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“Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving the
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and the
Prospect in Post MDGs Architecture".
Presented By,
Khaing Sape Saw (Ms.), 14th Overseas Fellow, Myanmar
Master of Arts in International Political Economy (University of Tsukuba, JAPAN)
MBA (Yangon Institute of Economics, MYANMAR)
Post Graduate Diploma in Economics Development Studies
(Institute of Developing Economies Advanced School (IDEAS), Chiba, JAPAN)
DBS (LCCI , LONDON )
B.Com (Yangon Institute of Economics, MYANMAR)
1
Institute of Developing Economies Advanced School, JETRO
Chiba, Japan , 17-21 March 2014
• Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving
the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
• Status quo of poverty reduction and social
development towards MDGs in Myanmar.
• Evaluation of achievements of Myanmar in terms
of progresses towards MDGs.
• The Prospects of Post MDGs Architecture
• Prospective policies needed beyond 2015.
2
Outline
3
Objectives
where the Myanmar is with regards to the MDG
goals and targets
progress by which Myanmar is moving towards
the MDGs
Myanmar : Case study on
“Economic and Social Progress
toward Achieving the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs) and the
Prospect in Post MDGs
Architecture".
4
Economic and Social Progress toward
Achieving the MDGs
the present situation of poverty reduction and
social development
5
Myanmar:Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Achieve universal primary education
Promote gender equality and empower women
Reduce child mortality
Improve maternal health
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Ensure environmental sustainability
Develop a global partnership for development
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
6
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
One in four people lives below
the national poverty line.
Two in five children below the
age of five are under-
nourished.
Where We Are?
Poverty and food security remain serious challenges facing Myanmar.
the vast majority of whom reside in remote rural areas.
1
7
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
1
8
indicators National Level %
Food poverty headcount index 10
Poverty headcount index 32
Poverty gap index 0.07
Squared poverty gap index 0.02
Per capita GDP USD857
poverty rate 26
HD Index rank 149 out of 187 countries
Share of poorest quintile in
national consumption.
12.2
Where We Are?
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
1. Reduce by half the proportion
of people living on less than a
dollar a day
1. Proportion of population
below $1 (PPP) per day
2. Poverty gap ratio [incidence x
depth of poverty]
3. Share of poorest quintile in
national consumption
1
Targets for 2015
9
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
2. Achieve full and productive
employment and decent work
for all, including women and
young people
4.Growth rate of GDP per person
employed
5.Employment-to-population
ratio
6.Proportion of employed people
living below $1 (PPP) per day
7.Proportion of own-account and
contributing family workers in
total employment
1
10
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
3. Reduce by half the proportion
of people who suffer from
hunger
7.Prevalence of underweight
children under-five years of age
8.Proportion of population below
minimum level of dietary
energy consumption
1
11
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Myanmar’s National Strategy on Rural Development
and Poverty Alleviation aims
1
Myanmar poverty line : MMK 376’151 (Around US $ 437 at an exchange
rate of US $ 1= MMK 860) per adult per year.
above the poverty Line1
2
3
32% 2005 Poverty Rate
26% 2010 Poverty Rate
to reduce the poverty rate by half from 32% in 2005 to 16% by 2015.
As of 2010, around 26% of the population was living below the
national poverty line. Source: Integrated Household Living
Conditions Assessments (IHLCAs)
12
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
1
2
3
4
2010
2005
rural poor account
The employment/population ratio
Moderate malnutrition
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
1
The rural poor account for 84 per cent of the total poor.
The employment/population ratio increased from 54.3 per cent to 57.1 per cent between
2005 and 2010.
Moderate malnutrition in Myanmar fell marginally from 34.3 per cent to 32 per cent
between 2005 and 2010.
The incidence of poverty declined faster in urban areas than in rural areas.
Consequently, rural poverty remains higher considerably higher than urban poverty. 13
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
14
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 2010 Target Progress
Target 1.
