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NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING
COMPONENTS OF GDP -
MEASURING INFLATION
MD Siyam HossainMD Siyam Hossain
Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology.Bangladesh Institute of Business & Technology.
Narayangonj,DhakaNarayangonj,Dhaka
Dhaka,BangladeshDhaka,Bangladesh
www.facebook.com/mdsiyamhossain
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1. COMPONENTS OF DEMAND
Analysis of demand for output
Output is split into components of aggregate demand
Analysing domestically produced goods and services
Total demand for domestic output is made up of following
four components:
Consumption spending by households (C),
Investment spending by businesses and households (I)
Government’s (federal, state, and local) purchases of
goods and services (G)
Foreign demand (NX)
The four components and the total output is expressed into
following identity:
Y= C+ I+ G+ NX (1)
It (1) is called national income accounting identity
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2. CONSUMPTION
Main component of demand is consumption spending by
household (Table-1)
Consumption includes spending on anything (e.g. food to golf
lessons)
It also involves consumption spending on durable goods (e.g.
automobiles)
Such spending normally regarded as investment rather than
consumption
Table – 1: Components of demands 2003
Components of GDP $ Billions Percent (%)
Consummations 5 139.00 68.1
Investment (domestic) 1 096.00 14.5
Government Sector 1 409.00 18.7
Net Export - 119.0 -1.3
Total GDP 7 545.00 100%
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Division of GDP in the USA from 2003 shows that:
Consumption made 68.1% of GDP in USA in 2003
Share of Investments is 14.2%
Share of government sector is 17.7%
And Share of Foreign Demand is 1.1%
Share of the components are not constant
They vary from period to period and country to
country
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Division of GDP in Japan from 2003 shows that:
Japan consumes a far smaller share of GDP
than USA
Rising share of consumption in USA in 1980s
was important reasons for poor economic
performance
Higher consumption means:
Less investment
Larger trade deficits
Lower saving
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3. GOVERNMENT
Government spending includes:
National defence expenditures
Costs of road expansion by state and local
governments
Salaries of government employees
Government spending is referred as purchases of
goods and services
Government makes also transfer payments
Transfer payments are social security benefits and
unemployment benefits
These are payments made to people without any
service in exchange
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4. INVESTMENT
Investment means additions to the physical stock of capital
Investment does not include buying bond or stock of a firm
Investment includes:
Building of machinery
Construction of factories and offices
Additions to a firm's inventories
Investment increases ability to produce output in future
Human capital embodied knowledge and ability to produce
Investment in education is regarded as investment in human
capital
However, personal educational expenditures as consumption
But public educational expenditures as government investment
spending
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Classification consumption or investment
spending:
In national income accounts:
Individual's purchase is consumption expenditure
Purchase of store is inventory investment
Investment is indicated as ‘gross’ because from
investment depreciation is not deducted
Net investment is gross investment minus depreciation
Actually, investment includes investment in human
capital
Official national income accounting counts only
additions to physical capital stock as investment
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5. NET EXPORTS
‘Net exports’ account for domestic spending on
foreign goods and foreign spending on domestic
goods
When foreigners purchase our goods, their spending
adds to the demand of our domestic goods
When we purchase foreign goods has, it decreases
demand for our domestic goods
So, difference between exports and imports is a
component of total demand for our goods
[Difference between exports and imports is ‘Net
Export’]
US net export is negative since the 1980s
It means a deficit of balance-trade (Table-1)
In some years net exports have been close to zero
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7. SOME IMPORTANT IDENTITIES
Let us introduce some notations and
conventions
It will be followed throughout the book
We simplify our analysis making following assumptions:
Disposable income equals GDP (Yd = Y)
No difference between gross investment and net
investment
It has neither a government nor foreign trade
Let us denote C for consumption and I for
investment spending
