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August, 2016
Need to Know Where the Puck is
Going
 Consolidation of Health Plans
5 major plans down to 3
Regional consolidations
Health Systems starting their own plans
Moving the financing “upstream”
 Federal and State Governments
MACRA legislation
Bundling of major surgical services
Presidential & Congressional election
 Physician Practice Arrangements
Currently more than 200,000 employed
Accenture projects 67% will be employed within 3 years
 The Big 5 become the Big 3
Aetna (acquiring Humana)
Anthem (acquiring CIGNA)
United
131 Million covered lives
 Reasons for mergers
Scale Economics
Negotiating leverage with hospitals & physicians
Diversification (more MA plans)
 The consequence for Hospitals & Systems
Anthem has access to national Blues rates; typically lower
Anthem converts all CIGNA agreements to BCBS rates
Margins drop for hospitals
 Declining Hospital I/P margins
 Increasing complexity of patient population
 Medical inflation (CMS projects 4.9% - next 3 years)
 Niche players taking profitable lines
 Increasing regulatory developments & scrutiny
 Health Plan negotiating leverage dropping
 New payment models
Bundled payments – CMS
Ortho & Cardiac
Commercial payers to follow
Advanced Alternative Payment Models
NextGen ACOs
 MACRA replaces The Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR)
 Will impose 4-9% reimbursement reductions on physicians who do not
move to value based payment methodology
 Annual reimbursement increases are prescribed
 MACRA charts the path for physician compensation for the
next 10 years in 2 separate tracks
 Merit Based Incentive Payments (MIPs)
 Alternative Payment Models (APMs)
 Physicians will wonder the following:
 “How can I avoid the 4-9% cuts in reimbursement under MIPs?”
 “How can I get exempted from MIPs and lock in the annual bonus
payment of 5% under the APM track
 “How do I join an APM?”
2026 and beyond
0.25% annual updates 0.75 annual updates
2019-2025
4-9% penalties/bonuses* 5% lump sum bonus
2015-2018
0.5% annual updates
Merit-based Incentive
Payments (MIPs)
Alternative Payment Models
(APMs)
*Bonuses may be higher
Physicians will Follow the Money
ADVANCING CARE
INFORMATION 25%
COST 10%
CLINICAL PRACTICE
IMPROVEMENT ACTIVITIES
15%
(
Performance Category Weights for MIPS
Quality
50%
20192017 2018
MIPS Performance Period
 All MIPS performance categories are aligned to a
performance period of one full calendar year
 2017 performance measurement period
 2019 1st payment year
2024 20252020 2021 I
I
I
2023
25%
2022
50% 75%
 Requires Participants (physicians & hospitals) to use certified
EHR technology
 Bases payment on Quality measures comparable to MIPS
quality performance category
 The APM either:
Requires APM entities (hospitals and physicians) to bear more than
nominal risk for monetary losses
Is a Medical Home Model expanded under CMMI
 What are the current APMs under MACRA
MSSP (Track 2 and 3)
NextGen ACO
ESRD
CPC+
OCM (2 sided risk beginning in 2018)
 Newest of ACO models; went live in July 2016 with 21
organizations participating
 This is the 3rd version of ACOs
Pioneer (2012- part of ACA)
32 participants; 9 left
Burdensome reporting, limited upside, difficult quality measures
Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP)
404 participants; most successful
Fixed some flaws of Pioneer model
2 tracks for cost management; 1/3 received any bonus payments
NGACO
Financial risk of care coupled with quality measures
2 tracks – 80% of savings or losses of 100%
2nd year move to capitation aka a Medicare Advantage Plan
Max Adjustment
(+/-)
+5%bonus
(excluded from MIPS)
Fee
Schedule
MIPS
Advanced
APMs
 Financial performance
 Improve eroding I/P margins through efficiency & supply chain productivity
 Add new services that are higher in margin
 Improve cash flow through enhanced contracting and denials recovery
 Effective Population Health Management including risk stratification
 Compete on the basis of “Demonstrated Value”
 Best customer experience
 Best price
 Best service
 Documented best outcomes
 Failure to build a robust & viable physician organization
 Ensures the ability to compete in new payment models
 Counterbalance to commercial payors contracting leverage
 Locks in referrals to hospitals
 By sharing risk and quality profitability improves
 For the most part, Physicians are seeking the comfort of the hospital

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A peak into the future healthcare systems and hospitals by Steven Lash

