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Kim Solez, MD
Singularity
Course
 For two years I have directed a unique
course on Technology and Future of
Medicine www.singularitycourse.com ,
presented information to the residents
about it in fall and winter 2012:
 http
://www.slideshare.net/ksolez/kim-solez-introduction-to-
2012
 An update with analytics/audience
retention data on course channel:
http://www.youtube.com/user/kimsolez
Singularity
Course
Top ten most popular videos from Technology and Future of
Medicine course LABMP 590 in past 30 days. Vanessa Rogers
student presentation is #1. Nicholas Lee is #7. Dorian Fenton
is #9. Never anticipated such popularity of student videos!
Singularity
Course
Anonymous feedback via SurveyMonkey. Authored feedback
as one assignment. Viewership numbers of broadcast quality
videos provides another sort of feedback, “likes” on YouTube
and Facebook. Michael Woodside nanotechnology video close
to viral, 1386 views
in 4 months, 12/day.
Videos at
www.youtube.com/
user/kimsolez
Singularity
Course
 Hot-linked table of contents on YouTube, can jump
right to segments of interest:
00:10:15 Neelam Sandhu presentation begins, health
informatics and privacy mixed with pathology and clinical
medicine, 00:11:05 health law and biomedical ethics,
00:11:25 important to be informed about health privacy
information, NetCare access limits, 00:13:05 Health
information science, 00:13:40 accuracy important,
00:14:24 patients are mobile, 00:14:55 Alberta leading the
way, fact that 3.5 million people are linked together is
without precedent, 00:16:05 HIS mantra, 00:16:54 Right to
privacy, 00:17:24 Student loan information breach,
00:18:40 Right to privacy. The right to privacy, it seems, is
what makes us civilized, 00:25:25 Canadian legislation:
Privacy Act Access to Information Act Canadian Charter of
Rights and Freedoms PIPEDA (Personal Information
Protection and Electronic Documents Act), 00:30:28
NetCare is province-wide etc. etc.
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 Many presentations about the future of medicine
show present day technology related to genomics
and personalized medicine, smart phone apps.
 In the future most present day diseases may be
eliminated. Medicine of the future will be
increasingly about human enhancement and
about improvements in society that promote
health and well being.
 Rudolph Virchow –”Physicians are the natural
attorneys of the poor and the social problems
should be largely solved by them.”
“Medicine is a social science, and politics is nothing else than
medicine writ large. Medicine as a social science, as the
science of human beings, has the obligations to point out
problems and to attempt their theoretical solution: the
politician, the practical anthropologist, must find the means for
their practical solution. ”
– Rudolf Virchow
“It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the
most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians are the
natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should
largely be solved by them.”
– Rudolf Virchow
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 Analytics and big data in medicine are not just
about diseases and treatments.
 Also about human enhancement and about
improvements in society that promote health and
well being.
 Technology advances themselves closely tied to
future of medicine, robotics, nanotechnology.
 In an optimistic view of the future of medicine,
medicine is huge, bigger than you ever imagined!
Medicine Writ Large
Kim Solez, M.D.
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 The technological singularity occurs as artificial
intelligences surpass human beings as the
smartest and most capable life forms on the
Earth. Technological development is taken over
by the machines, who can think, act and
communicate so quickly that normal humans
cannot even comprehend what is going on. The
machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self-
improvement cycles, with each new generation
of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this
point onwards, technological advancement is
explosive, under the control of the machines,
and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence
the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil
 Evidence for the Coming
Technological Singularity
1. Time Magazine cover Feb.
2011 “2045: The Year Man
Becomes Immortal”
2. IBM’s Watson computer beats
top human contenders on
Jeopardy!
3. Foxconn announces plans to
replace one milion workers
with one million robots Nov.
2012
4. The Technological Singularity
appears in Dilbert March 2013
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1) The technological Singularity.
2) Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech.
Post-scarcity world possible.
3) Ways to optimize a positive outcome for
humanity in the co-evolution of humans and
machines.
4) The influence of these considerations on
medicine of the future.
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(adapted from Moravec 1988 & Kurzweil 2005)
?
CalculationsperSecondper$1000CalculationsperSecondper$1000
YearYear
1900 ‘20 ‘40 ‘60 ‘80 ‘20 ‘40 ‘60 ‘802000 2100
10-10
10-5
1
105
1010
1015
1020
1025
1030
Electro-
mechanical
Relay
Tube
Tran-
sistor
Integrated
Circuits
Manual
calculation
Bacterium
Worm
Spider
Lizard
Mouse
Monkey
Human brain
Parallel
Processors
Quantum
Comp.?
All
Human
brains
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 Regulatory oversight that is completely focused
on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and
innovation.
 Health care doesn't have the same financial
reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1
billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging
and informatics.
 Security always trumps information sharing, and
so better, faster linkages are constrained
because of security concerns, most of which are
bogus.
Singularity
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 PBS Nova Program reaches 100 million viewers.
 Big Bang Theory (the TV show)16 million viewers.
