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Geography 686 Spring 2009
                      Class presentation
                            May 18, 2009




                                  SAMIR GAMBHIR
                         Senior Research Associate
Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity
About Kirwan Institute
   Mission & Vision
    The central mission of the Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity is
    to contribute meaningfully to the field of research and scholarship on race,
    ethnicity and social justice, to assist in reframing the way that we talk about, think
    about and act on race and ethnicity, and to deepen the understanding of the
    causes and consequences of and solutions to racial and ethnic hierarchy and
    disparity so that we can envision and realize a society that is fair and just for all
    people, where opportunity is not limited by race, ethnicity, gender, or class, where
    democratic ideals inform social policy, and where all people recognize and
    embrace the universal responsibility that each person has for the welfare of every
    other person. From day to day we are concerned about the internal workings of
    the Institute, but the real measure of our success must be the impact of our work
    in bringing about this vision of a true democratic society. For this reason, all of
    our research and scholarship is intended to have an implicit or explicit impact on
    policies in the real world. By creating a research-based structural lens to look at
    racism, we are shifting not only the way that racism is conceptualized, but also
    the way we conceive of strategies to counteract its impact. In shifting the way we
    talk about, think about and act on race, we hope to give new meaning to the
    proposition that human destinies are intertwined.
Questions

 What do these maps show?
 What are these being used for?
 Do these maps tell a story?
 Are these effective in conveying what they
  are intended for?
     www.healthcarethatworks.org
Discussion
   Why use maps?
     Overlay multiple pieces of information
     Tell a story
     Good entry point to unite diverse coalitions or stakeholders
   Why is visual information important?
     A picture is worth a thousand words
     Provide spatial reference
     “People are able to look at the information based on where they live
      or areas they are familiar with and obtain a better understating”
   Why are maps effective?
     “people feel like they understand maps. Nobody will give you
      feedback on regression analysis”
     Mapping is very effective at identifying strategic intervention
      points
     Shared sense of value; builds mutual trust
Maps:
Powerful Visual Tools

Maps are incredibly efficient
 compacting volumes of
  data
 ability to convey
  information in seconds
 tell a story or solve a
  problem
    Research has shown that
      people can solve problems
      faster with map based
      information, than by looking at
      charts, tables or graphs
Space and Social Equity
   Why are maps particularly effective in dealing with
    issues of equity?
     Regional, racial and social inequity often manifest as spatial
      inequity
     Maps are naturally the best tools to display this spatial
      phenomena
     Maps give us the opportunity to look at our entire
      regions or states
      ○ Informing people about an issue at a scale they may not usually
        think of
      ○ linking communities sharing similar problems
Neighborhood based data
   Using neighborhood based data to assess
    neighborhood opportunities and challenges is not
    unprecedented
   is used in various sectors
   Examples
     Business: Site selection analysis by firms such as Claritas
     Community Development: Criteria used to identify areas
      for targeted investment or areas targeted for specific
      community development initiatives
     Housing: Models that try to connect affordable housing to
      areas of job growth “work force housing initiatives”
Using Maps for Advocacy
  Inour work we see mapping as
   serving these primary advocacy
   goals
    Analysis
     ○ Existing conditions, spatial trends,
       scenarios, optimization etc.
    Storytelling
     ○ A narrative
    Combination
Analytical Examples
 Are minority businesses in areas of economic
  opportunity? (Cleveland)
 Are hospital investments benefiting
  communities of color? (Columbus)
 How should EITC advocacy be tailored?
  (Columbus)
 Are job growth areas connected to transit?
  (Baltimore)
MBE and Projected Job Change 2000-2030
Hospital
Investments and
African American
Neighborhoods:
Columbus
Where Should EITC Advocacy be Targeted?
Recent Job Growth 98-02 and Public Transit      Spatial Mismatch:
         in the Baltimore Region
                                             Job Growth & Public
                                              Transit in Baltimore


                                                       The following map
                                                illustrates the mismatch
                                                between job growth and
                                                      transit in Baltimore



Percent Change
    in Jobs
        Job Loss

        0-5

        5 - 15

        15 - 30

        30 - 66.6
Narratives Examples
 Subsidized housing policy is reinforcing
  segregation (Baltimore)
 Foreclosures in African American
  neighborhoods are due to subprime lending
  patterns (Cleveland)
 Vacant property problems are spreading,
  vacant property challenges are not just an
  inner city problem (Detroit)
 What if Montclair, NJ schools returned to
  neighborhood school system?
Conditions in
Baltimore

    Subsidized
     housing
     opportunities in
     Baltimore are
     generally
     clustered in the
     region’s
     predominately
     African American
     neighborhoods
Subprime Lending, Race and Foreclosure
(Note: Not one of our maps)
Subprime Lending, Race and Foreclosure
(Note: Not one of our maps)




