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Kim Solez, MD
Singularity
Course
Course conceptualized in
    March 2011, tested with
              focus groups in
   May for its suitability as a
              course for both
undergraduate and graduate
                    students.
   The technological singularity occurs as artificial
    intelligences surpass human beings as the
    smartest and most capable life forms on the
    Earth. Technological development is taken over
    by the machines, who can think, act and
    communicate so quickly that normal humans
    cannot even comprehend what is going on. The
    machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self-
    improvement cycles, with each new generation
    of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this
    point onwards, technological advancement is
    explosive, under the control of the machines,
    and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence
    the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil

                                                   Singularity
                                                   Course
1) The technological Singularity.
2) Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech.
3) Ways to optimize a positive outcome for
 humanity in the co-evolution of humans and
 machines.
4) The influence of these considerations on
 medicine of the future.




                                                Singularity
                                                Course
 The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of
  a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in
  which humans still have lives of significance, human
  history is retained and extended.
 A positive outcome is possible, let’s make it likely.
 We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive
  outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We
  need to get busy doing that!
 Part of the imagined future could be one where all
  disease was eliminated but life was intolerable. Another
  where the only diseases are from bioterrorism.
                                                     Singularity
                                                     Course
 All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving only man-
  made diseases. But that may leave as much for
  laboratory physicians to do as there is today!
 Challenging responses to bioterrorism and stem cell
  technologies.
 Focus of medicine no longer disease but enhancement,
  which will extend beyond the physical to the moral.
 Social responsibility an important aspect of medicine
  and one of the focuses of the course. Physician
  responsible to individual patient and to society.

                                                    Singularity
                                                    Course
   “It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even
    the most horrible situations by habitation. Physicians are
    the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social
    problems should largely be solved by them.” -Rudolf
    Virchow




                                                          Singularity
                                                          Course
   Ten minute introduction
   Fifty minute lecture
   Twenty minute discussion
Heather Graves, from
Department of English and Film
  Studies, in Faculty of Arts.
First teaching session 2011   Recent teaching session 2012
1)How   I came to create this course
2)How   it relates to Future of Pathology
1)In1994 created websites for CAP, ISN, and RPS and NEPHROL Email
discussion group
2)In   1997 created NKF CyberNephrology and ISN Informatics Commission
3)In
   1999 new Lab Medicine Pathology chair Victor Tron suggested I
broaden focus to CyberMedicine, and encouraged medical humanitarian
ventures
1)   In 2007 joined medical advisory board of new medical school in Nepal
     devoted to rural health, Patan Academy of Health Sciences (“PAHS”).
2)   Now direct this project at UofA, sixteen UofA faculty are now involved
     in the PAHS project in Nepal.
1)Tech  musings from the Hinterland.   Virtual microscopy one topic.
2)The first video was from Nepal.
Singularity
Course
 It became apparent that the best way to make this
  happen is to create a novel course of new design
  myself. Thus this course.
 There are no similar courses out there at the
  moment.
 Eventually it is our hope that hundreds of similar
  courses will begin appearing at Universities all
  over the world.




                                                 Singularity
                                                 Course
 Some already know what the technological
  Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out
  now.
 However, if the people and ideas I present are
  genuinely new and interesting I should be able to
  satisfy both groups.
 The most interesting aspects have to do with the
  impact on young people today.




                                                 Singularity
                                                 Course







Elenchus - Open Facebook Group

"Elenchus" is a form of inquiry and
debate between individuals with opposing
viewpoints based on utilizing Socratic
dialogue in asking and answering questions
to stimulate critical thinking and to illuminate ideas.

The only rule: Maintain Decorum :)
   How Inside Outside and Singularity impact young
    people, important concepts discussed in course.
   Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 16 million viewers)
   Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video)
   Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course
    LABMP 590 (900 views per video)




                                                      Singularity
                                                      Course
   .




However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much
more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a model general AI
which makes the problem seem more immediate!
                                                         Singularity
                                                         Course
   .




However Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more
challenging. Also Hutter has created a sort of general AI which
makes the problem seem more immediate!
                                                          Singularity
                                                          Course
 While these are “just” recreational games, they do
    contain many prototypical elements of the real
    world, such as food, enemies, friends, space,
    obstacles, objects, and weapons
   Next could be a test in modern virtual worlds...
    that require intelligent agents, and finally some
    selected real-world problems
The same single [AIXI approximation “MC-AIXI-CTW”] has
learned to play TicTacToe, Kuhn Poker, and most impressively,
Pacman (Veness et al. 2011) from scratch

                                                        Singularity
                                                        Course
 Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white
  noise
 Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at
  the same rate we may not notice anything; it may
  seem like normal life to us
 Even if initially our biological brains count for
  something in our mental processes, very soon the
  processing power of the machine implant will
  vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological
  brains become insignificant regardless of the
  friendliness or lack thereof of the AI

                                                    Singularity
                                                    Course
 Extreme risk taking because we can back
  ourselves up from backups if something bad
  happens
 Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create
  backups when we have the processing power to
  run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves
  endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!
 The world has little incentive to keep identities
  straight when biological brains contribute so little
  to mental processes. Bigger not better
 Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose

                                                    Singularity
                                                    Course
   The challenge of producing a friendly AI becomes just a
    small part of the much larger challenge of creating a
    friendly world in which humans still have lives of
    significance, human history is retained and extended
   A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely
   We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive
    outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We
    need to get busy doing that!
   A simple approach is needed to engage the general
    public on these matters!