Reduce by half the proportion
of people living on less than a
dollar a day
Proportion of population
below $1 (PPP) per day
Poverty gap ratio [incidence
x depth of poverty]
26 16
On
Track
Share of poorest quintile in
national consumption
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Prospective policies needed beyond
2015
•Framework Plan of Action on Rural
Development and Poverty Eradication
•Affordable credit, a creditable means
to improve lives
•Healthy livestock for better livelihoods
•Financial assistance and Human
Assistance program from International
1
15
Achieve universal primary education
• Myanmar has achieved parity in
primary, secondary and tertiary education.
• Close to 12 per cent of primary school-aged
children do not still enroll in primary schools.
2
Where We Are?
16
Achieve universal primary education2
Where We Are?
17
indicators National
Level %
rural urban
Net enrolment
ratio in primary
education
85 84 88
Literacy rate of
15-24 year olds.
92 91 96
Education School Level Grade Age Years
Primary Elementary 1-5 5-9 5
Secondary
Lower Secondary 6-9 10-14 4
Upper secondary 10-11 15-16 2
Tertiary
Undergraduate 17-20 4
Post-Graduate 21+
Myanmar Education System
Compulsory education in Myanmar includes ages 5-9.
Achieve universal primary education
2
18
Over 170 Universities
I. Main
 States and Regions
II. Health
 Medical
 Dental
 Public Health
 Traditional
 Veterinary Science
III. Technology
 Engineering
 Aerospace Engineering
 Computer Science
IV. Defend Services
Academy
 Defence
 Technology
 Nursing and Paramedical
V. Religion
 Theological Colleges
 Buddhism
VI. Other Specialisations
 Economics
 Forest
 Agriculture
 Education College
 Foreign language
Achieve universal primary education2
According to Nov 2012 Data Base 19
Achieve universal primary education
Where we are
The literacy rate: 15-24 year olds
The net enrolment rate in
primary schools.
2
88%96%
12%
Only 75 per cent of pupils starting grade 1 reach the last grade of
primary: grade 5.
20
Achieve universal primary education
Targets for 2015
2
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
1. children everywhere, boys
and girls alike, will be able to
complete a full course of
primary schooling
1. Net enrolment ratio in primary
education
2. Proportion of pupils starting
grade 1 who reach last grade of
primary
3. Literacy rate of 15-24 year-olds,
women and men
21
Key Issues in Education Sector
2 Achieve universal primary education
• Highly central control
• complex management,
• under Different Ministries
Management
• Lack of coordination
• among Universities
• between Basic and Higher
Across the sectors
• teaching ,learning resources –
library
• an adequate budget – increase
to 4 % though
limited resources
and access
• Exams- based,
• Teacher Centership
• Outdated policy and resources
System
22
Achieve universal primary education
progress in
achieving
universal
primary
education has
been slow.
Wide gaps exist
across states
and regions in
net enrolment
and net
completion
rates.
Progress in the
retention and
completion
rates of
primary
education has
been slow.
Due to this
status
addressing
slow progress,
it is unlikely to
achieve MDG
Goal 2 by 2015.
2
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
23
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
24
Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education 2010 Target Progress
Target 2.A: Ensure that, by
2015, children everywhere,
boys and girls alike, will be
able to complete a full course
of primary schooling
Net enrolment ratio in
primary education
88 100 slow
Proportion of pupils starting
grade 1 who reach last grade
of primary 75 100 slow
Literacy rate of 15-24 year-
olds, women and men
96 100
Early
Achiever
Achieve universal primary education
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
2
Addressing issues of over-aged children, out-of-school
children and dropouts is needed before Myanmar can
achieve universal primary education.
Vocational training and creation of employment
opportunities
chronic youth unemployment are particularly
important.