    Maps: Produced and adapted from Charles Bromley, SAGES
    Presidential Fellow, Case Western University
Looking at Issues Across Time and Space:
The Growing Vacant Land Problem in Detroit

                                                                           N


       Growth of Vacant Housing                Legend:                 W       E



          in Detroit 1970-2000                                             S


                                          City of Detroit % of Homes Vacant
          (% Vacant Housing               Highways                0-3
            in 1970 and 2000)             Counties                3 - 10
                                                                  10 - 15
                                  Prepared by: Kirwan Institute
                                  Source Data: U.S. Census Bureau 15 - 20
                                                                  20 - 57.6




                      % Vacant                             % Vacant
                        1970                                 2000
       8        0        8        16 Miles
Montclair School District, NJ
Opportunity Mapping:
Combining Analysis with a Strong
Narrative
 Opportunity mapping is a research tool used to
  understand the dynamics of “opportunity” within
  metropolitan areas
 The purpose of opportunity mapping is to
  illustrate where opportunity rich communities
  exist (and assess who has access to these
  communities)
    Also, to understand what needs to be remedied in
    opportunity poor communities
The “Community of Opportunity”
approach
   Where you live is more important than what you live
    in…
     Housing -- in particular its location -- is the primary mechanism
      for accessing opportunity in our society
     Housing location determines
      ○ the quality of schools children attend,
      ○ the quality of public services they receive,
      ○ access to employment and transportation,
      ○ exposure to health risks,
      ○ access to health care, etc.
     For those living in high poverty neighborhoods, these factors
      can significantly inhibit life outcomes
Framework
   The “Communities of Opportunity” framework
    is a model of fair housing and community
    development
   The model is based on the premises that
     Everyone should have fair access to the critical
      opportunity structures needed to succeed in life
     Affirmatively connecting people to opportunity
      creates positive, transformative change in
      communities
The web of opportunity
   Opportunities in our society are geographically
    distributed (and often clustered) throughout
    metropolitan areas
     This creates “winner” and “loser” communities or
      “high” and “low” opportunity communities
   Your location within this “web of opportunity”
    plays a decisive role in your life potential and
    outcomes
     Individual characteristics still matter…
     …but so does access to opportunity, such as good
      schools, health care, child care, and job networks
Baltimore
Opportunity and
Subsidized
Housing


   Subsidized housing
    opportunities in Baltimore
    are generally clustered in
    the region’s lowest
    opportunity neighborhoods
Detroit Opportunity
             and Race
      African American men are
isolated from neighborhoods of
           opportunity in Detroit
Austin Opportunity
and Linguistic
Isolation
 Low opportunity
 neighborhoods have higher
 number of linguistically
 isolated households
Methodology

 Identifying and selecting indicators of
  opportunity
 Identifying sources of data
 Compiling list of indicators (data matrix)
 Calculating Z scores
 Averaging these scores
Methodology:
Sources of Data
   Federal Organizations
       Census Bureau
       County Business Patterns (ZIP Code Data)
       Housing and Urban Development (HUD)
       Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
   State and Local Governmental Organizations
       Regional planning agencies
       Education boards/school districts
       Transportation agencies
       County Auditor’s Office
   Other agencies (non-Profit and Private)
       Schoolmatters.org
       DataPlace.org
       ESRI Business Analyst
       Claritas
Methodology:
Indicator Categories
 Education
     Student/Teacher ratio? Test scores? Student mobility?

   Economic/Employment Indicators
     Unemployment rate? Proximity to employment? Job creation?

   Neighborhood Quality
       Median home values? Crime rate? Housing vacancy rate?

   Mobility/Transportation Indicators
       Mean commute time? Access to public transit?

   Health & Environmental Indicators
     Access to health care? Exposure to toxic waste? Proximity to parks
        or open space?
Methodology:
Calculating Z Scores

  Z Score – a statistical measure that quantifies the distance
   (measured in standard deviations) between data points and
   the mean
   Z Score = (Data point – Mean)/ Standard Deviation
  Allows data for a geography (e.g. census tract) to be
   measured based on their relative distance from the average
   for the entire region
  Raw z score performance
      Mean value is always “zero” – z score indicates distance from the
       mean
      Positive z score is always above the region’s mean, Negative z score
       is always below the region’s mean
      Indicators with negative effect on opportunity should have all the z
       scores adjusted to reflect this phenomena
Austin MSA, TX
New Orleans MSA, LA
Baltimore MSA, MD
Massachusetts Opportunity Mapping, Boston area
Cleveland Area, OH
Follow-up
 Need more research on methodology
 The model needs to be made more
  robust
 Critical analysis of all indicators e.g. job
  mismatch, park access issues
Ongoing projects
 Connecticut Fair Housing and Opportunity
 Children well-being and policy guidance in
  Massachusetts
 Florida Opportunity Mapping and Economic
  stimulus money tracking
 Montclair, NJ school integration
 King County, Seattle Opportunity Mapping
  and Housing
Future projects
   Online interactive maps
     ArcGIS Server
     ArcIMS
     ○ http://128.146.162.230/Website/Baltimore/