                                                         Singularity
                                                         Course
Singularity
Course
Singularity
Course
Singularity
Course
Singularity
Course
 Regulatory oversight that is completely focused
  on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and
  innovation.
 Health care doesn't have the same financial
  reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1
  billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging
  and informatics.
 Security always trumps information sharing, and
  so better, faster linkages are constrained
  because of security concerns, most of which are
  bogus.



                                                Singularity
                                                Course
HealthAppsNotUsed




                    Singularity
                    Course
Kim Solez - Introduction to Technology and Future of Medicine course September 4, 2012.

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Kim Solez - Introduction to Technology and Future of Medicine course September 4, 2012.

  • 3.
  • 4. Course conceptualized in March 2011, tested with focus groups in May for its suitability as a course for both undergraduate and graduate students.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. The technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self- improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil Singularity Course
  • 8. 1) The technological Singularity. 2) Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech. 3) Ways to optimize a positive outcome for humanity in the co-evolution of humans and machines. 4) The influence of these considerations on medicine of the future. Singularity Course
  • 9.  The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended.  A positive outcome is possible, let’s make it likely.  We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!  Part of the imagined future could be one where all disease was eliminated but life was intolerable. Another where the only diseases are from bioterrorism. Singularity Course
  • 10.  All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving only man- made diseases. But that may leave as much for laboratory physicians to do as there is today!  Challenging responses to bioterrorism and stem cell technologies.  Focus of medicine no longer disease but enhancement, which will extend beyond the physical to the moral.  Social responsibility an important aspect of medicine and one of the focuses of the course. Physician responsible to individual patient and to society. Singularity Course
  • 11. “It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the most horrible situations by habitation. Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should largely be solved by them.” -Rudolf Virchow Singularity Course
  • 12.
  • 13. Ten minute introduction  Fifty minute lecture  Twenty minute discussion
  • 14. Heather Graves, from Department of English and Film Studies, in Faculty of Arts.
  • 15. First teaching session 2011 Recent teaching session 2012
  • 16. 1)How I came to create this course 2)How it relates to Future of Pathology
  • 17. 1)In1994 created websites for CAP, ISN, and RPS and NEPHROL Email discussion group 2)In 1997 created NKF CyberNephrology and ISN Informatics Commission 3)In 1999 new Lab Medicine Pathology chair Victor Tron suggested I broaden focus to CyberMedicine, and encouraged medical humanitarian ventures
  • 18. 1) In 2007 joined medical advisory board of new medical school in Nepal devoted to rural health, Patan Academy of Health Sciences (“PAHS”). 2) Now direct this project at UofA, sixteen UofA faculty are now involved in the PAHS project in Nepal.
  • 19. 1)Tech musings from the Hinterland. Virtual microscopy one topic. 2)The first video was from Nepal.
  • 21.  It became apparent that the best way to make this happen is to create a novel course of new design myself. Thus this course.  There are no similar courses out there at the moment.  Eventually it is our hope that hundreds of similar courses will begin appearing at Universities all over the world. Singularity Course
  • 22.  Some already know what the technological Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out now.  However, if the people and ideas I present are genuinely new and interesting I should be able to satisfy both groups.  The most interesting aspects have to do with the impact on young people today. Singularity Course
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.  Elenchus - Open Facebook Group "Elenchus" is a form of inquiry and debate between individuals with opposing viewpoints based on utilizing Socratic dialogue in asking and answering questions to stimulate critical thinking and to illuminate ideas. The only rule: Maintain Decorum :)
  • 26. How Inside Outside and Singularity impact young people, important concepts discussed in course.  Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 16 million viewers)  Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video)  Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course LABMP 590 (900 views per video) Singularity Course
  • 27. . However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a model general AI which makes the problem seem more immediate! Singularity Course
  • 28. . However Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more challenging. Also Hutter has created a sort of general AI which makes the problem seem more immediate! Singularity Course
  • 29.  While these are “just” recreational games, they do contain many prototypical elements of the real world, such as food, enemies, friends, space, obstacles, objects, and weapons  Next could be a test in modern virtual worlds... that require intelligent agents, and finally some selected real-world problems The same single [AIXI approximation “MC-AIXI-CTW”] has learned to play TicTacToe, Kuhn Poker, and most impressively, Pacman (Veness et al. 2011) from scratch Singularity Course
  • 30.
  • 31.  Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white noise  Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at the same rate we may not notice anything; it may seem like normal life to us  Even if initially our biological brains count for something in our mental processes, very soon the processing power of the machine implant will vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological brains become insignificant regardless of the friendliness or lack thereof of the AI Singularity Course
  • 32.  Extreme risk taking because we can back ourselves up from backups if something bad happens  Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create backups when we have the processing power to run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!  The world has little incentive to keep identities straight when biological brains contribute so little to mental processes. Bigger not better  Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose Singularity Course
  • 33. The challenge of producing a friendly AI becomes just a small part of the much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended  A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely  We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!  A simple approach is needed to engage the general public on these matters! Singularity Course
  • 38.  Regulatory oversight that is completely focused on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and innovation.  Health care doesn't have the same financial reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1 billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging and informatics.  Security always trumps information sharing, and so better, faster linkages are constrained because of security concerns, most of which are bogus. Singularity Course
  • 39. HealthAppsNotUsed Singularity Course