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Nicolas Brown, Agile Lead
nicolas.brown@pwc.com
@nbrown02
#LKCE18
Coaching in a data-driven world
TLDR;
Stop using metrics as targets.
Use metrics as a coaching aid to
inform, to have safe
conversations, open questions
and model curiosity.
The growth in metric obsession
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Which of the
following best
describes decision-
making in your
organisation?
8%Rarely data-driven
Somewhat data-driven
Highly data-driven
53%
39%
PwC's Global Data and Analytics Survey: Big Decisions TM. Base: 2,106 senior executives
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
“When a measure becomes a target, it
ceases to be a good measure”
- Charles Goodhart
Commissioner
Ervin Burrell
Deputy Commissioner
Bill Rawls
Police Majors & Lieutenants
No more murders.
You will reduce the
felony rate by 5% or
more or….
let no man come
back alive
Anyone of you who
can’t bring in the
numbers we need
will be replaced by
someone who can!
Major Bunny Colvin
“Hamsterdam”
We’ve had a 14% drop
in felony rate over the
last 4 weeks
Ah yes, now I am happy.
You won’t mind if I
check your numbers will
you?
The tyranny of metrics
● Penalizing hospitals based on the percentage of patients who fail to survive for thirty days beyond surgery
Patients sometimes kept alive for thirty-one days, so that their mortality is not reflected in the hospitals metrics
● The National Health Service (NHS) decided that wait times were too long for patients to enter emergency wards,
moving to evaluating hospitals based on what extent patients were admitted within four hours
Some hospitals responded by keeping incoming patients in queues of ambulances outside the hospital doors,
until staff were confident that the patient could be seen within the allotted four hours of being admitted
● No Child Left Behind (NCLB) legislation measured students grades 3-8 each year in math, reading and
science. Aiming to bring all students to academic proficiency whilst penalising and sanctioning schools
where students did not progress
Teachers diverted class time to teaching the subjects tested, neglecting other subjects as well as
reclassifying weaker students as disabled (thus removing them from the assessment pool), altering
results, reducing test difficulty or lowering the grades needed to pass them
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
The tyranny of velocity?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
The tyranny of velocity?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
The tyranny of velocity?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
The tyranny of velocity?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Police Majors & Lieutenants
Agile Project Managers/ Scrum Masters
You asked to
improve velocity
and I have
delivered.
We are now
Agile.
We are so friggin
Agile...
So long as I have
increased velocity,
none of this will
matter
Hamsterdam
Technical Debt
Two-thirds of the population are
visual-spatial learners
Agile experience in relation to hair
Date
2017 2018201620152014
?
Volume
?
2013
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
2019
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Our Agile roots...
Transparency
Inspection
Adaptation
Scrum
Data-based coaching uses
data visualisation as a basis
for safe conversations and
open questions, as well as
facilitating more informed,
transparent decision making
whilst staying true to our Agile
roots...
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Coaching in a data-driven world
Descriptive
reporting
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Stop starting, start finishing
What is
happening?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Data-based retrospectives
Let’s take
anything above 10
days - what
happened?
-Better BDD
needed
- Work as a
team when it’s
not working
- Too long for PO
feedback (20 days!)
- Better DoR check
needed as was not met
PO
Feedback
Data not
available
(improve DoR)
Rework due to
tech debt
- Better DoR check
needed
- Flowed quickly once
sat with the SME
Delayed due to
lack of clarity
on deployment
Data not
available
(improve DoR)
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Data-based retrospectives
What practices
could these relate
to?
-Better BDD
needed
- Work as a
team when it’s
not working
- Too long for PO
feedback (20 days!)
- Better DoR check
needed as was not met
PO
Feedback
Data not
available
(improve DoR)
Rework due to
tech debt
- Better DoR check
needed
- Flowed quickly once
sat with the SME
Delayed due to
lack of clarity
on deployment
Data not
available
(improve DoR)
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Data-based retrospectives
Feedback
loops
Customer
collaboration
Make process
policies
explicit
Make process
policies
explicit
Feedback
loops
Customer
collaboration
Feedback
loops
Make process
policies
explicit
Make process
policies
explicit
Feedback
loops
Feedback
loops
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
What practices
could these relate
to?
Coaching in a data-driven world
Descriptive
reporting
Questions
What happened?
What is happening?
Visuals
Diagnostic
discover & explore
- WIP Items per Week
- Scatter Plot
- Net flow per week
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Story Point Correlation
What
happened
here?
#NoEstimates?
Our iterations
are 3 weeks long
- why could this
be happening?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
The best
so far!