     Open source
     ○ http://www.gis.osu.edu/webgis-projects/opportunity/index.html

   Preparing a national model for Opportunity
    Mapping
Questions or Comments?
   Please visit us online at: www.kirwaninstitute.org

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GIS in Social Sciences

  • 1. Geography 686 Spring 2009 Class presentation May 18, 2009 SAMIR GAMBHIR Senior Research Associate Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity
  • 2. About Kirwan Institute  Mission & Vision The central mission of the Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity is to contribute meaningfully to the field of research and scholarship on race, ethnicity and social justice, to assist in reframing the way that we talk about, think about and act on race and ethnicity, and to deepen the understanding of the causes and consequences of and solutions to racial and ethnic hierarchy and disparity so that we can envision and realize a society that is fair and just for all people, where opportunity is not limited by race, ethnicity, gender, or class, where democratic ideals inform social policy, and where all people recognize and embrace the universal responsibility that each person has for the welfare of every other person. From day to day we are concerned about the internal workings of the Institute, but the real measure of our success must be the impact of our work in bringing about this vision of a true democratic society. For this reason, all of our research and scholarship is intended to have an implicit or explicit impact on policies in the real world. By creating a research-based structural lens to look at racism, we are shifting not only the way that racism is conceptualized, but also the way we conceive of strategies to counteract its impact. In shifting the way we talk about, think about and act on race, we hope to give new meaning to the proposition that human destinies are intertwined.
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  • 8. Questions  What do these maps show?  What are these being used for?  Do these maps tell a story?  Are these effective in conveying what they are intended for?  www.healthcarethatworks.org
  • 9. Discussion  Why use maps?  Overlay multiple pieces of information  Tell a story  Good entry point to unite diverse coalitions or stakeholders  Why is visual information important?  A picture is worth a thousand words  Provide spatial reference  “People are able to look at the information based on where they live or areas they are familiar with and obtain a better understating”  Why are maps effective?  “people feel like they understand maps. Nobody will give you feedback on regression analysis”  Mapping is very effective at identifying strategic intervention points  Shared sense of value; builds mutual trust
  • 10. Maps: Powerful Visual Tools Maps are incredibly efficient  compacting volumes of data  ability to convey information in seconds  tell a story or solve a problem  Research has shown that people can solve problems faster with map based information, than by looking at charts, tables or graphs
  • 11. Space and Social Equity  Why are maps particularly effective in dealing with issues of equity?  Regional, racial and social inequity often manifest as spatial inequity  Maps are naturally the best tools to display this spatial phenomena  Maps give us the opportunity to look at our entire regions or states ○ Informing people about an issue at a scale they may not usually think of ○ linking communities sharing similar problems
  • 12. Neighborhood based data  Using neighborhood based data to assess neighborhood opportunities and challenges is not unprecedented  is used in various sectors  Examples  Business: Site selection analysis by firms such as Claritas  Community Development: Criteria used to identify areas for targeted investment or areas targeted for specific community development initiatives  Housing: Models that try to connect affordable housing to areas of job growth “work force housing initiatives”
  • 13. Using Maps for Advocacy  Inour work we see mapping as serving these primary advocacy goals  Analysis ○ Existing conditions, spatial trends, scenarios, optimization etc.  Storytelling ○ A narrative  Combination
  • 14. Analytical Examples  Are minority businesses in areas of economic opportunity? (Cleveland)  Are hospital investments benefiting communities of color? (Columbus)  How should EITC advocacy be tailored? (Columbus)  Are job growth areas connected to transit? (Baltimore)
  • 15. MBE and Projected Job Change 2000-2030
  • 17. Where Should EITC Advocacy be Targeted?
  • 18. Recent Job Growth 98-02 and Public Transit Spatial Mismatch: in the Baltimore Region Job Growth & Public Transit in Baltimore The following map illustrates the mismatch between job growth and transit in Baltimore Percent Change in Jobs Job Loss 0-5 5 - 15 15 - 30 30 - 66.6
  • 19. Narratives Examples  Subsidized housing policy is reinforcing segregation (Baltimore)  Foreclosures in African American neighborhoods are due to subprime lending patterns (Cleveland)  Vacant property problems are spreading, vacant property challenges are not just an inner city problem (Detroit)  What if Montclair, NJ schools returned to neighborhood school system?
  • 20. Conditions in Baltimore  Subsidized housing opportunities in Baltimore are generally clustered in the region’s predominately African American neighborhoods
