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NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING
COMPONENTS OF GDP -
MEASURING INFLATION
MD Siyam HossainMD Siyam Hossain
Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology.Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology.
Narayangonj,DhakaNarayangonj,Dhaka
Dhaka,BangladeshDhaka,Bangladesh
www.facebook.com/mdsiyamhossain
2
1. COMPONENTS OF DEMAND
Analysis of demand for output
 Output is split into components of aggregate demand
 Analysing domestically produced goods and services
 Total demand for domestic output is made up of following
four components:
 Consumption spending by households (C),
 Investment spending by businesses and households (I)
 Government’s (federal, state, and local) purchases of
goods and services (G)
 Foreign demand (NX)
The four components and the total output is expressed into
following identity:
 Y= C+ I+ G+ NX (1)
 It (1) is called national income accounting identity
3
2. CONSUMPTION
 Main component of demand is consumption spending by
household (Table-1)
 Consumption includes spending on anything (e.g. food to golf
lessons)
 It also involves consumption spending on durable goods (e.g.
automobiles)
 Such spending normally regarded as investment rather than
consumption
Table – 1: Components of demands 2003
Components of GDP $ Billions Percent (%)
Consummations 5 139.00 68.1
Investment (domestic) 1 096.00 14.5
Government Sector 1 409.00 18.7
Net Export - 119.0 -1.3
Total GDP 7 545.00 100%
4
Division of GDP in the USA from 2003 shows that:
 Consumption made 68.1% of GDP in USA in 2003
 Share of Investments is 14.2%
 Share of government sector is 17.7%
 And Share of Foreign Demand is 1.1%
 Share of the components are not constant
 They vary from period to period and country to
country
5
Division of GDP in Japan from 2003 shows that:
 Japan consumes a far smaller share of GDP
than USA
 Rising share of consumption in USA in 1980s
was important reasons for poor economic
performance
Higher consumption means:
 Less investment
 Larger trade deficits
 Lower saving
6
3. GOVERNMENT
Government spending includes:
 National defence expenditures
 Costs of road expansion by state and local
governments
 Salaries of government employees
 Government spending is referred as purchases of
goods and services
 Government makes also transfer payments
 Transfer payments are social security benefits and
unemployment benefits
 These are payments made to people without any
service in exchange
7
4. INVESTMENT
 Investment means additions to the physical stock of capital
 Investment does not include buying bond or stock of a firm
Investment includes:
 Building of machinery
 Construction of factories and offices
 Additions to a firm's inventories
 Investment increases ability to produce output in future
 Human capital embodied knowledge and ability to produce
 Investment in education is regarded as investment in human
capital
 However, personal educational expenditures as consumption
 But public educational expenditures as government investment
spending
8
Classification consumption or investment
spending:
 In national income accounts:
Individual's purchase is consumption expenditure
Purchase of store is inventory investment
 Investment is indicated as ‘gross’ because from
investment depreciation is not deducted
 Net investment is gross investment minus depreciation
 Actually, investment includes investment in human
capital
 Official national income accounting counts only
additions to physical capital stock as investment
9
5. NET EXPORTS
 ‘Net exports’ account for domestic spending on
foreign goods and foreign spending on domestic
goods
 When foreigners purchase our goods, their spending
adds to the demand of our domestic goods
 When we purchase foreign goods has, it decreases
demand for our domestic goods
 So, difference between exports and imports is a
component of total demand for our goods
 [Difference between exports and imports is ‘Net
Export’]
 US net export is negative since the 1980s
 It means a deficit of balance-trade (Table-1)
 In some years net exports have been close to zero
10
7. SOME IMPORTANT IDENTITIES
Let us introduce some notations and
conventions
It will be followed throughout the book
We simplify our analysis making following assumptions:
Disposable income equals GDP (Yd = Y)
No difference between gross investment and net
investment
It has neither a government nor foreign trade
Let us denote C for consumption and I for
investment spending
Let output produced equals output sold
11
 Hence, we can write: Y= C + I (2)