25
Achieve universal primary education
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
2
Prospective policies
Work Plan for Primary Education
Child Centred Education
English Language and other capacity Building
Ethnic language policy work
Comprehensive Education Sector Review
Independent Education System
Teacher Training
Financial assistance and Human Assistance program
from International 26
Promote gender equality and empower women
Where we are? ( Present Situation)
Gender inequality
3
Sector Inequality
National Parliament The proportion of seats
Informal-Formal sector
sector
Difference in wages
paid employment in higher ranks
State ministries The proportion and
positions
27
Promote gender equality and empower women
Where we are? ( Present Situation)
Eliminating gender inequality
3
Sector equality
primary education The ratio of girls to boys
has increased from 98 per
cent in 2000 to 104 per
cent in 2010.
secondary education The ratio of girls to boys
has increased from 99 per
cent in 2000 to 105 per
cent in 2010. 28
Promote gender equality and empower women
Where we are? ( Present Situation)
Eliminating gender inequality
3
Sector equality
tertiary education The number of girls had far exceeded
that of boys since 1990.
The GPI in tertiary education was 151
% in 1990, 168 %in 2000 and 164 %in
2010.
29
i. Girls and boys have almost equal opportunities in attending
primary and secondary education, with the boys at a slight
advantage.
ii. Girls have more Job access in Myanmar but not in wage.
Promote gender equality and empower women
3
30
Indicators
Ratios of girls to boys in primary, secondary and tertiary
education
Share of women in wage employment in the non-
agricultural sector
Proportion of seats held by women in national
parliament
Promote gender equality and empower women3
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
• Eliminate gender
disparity in primary and
secondary education
preferably by 2005, and
at all levels by 2015.
1. Ratios of girls to boys in
primary, secondary and
tertiary education
2. Share of women in
wage employment in
the non-agricultural
sector
3. Proportion of seats held
by women in national
parliament
Targets for 2015
31
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Myanmar has met the MDG target of eliminating
gender disparity in primary, secondary and tertiary
education.
The relative position of women vis-à-vis men is much
better in Myanmar than in many developing
countries.
Myanmar has a long way to go from achieving the
target of 30 per cent that was envisaged in the Beijing
Platform for Action as necessary to achieve a ‘critical
mass’ of women’s representation.
3
Promote gender equality and empower women
32
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Women’s share in paid employment outside the
agricultural sector has increased from 41.3 per cent
in 2005 to 44.7 per cent in 2010.
3
Promote gender equality and empower women
33
The 2010 elections, women held 43 seats (3.7 per
cent) in the National Parliament. This increased to
53 women MPs holding seats by end of 2012
(representing 4.6 per cent of elected seats)
An indication of Seats held by women in national parliament
Is strong positive trend. However, is apparent.
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
34
Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women 2010 2015
Target 3.
Eliminate gender disparity in
primary and secondary
education preferably by 2005,
and at all levels by 2015.
Ratios of girls to boys in
primary, secondary and
tertiary education
104
105
164
100
Early
Achiever
Share of women in wage
employment in the non-
agricultural sector 44.7 100 slow
Proportion of seats held by
women in national parliament
3.7 100 off track
Promote gender equality and empower women
3
35
Work Plan for Gender Equality
Work Plan on the Elimination of
Violence against Women
Women's access to microfinance
services has improved their
standard of living.
Financial assistance and Human
Assistance program for
Microfinance from International
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
Reduce child mortality
Where we are? (Present Situation)
• Child survival in Myanmar has improved over
the past decade.
• The rates of infant and under-five mortality
have been declining over the past decade.
• There is a slower reduction in neonatal
mortality than in under-five mortality.
4
36
Source: UN Inter-agency estimates for 2011.
Reduce child mortality4
37
indicators
Under-five mortality rate
Infant mortality rate
Proportion of 1 year-old children
immunised against measles
Reduce child mortality
Targets for 2015
4
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
Reduce by two thirds the
mortality rate among
children under five
1. Under-five mortality
rate (U5MR)
2. Infant mortality rate
3. Proportion of 1 year-old
children immunised
against measles
38
Reduce child mortality
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• The overall target of measles immunization of
90 per cent is likely to be fulfilled.
