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The Housing Affordability Index
A Historic Buying Opportunity?

Your Name, Photo, Contact
Information Goes Here

®
Understanding Today’s Housing Affordability
Affordability is at it’s Highest Level in Years
 Several Mortgage and Housing Industry organizations measure

housing affordability.

 Two of the most popular measurements come from the National

Association of REALTORS® (NAR) and the National Association of
Home Builders® (NAHB).
 The NAHB® has developed a Housing Opportunity Index (HOI)
 The NAR® publishes the Housing Affordability Index (HAI)

 Both indicate we are at or near record levels in terms of overall

housing affordability.

®
The NAR® Housing Affordability Index
A Simple Explanation
 Essentially, the index is a measure of the financial ability of U.S.

families to buy a house.

 In simple terms, an index value of 100 means that a family with the

median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a
mortgage on a median-priced home.

 An index above 100 signifies that a family earning the median

income has more than enough income to qualify for a mortgage
loan on a median-priced home, assuming a 20 percent down
payment.

 More information can be found at: www.Realtor.org/research

®
The NAR® Housing Affordability Index
At Near Record Levels

 The index shows a very favorable relationship (well over 100)

between home prices, mortgage rates and family income.
 Recent and current index numbers are the most attractive since
tracking began in 1970s.

®
The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index
A Simple Explanation
 The HOI is also a measure of the financial ability of U.S. families to

purchase a house.

 It is the share of homes sold that were affordable to a family

earning the median income, based on standard mortgage criteria.

 Two major components -- Income and Housing Cost
 Income: Uses median family income estimates from the Dept.

of Housing & Urban Development and assumes a family can
afford to spend 28% of gross income on housing.

 Cost: Uses actual sales transactions and calculates payments

based on a 30 year fixed mortgage, with 10% down at interest
rates from the Federal Housing Finance Board. It includes
estimated property taxes and insurance, but not mortgage
insurance.

®
The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index
Says 65% of Families Can Afford a Home

 The highest index since 1992 was reported in the 1st quarter of 2012

at 77.5 - It remains high in Q3 at 64.5 percent.
 More information can be found at: www.nahb.org

®
Mortgage Rates Remain Low
Creating Opportunities for Buyers & Sellers

 Similar to the affordability index trends, mortgage rates are also at

historic low levels since the early 1970s.

®
Even A Modest Increase in Rates
Adds Up Over Time…
 The chart shows the impact of each 0.25% change for $100,000

financed over the life of a 30 year mortgage

Increase in Total Monthly Payments Over 30 Years
Per $100k Financed - - Shown for Each 0.25% Increase in Rate
$60,000

$51,089

$50,000

$45,138

$39,251

$22,582

$40,000

$33,431
$27,680

$30,000

$21,997
$16,387

$20,000

$10,849

$10,000
$0

$57,102

$5,386
$0
4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.25%

5.50%

5.75%

6.00%

6.25%

6.50%

6.75%

7.00%

 Going from 5.0% to 6.0% – adds cost of $22,582 over 30 years.

®
Summary
 Both the HAI and HOI show Housing affordability at or near record

levels.

 The Freddie Mac® Mortgage Survey shows mortgage rates at the

lowest on record since the early 1970s – This contributes to housing
affordability by lowering monthly payments for buyers.

 Even a modest increase in mortgage rates could cost buyers

thousands of dollars over the life of a 30 year fixed mortgage.

 The Bottom Line: This could be a historic opportunity to buy a new

home.

®
Thank You

Your Name, Photo, Contact
Information Goes Here

®

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Housing Affordability Index From Long & Foster

  • 1. The Housing Affordability Index A Historic Buying Opportunity? Your Name, Photo, Contact Information Goes Here ®
  • 2. Understanding Today’s Housing Affordability Affordability is at it’s Highest Level in Years  Several Mortgage and Housing Industry organizations measure housing affordability.  Two of the most popular measurements come from the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) and the National Association of Home Builders® (NAHB).  The NAHB® has developed a Housing Opportunity Index (HOI)  The NAR® publishes the Housing Affordability Index (HAI)  Both indicate we are at or near record levels in terms of overall housing affordability. ®
  • 3. The NAR® Housing Affordability Index A Simple Explanation  Essentially, the index is a measure of the financial ability of U.S. families to buy a house.  In simple terms, an index value of 100 means that a family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home.  An index above 100 signifies that a family earning the median income has more than enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a median-priced home, assuming a 20 percent down payment.  More information can be found at: www.Realtor.org/research ®
  • 4. The NAR® Housing Affordability Index At Near Record Levels  The index shows a very favorable relationship (well over 100) between home prices, mortgage rates and family income.  Recent and current index numbers are the most attractive since tracking began in 1970s. ®
  • 5. The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index A Simple Explanation  The HOI is also a measure of the financial ability of U.S. families to purchase a house.  It is the share of homes sold that were affordable to a family earning the median income, based on standard mortgage criteria.  Two major components -- Income and Housing Cost  Income: Uses median family income estimates from the Dept. of Housing & Urban Development and assumes a family can afford to spend 28% of gross income on housing.  Cost: Uses actual sales transactions and calculates payments based on a 30 year fixed mortgage, with 10% down at interest rates from the Federal Housing Finance Board. It includes estimated property taxes and insurance, but not mortgage insurance. ®
  • 6. The NAHB® Housing Opportunity Index Says 65% of Families Can Afford a Home  The highest index since 1992 was reported in the 1st quarter of 2012 at 77.5 - It remains high in Q3 at 64.5 percent.  More information can be found at: www.nahb.org ®
  • 7. Mortgage Rates Remain Low Creating Opportunities for Buyers & Sellers  Similar to the affordability index trends, mortgage rates are also at historic low levels since the early 1970s. ®
  • 8. Even A Modest Increase in Rates Adds Up Over Time…  The chart shows the impact of each 0.25% change for $100,000 financed over the life of a 30 year mortgage Increase in Total Monthly Payments Over 30 Years Per $100k Financed - - Shown for Each 0.25% Increase in Rate $60,000 $51,089 $50,000 $45,138 $39,251 $22,582 $40,000 $33,431 $27,680 $30,000 $21,997 $16,387 $20,000 $10,849 $10,000 $0 $57,102 $5,386 $0 4.50% 4.75% 5.00% 5.25% 5.50% 5.75% 6.00% 6.25% 6.50% 6.75% 7.00%  Going from 5.0% to 6.0% – adds cost of $22,582 over 30 years. ®
  • 9. Summary  Both the HAI and HOI show Housing affordability at or near record levels.  The Freddie Mac® Mortgage Survey shows mortgage rates at the lowest on record since the early 1970s – This contributes to housing affordability by lowering monthly payments for buyers.  Even a modest increase in mortgage rates could cost buyers thousands of dollars over the life of a 30 year fixed mortgage.  The Bottom Line: This could be a historic opportunity to buy a new home. ®
  • 10. Thank You Your Name, Photo, Contact Information Goes Here ®