SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 135
Baixar para ler offline
The Earth System
Chapter-1
Introduction
The Sun drives the
Earth System
• “Symptoms” of a warming Earth are realized in all
components of the Earth System  Climate change
 Complex processes occur in the atmosphere
and cause variations
•temperature
•humidity
•cloudiness
•precipitation
•pressure
•winds
•storms
 Critich field: explain the nature of climate, differs from
place to place and related to man’s activities
 Austin Miller: the average conditions of weather
 Koppen and De Lang: a summary, a composition of
weather conditions over a long period of time
 Thornthwaite: the study of the atmosphere & the Earth’s
surface
Climatology
 The study of weather is meteorology
 Someone who studies weather is called
a meteorologist
 Weather is short-term atmospheric conditions in a specific
place
o Small geographic area
o Can change rapidly
 Climate is the long-term averages of these atmospheric
conditions > 30 years
o Large geographic area
oVery slow to change
“climate is what you expect; weather is what you get”
Atmosphere
 thin layer of mixture gases
surrounding the earth
 99% of the atmosphere is
found below 50 km asl
 50% below 5.5 km
 atmosphere in light blue
 Air Pressure: weight of air pushing on the surface
of the Earth  barometer (bar, mbar)
 Temperature: The degree of hotness or coldness
of an object  thermometer (C, F, K)
 Precipitation: moisture that falls from clouds to the
surface of the earth  Raingauge(mm/day)
Elements of Climate and Weather
 Humidity: The amount of water vapor in the
atmosphere  hygrometer (%)
 Cloud cover: The amount of cloud in the sky
 OKTAS
 Wind: The horizontal motion of air (has
speed and direction)  Anemometer (m/s,
km/h, mi/h)
Historic Weather and Climate
• average temperature - 1.3°C between 1960 and 2006
• precipitation - decline since 1984, with significant
year-to-year volatility
• Major floods have been a common occurrence, leading
to loss of life and property
• Rising sea surface temperatures
• increase variability in the timing and duration of
rainfall seasons
• consequently cause frequent drought
Future Climate Change
• Warming in the 21st century greatest over land and at the
highest northern latitudes.
• For the next two decades a warming of about 0.2°C per
decade
• Increases in the amount of precipitation are very likely in
high latitudes
• while decreases are likely in most subtropical
• Drought-affected areas will likely increase in extent
• hot extremes, heat waves and heavy precipitation events
will be frequent
• Climate Change Adaptation
and Mitigation needed
• Climate Variability - variations in the mean state and
other statistics (the occurrence of extremes, etc.)
• Extreme weather:- unusual climatic event over specific
region
• Disaster:- a serious disruption of the functioning of a
community
• Maladaptation:- Any changes in natural or human
systems-increase vulnerability to climatic stimuli
• an adaptation that does not succeed in reducing
vulnerability but increases it instead.
• Resilience:- amount of change a system can undergo
without changing state
• Sensitivity:-the degree to which a system is affected, either
adversely or beneficially by climate-related stimuli
• Catastrophic event:- a climate-related event having sudden
onset and widely distributed and large magnitude impacts
on human or natural systems
The evidence for
rapid climate change
I) Global Temperature Rise
 surface temperature in 19th
century
 by increased carbon dioxide
and other human-made
emissions
II) Warming Oceans
 The oceans have absorbed
much of this increased heat,
with the top 700 meters
(about 2,300 feet)
III) Shrinking Ice Sheets
• Greenland lost an average of
286 billion tons of ice per year
between 1993 and 2016
• while Antarctica lost about
127 billion tons of ice per year
during the same time period.
IV) Glacial Retreat
• Glaciers are retreating
almost everywhere around
the world
V) Decreased Snow Cover
• Satellite observations
reveal that the amount of
spring snow cover in the
Northern Hemisphere has
decreased over the past
five decades and that the
snow is melting earlier
VI) Sea Level Rise
• Global sea level rose
about 8 inches in the
last century. The rate
in the last two decades
• however, is nearly
double that of the last
century and is
accelerating slightly
every year
VII) Declining Arctic Sea Ice
• Both the extent and
thickness of Arctic sea ice
has declined rapidly over
the last several decades
VIII) Extreme Events
• The number of record
high temperature events
VV) Ocean Acidification
• Since the beginning of the
Industrial Revolution, the
acidity of surface ocean
waters has increased by
about 30 percent.
CHAPTER - 2.
Drivers of climate change
2.1. Natural Drivers
a)Volcanic eruptions
• short-term cooling
• Volcanic eruptions pump out
clouds of dust and ash- block
out some sunlight
• ash particles are heavy
• sulfur dioxide -combines
with water vapor and dust in
atmosphere form sulfate
aerosols
• reflect sunlight away from
the Earth’s surface
• Volcanic eruptions spew out
lava, carbon dioxide (CO2)
ash and particles
b)Ocean currents
• Ocean currents are located at the
ocean surface and in deep water
below 300 meters (984 feet).
• They can move water horizontally
and vertically and occur on both
local and global scales.
• The ocean has an interconnected
with
– current, or circulation,
– system powered by wind, tides,
– the Earth’s rotation (Coriolis
effect),
– the sun (solar energy), and
– water density differences
– The topography and shape of
ocean basins and nearby
landmasses
Ocean currents
• Water density is affected by the
temperature, salinity (saltiness),
and depth of the water.
• The colder and saltier the
ocean water, the denser it is.
• The greater the density
differences between different
layers in the water column, the
greater the mixing and
circulation.
• Density differences in ocean
water contribute to a global-
scale circulation system, also
called the global conveyor belt
c)Earth orbital changes
• Shifts and wobbles in the
Earth’s orbit can trigger
changes in climate such as the
beginning and end of ice ages.
• But orbital changes are so
gradual they’re only noticeable
over thousands of years not
decades or centuries.
d)Internal variability
• Some changes in climate
have no external trigger
instead caused by
interactions within the
climate system itself, often
involving positive feedbacks
• One example is the El
Niño–La Niña cycle, which
can cause temporary
warming and cooling
• El Niño increases global
temperature, La Niña
decreases it
2.2. Man-made (anthropogenic) greenhouse gases
a)Burning fossil fuels
• Concentrations are
increasing at a rate of
about 2–3 ppm/year
• Together with rising
emissions of methane
• other greenhouse
gases, and the
associated feedback
effects
b)Agriculture
• Irrigation, deforestation, and
agriculture
• Land use may alter the local
albedo (reflectivity of the
Earth’s surface) by reducing
vegetation ground cover
• altering the way sunlight is
absorbed or reflected
 Soil erosion is one of
the major constraints
42
c)Livestock
• Livestock produce
natural methane gas
emissions
• Livestock is responsible
for 18 % of the world’s
greenhouse gas
emissions
• This percentage
includes deforestation
in order to create
grazing land
 Overgrazed land
leading to degradation
44
d)Cement manufacture
• The cement industry
produces around 5 % of
global man-made CO2
emissions
• when calcium carbonate is
heated, producing lime
and carbon dioxide
• CO2 is also produced by
burning the fossil fuels that
provide the heat for the
cement manufacture
process
e) Aerosols
• Aerosols directly scatter
and absorb radiation
• The scattering of radiation
causes atmospheric cooling
• absorption can cause
atmospheric warming
• The use of
Chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs) has increased in
refrigeration systems and
use of CFCs
e)Waste
f)Surface mining
Quize-1
1. What is climate change?
2. What are the evidences of the presence of climate change?
3. What is green house gas effect? What are green house gases?
5%
CHAPTER- 3
Vulnerability to and Impacts
of climate change
 Vulnerability: - The degree
to which a system is
susceptible to or unable to
cope with adverse effects of
climate change
 Socio-economic vulnerability:
is an aggregate measure of
human welfare that
integrates environmental,
social, economic and political
exposure to a range of
harmful perturbations
3.1. Vulnerability
Who are vulnerable?
• Geographical space:
– people who live on arid or
semi-arid lands
– in low-lying coastal areas
– in water limited
– flood-prone areas
– on small islands
• Social space:
– developing countries
– the poorest people (double-
exposure)
Developing Countries are the Most Vulnerable to Climate
Change
• Impacts are worse - already more flood and drought prone
• Lower capacity to adapt - lack of financial, institutional and
technological capacity and access to knowledge
• exacerbating inequities in health status and access to
adequate food, clean water and other resources
Climate impacts
• Potential Impacts - may occur by a given projected change ,
without considering adaptation
• Residual Impacts - would occur after adaptation
• Aggregate Impacts - total impacts summed up across sectors
and/or regions
• Market Impacts - Impacts that are linked to market
transactions and directly affect GDP
• Non-Market Impacts - Impacts that affect ecosystems or
human welfare
– E.g. an increased risk of premature death
a). Impacts on Human Health
• extreme weather events and wildfire, decreased
air quality
• diseases transmitted by insects, food, and water
– Impact on infectious diseases
– Malaria
– Dengue fever
– Tick borne disease
– Coronavirus
– Extreme heat and disease
– Impact on mental health
b). Impacts on Infrastructure
• Infrastructure is being damaged
by sea level rise, heavy
downpours
• extreme heat damages projected
