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Climate Change Issues
      in India
                                                 By
                                       Dr.C.Thomson Jacob,
                                     Senior Programme Officer,
                            ENVIS Centre, Department of Environment.
 Adopted by Dr.K.Prabhakar for Presentation to students with greatful thanks to Prof. Thomson Jacob.
Global Warming

• Global warming is the increase in the average measured
  temperature of the Earth's near-surface air and oceans since
  the mid-20th century, and its projected continuation.



• The average global air temperature near the Earth's surface
  increased 0.74 ± 0.18 °C (1.33 ± 0.32 °F) during the 100 years
  ending in 2005.




 Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Greenhouse effect




103 Watt per m3




                  343 Watt per m3
                                        240 Watt per m3

Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Co2 Concentration in 2007




The 2007 rise in global carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations is tied with 2005 as
the third highest since atmospheric measurements began in 1958. The red line
shows the trend together with seasonal variations. The black line indicates the
trend that emerges when the seasonal cycle has been removed. (Credit: NOAA)
Greenhouse gases

•   Carbon dioxide (CO2)
                                     Natural
•   Methane (CH4)
•   Nitrous oxide (N2O)
•   Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
•   Perfluorocarbons (PFCs)              Manmade
•   Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)


Source: Kyoto Protocol- Annexure A
Rising levels of greenhouse gases




        Source: Dr L Gohar and Prof K Shine, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading


Source: Stern Review
Energy utilisation




                18%                            11%
                                                         9%
     5%
    3%

                                                               11%
                                                          4%

                        39%



Fridge    TV   Fan    Computer   AC   Heater/Geyser   Appliances     Light
Energy
                           3.1     7.6
                                                          India
Production
              24.8

  COAL
                                                                    53.4
  RE
                     0.9
TN vs India                10.2
                     Coal                Gas            Oil
                     Hydro               Nuclear        Renewable


                                         3%                     TN
                     29%                                      42%



                          3%
                                  16%              7%

                Coal & Lignite    Gas          Hydro


                Nuclear           Renewable    other
Biodiversity, the living fabric of this
 planet, is not a gas. It exists in many
layers,ecosystems, species and genes
 across many scales -- international,
     national, local, community
that, in fact, we were losing natural
  capital -- the benefits that flow
          from nature to us.
We were losing it at an
extraordinary rate -- in fact, of the
order of two to four trillion dollars-
     worth of natural capital.
The Amazon rainforests. It's a massive store of carbon, it's an amazing store of
biodiversity, but what people don't really know is this also is a rain factory. Because the
northeastern trade winds, as they go over the Amazonas, effectively gather the water
vapor. Something like 20 billion tons per day of water vapor is sucked up by the northeastern
trade winds, and eventually precipitates in the form of rain across the La Plata Basin. This
rainfall cycle, this rainfall factory, effectively feeds an agricultural economy of the order of 240
billion dollars-worth in Latin America. But the question arises: Okay, so how much do Uruguay,
Paraguay, Argentina and indeed the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil pay for that vital input to
that economy to the state of Amazonas, which produces that rainfall?And the answer is
zilch, exactly zero.
Impacts of Climate Change


                                Forests


                                          Biodiversity

Impact of rise in temperature
of 1.8oC to 4oC
                                           Agriculture



                                   Coastlines
Climate Change Impact in India
•   Rajasthan- Drought
•   Rann of Kutch – sea level rise
•   Mumbai-Salt water intrusion
•   Kerala –Productivity of Forest
•   Tamil Nadu-Coral bleaching
•   Ganges – Sedimentation problem
•   Sunderbans-Sea level raise
•   Northwest India-reduction In rice yield
Case study:1 Impact on Agriculture
       Effect on apple cultivation
• Kullu Valley, Himachal Pradesh
  Experienced a number of crop failures in the last
  15 years

• Apple belt has moved 30               kilometers
  [northwards] over the last 50 years

• Apple growers, says attributed poor production
  to reduced snowfall and its changed timing.
Source: Journal of Ecological Anthropology Vol. 10 2006
•   Shift in Agriculture
•   Apple cultivation is affected in Kullu Valley
•   Apple belt has moved 30 KM nothwards
•   Forest resources were removed
2. Ganga under threat from warming

