Presentation for Best of Analytics conference April 23, 2012 http://www.bestofanalytics.com/ Analytics, Big Data, and the Cloud. “An Outsider’s Observations on the Singularity Institute of Artificial Intelligence”. The Feb. 28, 2012 paper by Marcus Hutter talking about inside and outside the Singularity is at http://arxiv.org/pdf/1202.6177v1.pdf and his General AI is referred to in section 2.4 of http://commonsenseatheism.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Muehlhauser-Salamon-Intelligence-Explosion-Evidence-and-Import.pdf and at minutes 31.30 and 40 and 52 in this video http://vimeo.com/14888930 . Copyright (c) 2012 by Transpath Inc.

1. Kim Solez, MD

2.  Some already know what the technological
Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out now.
 However, if the people and ideas I present are
genuinely new and interesting I should be able to
satisfy both groups.
Singularity
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3. 

4. 

5. 
Elenchus - Open Facebook Group
"Elenchus" is a form of inquiry and
debate between individuals with opposing
viewpoints based on utilizing Socratic
dialogue in asking and answering questions
to stimulate critical thinking and to illuminate ideas.
The only rule: Maintain Decorum :)

6. “…The technological singularity occurs as artificial
intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest
and most capable life forms on the Earth.
Technological development is taken over by the
machines, who can think, act and communicate so
quickly that normal humans cannot even
comprehend what is going on. The machines enter
into a „runaway reaction‟ of self-improvement cycles,
with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster
and faster. From this point onwards, technological
advancement is explosive, under the control of the
machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted
(hence the term „Singularity‟)....”
– Ray Kurzweil

7. Singularity
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8.  How Inside Outside and Singularity impact young
people, important concepts we will discuss later.
 Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 16 million viewers)
 Singularity University (I went to Exec. Program)
 Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video)
 Singularity Institute of Artificial Intelligence (500 views
per video)
 Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course
LABMP 590 (500 views per video)
 SIAI Rationality and Awesomeness Mini-Camp –
Participants in early 20s –advice on fashion, style, body
language, and confidence-building
Singularity
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9.  In the coming decades, humanity will likely create
a powerful AI. SIAI exists to confront this urgent
challenge, both the opportunity and the risk. SIAI
is fostering research, education, and outreach to
increase the likelihood that the promise of AI is
realized for the benefit of everyone
Singularity
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11.  .
However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much
more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a general AI which
makes the problem seem more immediate!
Singularity
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12.  .
However Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more
challenging. Also Hutter has created a sort of general AI which
makes the problem seem more immediate!
Singularity
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13.  While these are “just” recreational games, they do
contain many prototypical elements of the real
world, such as food, enemies, friends, space,
obstacles, objects, and weapons
 Next could be a test in modern virtual worlds...
that require intelligent agents, and finally some
selected real-world problems
The same single [AIXI approximation “MC-AIXI-CTW”] has
learned to play TicTacToe, Kuhn Poker, and most impressively,
Pacman (Veness et al. 2011) from scratch
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15.  Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white
noise
 Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at
the same rate we may not notice anything; it may
seem like normal life to us
 Even if initially our biological brains count for
something in our mental processes, very soon the
processing power of the machine implant will
vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological
brains become insignificant regardless of the
friendliness or lack thereof of the AI
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16.  Extreme risk taking because we can back
ourselves up from backups if something bad
happens
 Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create
backups when we have the processing power to
run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves
endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!
 The world has little incentive to keep identities
straight when biological brains contribute so little
to mental processes. Bigger not better
 Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose
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17.  The challenge of producing a friendly AI, which SIAI has
taken on, becomes just a small part of the much larger
challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans
still have lives of significance, human history is retained
and extended
 A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely
 We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive
outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We
need to get busy doing that!
 A simple approach is needed to engage the general
public on these matters!
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30. Singularity
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31. Singularity
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32. Singularity
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