to increase with continued
climate change
c). Impacts on Water Supply
• Water quality and water supply
reliability are jeopardized
d). Impacts on Agriculture
• disruptions to agriculture
e). Impacts on Indigenous People
• poses particular threats treat to
Indigenous Peoples’ health
• well-being, and ways of life
f). Impacts on Ecosystems and
Biodiversity
• Ecosystems and the benefits they
provide to society are being
affected.
• fires, floods, and severe storms is
being overwhelmed.
3.3. Coping Mechanisms to Climate Variability
• Changes in cropping and planting practices
• Reduction of consumption levels
• Collection of wild foods
• loans
• Increased petty commodity production
• Temporary and permanent migration
• Grain storage
• Sale of assets such as livestock and agricultural tools
• Mortgaging of land
• Credit from merchants and money lenders
• Use of early warning system
• Food appeal/aid etc..
adaptation to climate change
CHAPTER- 4
Adaptive capacity and
adaptation to climate change
4.1. Responses to climate change
– Actions to reduce emissions
– increase carbon uptake
– adapt to a changing climate
– increase resilience to impacts
 Mitigation : efforts to reduce future climate changes
 Adaptation : efforts to reduce the vulnerability of
society to climate change
• Adaptation and mitigation are closely linked; adaptation
efforts will be more difficult, more costly, and less likely to
succeed if significant mitigation actions are not taken.
 Adaptive capacity is the ability of a system
adjust to climate change (including climate
variability and extremes)
 to moderate potential damages, to take
advantage of opportunities, or to cope with
consequences.
4.3. Adaptive capacity
 Anticipatory Adaptation:
 takes place before impacts of
climate change is observed
 Also referred to as proactive
adaptation
Autonomous Adaptation:-
 does not constitute a conscious
response to climatic stimuli
 but is triggered by ecological
changes in natural systems and by
market or welfare changes in
human systems
 Also referred to as spontaneous
adaptation.
 Planned Adaptation:-
 the result of a deliberate policy
decision,
 based on an awareness that
conditions have changed or are
about to change
 action is required to return to,
maintain, or achieve a desired
state
Private Adaptation: -
 initiated and implemented by
individuals, households or private
companies
 Private adaptation is usually in
the actor's rational self-interest
 Public Adaptation: -
 is initiated and implemented by
governments at all levels.
 Public adaptation is usually
directed at collective needs
Reactive Adaptation:
 takes place after impacts
of climate change have
been observed
Activities to promote sustainable development can also act to
enhance people's adaptive capacity to climate change
These activities can include:
 Improving access to resources
 Reducing poverty
 Lowering inequities of resources and wealth among
groups
 Improving education and information
 Improving infrastructure
 Improving institutional capacity and efficiency
 Promoting local indigenous practices, knowledge, and
experiences
4.4. Approaches to adaptation
 Short term (0 to 10 years):urgent response measures
 Medium term (about 10 to 30 years): Responses to the
medium term
 Long term (about 30 to 100 years): long term
responses should be based on risk assessments
1) Risk avoidance: Preventive measures against
the occurrence of estimated impacts.
E.g., disaster prevention facilities
2) Reduction of negative impacts: Measures to
reduce the damage caused by impacts
3) Risk sharing: Measures to suppress the
concentration of impacts by spreading their
burden across a wider population and over time
Adaptation measures are designed based on the
following concepts
4) Risk acceptance: Accepting the potential for adverse
impacts
5) Exploitation of opportunities: Among the impacts of
climate change, new business and other opportunities
may appear from positive impacts, depending on the
sector and region
4.5. Factors in considering adaptation
1) Latest knowledge on climate change
 Observed climate change
 Future projected climate change
2) Consideration of relationship with other factors
examples
 Disasters: earthquakes or other disasters coinciding
with climate change phenomena
 Natural ecosystems: Ecosystems already degraded by
human activities could face further deterioration from
the impacts of climate change
3) Consideration of regional characteristics
 geographical features
 sectors require urgent responses
summary
4.6. Adaptation strategies
 aims to increase society's resilience to climate change
 It is for managing future climate risk
 prioritizing and coordinating action
 It offers the potential of reducing future economic,
environmental and social costs
Adaptation to climate change:
 More secure facility locations and infrastructures
 Landscape restoration (natural landscape) and
reforestation
 Flexible and diverse cultivation to be prepared for natural
catastrophes
 Research and development on possible catastrophes,
temperature behavior, etc.
 Preventive and precautionary measures (evacuation plans,
health issues, etc.)
CHAPTER - 5
Climate change mitigation
strategies
• Mitigation is the technological
change and substitution that
reduce resource inputs and
emissions per unit of output
 Although several social,
economic and technological
policies would produce an
emission reduction, with
respect to climate change
 The purpose of climate change
mitigation is to enact measures
to limit the extent of climate
change
5.1. Climate Change Mitigation
 Mitigation measures are those
actions that are taken to reduce and
curb greenhouse gas emissions
• Carbon sequestration is the
process involved in carbon
capture and the long-term
storage of atmospheric
carbon dioxide (CO2)
• The process of removing
carbon from the atmosphere
and depositing it in a
reservoir
5.2. Carbon sequestration
carbon dioxide removal
 of industrially
produced CO2 using
subsurface saline
aquifers, reservoirs,
ocean water & aging oil
fields
Carbon dioxide is naturally captured from the atmosphere through
 Biological, Chemical, Physical processes
There are three ways sequestration
can be carried out
• post-combustion capture
• pre-combustion capture
• oxy-combustion
 Afforestation: is the establishment of a
forest in an area where there was no
previous tree cover
 Reforestation: is the replanting of trees
on marginal crop and pasture lands to
incorporate carbon from atmospheric
CO2 into biomass
a) Afforestation/Reforestation
 Planting and protecting them would
offset some 10 years of CO2 emissions
and sequester 160 billion tons of carbon
b) Urban forestry
• Its increases the amount of
carbon taken up in cities
by adding new tree sites
• The vegetation can have
indirect effects on carbon
by reducing need for
energy consumption
c) Wetland restoration
• Wetland soil is an important carbon sink
• 14.5% of the world's soil carbon is found in wetlands
• 6% of the world's land is composed of wetlands
d) Deep soil
• Soils hold four times the
amount of carbon stored in
the atmosphere
• About half of this is found
deep within soils
• About 90% of this deep soil
C is stabilized by mineral-
organic associations
e) Enhancing carbon removal
• All crops absorb CO2 during
growth and release it after harvest
• The goal of agricultural carbon
removal is to use the crop
• its relation to the carbon cycle to
permanently sequester carbon
within the soil
Example
Methods for accomplishing :
• Use cover crops (grasses and
weeds as temporary cover between
planting seasons
• Concentrate livestock in small
paddocks for days at a time so they
graze lightly but evenly
• This encourages roots to grow
deeper into the soil
 Cover bare paddocks with hay
or dead vegetation. This
protects soil from the sun and
allows the soil to hold more
water and be more attractive
to carbon-capturing microbes
 Restore degraded land, which
slows carbon release while
returning the land to
agriculture or other use
f) Seaweed
• Its grows very fast and can theoretically
be harvested and processed to generate
bio methane, via Anaerobic Digestion to
generate electricity
• via Cogeneration or as a replacement for
natural gas
• Ideal species for such farming and
conversion include Laminaria digitata,
Fucus serratus and Saccharina latissima
g) Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage
• Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) refers to biomass in
power stations and boilers that use carbon capture and storage
h) Geological sequestration
• Once CO2 is captured from a gas or coal-fired power plant, it
would be compressed to ≈100 bar so that it would be a
supercritical fluid.
• In this fluid form, the CO2 would be easy to transport via pipeline
to the place of storage
• a form of emissions trading that specifically targets
carbon dioxide (calculated in tones of carbon dioxide
equivalent or CO2)
 it currently constitutes the bulk of emissions trading
5.3. Carbon emission trading
 This form of permit trading is a common method
countries utilize in order to meet their obligations
specified by the Kyoto Protocol;
 namely the reduction of carbon emissions in an
attempt to reduce (mitigate) future climate change
a) Costs and valuation
b) Ethics and fairness
c) Coase model
d) Equity
f) Taxes versus caps
g) Trading
h) Incentives and
allocation
i) Form of allocation
a) Costs and valuation
• costs that emitters do face, e.g., the costs of the fuel
being used, but there are other costs that are not
necessarily included in the price of a good or service.
• These other costs are called external costs
• "external" - costs that the emitter does not carry
b) Ethics and fairness
• The manner in which climate change is addressed
involves ethical and other issues related to fairness.
• Typically all the impacts of policy, both the costs and
benefits, are added together (aggregation), with