 Identity (2) shows the allocation of income
Let us establish a relationship among saving,
consumption, and GDP:
 Let output produced is either consumed or saved
 Hence, we can write: Y = C + S (3)
 This (3) shows the components of demand
From (2) and (3), we have:
 C + I = Y = C + S (4)
 I = S (5)
 It means (5), in a simple economy investment equals saving
 Let analysis this conclusion
 More is saved more is invested
 More consumption means less investment
 Less consumption means more investment
12
3. REINTRODUCING GOVERNMENT AND FOREIN TRADE
Let us now introduce government and external sector in model
above consideration. Let us denote:
 Government purchases G and taxes by TA
 Transfers to the private sector (including interest) by TR
 Net exports (Exports - Imports) by NX
 So, output produced is either consumed, invested, used by govt or
saved
 Y = C + I + G + NX (6)
 Let us introduce the concept of output and disposable income
 We know that output equals disposable income
 Disposable income could be used either for consumption or
investment
 YD = C + S (7)
 Disposable income (YD) is equal to income plus transfers less
taxes (TA)
13
That is disposable income is increased by transfers and
reduced by taxes, hence:
 YD = Y + TR – TA (8)
 Disposable income is allocated for consumption and saving
 That is combining identities (7) and (8), we have
 C + S = YD = Y + TR- TA (9)
 C + S = Y + TR − TA (10)
 C = Y + TR − TA − S (11)
 Consumption is equal to income plus transfers less tax and
saving
From equation (6) and equation (10), we have:
 C + S = Y + TR − TA
 C + S = C + I + G + NX + TR − TA [Y = C + I + G + NX]
 S − I = (G + TR −TA) + NX (12)
14
Case-I:
 If saving equals investment, then maximum possible investment
is achieved
In this case, government spending and net export is zero
It means, there is no government spending
And either there is no foreign trade or trade is balanced
Net export could be zero, if there is no foreign trade or trade-
balance is zero
 However, government spending could never be zero
Case-II
 By unchanged government spending, investment could be
increased by increasing export
 In this case, more and more export enables import of more and
more capital goods that ensure growth
15
Conclusion
Investment could be increased by:
 Minimizing government spending
 Promoting Export that enables more and more
import of capital goods
 Cutting more and more tax
 Increasing consumption cutting tax
 Supporting income through social and other
supports
 All of these steps supports consumption and saving
that foster growth
16
4. BUDGET, TRADE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT
 Let us explain impact of government spending and net export on
investment with a fictive example (Table-2)
Row-2
 In 2001 saving was $1000 and there is no BD and TBD
 Saving $1000 was fully invested
 If there is no BD and TBD, saving is fully invested
Table – 2: Budget, Trade, Saving and Investment (Billions Dollars)
Year NI Consumption Saving Investment BD NX
2001 4000 2000 1000 1000 0 0
2002 4000 2000 1000 850 150 0
2003 4000 2000 1000 900 0 - 100
2004 4000 2000 1000 750 150 - 100
2005 4000 2000 1000 950 150 100
2006 4000 2000 1000 1050 50 100
17
Row-3
 In 2002 there was no TBD, but BD from $100
 So, a part of savings was eaten up by BD
 Hence, investment decreased to the amount of BD, $100
 If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by
BD
Row-4
 In 2003 there was no TBD, but a BD from $100 (-$100)
 That means, a part of savings was used for import
 Hence, investment decreased to the amount of TBD, $100
 If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by
BD
18
Row-4
 In 2004 there was BD from $150 and TBD from $ 100
 So, a part of savings was used for BD and TBD
 Investment was reduced by BD and TBD $250 ($150+$100)
 If there is BD and a TBD, investment is reduced to amount BD
and TBD
Row-6
 In 2005 there was BD from $150 and TBS from $ 100
 So, savings was increased by TBS of $100
 But the increased savings/income ($1100) that could be
invested was reduced by BD of $150
 So, investment was only $950 ($1100+$150)
 If there is BD but a TBS, investment is reduced to amount BD
but increased by the TBS
19
Row-7
In 2005 there was BD from $50 and TBS from
$ 100
So, savings was increased by TBS of $100
But the increased savings/income ($1100) that
could be invested was reduced by BD of $50
So, investment was only $1050 ($1100+$50)
If there is BD but a TBS, investment is
reduced to amount BD but increased by the
TBS

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The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 23.pdf
 