• Himalayan source of the Ganga is drying up at a
  rate of 40 yards a year, nearly twice as fast as two
  decades ago, and that some of these glaciers
  might disappear by 2030.
• In the dry summer months, the Gangotri glacier
  provides up to 70 percent of the water of the
  Ganga.
• According to a UN climate report, the shrinking
  glaciers also threaten Asia’s supply of fresh
  water.
Source: New Indian Express
Source: New Indian Express
3. Impact on Coastal Orissa
• The Satavaya region, once a cluster of seven
  villages.
• Only two out of the seven villages exists the
  other five villages have been submerged.
• The Coastal villages have been affected by
  cyclone and floods killing more than 30,000
  people.
• The sea has ingressed to about 1.5 km into
  Satavaya and 2.5 km into Kanakpur. Satavaya has
  also lost 56% of its mangrove vegetation.
Global Impacts

• The largest glacier on Mount Kenya has lost
  92% of its mass

• Sea levels have risen by 10 - 25 cm

• The thickness of sea ice in the arctic has
  decreased by 40%.
• The Common Murre has advanced breeding
  by 24 days per decade over the past 50 years
  in response to higher temperatures.
• The Baltimore oriole is shifting northward and
  may soon disappear entirely from the
  Baltimore area.
• Polar bear populations are coming under
  threat as food becomes harder to hunt.
India’s Initiatives

• Signed UNFCC on 10th June 1992

• India ratified the Kyoto protocol

• India has a National Action Plan on Climate Change
   –   National Solar Mission
   –   National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency
   –   National Mission on Sustainable Habitat
   –   National Water Mission
   –   National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem
   –   National Mission for a “ Green India”
   –   National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture
   – National Mission on Strategic Mission on Climate Change
India’s Initiatives

• India has a well developed policy, legislative
  regulatory & programmatic regime
• For promotion of Energy efficiency, renewable
  energy, nuclear power, fuel switching, energy
  pricing reform addressing GHG emission
Per-capita Carbon –dioxide emission (Metric Tons)


 Country                     in metric tons

 USA                               20.01
 Europe                             9.40
 Japan                              9.87
 China                              3.60
 Russia                             11.71
 India                              1.02
 World average                      4.25
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Global warming for students of MBA