different impacts on different individual’s assigned
particular "weightings," i.e., relative levels of
importance.
 There are methods to infer prices for "non-market"
goods and services
 These valuations are still in development, e.g., valuations
of human health impacts, or impacts on ecosystems
c) Coase model
• It assumes perfectly operating markets and equal
bargaining power among those arguing for property
rights
• For climate change, the property rights are for emissions
(permits or quotas)
• Over time, efficiency can also be promoted by allowing
"banking" of permits. This allows polluters to reduce
emissions at a time when it is most efficient to do so.
d) Equity
• One of the advantages of Coase's model is that it
suggests that fairness (equity) can be addressed in the
distribution of property rights, and that regardless of
how these property rights are assigned, the market
will produce the most efficient outcome.
• In reality, according to the held view, markets are not
perfect, and it is therefore possible that a tradeoff will
occur between equity and efficiency.
f) Taxes versus caps
• A pure carbon tax fixes the price of carbon, but
allows the amount of carbon emissions to vary; and a
pure carbon cap places a limit on carbon emissions,
letting the market price of tradable carbon
allowances vary.
• Most cap and trade programs have a descending cap,
usually a fixed percentage every year, which gives certainty
to the market and guarantees that emissions will decline
over time.
• Providing emission permits (also called allowances) under
emissions trading is preferred in situations where a more
accurate target level of emissions certainty is needed.
g) Trading
• permits may be traded by emitters who are liable to hold
a sufficient number of permits in system.
• allowing others to participate in trading, e.g., private
brokerage firms, can allow for better management of
risk in the system
e.g., to variations in permit prices,
• regulation of these other entities may be necessary, as is
done in other financial markets
e.g., to prevent abuses of the system, such as insider trading.
h) Incentives and allocation
• An emission trading gives polluters an incentive
to reduce their emissions.
• However, there are possible perverse incentives
that can exist in emissions trading.
 Allocating permits on the basis of past emissions ("grandfathering")
can result in firms having an incentive to maintain emissions.
i) Form of allocation
• Permits allocated to existing emitters by
'grandfathering' are not 'free'
• The rationale for payments to trade-exposed,
emissions-intensive industries is different and sound
• It is to avoid the economic and environmental costs of
having firms in these industries contracting more
than, and
• failing to expand as much as, they would in a world in
which all countries were applying carbon constraints
involving similar costs to ours
5.4. Alternative Energy Sources
• The most significant solution to put an end to this
disaster is the use of alternative energy sources
– wind,
– solar,
– bio mass,
– geothermal and
– hydro
109
CHAPTER - 6.
Global policies, Conventions and
protocols on climate change
1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
– in 1988 jointly by the World Meteorological Organization and
the United Nations Environment Program
– to keep global warming below 2°C, by reducing greenhouse
gases (GHGs) by 2050
– Developed countries will need to reduce more – between
80% and 95% by 2050
e.g. China, India and Brazil will have to limit their emission
growth
Fifth Assessment Report
 provides a comprehensive assessment of sea level rise
 CO2 budget for future emissions to limit warming to less
than 2°C
2. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
– In 1992, “Earth Summit” - a first step in addressing the
climate change problem
– 197 countries that have ratified
– To stabilization of atmospheric GHG concentrations
– distributive fairness sharing the costs of mitigation and
adapting to climate change
– Emissions need to contract dramatically to meet so-called
safe stabilization levels
3. Kyoto Protocol
• By 1995, countries launched
• There are now 192 Parties to the Kyoto Protocol.
Kyoto protocol promotes sustainable development by:-
(i) Enhancement of energy efficiency
(ii) Protection and enhancement of sinks and reservoirs of
greenhouse gases
(iii) Promotion of sustainable forms of agriculture in light of
climate change considerations;
(iv) Research on and promotion, development and increased use
of, new and renewable forms of energy
(v) Progressive reduction or phasing out of market
imperfections, fiscal incentives, tax and duty exemptions
(vi) Limitation and/or reduction of methane emissions
through recovery and use in waste management
4. Bali Road Map
• Began in 2007 at the 13th United Nations Climate Change
Conference in Bali
• the final issues and policies to be discussed and decided
upon at the 2009 meeting in Copenhagen
• The Road map includes several parties:
– the Bali Action Plan
– the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative
Action
– the Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments
for Parties under the Kyoto Protocol
5. Cancun Agreements
– Created at the 2010 UNCCC in Cancun, Mexico
– these agreements constituted the largest collective
effort the world has ever seen to reduce emissions
– it also included the most comprehensive package ever
agreed by governments to help developing nations deal
with climate change
6. Doha Climate Gateway
• The UNCCC was held in Doha, Qatar in 2012
• to “adopt a universal climate agreement”
• they also finished the Bali Action Plan’s outline to prepare
for an agreement
• accentuating the need to reduce greenhouse gases and to
help less-able countries adapt to climate change
7. Warsaw Outcomes
• The UNCCC 2013 meeting in Warsaw helped preparing for a
2015 agreement in Paris, France.
• This meeting concluded the monitoring, reporting, and
verification requisites for each nation
• Additionally, the “rulebook for reducing emissions from
deforestation and forest degradation”, or
• The “Warsaw Framework for REDD+” was settled upon.
• A main goal of this meeting was to close the ‘ambition gap’
presents between expectations
8. Paris Agreement
• The 21st Conference of the Parties in Paris in 2015,
• aim is to strengthen the global response to the threat of
climate change
– by keeping the global temperature rise this century well
below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels
– to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even
further to 1.5 degrees Celsius
9. 2019 Climate Action Summit
The Summit focused on key sectors where action can make the
most difference
– heavy industry,
– nature-based solutions,
– cities,
– energy,
– resilience, and
– climate finance
CHAPTER - 7
An overview of climate change
adaptation strategy of Ethiopia
• Mean annual rainfall distribution
– ranges from about 2000 mm over some pocket areas in
the Southwest
– to less than 250 mm over the Afar and Ogaden low lands
• Four seasons are known in Ethiopia,
– Bega (dry season) - October-January,
– Belg (short rain season)- February-May
– Kiremt (long rain season)- June-September
– Tseday(sometime very little rain)-September-October
Impacts of Current Climate Variability
The major adverse impacts of climate variability in Ethiopia include:-.
– Food insecurity arising from occurrences of droughts and floods
– Outbreak of diseases such as malaria, dengue fever, water borne
diseases (such as cholera, dysentery) associated with floods and
respiratory diseases associated with droughts;
– Land degradation/landslide due to heavy rainfall
– Damage to communication, road and other infrastructure by floods
2020G.C/2012E.C
Landslide incident in Oromia region, May 29, 2018
a). Droughts and Floods
• Recurrent drought events in the past have resulted in huge loss of life and
property as well as migration of people
• flash and seasonal river floods
– Areas in the Afar Region along the Awash River,
– in the Somali Region along the Wabi Shebele River
– in the Gambela Region along the Baro-Akobo River,
– in the Southern Region along the Oomo-Gibe River,
– Bahirdar Zuria and Fogera areas along the Abbay River
• Major floods which caused loss of life and property
occurred in different parts of the country in 1988, 1993,
1994, 1995, 1996 and 2006
• in the 2006 main rainy season (June September), flood
caused the following disasters:
– More than 250 people died,
– about 250 people were unaccounted for
– more than 10,000 people became homeless Due to the Dire
dawa Flood
– More than 364 people died, and more than 6000 people were
displaced due to flooding of about 14 villages in South Omo
– More than 16,000 people were displaced in West Shewa.
– Similar situations also occurred over Afar, Western Tigray,
around Gambella and the low lying areas of Lake Tana
The Frequency of Drought in Ethiopia
Year interval Number of
disasters
Average recurrence
Average recurrence 5 Once in 40 years
12AD-787AD 6 Roughly once in 100 years
832AD-968AD 3 Roughly once in 45 years
1006AD-1200AD 4 Roughly once in 48 years
1252-1340 5 Roughly once in 18 years
1400-1789 26 Roughly once in 15 years
1800-1900 10 Roughly once in 10 years
1900-1987 14 Roughly once in 6 years
1988-2002 5 Roughly once in 3 years
b).In terms of loss in property and livestock
– It’s estimated about 199,000 critically affected people due to the flood in
the country.
– More than 900 livestock drowned over South Omo.
– 2700 heads of cattle and 760 traditional silos were washed away.
– About 10,000 livestock were encircled by river floods in Afar.
– Over Dire dawa, the loss in property is estimated in the order of tenth of
millions of dollars.
– Other impacts of flood include human health such as spread of Acute
Water Borne Diarrhea (AWD) and malaria outbreak, impacts on the
country’s infrastructure and damages to field crops.
Climate change  mengistu

