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Presents
One’s Loss Is Another’s Gain
Vishal Kulkarni
May 11, 2020
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2
Manufacturing Headlines……
Livemint
Forbes
www.nikkei.com
The Hindu
Business Today
Economic Times
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SUPERSTORM IN GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN
3
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4
TRADE AND TARIFF WAR
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5
TRADE WAR TIMELINE
22 Jan,2018
Tariffs on washing
machine and solar
cells
8 Mar,2018
Tariffs on steel and
aluminium
25 May,2018
$1.3bn fine on ZTE
(telecom company)
2 Apr,2018
Tariffs on $3 bn
goods
15 Jun,2018
Tariffs on $50 bn of
goods,rolled out
between Jul & Aug
15 Jun,2018
Tariffs on $50 bn
of goods, rolled
out between Jul &
Aug
6 Jul,2018
Tariffs on $34 bn of
goods (25%)
6 Jul,2018
Tariffs on $34 bn
of goods (25%)
23 Aug,2018
Tariffs on $16 bn
of goods (25%)
23 Aug,2018
Tariffs on $16 bn
of goods (25%)
24 Sep,2018
Tariffs on $200 bn of
goods (10% to 25%)
24 Sep,2018
Tariffs on $60 bn of
goods (5% to 25%)
1 Dec,2018
US agreed to
talks/halt new tariffs
10 May,2019
Tariffs on $200 bn of
goods raised to 25%
1 Dec,2018
China agreed to
talks/halt new tariffs
13 May,2019
Tariffs on $60 bn of
goods raised to 25%
Source : www.bbc.com;www.statista.com
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Trade War
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Sector Affected
Automobiles and ancillaries
Electronics
Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals
Engineering
Textiles and Synthetic Fabric
Energy
Agriculture
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8
Companies Exiting China
A February ’20 survey by Tokyo Shoko
Research Ltd. found 37% of the more
than 2,600 companies that responded
were diversifying procurement to places
other than China amid the coronavirus
crisis.
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9
Origin of Companies
-Lockheed M
-Adobe
-Honeywell
-Cisco
-FedEx
-Apple
-Go Pro
-J & J
-Nissan
-Ricoh
-Mazda
-Suzuki
-Panasonic
-Sony
-Hitachi
-Iris Ohyama
-Hyundai
Steel
-POSCO
-Samsung
-LG
-Doosan
-Bosch
-Volkswagen
-Daimler
-Siemens
-BASF
-Alstom
Taiwan
Singapore
USA Japan S Korea EU Others
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Importing Countries Exporting Countries
China India
USA 452 57.6
Japan 134.68 4.86
European Union 386.91 42.37
Others 97.8 11.5
Total 1071.39 116.33
All figures in Billion US Dollars for 2019
10
Business Volume At Stake
Target : 40% of the business opportunity
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11
Preferred Destinations
India Thailand Malaysia Vietnam
Philippines Indonesia Bangladesh Taiwan
Brazil Mexico Argentina Turkey
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12
Factors Affecting The Shift
EXTERNAL INTERNAL
Productivity
Levels
Quality
Levels
Cost
Effectiveness
Health &
Skill Index
Delivery
Competitiveness
Innovation
Level
Tariffs &
Taxes
Topography
Laws and
regulations
Stability of
Government
Infrastructure
and permits
Market
Size
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Ease of Business Doing Rankings
Economy 2019
Taiwan 13
Malaysia 15
Thailand 27
Turkey 43
Mexico 54
Vietnam 69
Indonesia 73
India 77
Brazil 109
Argentina 119
Philippines 124
Myanmar 171
Bangladesh 176
Source :World bank –Doing Business 2019 Report
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Competitiveness On Overall Factors
Component India Taiwan Malaysia Thailand Mexico Indonesia Vietnam
Overall Rank 68 12 27 40 48 50 67
Institutions 59 24 25 67 98 51 89
Infrastructure 70 16 35 71 54 72 77
ICT Adoption 120 11 33 62 74 72 41
Macroeconomic stability 43 1 35 43 41 54 64
Health 110 24 66 38 60 96 71
Skills 107 23 30 73 89 65 93
Product Market 101 14 20 84 53 49 79
Labour Market 103 15 20 46 96 85 83
Financial System 40 6 15 16 64 58 60
Market Size 3 19 24 18 11 7 26
Business Dynamism 69 20 18 21 41 29 89
Innovation Capability 35 4 30 50 52 74 76
Source :World Economic Forum –Global competitiveness 2019 Report
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Competitiveness On Internal Factors
Component India Taiwan Malaysia Thailand Mexico Indonesia Vietnam
Extent of Staff training 50 23 8 48 86 33 73
Digital skills 59 18 10 66 99 52 97
Research and development 26 7 39 56 45 83 72
Ease of finding skilled
employees
71 7 11 86 69 45 96
Flexibility of wage
determination
88 4 35 116 50 81 74
Pay and Productivity 64 15 6 30 82 28 56
Ratio of wage and salaried
female worker to male
workers
128 41 79 53 89 95 69
Source :World Economic Forum –Global competitiveness 2019 Report
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Competitiveness On Allied Factors
Component India Taiwan Malaysia Thailand Mexico Indonesia Vietnam
Quality of vocational training 67 28 12 74 62 37 102
Skill Set of graduates 93 59 17 79 70 37 116
Ease of finding skilled
employees
71 7 11 86 69 45 96
Domestic Competition 46 12 11 65 83 45 64
Trade Openness 131 26 55 99 27 62 91
GDP 3 22 26 19 11 7 34
Imports of goods and services
(as % of GDP)
117 41 21 33 74 126 6
State of Cluster Development 38 3 8 47 36 27 44
Commercialization 76 15 40 52 58 91 69
Source :World Economic Forum –Global competitiveness 2019 Report
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Concerns Raised
Forget India,
Vietnam
likely to be
the world’s
next factory
Economic Times
Financial Express
Outlook India
www.livemint.com
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Reasons for Concerns Raised
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Reasons for Concerns Raised
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Major Hurdles For Indian Manufacturers
Low Productivity Levels
Outdated Technologies
Low Skill Index
Labour availability issues
Cost of Quality
High cost of operation
Low focus on research, development and innovation
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21
Manageable or not ??
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22
Do you see a…………
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23
Change to ??
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What’s the NEW NORMAL?
Productivity Innovation
Cost
Quality Skill
Delivery
www.faberinfinite.comwww.faberinfinite.com
25
6 Improvement Levers
P
1.Elimination of NVA’s
2.Improve EWT through Work Study &
Work Balancing
3.Low-Cost Automation
Productivity
C
1. Value Engineering
2. Inventory Management
3. Reduction of COQ
Cost
Q
1.Implement Six Sigma Principles
2.Equipment Management
Quality
www.faberinfinite.comwww.faberinfinite.com
26
6 Improvement Levers
D
1.Supply chain Management
2.Improve OTIF Initiatives
Delivery
S
1.Perform Skill Gap Analysis
2.Use of TWI
Skill
I
1.Process Innovation
Innovation
www.faberinfinite.comwww.faberinfinite.com
In the middest of every crises,lies
great opportunity!
- Albert Einstein
“
”
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MY Coordinates
• +91 997 017 9966
• vishalk@faberinfinite.com
• Twitter: @vish_kul1
• LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/vishkul1/
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I Asia Pacific I Africa I Middle East I
consulting@faberinfinite.com I www.faberinfinite.com
Thank You!!

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