• Service delivery is particularly weak in rural,
remote and border areas and as a result
women and children in such areas and those
from poorer families have worse health and
survival outcomes.
4
39
Reduce child mortality
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs (Cont..)
• reaching the MDG target of U5MR of 36 per
1,000 live births by 2015 remain challenging.
• 2011 place the under-five mortality rate
(U5MR) at 62 per 1,000 live births and the
infant mortality rate (IMR) at 48 per 1,000 live
births.
4
40
Myanmar has successfully reduced child mortality rate to lower
than half since 1990.
However, according to 2011 data, Myanmar continues to lag
behind the MDG 4.
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
41
Goal 4: Reduce child mortality 2010 Target Progress
Target 4.
Reduce by two thirds the
mortality rate among
children under five
Under-five mortality rate
62 36 slow
Infant mortality rate
48 24 slow
Proportion of 1 year-old children
immunised against measles
90 100 on track
Reduce child mortality
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
measles immunization specific programmes
will be needed.
Promote Service delivery program in rural,
remote and border areas
4
42
Improve maternal health
Where we are (Present Situation)
5
the proportion of skilled
attendance at birth
64 % to 67 %
Urban Vs rural areas
 90 % higher than
 63 % of Rural.
among adolescent girls aged 15-19 years.
The lowest proportion of
skilled attendance at birth
59 per cent
By the Government of Myanmar’s Public Health Statistics Report 2011
between 2006-2009
43
Improve maternal health
Where we are (Present Situation)
5
According to the 2007 Fertility and Reproductive Health Survey
(FRHS)
using contraceptives 38 per cent of
married women
a steady increase in contraceptive
prevalence rates:
1997 28 per cent
2007 38 per cent
44
Improve maternal health
Where we are (Present Situation)
According to 2007 (FRHS)
among ever-married girls and women under 49 years, the
birth rates are;
5
below 15 years : 1.9 per cent and
below 18 years: 10 per cent
The average (mean) age at first birth was 22.8 years
45
Improve maternal health
5
46
indicators
Most maternal deaths could be avoided
Giving birth is especially risky in Southern Asia and sub-
Saharan Africa, where most women deliver without
skilled care
The rural-urban gap in skilled care during childbirth has
narrowed
Improve maternal health
Targets for 2015
5
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
1) Reduce by three quarters
the maternal mortality ratio
1. Most maternal deaths
could be avoided
2. Giving birth is especially
risky in Southern Asia and
sub-Saharan Africa, where
most women deliver
without skilled care
3. The rural-urban gap in
skilled care during
childbirth has narrowed
47
Improve maternal health
Targets for 2015
5
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
2) Achieve universal access to
reproductive health &
inadequate funding for family
planning is a major failure in
fulfilling commitments to
improving women’s
reproductive health
4. More women are
receiving antenatal care
5. Inequalities in care during
pregnancy are striking
6. Only one in three rural
women in developing
regions receive the
recommended care during
pregnancy
48
Improve maternal health
Targets for 2015
5
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
3) Achieve universal
access to
reproductive health &
inadequate funding
for family planning is
a major failure in
fulfilling
commitments to
improving women’s
reproductive health
7. Progress has stalled in reducing
the number of teenage
pregnancies, putting more young
mothers at risk
8. Poverty and lack of education
perpetuate high adolescent birth
rates
9. Progress in expanding the use of
contraceptives by women has
slowed & use of contraception is
lowest among the poorest women
and those with no education
49
Improve maternal health
• Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Though the maternal mortality ratio has
declined steadily and the proportion of
births attended by skilled health
personnel has increased gradually,
5
the country might not reach the
national MDG 5 MMR target of 130 per
100,000 live births by 2015.
50
Improve maternal health
 Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• all maternal deaths occur
 during delivery and the immediate post-partum
period.
a number of household, community level factors and
social factors highlight to the high levels of maternal
mortality.