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Climate Change & Causes
Climate Change & CausesClimate Change & Causes
Climate Change & Causes
total
 
Introducing climate change in river basin management
Introducing climate change in river basin managementIntroducing climate change in river basin management
Introducing climate change in river basin management
Lia Romano
 
Climate changes past and future
Climate changes  past and futureClimate changes  past and future
Climate changes past and future
DocumentStory
 
Norm snell climate change
Norm snell climate changeNorm snell climate change
Norm snell climate change
Aquinas College
 

Mais procurados (20)

Climate change and its effects
Climate change and  its effects Climate change and  its effects
Climate change and its effects
 
Climate Change
Climate ChangeClimate Change
Climate Change
 
Climate change
Climate changeClimate change
Climate change
 
Climate Change & Causes
Climate Change & CausesClimate Change & Causes
Climate Change & Causes
 
Introducing climate change in river basin management
Introducing climate change in river basin managementIntroducing climate change in river basin management
Introducing climate change in river basin management
 
An Overview of the Climate System
An Overview of the Climate SystemAn Overview of the Climate System
An Overview of the Climate System
 
Lecture chapter 21 - global climate change
Lecture   chapter 21 - global climate changeLecture   chapter 21 - global climate change
Lecture chapter 21 - global climate change
 
Global climate change facts
Global climate change factsGlobal climate change facts
Global climate change facts
 
Climate change and its impact
Climate change and its impact Climate change and its impact
Climate change and its impact
 
Climate Change Past Present Future
Climate Change Past Present FutureClimate Change Past Present Future
Climate Change Past Present Future
 
IPCC from AR5 to AR6 - WGI Perspectives - by Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair of WGI
IPCC from AR5 to AR6  - WGI Perspectives - by Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair of WGIIPCC from AR5 to AR6  - WGI Perspectives - by Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair of WGI
IPCC from AR5 to AR6 - WGI Perspectives - by Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair of WGI
 
Climate changes past and future
Climate changes  past and futureClimate changes  past and future
Climate changes past and future
 
Sea Level Rise
Sea Level RiseSea Level Rise
Sea Level Rise
 
global warming
global warmingglobal warming
global warming
 
Home
HomeHome
Home
 
Complete the evidence for climate change
Complete the evidence for climate changeComplete the evidence for climate change
Complete the evidence for climate change
 
The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing ClimateThe Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
 
Ten clear indicators our climate is changing
Ten clear indicators our climate is changingTen clear indicators our climate is changing
Ten clear indicators our climate is changing
 
Norm snell climate change
Norm snell climate changeNorm snell climate change
Norm snell climate change
 
Causes Of Climate Change
Causes Of Climate ChangeCauses Of Climate Change
Causes Of Climate Change
 

Semelhante a Climate change mengistu

Climate Change - Prof Michael Bird
Climate Change - Prof Michael BirdClimate Change - Prof Michael Bird
Climate Change - Prof Michael Bird
Meg Collis
 
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptxChapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
huseinmuzayen
 

Semelhante a Climate change mengistu (20)

L spina climch-evidence
L spina climch-evidenceL spina climch-evidence
L spina climch-evidence
 
Global climate change
Global climate changeGlobal climate change
Global climate change
 
Climate Change.pptx
Climate Change.pptxClimate Change.pptx
Climate Change.pptx
 
Global Warming and Climate Change Group-7.pptx
Global Warming and Climate Change Group-7.pptxGlobal Warming and Climate Change Group-7.pptx
Global Warming and Climate Change Group-7.pptx
 
Global warming a myth or reality
Global warming a myth or realityGlobal warming a myth or reality
Global warming a myth or reality
 
Climate Change - Prof Michael Bird
Climate Change - Prof Michael BirdClimate Change - Prof Michael Bird
Climate Change - Prof Michael Bird
 
Tropical Rainforest Biomes
Tropical Rainforest BiomesTropical Rainforest Biomes
Tropical Rainforest Biomes
 
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptxChapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
Chapter_3_The_Relationship_bn_Climate_Change_&_Environmental_Change.pptx
 
Climate change
Climate changeClimate change
Climate change
 
Global warming2
Global warming2Global warming2
Global warming2
 
Climate change in the Caribbean
Climate change in the CaribbeanClimate change in the Caribbean
Climate change in the Caribbean
 
Theory of climate change (kiran thorat)
Theory of climate change (kiran thorat)Theory of climate change (kiran thorat)
Theory of climate change (kiran thorat)
 
Climate change walter mendonza
Climate change   walter mendonzaClimate change   walter mendonza
Climate change walter mendonza
 
