokefreeParks in New Zealand
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. ‘ Maori Murder’ and ‘Endangered species’ Campaigns
  • 47. Paradigms Evidence of success Evidence required for intervention Intervention Types of evidence Public/policy-maker view Type Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
  • 48. Protection, precautionary principle Paradigms Removal of exposure Evidence of success Presence of exposure Evidence required for intervention Remove Intervention Toxicological, epidemiological Types of evidence Any exposure = unacceptable Public/policy-maker view Environmental toxin Type Poison Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
  • 49. Cautionary principle, balanced, evidence-based Protection, precautionary principle Paradigms Reduced uptake, increased quitting, reduced prevalence, no/minimal adverse effects Removal of exposure Evidence of success Exp/outcome, intervention effectiveness, lack of adverse effects Presence of exposure Evidence required for intervention Policy measures e.g. PoS regulations, PoS ban Remove Intervention Epidemiological – exp/outcome (strong), intervention/outcome (probable but incomplete) Toxicological, epidemiological (NB v. weak for low exposure) Types of evidence Possible cause of uptake (what’s the evidence?) Any exposure = unacceptable Public/policy-maker view Potential influence on behaviour Environmental toxin Type Risk factor Poison Frame ‘ Pro-smoking’ influences e.g. PoS displays Asbestos/dioxin Exposure
  • 50. Remember the human suffering behind the smoking statistics
  • 51.

Notas do Editor

  1. But smoking is going down isn’t it? It soon won’t be a problem. Yes it is – but very slowly, and most slowly among those most affected.
  2. Smokers would like to stop but are mostly far too optimistic about how quickly they will be able to do it. The chart shows that more than half of all smokers believe they will stop within two years (upper line). However, if recent history is a guide, only about 6% will stop in two years. The lower line shows the proportion of smokers that quit in the last two years looking backwards. [91]
  3. NB Previous investigations in Germany, and also in US by Wynder and Graham, 1950
  4. In addition to objective measures such as taxable sales and employment and surveys of consumers, surveying restaurant owners is another method for assessing the economic impact of smoke-free regulations. In this NYC newspaper article, many Staten Island (Richmond) restaurant owners claim their business was lower after the NYC regulations took effect. Note, however, that per-capita job growth in Richmond in the years after the law took effect was greatest in Richmond (see slide 18).
  5. Countering opinion article in the New York City press highlighting the rights of smokers.