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Stuck Work
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Where is
the
problem?
What are
the trends?
Why is it
happening?
Coaching in a data-driven world
Descriptive
reporting
Questions
Where is the problem?
Why is it happening?
What are the trends?
What happened?
What is happening?
Visuals
Diagnostic
discover & explore
Predictive
forecast
- WIP Items per Week
- Scatter Plot
- Net flow per week
- Estimate Correlation
- Stuck Work
- Cumulative Flow (CFD)
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Landing Zone
What is likely
to happen?
What
options are
there?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Potentially Deliverable Scope (PDS)
What
options
are there?
What is
likely to
happen?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Coaching in a data-driven world
Descriptive
reporting
Questions
Where is the problem?
Why is it happening?
What are the trends?
What happened?
What is happening?
Visuals
Diagnostic
discover & explore
Predictive
forecast
Prescriptive
anticipative
- WIP Items per Week
- Scatter Plot
- Net flow per week
- Estimate Correlation
- Stuck Work
- Cumulative Flow (CFD)
- PDS
- Landing Zone (Burn-up)
- Throughput Forecaster
What is likely to
happen?
What options are
there?
WIP by person
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
What should
I do?
Stale Work
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
What is the next
best action?
Coaching in a data-driven world
Descriptive
reporting
Questions
Where is the problem?
Why is it happening?
What are the trends?
What happened?
What is happening?
Visuals
What should I do?
What is the next best
action?
Diagnostic
discover & explore
Predictive
forecast
Prescriptive
anticipative
- WIP Items per Week
- Scatter Plot
- Net flow per week
- Estimate Correlation
- Stuck Work
- Cumulative Flow (CFD)
- Stale Work
- WIP by Person
- Aged WIP
- PDS
- Landing Zone (Burn-up)
- Throughput Forecaster
What is likely to
happen?
What options are
there?
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Further reading
● Making Work Visible - tiny.cc/workvisible
● Focused Objective - bit.ly/SimResources
● Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability - tiny.cc/danvac
● The Tyranny of Metrics - tiny.cc/tyranny
● Goodhart, Charles (1981). "Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience"
● PwC's Global Data and Analytics Survey 2016
@nbrown02 #LKCE18
Thank you
© 2018 PwC. All rights reserved.
PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity.
Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.
Nicolas Brown, Agile Lead
nicolas.brown@pwc.com
@nbrown02 #LKCE18

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LKCE18 Nicolas Brown - Coaching in a data-driven world

  • 1. Nicolas Brown, Agile Lead nicolas.brown@pwc.com @nbrown02 #LKCE18 Coaching in a data-driven world
  • 2. TLDR; Stop using metrics as targets. Use metrics as a coaching aid to inform, to have safe conversations, open questions and model curiosity.
  • 3. The growth in metric obsession @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 4. Which of the following best describes decision- making in your organisation? 8%Rarely data-driven Somewhat data-driven Highly data-driven 53% 39% PwC's Global Data and Analytics Survey: Big Decisions TM. Base: 2,106 senior executives @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 5. “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure” - Charles Goodhart
  • 6.
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  • 9. Police Majors & Lieutenants
  • 10.
  • 11. No more murders. You will reduce the felony rate by 5% or more or…. let no man come back alive
  • 12. Anyone of you who can’t bring in the numbers we need will be replaced by someone who can!
  • 14.
  • 16. We’ve had a 14% drop in felony rate over the last 4 weeks
  • 17. Ah yes, now I am happy. You won’t mind if I check your numbers will you?
  • 18.
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  • 21.
  • 22. The tyranny of metrics ● Penalizing hospitals based on the percentage of patients who fail to survive for thirty days beyond surgery Patients sometimes kept alive for thirty-one days, so that their mortality is not reflected in the hospitals metrics ● The National Health Service (NHS) decided that wait times were too long for patients to enter emergency wards, moving to evaluating hospitals based on what extent patients were admitted within four hours Some hospitals responded by keeping incoming patients in queues of ambulances outside the hospital doors, until staff were confident that the patient could be seen within the allotted four hours of being admitted ● No Child Left Behind (NCLB) legislation measured students grades 3-8 each year in math, reading and science. Aiming to bring all students to academic proficiency whilst penalising and sanctioning schools where students did not progress Teachers diverted class time to teaching the subjects tested, neglecting other subjects as well as reclassifying weaker students as disabled (thus removing them from the assessment pool), altering results, reducing test difficulty or lowering the grades needed to pass them @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 23. The tyranny of velocity? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 24. The tyranny of velocity? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 25. The tyranny of velocity? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 26. The tyranny of velocity? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 27. Police Majors & Lieutenants Agile Project Managers/ Scrum Masters
  • 28. You asked to improve velocity and I have delivered. We are now Agile.