NATIONAL SERVICE SCHEME AND NATIONAL GREEN CORPS CLIMATE EDUCATION MODULE
NATIONAL SERVICE SCHEME AND NATIONAL GREEN CORPS CLIMATE EDUCATION MODULENATIONAL SERVICE SCHEME AND NATIONAL GREEN CORPS CLIMATE EDUCATION MODULE
NATIONAL SERVICE SCHEME AND NATIONAL GREEN CORPS CLIMATE EDUCATION MODULE
 
Climate change
Climate change  Climate change
Climate change
 
Climate Change.ppt
Climate Change.pptClimate Change.ppt
Climate Change.ppt
 
global warming.pptx
global warming.pptxglobal warming.pptx
global warming.pptx
 
Climate Change and Ozone Depletion.ppt
Climate Change and Ozone Depletion.pptClimate Change and Ozone Depletion.ppt
Climate Change and Ozone Depletion.ppt
 
Climate change
Climate changeClimate change
Climate change
 
Climate change
Climate changeClimate change
Climate change
 

Último

Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
Anamikakaur10
 
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
dharasingh5698
 

Último (20)

VIP Model Call Girls Wagholi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wagholi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...VIP Model Call Girls Wagholi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
VIP Model Call Girls Wagholi ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to ...
 
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Khadki 6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Khadki  6297143586 Call Hot Indian...Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Khadki  6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Khadki 6297143586 Call Hot Indian...
 
Hot Call Girls |Delhi |Preet Vihar ☎ 9711199171 Book Your One night Stand
Hot Call Girls |Delhi |Preet Vihar ☎ 9711199171 Book Your One night StandHot Call Girls |Delhi |Preet Vihar ☎ 9711199171 Book Your One night Stand
Hot Call Girls |Delhi |Preet Vihar ☎ 9711199171 Book Your One night Stand
 
Call Girls in Sakinaka Agency, { 9892124323 } Mumbai Vashi Call Girls Serivce...
Call Girls in Sakinaka Agency, { 9892124323 } Mumbai Vashi Call Girls Serivce...Call Girls in Sakinaka Agency, { 9892124323 } Mumbai Vashi Call Girls Serivce...
Call Girls in Sakinaka Agency, { 9892124323 } Mumbai Vashi Call Girls Serivce...
 
Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
Call Now ☎️🔝 9332606886 🔝 Call Girls ❤ Service In Muzaffarpur Female Escorts ...
 
Call Girls Ramtek Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Ramtek Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Ramtek Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Ramtek Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
Proposed Amendments to Chapter 15, Article X: Wetland Conservation Areas
Proposed Amendments to Chapter 15, Article X: Wetland Conservation AreasProposed Amendments to Chapter 15, Article X: Wetland Conservation Areas
Proposed Amendments to Chapter 15, Article X: Wetland Conservation Areas
 
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Kondhwa 6297143586 Call Hot India...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Kondhwa  6297143586 Call Hot India...Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Kondhwa  6297143586 Call Hot India...
Book Sex Workers Available Pune Call Girls Kondhwa 6297143586 Call Hot India...
 
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 BookingVIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
VIP Call Girls Valsad 7001035870 Whatsapp Number, 24/07 Booking
 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shirwal 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shirwal 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shirwal 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Shirwal 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
 
Verified Trusted Kalyani Nagar Call Girls 8005736733 𝐈𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐍𝐓 Call 𝐆𝐈𝐑𝐋 𝐕...
Verified Trusted Kalyani Nagar Call Girls  8005736733 𝐈𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐍𝐓 Call 𝐆𝐈𝐑𝐋 𝐕...Verified Trusted Kalyani Nagar Call Girls  8005736733 𝐈𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐍𝐓 Call 𝐆𝐈𝐑𝐋 𝐕...
Verified Trusted Kalyani Nagar Call Girls 8005736733 𝐈𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐍𝐓 Call 𝐆𝐈𝐑𝐋 𝐕...
 
VIP Model Call Girls Chakan ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Chakan ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...VIP Model Call Girls Chakan ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
VIP Model Call Girls Chakan ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K to 2...
 
VIP Model Call Girls Viman Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K...
VIP Model Call Girls Viman Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K...VIP Model Call Girls Viman Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K...
VIP Model Call Girls Viman Nagar ( Pune ) Call ON 8005736733 Starting From 5K...
 
Call Girls Magarpatta Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Magarpatta Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Magarpatta Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Magarpatta Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
NO1 Verified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale baba...
NO1 Verified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale baba...NO1 Verified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale baba...
NO1 Verified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale baba...
 
Call Girls Jejuri Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Jejuri Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance BookingCall Girls Jejuri Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
Call Girls Jejuri Call Me 7737669865 Budget Friendly No Advance Booking
 
Cyclone Case Study Odisha 1999 Super Cyclone in India.
Cyclone Case Study Odisha 1999 Super Cyclone in India.Cyclone Case Study Odisha 1999 Super Cyclone in India.
Cyclone Case Study Odisha 1999 Super Cyclone in India.
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Moshi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And Re...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Moshi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And Re...VVIP Pune Call Girls Moshi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And Re...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Moshi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And Re...
 
CSR_Tested activities in the classroom -EN
CSR_Tested activities in the classroom -ENCSR_Tested activities in the classroom -EN
CSR_Tested activities in the classroom -EN
 
VVIP Pune Call Girls Wagholi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And ...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Wagholi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And ...VVIP Pune Call Girls Wagholi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And ...
VVIP Pune Call Girls Wagholi WhatSapp Number 8005736733 With Elite Staff And ...
 

