Opening: Imagining the Supply Chain of 2030. Where Are We Now? What Is Possible?

9/24/2016 September 2016Supply Chain Insights Global Summit #Imagine2030
Lora Cecere
Supply Chain Insights
Founder

9/24/2016 September 2016Supply Chain Insights Global Summit #Imagine2030 September 2016Supply Chain Insights Global Summit #Imagine2030
We’re Having a
GLOBAL
Conversation
Live Streaming During the Event
– Questions will be taken live
Twitter #imagine2030
– Follow us at @scinsightsllc
– https://live.hosted.events/
SupplyChain2030/Life Streaming
Sponsored by

Imagining the Supply
Chain of 2030
Lora Cecere
Founder

Colgate

Chemical

Automotive

Pharmaceutical

Current State

Supply Chains
to Admire

1. To have an objective measurement of supply chain excellence
for our research.
2. To help supply chain leaders objectively benchmark and build
balanced portfolios.
3. To gain an understanding of how fast supply chain actions
translate to balance sheet performance.
4. To help supply chain leaders talk the language of finance, and to
help finance teams understand what is possible in supply chain.
5. To develop an objective standard that is data-driven.
Why Do We Do This?

Methodology

• Divided 320 public companies into 31 industry peer
groups based on NAICS codes.
• Evaluated the companies within industry peer
groups for improvement, value, and performance.
• Examined two periods: 2006-2015 and 2009-2015.
Methodology

Improvement
Overall Ranking per Company
• Balance: Return on Invested Capital & Revenue Growth Vector Trajectory
• Strength: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Vector Trajectory
• Resiliency: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Mean Distance
𝑺𝒖𝒑𝒑𝒍𝒚 𝑪𝒉𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 =
𝟏
𝟑
𝑩𝒂𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 +
𝟏
𝟑
𝑺𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒈𝒕𝒉 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 +
𝟏
𝟑
𝑹𝒆𝒔𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒚 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓

Price to Tangible Book Value =
Market Price/Tangible Book Value/Share
Value

Performance Factors:
Performance
Year-over-
Year Growth
Operating
Margin
Inventory
Turns
Return on
Invested Capital

What We Found

Supply Chains to Admire 2016
2006-2015 2009-2015
Winners Finalists Winners Finalists
17 17 16 21
Only 12% of Companies Are Driving
Improvement and Performance

Congratulations!

W
I
N
N
E
R
S

W
I
N
N
E
R
S
F
I
N
A
L
I
S
T
S

Why Do They Believe They Won?

THREE
Insights

When Growth
Declines,
Balance Is
Tougher
1

Process
Industries Are
Like a Frog
in a Beaker of
Hot Water
2

Summit Registrants Survey Results
QUESTION
Which three elements have
the highest correlation with
PRICE TO TANGIBLE
BOOK VALUE?
Survey conducted among 60 registrants prior to the Summit

3
What Is
Value?

Supply Chain 2030

Let’s Think About Supply Chain 2030

Our Goal:
Build a Guiding
Coalition
• Think Differently
• Drive New Outcomes
• Learn Together

Time to Take a
Different Path?

QUESTION
Which one
DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY
will have the greatest impact on supply
chain effectiveness? 2025 vs. 2030

Data Strategy for…
Clouds? Streams? Lakes?

QUESTION
Which one
ANALYTIC TECHNIQUE
is most important to drive supply
chain excellence by 2030?

FIVE
Predictions
for 2030

Prediction #1:
Outside-in
Processes

Prediction #2: The Learning Supply Chain Supply
But, What if
They Could?
Supply Chains
Don’t Play by
the Rules…

Prediction #3: The Socially Responsible Supply Chan
Consumers
Will Vote
Brands with
Their Feet
Increase in
Activism

Prediction #4: A New Network of Networks for B2B

QUESTION
What is the biggest barrier for
companies building a
NETWORK OF NETWORKS?

Prediction #5: The Supply Chain as the Engine of Growth
• Adaptive Networks
• Cognitive Learning
• Market Sensing
• Outside-In Processes
• Test and Learn Strategies

Prediction #5: The Supply Chain as the Engine of Growth
• Adaptive Networks
• Cognitive Learning
• Market Sensing
• Outside-In Processes
• Test and Learn Strategies
New
Business
Models

Run from what's comfortable.
Forget safety.
Live where you fear to live.
Destroy your reputation.
Be notorious.
~ Rumi

Let’s Imagine
2030 Together

Keynote Sponsor Live-Streamed Event Webcast
Digital Showcase
Reception
Networking
Reception
Book
Giveaway
5K Run Post-Event
Webinar
Morning and Afternoon Breaks
General Sponsors
Thank You to Our Sponsors

Meet the Supply Chain Insights Team
Lora Cecere
Founder
Alison Crawford
Marketing Director
Regina Denman
Client Services Director
Michael Hambrick
System Administrator
Heather Hart
Research Director
Helen King
Research Associate
Jill Smith
Operations Manager

Switching Seats for Better Networking
How to read your NAME BADGE:
Lora
Lora Cecere
Cecere, Lora
12 8 16 4
Table numbers by session:
12 8 16 4
Wed PM Thur AM Thur PM Fri AM
To improve networking, we ask that everyone switch seats
1) BEFORE the Thursday morning session
2) BEFORE lunch on Thursday
3) BEFORE the Friday morning session

Opening: Imagining the Supply Chain of 2030. Where Are We Now? What Is Possible?

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