Let output produced equals output sold
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Hence, we can write: Y= C + I (2)
Identity (2) shows the allocation of income
Let us establish a relationship among saving,
consumption, and GDP:
Let output produced is either consumed or saved
Hence, we can write: Y = C + S (3)
This (3) shows the components of demand
From (2) and (3), we have:
C + I = Y = C + S (4)
I = S (5)
It means (5), in a simple economy investment equals saving
Let analysis this conclusion
More is saved more is invested
More consumption means less investment
Less consumption means more investment
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3. REINTRODUCING GOVERNMENT AND FOREIN TRADE
Let us now introduce government and external sector in model
above consideration. Let us denote:
Government purchases G and taxes by TA
Transfers to the private sector (including interest) by TR
Net exports (Exports - Imports) by NX
So, output produced is either consumed, invested, used by govt or
saved
Y = C + I + G + NX (6)
Let us introduce the concept of output and disposable income
We know that output equals disposable income
Disposable income could be used either for consumption or
investment
YD = C + S (7)
Disposable income (YD) is equal to income plus transfers less
taxes (TA)
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That is disposable income is increased by transfers and
reduced by taxes, hence:
YD = Y + TR – TA (8)
Disposable income is allocated for consumption and saving
That is combining identities (7) and (8), we have
C + S = YD = Y + TR- TA (9)
C + S = Y + TR − TA (10)
C = Y + TR − TA − S (11)
Consumption is equal to income plus transfers less tax and
saving
From equation (6) and equation (10), we have:
C + S = Y + TR − TA
C + S = C + I + G + NX + TR − TA [Y = C + I + G + NX]
S − I = (G + TR −TA) + NX (12)
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Case-I:
If saving equals investment, then maximum possible investment
is achieved
In this case, government spending and net export is zero
It means, there is no government spending
And either there is no foreign trade or trade is balanced
Net export could be zero, if there is no foreign trade or trade-
balance is zero
However, government spending could never be zero
Case-II
By unchanged government spending, investment could be
increased by increasing export
In this case, more and more export enables import of more and
more capital goods that ensure growth
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Conclusion
Investment could be increased by:
Minimizing government spending
Promoting Export that enables more and more
import of capital goods
Cutting more and more tax
Increasing consumption cutting tax
Supporting income through social and other
supports
All of these steps supports consumption and saving
that foster growth
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4. BUDGET, TRADE, SAVING AND INVESTMENT
Let us explain impact of government spending and net export on
investment with a fictive example (Table-2)
Row-2
In 2001 saving was $1000 and there is no BD and TBD
Saving $1000 was fully invested
If there is no BD and TBD, saving is fully invested
Table – 2: Budget, Trade, Saving and Investment (Billions Dollars)
Year NI Consumption Saving Investment BD NX
2001 4000 2000 1000 1000 0 0
2002 4000 2000 1000 850 150 0
2003 4000 2000 1000 900 0 - 100
2004 4000 2000 1000 750 150 - 100
2005 4000 2000 1000 950 150 100
2006 4000 2000 1000 1050 50 100
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Row-3
In 2002 there was no TBD, but BD from $100
So, a part of savings was eaten up by BD
Hence, investment decreased to the amount of BD, $100
If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by
BD
Row-4
In 2003 there was no TBD, but a BD from $100 (-$100)
That means, a part of savings was used for import
Hence, investment decreased to the amount of TBD, $100
If there is BD but no TBD, a part of saving is eaten up by
BD
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Row-4
In 2004 there was BD from $150 and TBD from $ 100
So, a part of savings was used for BD and TBD
Investment was reduced by BD and TBD $250 ($150+$100)
If there is BD and a TBD, investment is reduced to amount BD
and TBD
Row-6
In 2005 there was BD from $150 and TBS from $ 100
So, savings was increased by TBS of $100
But the increased savings/income ($1100) that could be
invested was reduced by BD of $150
So, investment was only $950 ($1100+$150)
If there is BD but a TBS, investment is reduced to amount BD
but increased by the TBS
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Row-7
In 2005 there was BD from $50 and TBS from
$ 100
So, savings was increased by TBS of $100
But the increased savings/income ($1100) that
could be invested was reduced by BD of $50
So, investment was only $1050 ($1100+$50)
If there is BD but a TBS, investment is
reduced to amount BD but increased by the
TBS