Climate change mengistu

  • 1.
  • 3. The Sun drives the Earth System
  • 4.
  • 5. • “Symptoms” of a warming Earth are realized in all components of the Earth System  Climate change
  • 6.  Complex processes occur in the atmosphere and cause variations •temperature •humidity •cloudiness •precipitation •pressure •winds •storms
  • 7.  Critich field: explain the nature of climate, differs from place to place and related to man’s activities  Austin Miller: the average conditions of weather  Koppen and De Lang: a summary, a composition of weather conditions over a long period of time  Thornthwaite: the study of the atmosphere & the Earth’s surface Climatology
  • 8.  The study of weather is meteorology  Someone who studies weather is called a meteorologist
  • 9.  Weather is short-term atmospheric conditions in a specific place o Small geographic area o Can change rapidly  Climate is the long-term averages of these atmospheric conditions > 30 years o Large geographic area oVery slow to change “climate is what you expect; weather is what you get”
  • 10. Atmosphere  thin layer of mixture gases surrounding the earth  99% of the atmosphere is found below 50 km asl  50% below 5.5 km  atmosphere in light blue
  • 11.  Air Pressure: weight of air pushing on the surface of the Earth  barometer (bar, mbar)  Temperature: The degree of hotness or coldness of an object  thermometer (C, F, K)  Precipitation: moisture that falls from clouds to the surface of the earth  Raingauge(mm/day) Elements of Climate and Weather
  • 12.  Humidity: The amount of water vapor in the atmosphere  hygrometer (%)  Cloud cover: The amount of cloud in the sky  OKTAS  Wind: The horizontal motion of air (has speed and direction)  Anemometer (m/s, km/h, mi/h)
  • 13. Historic Weather and Climate • average temperature - 1.3°C between 1960 and 2006 • precipitation - decline since 1984, with significant year-to-year volatility • Major floods have been a common occurrence, leading to loss of life and property • Rising sea surface temperatures • increase variability in the timing and duration of rainfall seasons • consequently cause frequent drought
  • 14. Future Climate Change • Warming in the 21st century greatest over land and at the highest northern latitudes. • For the next two decades a warming of about 0.2°C per decade • Increases in the amount of precipitation are very likely in high latitudes • while decreases are likely in most subtropical • Drought-affected areas will likely increase in extent • hot extremes, heat waves and heavy precipitation events will be frequent
  • 15. • Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation needed
  • 16. • Climate Variability - variations in the mean state and other statistics (the occurrence of extremes, etc.) • Extreme weather:- unusual climatic event over specific region
  • 17. • Disaster:- a serious disruption of the functioning of a community • Maladaptation:- Any changes in natural or human systems-increase vulnerability to climatic stimuli • an adaptation that does not succeed in reducing vulnerability but increases it instead.
  • 18. • Resilience:- amount of change a system can undergo without changing state • Sensitivity:-the degree to which a system is affected, either adversely or beneficially by climate-related stimuli • Catastrophic event:- a climate-related event having sudden onset and widely distributed and large magnitude impacts on human or natural systems
  • 19. The evidence for rapid climate change
  • 20. I) Global Temperature Rise  surface temperature in 19th century  by increased carbon dioxide and other human-made emissions
  • 21. II) Warming Oceans  The oceans have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top 700 meters (about 2,300 feet)
  • 22. III) Shrinking Ice Sheets • Greenland lost an average of 286 billion tons of ice per year between 1993 and 2016 • while Antarctica lost about 127 billion tons of ice per year during the same time period.
  • 23. IV) Glacial Retreat • Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world
  • 24. V) Decreased Snow Cover • Satellite observations reveal that the amount of spring snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere has decreased over the past five decades and that the snow is melting earlier
  • 25. VI) Sea Level Rise • Global sea level rose about 8 inches in the last century. The rate in the last two decades • however, is nearly double that of the last century and is accelerating slightly every year
  • 26. VII) Declining Arctic Sea Ice • Both the extent and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last several decades
  • 27. VIII) Extreme Events • The number of record high temperature events
  • 28. VV) Ocean Acidification • Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the acidity of surface ocean waters has increased by about 30 percent.
  • 29. CHAPTER - 2. Drivers of climate change
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. 2.1. Natural Drivers a)Volcanic eruptions • short-term cooling • Volcanic eruptions pump out clouds of dust and ash- block out some sunlight • ash particles are heavy • sulfur dioxide -combines with water vapor and dust in atmosphere form sulfate aerosols • reflect sunlight away from the Earth’s surface • Volcanic eruptions spew out lava, carbon dioxide (CO2) ash and particles
  • 35. b)Ocean currents • Ocean currents are located at the ocean surface and in deep water below 300 meters (984 feet). • They can move water horizontally and vertically and occur on both local and global scales. • The ocean has an interconnected with – current, or circulation, – system powered by wind, tides, – the Earth’s rotation (Coriolis effect), – the sun (solar energy), and – water density differences – The topography and shape of ocean basins and nearby landmasses
  • 36. Ocean currents • Water density is affected by the temperature, salinity (saltiness), and depth of the water. • The colder and saltier the ocean water, the denser it is. • The greater the density differences between different layers in the water column, the greater the mixing and circulation. • Density differences in ocean water contribute to a global- scale circulation system, also called the global conveyor belt
  • 37. c)Earth orbital changes • Shifts and wobbles in the Earth’s orbit can trigger changes in climate such as the beginning and end of ice ages. • But orbital changes are so gradual they’re only noticeable over thousands of years not decades or centuries.
  • 38. d)Internal variability • Some changes in climate have no external trigger instead caused by interactions within the climate system itself, often involving positive feedbacks • One example is the El Niño–La Niña cycle, which can cause temporary warming and cooling • El Niño increases global temperature, La Niña decreases it
  • 39. 2.2. Man-made (anthropogenic) greenhouse gases
  • 40. a)Burning fossil fuels • Concentrations are increasing at a rate of about 2–3 ppm/year • Together with rising emissions of methane • other greenhouse gases, and the associated feedback effects
  • 41. b)Agriculture • Irrigation, deforestation, and agriculture • Land use may alter the local albedo (reflectivity of the Earth’s surface) by reducing vegetation ground cover • altering the way sunlight is absorbed or reflected
  • 42.  Soil erosion is one of the major constraints 42
  • 43. c)Livestock • Livestock produce natural methane gas emissions • Livestock is responsible for 18 % of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions • This percentage includes deforestation in order to create grazing land
  • 44.  Overgrazed land leading to degradation 44
  • 45. d)Cement manufacture • The cement industry produces around 5 % of global man-made CO2 emissions • when calcium carbonate is heated, producing lime and carbon dioxide • CO2 is also produced by burning the fossil fuels that provide the heat for the cement manufacture process
  • 46. e) Aerosols • Aerosols directly scatter and absorb radiation • The scattering of radiation causes atmospheric cooling • absorption can cause atmospheric warming • The use of Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) has increased in refrigeration systems and use of CFCs
  • 49. Quize-1 1. What is climate change? 2. What are the evidences of the presence of climate change? 3. What is green house gas effect? What are green house gases? 5%
  • 50. CHAPTER- 3 Vulnerability to and Impacts of climate change
  • 51.  Vulnerability: - The degree to which a system is susceptible to or unable to cope with adverse effects of climate change  Socio-economic vulnerability: is an aggregate measure of human welfare that integrates environmental, social, economic and political exposure to a range of harmful perturbations 3.1. Vulnerability
  • 52. Who are vulnerable? • Geographical space: – people who live on arid or semi-arid lands – in low-lying coastal areas – in water limited – flood-prone areas – on small islands • Social space: – developing countries – the poorest people (double- exposure)
  • 53. Developing Countries are the Most Vulnerable to Climate Change • Impacts are worse - already more flood and drought prone • Lower capacity to adapt - lack of financial, institutional and technological capacity and access to knowledge • exacerbating inequities in health status and access to adequate food, clean water and other resources
  • 54. Climate impacts • Potential Impacts - may occur by a given projected change , without considering adaptation • Residual Impacts - would occur after adaptation • Aggregate Impacts - total impacts summed up across sectors and/or regions • Market Impacts - Impacts that are linked to market transactions and directly affect GDP • Non-Market Impacts - Impacts that affect ecosystems or human welfare – E.g. an increased risk of premature death
  • 55.
  • 56. a). Impacts on Human Health • extreme weather events and wildfire, decreased air quality • diseases transmitted by insects, food, and water – Impact on infectious diseases – Malaria – Dengue fever – Tick borne disease – Coronavirus – Extreme heat and disease – Impact on mental health
  • 57. b). Impacts on Infrastructure • Infrastructure is being damaged by sea level rise, heavy downpours • extreme heat damages projected to increase with continued climate change