National Income Accounting

  • 1. 1 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING COMPONENTS OF GDP - MEASURING INFLATION MD Siyam HossainMD Siyam Hossain Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology.Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology. Narayangonj,DhakaNarayangonj,Dhaka Dhaka,BangladeshDhaka,Bangladesh www.facebook.com/mdsiyamhossain
  • 2. 2 1. COMPONENTS OF DEMAND Analysis of demand for output  Output is split into components of aggregate demand  Analysing domestically produced goods and services  Total demand for domestic output is made up of following four components:  Consumption spending by households (C),  Investment spending by businesses and households (I)  Government’s (federal, state, and local) purchases of goods and services (G)  Foreign demand (NX) The four components and the total output is expressed into following identity:  Y= C+ I+ G+ NX (1)  It (1) is called national income accounting identity
  • 3. 3 2. CONSUMPTION  Main component of demand is consumption spending by household (Table-1)  Consumption includes spending on anything (e.g. food to golf lessons)  It also involves consumption spending on durable goods (e.g. automobiles)  Such spending normally regarded as investment rather than consumption Table – 1: Components of demands 2003 Components of GDP $ Billions Percent (%) Consummations 5 139.00 68.1 Investment (domestic) 1 096.00 14.5 Government Sector 1 409.00 18.7 Net Export - 119.0 -1.3 Total GDP 7 545.00 100%
  • 4. 4 Division of GDP in the USA from 2003 shows that:  Consumption made 68.1% of GDP in USA in 2003  Share of Investments is 14.2%  Share of government sector is 17.7%  And Share of Foreign Demand is 1.1%  Share of the components are not constant  They vary from period to period and country to country
  • 5. 5 Division of GDP in Japan from 2003 shows that:  Japan consumes a far smaller share of GDP than USA  Rising share of consumption in USA in 1980s was important reasons for poor economic performance Higher consumption means:  Less investment  Larger trade deficits  Lower saving
  • 6. 6 3. GOVERNMENT Government spending includes:  National defence expenditures  Costs of road expansion by state and local governments  Salaries of government employees  Government spending is referred as purchases of goods and services  Government makes also transfer payments  Transfer payments are social security benefits and unemployment benefits  These are payments made to people without any service in exchange
  • 7. 7 4. INVESTMENT  Investment means additions to the physical stock of capital  Investment does not include buying bond or stock of a firm Investment includes:  Building of machinery  Construction of factories and offices  Additions to a firm's inventories  Investment increases ability to produce output in future  Human capital embodied knowledge and ability to produce  Investment in education is regarded as investment in human capital  However, personal educational expenditures as consumption  But public educational expenditures as government investment spending
  • 8. 8 Classification consumption or investment spending:  In national income accounts: Individual's purchase is consumption expenditure Purchase of store is inventory investment  Investment is indicated as ‘gross’ because from investment depreciation is not deducted  Net investment is gross investment minus depreciation  Actually, investment includes investment in human capital  Official national income accounting counts only additions to physical capital stock as investment
  • 9. 9 5. NET EXPORTS  ‘Net exports’ account for domestic spending on foreign goods and foreign spending on domestic goods  When foreigners purchase our goods, their spending adds to the demand of our domestic goods  When we purchase foreign goods has, it decreases demand for our domestic goods  So, difference between exports and imports is a component of total demand for our goods  [Difference between exports and imports is ‘Net Export’]  US net export is negative since the 1980s  It means a deficit of balance-trade (Table-1)  In some years net exports have been close to zero
  • 10. 10 7. SOME IMPORTANT IDENTITIES Let us introduce some notations and conventions It will be followed throughout the book We simplify our analysis making following assumptions: Disposable income equals GDP (Yd = Y) No difference between gross investment and net investment It has neither a government nor foreign trade Let us denote C for consumption and I for investment spending Let output produced equals output sold