  • 29. We are so friggin Agile...
  • 30.
  • 31. So long as I have increased velocity, none of this will matter Hamsterdam Technical Debt
  • 32.
  • 33. Two-thirds of the population are visual-spatial learners
  • 34. Agile experience in relation to hair Date 2017 2018201620152014 ? Volume ? 2013 @nbrown02 #LKCE18 2019
  • 35. @nbrown02 #LKCE18 Our Agile roots... Transparency Inspection Adaptation Scrum
  • 36. Data-based coaching uses data visualisation as a basis for safe conversations and open questions, as well as facilitating more informed, transparent decision making whilst staying true to our Agile roots... @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 37. Coaching in a data-driven world Descriptive reporting @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 38. Stop starting, start finishing What is happening? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 39. Data-based retrospectives Let’s take anything above 10 days - what happened? -Better BDD needed - Work as a team when it’s not working - Too long for PO feedback (20 days!) - Better DoR check needed as was not met PO Feedback Data not available (improve DoR) Rework due to tech debt - Better DoR check needed - Flowed quickly once sat with the SME Delayed due to lack of clarity on deployment Data not available (improve DoR) @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 40. Data-based retrospectives What practices could these relate to? -Better BDD needed - Work as a team when it’s not working - Too long for PO feedback (20 days!) - Better DoR check needed as was not met PO Feedback Data not available (improve DoR) Rework due to tech debt - Better DoR check needed - Flowed quickly once sat with the SME Delayed due to lack of clarity on deployment Data not available (improve DoR) @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 41. Data-based retrospectives Feedback loops Customer collaboration Make process policies explicit Make process policies explicit Feedback loops Customer collaboration Feedback loops Make process policies explicit Make process policies explicit Feedback loops Feedback loops @nbrown02 #LKCE18 What practices could these relate to?
  • 42. Coaching in a data-driven world Descriptive reporting Questions What happened? What is happening? Visuals Diagnostic discover & explore - WIP Items per Week - Scatter Plot - Net flow per week @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 43. Story Point Correlation What happened here? #NoEstimates? Our iterations are 3 weeks long - why could this be happening? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 45. Stuck Work @nbrown02 #LKCE18 Where is the problem? What are the trends? Why is it happening?
  • 46. Coaching in a data-driven world Descriptive reporting Questions Where is the problem? Why is it happening? What are the trends? What happened? What is happening? Visuals Diagnostic discover & explore Predictive forecast - WIP Items per Week - Scatter Plot - Net flow per week - Estimate Correlation - Stuck Work - Cumulative Flow (CFD) @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 47. Landing Zone What is likely to happen? What options are there? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 48. Potentially Deliverable Scope (PDS) What options are there? What is likely to happen? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 49. Coaching in a data-driven world Descriptive reporting Questions Where is the problem? Why is it happening? What are the trends? What happened? What is happening? Visuals Diagnostic discover & explore Predictive forecast Prescriptive anticipative - WIP Items per Week - Scatter Plot - Net flow per week - Estimate Correlation - Stuck Work - Cumulative Flow (CFD) - PDS - Landing Zone (Burn-up) - Throughput Forecaster What is likely to happen? What options are there?
  • 50. WIP by person @nbrown02 #LKCE18 What should I do?
  • 51. Stale Work @nbrown02 #LKCE18 What is the next best action?
  • 52. Coaching in a data-driven world Descriptive reporting Questions Where is the problem? Why is it happening? What are the trends? What happened? What is happening? Visuals What should I do? What is the next best action? Diagnostic discover & explore Predictive forecast Prescriptive anticipative - WIP Items per Week - Scatter Plot - Net flow per week - Estimate Correlation - Stuck Work - Cumulative Flow (CFD) - Stale Work - WIP by Person - Aged WIP - PDS - Landing Zone (Burn-up) - Throughput Forecaster What is likely to happen? What options are there? @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 53. Further reading ● Making Work Visible - tiny.cc/workvisible ● Focused Objective - bit.ly/SimResources ● Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability - tiny.cc/danvac ● The Tyranny of Metrics - tiny.cc/tyranny ● Goodhart, Charles (1981). "Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience" ● PwC's Global Data and Analytics Survey 2016 @nbrown02 #LKCE18
  • 54. Thank you © 2018 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. Nicolas Brown, Agile Lead nicolas.brown@pwc.com @nbrown02 #LKCE18