  • 58. c). Impacts on Water Supply • Water quality and water supply reliability are jeopardized
  • 59. d). Impacts on Agriculture • disruptions to agriculture
  • 60. e). Impacts on Indigenous People • poses particular threats treat to Indigenous Peoples’ health • well-being, and ways of life
  • 61. f). Impacts on Ecosystems and Biodiversity • Ecosystems and the benefits they provide to society are being affected. • fires, floods, and severe storms is being overwhelmed.
  • 62. 3.3. Coping Mechanisms to Climate Variability • Changes in cropping and planting practices • Reduction of consumption levels • Collection of wild foods • loans • Increased petty commodity production • Temporary and permanent migration • Grain storage • Sale of assets such as livestock and agricultural tools • Mortgaging of land • Credit from merchants and money lenders • Use of early warning system • Food appeal/aid etc..
  • 63. adaptation to climate change CHAPTER- 4 Adaptive capacity and adaptation to climate change
  • 64. 4.1. Responses to climate change – Actions to reduce emissions – increase carbon uptake – adapt to a changing climate – increase resilience to impacts  Mitigation : efforts to reduce future climate changes  Adaptation : efforts to reduce the vulnerability of society to climate change
  • 65. • Adaptation and mitigation are closely linked; adaptation efforts will be more difficult, more costly, and less likely to succeed if significant mitigation actions are not taken.
  • 66.  Adaptive capacity is the ability of a system adjust to climate change (including climate variability and extremes)  to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to cope with consequences. 4.3. Adaptive capacity
  • 67.  Anticipatory Adaptation:  takes place before impacts of climate change is observed  Also referred to as proactive adaptation Autonomous Adaptation:-  does not constitute a conscious response to climatic stimuli  but is triggered by ecological changes in natural systems and by market or welfare changes in human systems  Also referred to as spontaneous adaptation.
  • 68.  Planned Adaptation:-  the result of a deliberate policy decision,  based on an awareness that conditions have changed or are about to change  action is required to return to, maintain, or achieve a desired state Private Adaptation: -  initiated and implemented by individuals, households or private companies  Private adaptation is usually in the actor's rational self-interest
  • 69.  Public Adaptation: -  is initiated and implemented by governments at all levels.  Public adaptation is usually directed at collective needs Reactive Adaptation:  takes place after impacts of climate change have been observed Activities to promote sustainable development can also act to enhance people's adaptive capacity to climate change
  • 70. These activities can include:  Improving access to resources  Reducing poverty  Lowering inequities of resources and wealth among groups  Improving education and information  Improving infrastructure  Improving institutional capacity and efficiency  Promoting local indigenous practices, knowledge, and experiences
  • 71. 4.4. Approaches to adaptation  Short term (0 to 10 years):urgent response measures  Medium term (about 10 to 30 years): Responses to the medium term  Long term (about 30 to 100 years): long term responses should be based on risk assessments
  • 72. 1) Risk avoidance: Preventive measures against the occurrence of estimated impacts. E.g., disaster prevention facilities 2) Reduction of negative impacts: Measures to reduce the damage caused by impacts 3) Risk sharing: Measures to suppress the concentration of impacts by spreading their burden across a wider population and over time Adaptation measures are designed based on the following concepts
  • 73. 4) Risk acceptance: Accepting the potential for adverse impacts 5) Exploitation of opportunities: Among the impacts of climate change, new business and other opportunities may appear from positive impacts, depending on the sector and region
  • 74. 4.5. Factors in considering adaptation 1) Latest knowledge on climate change  Observed climate change  Future projected climate change
  • 75. 2) Consideration of relationship with other factors examples  Disasters: earthquakes or other disasters coinciding with climate change phenomena  Natural ecosystems: Ecosystems already degraded by human activities could face further deterioration from the impacts of climate change
  • 76. 3) Consideration of regional characteristics  geographical features  sectors require urgent responses
  • 77. summary 4.6. Adaptation strategies  aims to increase society's resilience to climate change  It is for managing future climate risk  prioritizing and coordinating action  It offers the potential of reducing future economic, environmental and social costs
  • 78. Adaptation to climate change:  More secure facility locations and infrastructures  Landscape restoration (natural landscape) and reforestation  Flexible and diverse cultivation to be prepared for natural catastrophes  Research and development on possible catastrophes, temperature behavior, etc.  Preventive and precautionary measures (evacuation plans, health issues, etc.)
  • 79. CHAPTER - 5 Climate change mitigation strategies
  • 80. • Mitigation is the technological change and substitution that reduce resource inputs and emissions per unit of output  Although several social, economic and technological policies would produce an emission reduction, with respect to climate change  The purpose of climate change mitigation is to enact measures to limit the extent of climate change 5.1. Climate Change Mitigation  Mitigation measures are those actions that are taken to reduce and curb greenhouse gas emissions
  • 81.
  • 82. • Carbon sequestration is the process involved in carbon capture and the long-term storage of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) • The process of removing carbon from the atmosphere and depositing it in a reservoir 5.2. Carbon sequestration
  • 83. carbon dioxide removal  of industrially produced CO2 using subsurface saline aquifers, reservoirs, ocean water & aging oil fields
  • 84. Carbon dioxide is naturally captured from the atmosphere through  Biological, Chemical, Physical processes
  • 85. There are three ways sequestration can be carried out • post-combustion capture • pre-combustion capture • oxy-combustion
  • 86.  Afforestation: is the establishment of a forest in an area where there was no previous tree cover  Reforestation: is the replanting of trees on marginal crop and pasture lands to incorporate carbon from atmospheric CO2 into biomass a) Afforestation/Reforestation  Planting and protecting them would offset some 10 years of CO2 emissions and sequester 160 billion tons of carbon
  • 87. b) Urban forestry • Its increases the amount of carbon taken up in cities by adding new tree sites • The vegetation can have indirect effects on carbon by reducing need for energy consumption
  • 88. c) Wetland restoration • Wetland soil is an important carbon sink • 14.5% of the world's soil carbon is found in wetlands • 6% of the world's land is composed of wetlands
  • 89. d) Deep soil • Soils hold four times the amount of carbon stored in the atmosphere • About half of this is found deep within soils • About 90% of this deep soil C is stabilized by mineral- organic associations
  • 90. e) Enhancing carbon removal • All crops absorb CO2 during growth and release it after harvest • The goal of agricultural carbon removal is to use the crop • its relation to the carbon cycle to permanently sequester carbon within the soil
  • 91. Example Methods for accomplishing : • Use cover crops (grasses and weeds as temporary cover between planting seasons • Concentrate livestock in small paddocks for days at a time so they graze lightly but evenly • This encourages roots to grow deeper into the soil  Cover bare paddocks with hay or dead vegetation. This protects soil from the sun and allows the soil to hold more water and be more attractive to carbon-capturing microbes  Restore degraded land, which slows carbon release while returning the land to agriculture or other use
  • 92. f) Seaweed • Its grows very fast and can theoretically be harvested and processed to generate bio methane, via Anaerobic Digestion to generate electricity • via Cogeneration or as a replacement for natural gas • Ideal species for such farming and conversion include Laminaria digitata, Fucus serratus and Saccharina latissima
  • 93. g) Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage • Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) refers to biomass in power stations and boilers that use carbon capture and storage
  • 94. h) Geological sequestration • Once CO2 is captured from a gas or coal-fired power plant, it would be compressed to ≈100 bar so that it would be a supercritical fluid. • In this fluid form, the CO2 would be easy to transport via pipeline to the place of storage
  • 95. • a form of emissions trading that specifically targets carbon dioxide (calculated in tones of carbon dioxide equivalent or CO2)  it currently constitutes the bulk of emissions trading 5.3. Carbon emission trading
  • 96.  This form of permit trading is a common method countries utilize in order to meet their obligations specified by the Kyoto Protocol;  namely the reduction of carbon emissions in an attempt to reduce (mitigate) future climate change
  • 97. a) Costs and valuation b) Ethics and fairness c) Coase model d) Equity f) Taxes versus caps g) Trading h) Incentives and allocation i) Form of allocation
  • 98. a) Costs and valuation • costs that emitters do face, e.g., the costs of the fuel being used, but there are other costs that are not necessarily included in the price of a good or service. • These other costs are called external costs • "external" - costs that the emitter does not carry
  • 99. b) Ethics and fairness • The manner in which climate change is addressed involves ethical and other issues related to fairness. • Typically all the impacts of policy, both the costs and benefits, are added together (aggregation), with different impacts on different individual’s assigned particular "weightings," i.e., relative levels of importance.