  • 1. Climate Change Issues in India By Dr.C.Thomson Jacob, Senior Programme Officer, ENVIS Centre, Department of Environment. Adopted by Dr.K.Prabhakar for Presentation to students with greatful thanks to Prof. Thomson Jacob.
  • 2.
  • 3. Global Warming • Global warming is the increase in the average measured temperature of the Earth's near-surface air and oceans since the mid-20th century, and its projected continuation. • The average global air temperature near the Earth's surface increased 0.74 ± 0.18 °C (1.33 ± 0.32 °F) during the 100 years ending in 2005. Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  • 4. Greenhouse effect 103 Watt per m3 343 Watt per m3 240 Watt per m3 Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  • 5. Co2 Concentration in 2007 The 2007 rise in global carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations is tied with 2005 as the third highest since atmospheric measurements began in 1958. The red line shows the trend together with seasonal variations. The black line indicates the trend that emerges when the seasonal cycle has been removed. (Credit: NOAA)
  • 6. Greenhouse gases • Carbon dioxide (CO2) Natural • Methane (CH4) • Nitrous oxide (N2O) • Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) • Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) Manmade • Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) Source: Kyoto Protocol- Annexure A
  • 7. Rising levels of greenhouse gases Source: Dr L Gohar and Prof K Shine, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading Source: Stern Review
  • 8. Energy utilisation 18% 11% 9% 5% 3% 11% 4% 39% Fridge TV Fan Computer AC Heater/Geyser Appliances Light
  • 9. Energy 3.1 7.6 India Production 24.8 COAL 53.4 RE 0.9 TN vs India 10.2 Coal Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewable 3% TN 29% 42% 3% 16% 7% Coal & Lignite Gas Hydro Nuclear Renewable other
  • 10. Biodiversity, the living fabric of this planet, is not a gas. It exists in many layers,ecosystems, species and genes across many scales -- international, national, local, community
  • 11. that, in fact, we were losing natural capital -- the benefits that flow from nature to us.
  • 12. We were losing it at an extraordinary rate -- in fact, of the order of two to four trillion dollars- worth of natural capital.
  • 13. The Amazon rainforests. It's a massive store of carbon, it's an amazing store of biodiversity, but what people don't really know is this also is a rain factory. Because the northeastern trade winds, as they go over the Amazonas, effectively gather the water vapor. Something like 20 billion tons per day of water vapor is sucked up by the northeastern trade winds, and eventually precipitates in the form of rain across the La Plata Basin. This rainfall cycle, this rainfall factory, effectively feeds an agricultural economy of the order of 240 billion dollars-worth in Latin America. But the question arises: Okay, so how much do Uruguay, Paraguay, Argentina and indeed the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil pay for that vital input to that economy to the state of Amazonas, which produces that rainfall?And the answer is zilch, exactly zero.
  • 14. Impacts of Climate Change Forests Biodiversity Impact of rise in temperature of 1.8oC to 4oC Agriculture Coastlines
  • 15. Climate Change Impact in India • Rajasthan- Drought • Rann of Kutch – sea level rise • Mumbai-Salt water intrusion • Kerala –Productivity of Forest • Tamil Nadu-Coral bleaching • Ganges – Sedimentation problem • Sunderbans-Sea level raise • Northwest India-reduction In rice yield
  • 16. Case study:1 Impact on Agriculture Effect on apple cultivation • Kullu Valley, Himachal Pradesh Experienced a number of crop failures in the last 15 years • Apple belt has moved 30 kilometers [northwards] over the last 50 years • Apple growers, says attributed poor production to reduced snowfall and its changed timing.
  • 17. Source: Journal of Ecological Anthropology Vol. 10 2006
  • 18. Shift in Agriculture • Apple cultivation is affected in Kullu Valley • Apple belt has moved 30 KM nothwards • Forest resources were removed
  • 19. 2. Ganga under threat from warming • Himalayan source of the Ganga is drying up at a rate of 40 yards a year, nearly twice as fast as two decades ago, and that some of these glaciers might disappear by 2030. • In the dry summer months, the Gangotri glacier provides up to 70 percent of the water of the Ganga. • According to a UN climate report, the shrinking glaciers also threaten Asia’s supply of fresh water. Source: New Indian Express
  • 21. 3. Impact on Coastal Orissa • The Satavaya region, once a cluster of seven villages. • Only two out of the seven villages exists the other five villages have been submerged. • The Coastal villages have been affected by cyclone and floods killing more than 30,000 people. • The sea has ingressed to about 1.5 km into Satavaya and 2.5 km into Kanakpur. Satavaya has also lost 56% of its mangrove vegetation.
  • 22. Global Impacts • The largest glacier on Mount Kenya has lost 92% of its mass • Sea levels have risen by 10 - 25 cm • The thickness of sea ice in the arctic has decreased by 40%.
  • 23. • The Common Murre has advanced breeding by 24 days per decade over the past 50 years in response to higher temperatures.
  • 24. • The Baltimore oriole is shifting northward and may soon disappear entirely from the Baltimore area.
  • 25. • Polar bear populations are coming under threat as food becomes harder to hunt.
  • 26. India’s Initiatives • Signed UNFCC on 10th June 1992 • India ratified the Kyoto protocol • India has a National Action Plan on Climate Change – National Solar Mission – National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency – National Mission on Sustainable Habitat – National Water Mission – National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem – National Mission for a “ Green India” – National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture – National Mission on Strategic Mission on Climate Change
  • 27. India’s Initiatives • India has a well developed policy, legislative regulatory & programmatic regime • For promotion of Energy efficiency, renewable energy, nuclear power, fuel switching, energy pricing reform addressing GHG emission
  • 28. Per-capita Carbon –dioxide emission (Metric Tons) Country in metric tons USA 20.01 Europe 9.40 Japan 9.87 China 3.60 Russia 11.71 India 1.02 World average 4.25