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Picking Up The Pieces Metro Denver 2010 Economic Update June 2010
Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Source:  U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Pieces” of the Economy… Each Affected by Recession
Consumer Activity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Population by County 2009 Population = 2.83 million
Metro Denver Annual Change in Population Source:  Colorado Division of Local Government
Consumer Confidence Index Source:  The Conference Board.
Unemployment Rates  (not seasonally adjusted) Metro Denver Total Labor Force = 1.5 million Sources:  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
Colorado Personal Income Growth Rate Sources:  U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Source:  Yahoo! Finance. 2007: 18% of U.S. families have stocks; 53% have retirement accounts
Metro Denver Real Retail Trade Sales  Growth Rates Source:  Colorado Department of Revenue.
Metro Denver Existing Home Sales Source:  Metrolist, Inc.
Residential Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure or Delinquent Sources:  Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey
Metro Denver Foreclosures Sources:  CB Richard Ellis; County Public Trustees.
Median Home Price (in thousands) Source:  National Association of REALTORS.
Metro Denver Building Permits Source:  Home Builders Association of Metropolitan Denver.
Business Activity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nonfarm Job Growth Rates Sources:  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
Metro Denver Net New Jobs Source:  CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
Key Metro Denver Industry Clusters   Employment  2009 Job Growth  Concentration Rank (50 metros) Aerospace  19,900 -1.2% 2 Aviation  15,700 -1.5% 10 Bioscience Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 5,600 4.5% 18 Medical Devices & Instruments 9,500 1.6% 6 Broadcasting & Telecommunications 41,400 1.7% 4 Energy  Fossil Fuels 15,800 0.4% 8 Cleantech 16,300 4.6% 7 Financial Services Banking & Finance 44,000 -0.3% 4 Investments 23,300 0.3% 7 Insurance 26,700 -5.9% 23 IT/Software  42,300 -0.2% 9
Metro Denver Office Vacancy Rates (with sublet) Existing Square Feet = 163.0 million Completed 2009 = 1.6 MSF; Under Construction = 1.2 MSF Source:  CoStar Realty Information, Inc.
Metro Denver Industrial Vacancy Rates  (with sublet) Source:  CoStar Realty Information, Inc. Existing Square Feet =214.7 million Completed 2009 = 0.2 MSF; Under Construction = 0 MSF
Metro Denver Retail Vacancy Rates (with sublet) Existing Square Feet = 155.3 million Completed 2009 = 2.1 MSF; Under Construction = 0.4 MSF Source:  CoStar Realty Information, Inc.
Government Activity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Stimulus Highlights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Historic and Projected Budget Deficits by Fiscal Year ($bil) Source:  Congressional Budget Office.
Colorado Budget Concerns ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International Activity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Year-Over-Year Growth in Exports Source:  U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration. Key Colorado Trading Partners: Canada, Mexico, China, Japan, Germany Key Products: Computers and electronics, chemicals, processed foods, machinery
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Some “Pieces” Still Out of Place…
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],… But Other “Pieces” Starting to Fit
Development Research Partners 10184 West Belleview Avenue, Suite 100 Littleton, Colorado 80127 (303) 991-0070 www.DevelopmentResearch.net Patricia Silverstein, President [email_address]

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Patty Silverstein at REBarCamp Denver

  • 1. Picking Up The Pieces Metro Denver 2010 Economic Update June 2010
  • 2. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Population by County 2009 Population = 2.83 million
  • 6. Metro Denver Annual Change in Population Source: Colorado Division of Local Government
  • 7. Consumer Confidence Index Source: The Conference Board.
  • 8. Unemployment Rates (not seasonally adjusted) Metro Denver Total Labor Force = 1.5 million Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
  • 9. Colorado Personal Income Growth Rate Sources: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • 10. Dow Jones Industrial Average Source: Yahoo! Finance. 2007: 18% of U.S. families have stocks; 53% have retirement accounts
  • 11. Metro Denver Real Retail Trade Sales Growth Rates Source: Colorado Department of Revenue.
  • 12. Metro Denver Existing Home Sales Source: Metrolist, Inc.
  • 13. Residential Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure or Delinquent Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey
  • 14. Metro Denver Foreclosures Sources: CB Richard Ellis; County Public Trustees.
  • 15. Median Home Price (in thousands) Source: National Association of REALTORS.
  • 16. Metro Denver Building Permits Source: Home Builders Association of Metropolitan Denver.
  • 17.
  • 18. Nonfarm Job Growth Rates Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
  • 19. Metro Denver Net New Jobs Source: CO Dept. of Labor & Employment.
  • 20. Key Metro Denver Industry Clusters   Employment 2009 Job Growth Concentration Rank (50 metros) Aerospace 19,900 -1.2% 2 Aviation 15,700 -1.5% 10 Bioscience Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 5,600 4.5% 18 Medical Devices & Instruments 9,500 1.6% 6 Broadcasting & Telecommunications 41,400 1.7% 4 Energy Fossil Fuels 15,800 0.4% 8 Cleantech 16,300 4.6% 7 Financial Services Banking & Finance 44,000 -0.3% 4 Investments 23,300 0.3% 7 Insurance 26,700 -5.9% 23 IT/Software 42,300 -0.2% 9
  • 21. Metro Denver Office Vacancy Rates (with sublet) Existing Square Feet = 163.0 million Completed 2009 = 1.6 MSF; Under Construction = 1.2 MSF Source: CoStar Realty Information, Inc.
  • 22. Metro Denver Industrial Vacancy Rates (with sublet) Source: CoStar Realty Information, Inc. Existing Square Feet =214.7 million Completed 2009 = 0.2 MSF; Under Construction = 0 MSF
  • 23. Metro Denver Retail Vacancy Rates (with sublet) Existing Square Feet = 155.3 million Completed 2009 = 2.1 MSF; Under Construction = 0.4 MSF Source: CoStar Realty Information, Inc.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. U.S. Historic and Projected Budget Deficits by Fiscal Year ($bil) Source: Congressional Budget Office.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Year-Over-Year Growth in Exports Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration. Key Colorado Trading Partners: Canada, Mexico, China, Japan, Germany Key Products: Computers and electronics, chemicals, processed foods, machinery
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Development Research Partners 10184 West Belleview Avenue, Suite 100 Littleton, Colorado 80127 (303) 991-0070 www.DevelopmentResearch.net Patricia Silverstein, President [email_address]