  • 11. 11  Hence, we can write: Y= C + I (2)  Identity (2) shows the allocation of income Let us establish a relationship among saving, consumption, and GDP:  Let output produced is either consumed or saved  Hence, we can write: Y = C + S (3)  This (3) shows the components of demand From (2) and (3), we have:  C + I = Y = C + S (4)  I = S (5)  It means (5), in a simple economy investment equals saving  Let analysis this conclusion  More is saved more is invested  More consumption means less investment  Less consumption means more investment
  • 12. 12 3. REINTRODUCING GOVERNMENT AND FOREIN TRADE Let us now introduce government and external sector in model above consideration. Let us denote:  Government purchases G and taxes by TA  Transfers to the private sector (including interest) by TR  Net exports (Exports - Imports) by NX  So, output produced is either consumed, invested, used by govt or saved  Y = C + I + G + NX (6)  Let us introduce the concept of output and disposable income  We know that output equals disposable income  Disposable income could be used either for consumption or investment  YD = C + S (7)  Disposable income (YD) is equal to income plus transfers less taxes (TA)
  • 13. 13 That is disposable income is increased by transfers and reduced by taxes, hence:  YD = Y + TR – TA (8)  Disposable income is allocated for consumption and saving  That is combining identities (7) and (8), we have  C + S = YD = Y + TR- TA (9)  C + S = Y + TR − TA (10)  C = Y + TR − TA − S (11)  Consumption is equal to income plus transfers less tax and saving From equation (6) and equation (10), we have:  C + S = Y + TR − TA  C + S = C + I + G + NX + TR − TA [Y = C + I + G + NX]  S − I = (G + TR −TA) + NX (12)
  • 14. 14 Case-I:  If saving equals investment, then maximum possible investment is achieved In this case, government spending and net export is zero It means, there is no government spending And either there is no foreign trade or trade is balanced Net export could be zero, if there is no foreign trade or trade- balance is zero  However, government spending could never be zero Case-II  By unchanged government spending, investment could be increased by increasing export  In this case, more and more export enables import of more and more capital goods that ensure growth
  • 15. 15 Conclusion Investment could be increased by:  Minimizing government spending  Promoting Export that enables more and more import of capital goods  Cutting more and more tax  Increasing consumption cutting tax  Supporting income through social and other supports  All of these steps supports consumption and saving that foster growth
  • 16. 16 4. BUDGET, TRADE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT  Let us explain impact of government spending and net export on investment with a fictive example (Table-2) Row-2  In 2001 saving was $1000 and there is no BD and TBD  Saving $1000 was fully invested  If there is no BD and TBD, saving is fully invested Table – 2: Budget, Trade, Saving and Investment (Billions Dollars) Year NI Consumption Saving Investment BD NX 2001 4000 2000 1000 1000 0 0 2002 4000 2000 1000 850 150 0 2003 4000 2000 1000 900 0 - 100 2004 4000 2000 1000 750 150 - 100 2005 4000 2000 1000 950 150 100 2006 4000 2000 1000 1050 50 100
  • 17. 17 Row-3  In 2002 there was no TBD, but BD from $100  So, a part of savings was eaten up by BD  Hence, investment decreased to the amount of BD, $100  If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by BD Row-4  In 2003 there was no TBD, but a BD from $100 (-$100)  That means, a part of savings was used for import  Hence, investment decreased to the amount of TBD, $100  If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by BD
  • 18. 18 Row-4  In 2004 there was BD from $150 and TBD from $ 100  So, a part of savings was used for BD and TBD  Investment was reduced by BD and TBD $250 ($150+$100)  If there is BD and a TBD, investment is reduced to amount BD and TBD Row-6  In 2005 there was BD from $150 and TBS from $ 100  So, savings was increased by TBS of $100  But the increased savings/income ($1100) that could be invested was reduced by BD of $150  So, investment was only $950 ($1100+$150)  If there is BD but a TBS, investment is reduced to amount BD but increased by the TBS
  • 19. 19 Row-7 In 2005 there was BD from $50 and TBS from $ 100 So, savings was increased by TBS of $100 But the increased savings/income ($1100) that could be invested was reduced by BD of $50 So, investment was only $1050 ($1100+$50) If there is BD but a TBS, investment is reduced to amount BD but increased by the TBS