  • 100.  There are methods to infer prices for "non-market" goods and services  These valuations are still in development, e.g., valuations of human health impacts, or impacts on ecosystems
  • 101. c) Coase model • It assumes perfectly operating markets and equal bargaining power among those arguing for property rights • For climate change, the property rights are for emissions (permits or quotas) • Over time, efficiency can also be promoted by allowing "banking" of permits. This allows polluters to reduce emissions at a time when it is most efficient to do so.
  • 102. d) Equity • One of the advantages of Coase's model is that it suggests that fairness (equity) can be addressed in the distribution of property rights, and that regardless of how these property rights are assigned, the market will produce the most efficient outcome. • In reality, according to the held view, markets are not perfect, and it is therefore possible that a tradeoff will occur between equity and efficiency.
  • 103. f) Taxes versus caps • A pure carbon tax fixes the price of carbon, but allows the amount of carbon emissions to vary; and a pure carbon cap places a limit on carbon emissions, letting the market price of tradable carbon allowances vary.
  • 104. • Most cap and trade programs have a descending cap, usually a fixed percentage every year, which gives certainty to the market and guarantees that emissions will decline over time. • Providing emission permits (also called allowances) under emissions trading is preferred in situations where a more accurate target level of emissions certainty is needed.
  • 105. g) Trading • permits may be traded by emitters who are liable to hold a sufficient number of permits in system. • allowing others to participate in trading, e.g., private brokerage firms, can allow for better management of risk in the system e.g., to variations in permit prices, • regulation of these other entities may be necessary, as is done in other financial markets e.g., to prevent abuses of the system, such as insider trading.
  • 106. h) Incentives and allocation • An emission trading gives polluters an incentive to reduce their emissions. • However, there are possible perverse incentives that can exist in emissions trading.  Allocating permits on the basis of past emissions ("grandfathering") can result in firms having an incentive to maintain emissions.
  • 107. i) Form of allocation • Permits allocated to existing emitters by 'grandfathering' are not 'free' • The rationale for payments to trade-exposed, emissions-intensive industries is different and sound • It is to avoid the economic and environmental costs of having firms in these industries contracting more than, and • failing to expand as much as, they would in a world in which all countries were applying carbon constraints involving similar costs to ours
  • 108. 5.4. Alternative Energy Sources • The most significant solution to put an end to this disaster is the use of alternative energy sources – wind, – solar, – bio mass, – geothermal and – hydro
  • 109. 109
  • 110. CHAPTER - 6. Global policies, Conventions and protocols on climate change
  • 111. 1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – in 1988 jointly by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Program – to keep global warming below 2°C, by reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs) by 2050 – Developed countries will need to reduce more – between 80% and 95% by 2050 e.g. China, India and Brazil will have to limit their emission growth
  • 112. Fifth Assessment Report  provides a comprehensive assessment of sea level rise  CO2 budget for future emissions to limit warming to less than 2°C
  • 113. 2. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change – In 1992, “Earth Summit” - a first step in addressing the climate change problem – 197 countries that have ratified – To stabilization of atmospheric GHG concentrations – distributive fairness sharing the costs of mitigation and adapting to climate change – Emissions need to contract dramatically to meet so-called safe stabilization levels
  • 114. 3. Kyoto Protocol • By 1995, countries launched • There are now 192 Parties to the Kyoto Protocol. Kyoto protocol promotes sustainable development by:- (i) Enhancement of energy efficiency (ii) Protection and enhancement of sinks and reservoirs of greenhouse gases (iii) Promotion of sustainable forms of agriculture in light of climate change considerations; (iv) Research on and promotion, development and increased use of, new and renewable forms of energy
  • 115. (v) Progressive reduction or phasing out of market imperfections, fiscal incentives, tax and duty exemptions (vi) Limitation and/or reduction of methane emissions through recovery and use in waste management
  • 116. 4. Bali Road Map • Began in 2007 at the 13th United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bali • the final issues and policies to be discussed and decided upon at the 2009 meeting in Copenhagen • The Road map includes several parties: – the Bali Action Plan – the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action – the Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments for Parties under the Kyoto Protocol
  • 117. 5. Cancun Agreements – Created at the 2010 UNCCC in Cancun, Mexico – these agreements constituted the largest collective effort the world has ever seen to reduce emissions – it also included the most comprehensive package ever agreed by governments to help developing nations deal with climate change
  • 118. 6. Doha Climate Gateway • The UNCCC was held in Doha, Qatar in 2012 • to “adopt a universal climate agreement” • they also finished the Bali Action Plan’s outline to prepare for an agreement • accentuating the need to reduce greenhouse gases and to help less-able countries adapt to climate change
  • 119. 7. Warsaw Outcomes • The UNCCC 2013 meeting in Warsaw helped preparing for a 2015 agreement in Paris, France. • This meeting concluded the monitoring, reporting, and verification requisites for each nation • Additionally, the “rulebook for reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation”, or • The “Warsaw Framework for REDD+” was settled upon. • A main goal of this meeting was to close the ‘ambition gap’ presents between expectations
  • 120. 8. Paris Agreement • The 21st Conference of the Parties in Paris in 2015, • aim is to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change – by keeping the global temperature rise this century well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels – to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius
  • 121. 9. 2019 Climate Action Summit The Summit focused on key sectors where action can make the most difference – heavy industry, – nature-based solutions, – cities, – energy, – resilience, and – climate finance
  • 122. CHAPTER - 7 An overview of climate change adaptation strategy of Ethiopia
  • 123. • Mean annual rainfall distribution – ranges from about 2000 mm over some pocket areas in the Southwest – to less than 250 mm over the Afar and Ogaden low lands • Four seasons are known in Ethiopia, – Bega (dry season) - October-January, – Belg (short rain season)- February-May – Kiremt (long rain season)- June-September – Tseday(sometime very little rain)-September-October
  • 124. Impacts of Current Climate Variability The major adverse impacts of climate variability in Ethiopia include:-. – Food insecurity arising from occurrences of droughts and floods – Outbreak of diseases such as malaria, dengue fever, water borne diseases (such as cholera, dysentery) associated with floods and respiratory diseases associated with droughts; – Land degradation/landslide due to heavy rainfall – Damage to communication, road and other infrastructure by floods
  • 125.
  • 127.
  • 128.
  • 129. Landslide incident in Oromia region, May 29, 2018
  • 130. a). Droughts and Floods • Recurrent drought events in the past have resulted in huge loss of life and property as well as migration of people • flash and seasonal river floods – Areas in the Afar Region along the Awash River, – in the Somali Region along the Wabi Shebele River – in the Gambela Region along the Baro-Akobo River, – in the Southern Region along the Oomo-Gibe River, – Bahirdar Zuria and Fogera areas along the Abbay River
  • 131. • Major floods which caused loss of life and property occurred in different parts of the country in 1988, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996 and 2006 • in the 2006 main rainy season (June September), flood caused the following disasters: – More than 250 people died, – about 250 people were unaccounted for
  • 132. – more than 10,000 people became homeless Due to the Dire dawa Flood – More than 364 people died, and more than 6000 people were displaced due to flooding of about 14 villages in South Omo – More than 16,000 people were displaced in West Shewa. – Similar situations also occurred over Afar, Western Tigray, around Gambella and the low lying areas of Lake Tana
  • 133. The Frequency of Drought in Ethiopia Year interval Number of disasters Average recurrence Average recurrence 5 Once in 40 years 12AD-787AD 6 Roughly once in 100 years 832AD-968AD 3 Roughly once in 45 years 1006AD-1200AD 4 Roughly once in 48 years 1252-1340 5 Roughly once in 18 years 1400-1789 26 Roughly once in 15 years 1800-1900 10 Roughly once in 10 years 1900-1987 14 Roughly once in 6 years 1988-2002 5 Roughly once in 3 years
  • 134. b).In terms of loss in property and livestock – It’s estimated about 199,000 critically affected people due to the flood in the country. – More than 900 livestock drowned over South Omo. – 2700 heads of cattle and 760 traditional silos were washed away. – About 10,000 livestock were encircled by river floods in Afar. – Over Dire dawa, the loss in property is estimated in the order of tenth of millions of dollars. – Other impacts of flood include human health such as spread of Acute Water Borne Diarrhea (AWD) and malaria outbreak, impacts on the country’s infrastructure and damages to field crops.