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                                           US Leveraged
                                      Finance Market Update
                                            April 2012
                         open pause
                                         Robert Polenberg - VP

                 Text



Thursday, April 12, 12
www.LeveragedLoan.com



                                                 Text




Thursday, April 12, 12
S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index Returns

       22%




       15%




        9%




        2%




      -5%
         1Q09            2Q09   3Q09   4Q09    1Q10    2Q10   3Q10   4Q10   1Q11   2Q11   3Q11   4Q11   1Q12


               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Thursday, April 12, 12
Change in Outstanding Loans, Inflows (%)

             12

                                                            Outstandings
                                                            Inflows
               7




                                                                   Text
              3




             -2




            -7
             3/11        4/11   5/11   6/11   7/11   8/11   9/11     10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12   2/12   3/12


               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Thursday, April 12, 12
Average leveraged loan bid price (% of par)
             95




             93




              91




              90




              88




               86


            8/4/11       8/27/11    9/27/11    10/30/11   11/21/11   12/22/11   1/18/12   2/19/12   3/22/12


               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data/LL 100

Thursday, April 12, 12
Average New-Issue Loan Yield (%)

               8

                                 BB
                                 B
               7




               6




                4




                3



        1/12              3/12           5/12              7/12   9/12   11/12   1/12   3/12



               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Thursday, April 12, 12
Opportunistic Loan Volume ($Bils)

        60


                                                                            Dividends
                                                                            Refinancing
        45




                                                                    Text
        30




        15




          0
          1/11           2/11   3/11   4/11   5/11   6/11   7/11   8/11    9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12   2/12   3/12


               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Thursday, April 12, 12
Leveraged Loan Default Rates

            12%
                                                            By Amount
                                                            By Number
              9%


                                                                           Text



            6%




           3%




        0%
      9/09                     3/10                  9/10           3/11          9/11   3/12
               Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Thursday, April 12, 12
Trends and topics



                 • M&A calendar hits 6-month high, but...
                 • Dividend, refinancing loans roll on
                 • Amend-to-extend deals, too
                 • CLO issuance looking good, though
                 nowhere near historic peaks
                                                            Text




Thursday, April 12, 12
Follow LCD

                         www.lcdcomps.com
                         news, analysis, research, archives


                         www.lcdcomps.com/linkedin
                         LCD Leveraged Loan Group ...
                         8,100+ contacts


                         www.twitter.com/lcdnews
                         Headlines, market chatter


                         www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/
                         Leveraged finance jobs; select LCD News


Thursday, April 12, 12
Copyright 2012 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
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Thursday, April 12, 12

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Leveraged loan market analysis (US) - April 2012

  • 1. out Text out US Leveraged Finance Market Update April 2012 open pause Robert Polenberg - VP Text Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 2. www.LeveragedLoan.com Text Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 3. S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index Returns 22% 15% 9% 2% -5% 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 4. Change in Outstanding Loans, Inflows (%) 12 Outstandings Inflows 7 Text 3 -2 -7 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 5. Average leveraged loan bid price (% of par) 95 93 91 90 88 86 8/4/11 8/27/11 9/27/11 10/30/11 11/21/11 12/22/11 1/18/12 2/19/12 3/22/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data/LL 100 Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 6. Average New-Issue Loan Yield (%) 8 BB B 7 6 4 3 1/12 3/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/12 3/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 7. Opportunistic Loan Volume ($Bils) 60 Dividends Refinancing 45 Text 30 15 0 1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 8. Leveraged Loan Default Rates 12% By Amount By Number 9% Text 6% 3% 0% 9/09 3/10 9/10 3/11 9/11 3/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 9. Trends and topics • M&A calendar hits 6-month high, but... • Dividend, refinancing loans roll on • Amend-to-extend deals, too • CLO issuance looking good, though nowhere near historic peaks Text Thursday, April 12, 12
  • 10. Follow LCD www.lcdcomps.com news, analysis, research, archives www.lcdcomps.com/linkedin LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 8,100+ contacts www.twitter.com/lcdnews Headlines, market chatter www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/ Leveraged finance jobs; select LCD News Thursday, April 12, 12
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