  • 21. Subprime Lending, Race and Foreclosure (Note: Not one of our maps)
  • 22. Subprime Lending, Race and Foreclosure (Note: Not one of our maps) Maps: Produced and adapted from Charles Bromley, SAGES Presidential Fellow, Case Western University
  • 23. Looking at Issues Across Time and Space: The Growing Vacant Land Problem in Detroit N Growth of Vacant Housing Legend: W E in Detroit 1970-2000 S City of Detroit % of Homes Vacant (% Vacant Housing Highways 0-3 in 1970 and 2000) Counties 3 - 10 10 - 15 Prepared by: Kirwan Institute Source Data: U.S. Census Bureau 15 - 20 20 - 57.6 % Vacant % Vacant 1970 2000 8 0 8 16 Miles
  • 25. Opportunity Mapping: Combining Analysis with a Strong Narrative  Opportunity mapping is a research tool used to understand the dynamics of “opportunity” within metropolitan areas  The purpose of opportunity mapping is to illustrate where opportunity rich communities exist (and assess who has access to these communities)  Also, to understand what needs to be remedied in opportunity poor communities
  • 26. The “Community of Opportunity” approach  Where you live is more important than what you live in…  Housing -- in particular its location -- is the primary mechanism for accessing opportunity in our society  Housing location determines ○ the quality of schools children attend, ○ the quality of public services they receive, ○ access to employment and transportation, ○ exposure to health risks, ○ access to health care, etc.  For those living in high poverty neighborhoods, these factors can significantly inhibit life outcomes
  • 27. Framework  The “Communities of Opportunity” framework is a model of fair housing and community development  The model is based on the premises that  Everyone should have fair access to the critical opportunity structures needed to succeed in life  Affirmatively connecting people to opportunity creates positive, transformative change in communities
  • 28. The web of opportunity  Opportunities in our society are geographically distributed (and often clustered) throughout metropolitan areas  This creates “winner” and “loser” communities or “high” and “low” opportunity communities  Your location within this “web of opportunity” plays a decisive role in your life potential and outcomes  Individual characteristics still matter…  …but so does access to opportunity, such as good schools, health care, child care, and job networks
  • 29. Baltimore Opportunity and Subsidized Housing  Subsidized housing opportunities in Baltimore are generally clustered in the region’s lowest opportunity neighborhoods
  • 30. Detroit Opportunity and Race African American men are isolated from neighborhoods of opportunity in Detroit
  • 31. Austin Opportunity and Linguistic Isolation Low opportunity neighborhoods have higher number of linguistically isolated households
  • 32. Methodology  Identifying and selecting indicators of opportunity  Identifying sources of data  Compiling list of indicators (data matrix)  Calculating Z scores  Averaging these scores
  • 33. Methodology: Sources of Data  Federal Organizations  Census Bureau  County Business Patterns (ZIP Code Data)  Housing and Urban Development (HUD)  Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)  State and Local Governmental Organizations  Regional planning agencies  Education boards/school districts  Transportation agencies  County Auditor’s Office  Other agencies (non-Profit and Private)  Schoolmatters.org  DataPlace.org  ESRI Business Analyst  Claritas
  • 34. Methodology: Indicator Categories  Education  Student/Teacher ratio? Test scores? Student mobility?  Economic/Employment Indicators  Unemployment rate? Proximity to employment? Job creation?  Neighborhood Quality  Median home values? Crime rate? Housing vacancy rate?  Mobility/Transportation Indicators  Mean commute time? Access to public transit?  Health & Environmental Indicators  Access to health care? Exposure to toxic waste? Proximity to parks or open space?
  • 35. Methodology: Calculating Z Scores  Z Score – a statistical measure that quantifies the distance (measured in standard deviations) between data points and the mean Z Score = (Data point – Mean)/ Standard Deviation  Allows data for a geography (e.g. census tract) to be measured based on their relative distance from the average for the entire region  Raw z score performance  Mean value is always “zero” – z score indicates distance from the mean  Positive z score is always above the region’s mean, Negative z score is always below the region’s mean  Indicators with negative effect on opportunity should have all the z scores adjusted to reflect this phenomena
  • 41. Follow-up  Need more research on methodology  The model needs to be made more robust  Critical analysis of all indicators e.g. job mismatch, park access issues
  • 42. Ongoing projects  Connecticut Fair Housing and Opportunity  Children well-being and policy guidance in Massachusetts  Florida Opportunity Mapping and Economic stimulus money tracking  Montclair, NJ school integration  King County, Seattle Opportunity Mapping and Housing
  • 43. Future projects  Online interactive maps  ArcGIS Server  ArcIMS ○ http://128.146.162.230/Website/Baltimore/  Open source ○ http://www.gis.osu.edu/webgis-projects/opportunity/index.html  Preparing a national model for Opportunity Mapping
  • 44. Questions or Comments?  Please visit us online at: www.kirwaninstitute.org