  • 2. Need to Know Where the Puck is Going
  • 3.  Consolidation of Health Plans 5 major plans down to 3 Regional consolidations Health Systems starting their own plans Moving the financing “upstream”  Federal and State Governments MACRA legislation Bundling of major surgical services Presidential & Congressional election  Physician Practice Arrangements Currently more than 200,000 employed Accenture projects 67% will be employed within 3 years
  • 4.  The Big 5 become the Big 3 Aetna (acquiring Humana) Anthem (acquiring CIGNA) United 131 Million covered lives  Reasons for mergers Scale Economics Negotiating leverage with hospitals & physicians Diversification (more MA plans)  The consequence for Hospitals & Systems Anthem has access to national Blues rates; typically lower Anthem converts all CIGNA agreements to BCBS rates Margins drop for hospitals
  • 5.  Declining Hospital I/P margins  Increasing complexity of patient population  Medical inflation (CMS projects 4.9% - next 3 years)  Niche players taking profitable lines  Increasing regulatory developments & scrutiny  Health Plan negotiating leverage dropping  New payment models Bundled payments – CMS Ortho & Cardiac Commercial payers to follow Advanced Alternative Payment Models NextGen ACOs
  • 6.  MACRA replaces The Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR)  Will impose 4-9% reimbursement reductions on physicians who do not move to value based payment methodology  Annual reimbursement increases are prescribed  MACRA charts the path for physician compensation for the next 10 years in 2 separate tracks  Merit Based Incentive Payments (MIPs)  Alternative Payment Models (APMs)  Physicians will wonder the following:  “How can I avoid the 4-9% cuts in reimbursement under MIPs?”  “How can I get exempted from MIPs and lock in the annual bonus payment of 5% under the APM track  “How do I join an APM?”
  • 7. 2026 and beyond 0.25% annual updates 0.75 annual updates 2019-2025 4-9% penalties/bonuses* 5% lump sum bonus 2015-2018 0.5% annual updates Merit-based Incentive Payments (MIPs) Alternative Payment Models (APMs) *Bonuses may be higher Physicians will Follow the Money
  • 8. ADVANCING CARE INFORMATION 25% COST 10% CLINICAL PRACTICE IMPROVEMENT ACTIVITIES 15% ( Performance Category Weights for MIPS Quality 50%
  • 9. 20192017 2018 MIPS Performance Period  All MIPS performance categories are aligned to a performance period of one full calendar year  2017 performance measurement period  2019 1st payment year 2024 20252020 2021 I I I 2023 25% 2022 50% 75%
  • 10.  Requires Participants (physicians & hospitals) to use certified EHR technology  Bases payment on Quality measures comparable to MIPS quality performance category  The APM either: Requires APM entities (hospitals and physicians) to bear more than nominal risk for monetary losses Is a Medical Home Model expanded under CMMI  What are the current APMs under MACRA MSSP (Track 2 and 3) NextGen ACO ESRD CPC+ OCM (2 sided risk beginning in 2018)
  • 11.  Newest of ACO models; went live in July 2016 with 21 organizations participating  This is the 3rd version of ACOs Pioneer (2012- part of ACA) 32 participants; 9 left Burdensome reporting, limited upside, difficult quality measures Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) 404 participants; most successful Fixed some flaws of Pioneer model 2 tracks for cost management; 1/3 received any bonus payments NGACO Financial risk of care coupled with quality measures 2 tracks – 80% of savings or losses of 100% 2nd year move to capitation aka a Medicare Advantage Plan
  • 12. Max Adjustment (+/-) +5%bonus (excluded from MIPS) Fee Schedule MIPS Advanced APMs
  • 13.  Financial performance  Improve eroding I/P margins through efficiency & supply chain productivity  Add new services that are higher in margin  Improve cash flow through enhanced contracting and denials recovery  Effective Population Health Management including risk stratification  Compete on the basis of “Demonstrated Value”  Best customer experience  Best price  Best service  Documented best outcomes  Failure to build a robust & viable physician organization  Ensures the ability to compete in new payment models  Counterbalance to commercial payors contracting leverage  Locks in referrals to hospitals  By sharing risk and quality profitability improves  For the most part, Physicians are seeking the comfort of the hospital