 Ray Kurzweil TED talk 1.2 million views.
 Singularity Summit, 9,000 views per video.
 Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine
Course LABMP 590 1,400 views per video.
 The course is part of the solution:
http://www.singularitycourse.com
As is this lecture! Questions?

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Kim Solez Technology and Future of Medicine Course LABMP 590 - Update with YouTube Analytics/Audience Data

  • 2. Singularity Course  For two years I have directed a unique course on Technology and Future of Medicine www.singularitycourse.com , presented information to the residents about it in fall and winter 2012:  http ://www.slideshare.net/ksolez/kim-solez-introduction-to- 2012  An update with analytics/audience retention data on course channel: http://www.youtube.com/user/kimsolez
  • 3. Singularity Course Top ten most popular videos from Technology and Future of Medicine course LABMP 590 in past 30 days. Vanessa Rogers student presentation is #1. Nicholas Lee is #7. Dorian Fenton is #9. Never anticipated such popularity of student videos!
  • 4. Singularity Course Anonymous feedback via SurveyMonkey. Authored feedback as one assignment. Viewership numbers of broadcast quality videos provides another sort of feedback, “likes” on YouTube and Facebook. Michael Woodside nanotechnology video close to viral, 1386 views in 4 months, 12/day. Videos at www.youtube.com/ user/kimsolez
  • 5. Singularity Course  Hot-linked table of contents on YouTube, can jump right to segments of interest: 00:10:15 Neelam Sandhu presentation begins, health informatics and privacy mixed with pathology and clinical medicine, 00:11:05 health law and biomedical ethics, 00:11:25 important to be informed about health privacy information, NetCare access limits, 00:13:05 Health information science, 00:13:40 accuracy important, 00:14:24 patients are mobile, 00:14:55 Alberta leading the way, fact that 3.5 million people are linked together is without precedent, 00:16:05 HIS mantra, 00:16:54 Right to privacy, 00:17:24 Student loan information breach, 00:18:40 Right to privacy. The right to privacy, it seems, is what makes us civilized, 00:25:25 Canadian legislation: Privacy Act Access to Information Act Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms PIPEDA (Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act), 00:30:28 NetCare is province-wide etc. etc.
  • 40. Singularity Course  Many presentations about the future of medicine show present day technology related to genomics and personalized medicine, smart phone apps.  In the future most present day diseases may be eliminated. Medicine of the future will be increasingly about human enhancement and about improvements in society that promote health and well being.  Rudolph Virchow –”Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor and the social problems should be largely solved by them.”
  • 41. “Medicine is a social science, and politics is nothing else than medicine writ large. Medicine as a social science, as the science of human beings, has the obligations to point out problems and to attempt their theoretical solution: the politician, the practical anthropologist, must find the means for their practical solution. ” – Rudolf Virchow
  • 42. “It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should largely be solved by them.” – Rudolf Virchow
  • 43. Singularity Course  Analytics and big data in medicine are not just about diseases and treatments.  Also about human enhancement and about improvements in society that promote health and well being.  Technology advances themselves closely tied to future of medicine, robotics, nanotechnology.  In an optimistic view of the future of medicine, medicine is huge, bigger than you ever imagined!
  • 44. Medicine Writ Large Kim Solez, M.D.
  • 47. Singularity Course  The technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self- improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil
  • 48.  Evidence for the Coming Technological Singularity 1. Time Magazine cover Feb. 2011 “2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal” 2. IBM’s Watson computer beats top human contenders on Jeopardy! 3. Foxconn announces plans to replace one milion workers with one million robots Nov. 2012 4. The Technological Singularity appears in Dilbert March 2013
  • 49.
  • 50. Singularity Course 1) The technological Singularity. 2) Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech. Post-scarcity world possible. 3) Ways to optimize a positive outcome for humanity in the co-evolution of humans and machines. 4) The influence of these considerations on medicine of the future.
  • 51. Singularity Course (adapted from Moravec 1988 & Kurzweil 2005) ? CalculationsperSecondper$1000CalculationsperSecondper$1000 YearYear 1900 ‘20 ‘40 ‘60 ‘80 ‘20 ‘40 ‘60 ‘802000 2100 10-10 10-5 1 105 1010 1015 1020 1025 1030 Electro- mechanical Relay Tube Tran- sistor Integrated Circuits Manual calculation Bacterium Worm Spider Lizard Mouse Monkey Human brain Parallel Processors Quantum Comp.? All Human brains
  • 53. Singularity Course  Regulatory oversight that is completely focused on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and innovation.  Health care doesn't have the same financial reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1 billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging and informatics.  Security always trumps information sharing, and so better, faster linkages are constrained because of security concerns, most of which are bogus.
  • 54. Singularity Course  PBS Nova Program reaches 100 million viewers.  Big Bang Theory (the TV show)16 million viewers.  Ray Kurzweil TED talk 1.2 million views.  Singularity Summit, 9,000 views per video.  Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course LABMP 590 1,400 views per video.  The course is part of the solution: http://www.singularitycourse.com As is this lecture! Questions?