Further contributing to maternal mortality are weak
infrastructure, poor reach of health services and
limited access to information.
5
51
Improve maternal health
• Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Contraceptive prevalence for modern
methods has not increased significantly
between 2001 ~ 2007.
There are also persistent differences
among States and Regions and by rural -
urban residence, age and wealth groups.
The contraceptive prevalence rate
among married women also remains
low.
5
52
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
53
Myanmar has significantly reduced the number of births not
attended by skilled health personnel since 1990. But,
according to 2010 data, 1 out of every 5 births still
unattended by skilled health personnel.
Improve maternal health
5
Improve maternal health
• Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Myanmar’s maternal mortality ratio
(MMR) was estimated to be 200 per
100,000 live births in 2010.
Despite the decline in MMR between
1990 and 2010, achieving the national
MDG 5 Myanmar target of 130 per
100,000 live births by 2015 remains a
challenge.
5
54
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
55
Goal 5: Improve maternal health
Target 5.
Reduce by three quarters the
maternal mortality ratio
Most maternal deaths could be
avoided
200 130 slow
Giving birth is especially risky in
Southern Asia and sub-Saharan
Africa, where most women deliver
without skilled care
20 0 on track
The rural-urban gap in skilled care
during childbirth has narrowed
63 120
off track
Improve maternal health
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
5
Contraceptive prevalence for modern
methods
Inclusive policy reform
Socio-economic progress
National Development Strategy
Poverty Reduction and Rural
Development
Develop infrastructure including
communications and transportation
networks
Financial assistance and Human
Assistance program from International 56
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Where we are (Present Situation)
6
Myanmar has done well to stabilize the HIV/AIDS
epidemic.
the prevalence among the general population (15-
49 years old) is below 1 percent.
The major challenge is to scale up HIV treatment,
which now covers only about 1 in 3 of those in
need.
HIV/AIDS
57
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Where we are (Present Situation)
Since 2007,
• Myanmar already has achieved the goal of a 50
percent reduction in malaria morbidity and
mortality.
6
Malaria
58
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Where we are (Present Situation)
An increase in the use of insecticide-treated nets
(ITNs)
6
nearly 20 per cent of under-five children are now
sleeping under ITN, compared to only 0.11
percent in 2000.
59
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
• Myanmar is one of the world’s 22 high tuberculosis
(TB) burden countries.
• WHO estimates that 180,000 new TB cases emerge
in the country each year, including 20,000 cases co-
infected by TB and HIV.
Since 1995,
• The TB incidence rate has declined.
• the target of halving TB mortality compared with
1990 levels was met in 2010.
6
TB
Where we are (Present Situation)
60
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
6
61
indicators
HIV prevalence among population aged 15-24 years
Condom use at last high-risk sex
Proportion of population aged 15-24 years with
comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS
Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school
attendance of non-orphans aged 10-14 years
Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection
with access to antiretroviral drugs
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Targets for 2015
6
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
1) Halt and begin to
reverse the spread
of HIV/AIDS
1. HIV prevalence among
population aged 15-24 years
2. Condom use at last high-risk sex
3. Proportion of population aged
15-24 years with comprehensive
correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS
4. Ratio of school attendance of
orphans to school attendance of
non-orphans aged 10-14 years
62
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Targets for 2015
6
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
2) Achieve, by
2010, universal
access to
treatment for
HIV/AIDS for all
those who need
it.
5. Proportion of population with
advanced HIV infection with
access to antiretroviral drugs
63
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• Even HIV/AIDS epidemic and the prevalence
among the general population (15-49 years
old) is below 1 percent,
“hot spots” of high HIV transmission exist in several
locations which intensify the need for continued
focus on key populations at higher risk ;– sex
workers, men who have sex with men and persons
who inject drugs – to maintain the positive
achievements.
6
64
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• The TB-related MDGs are likely to be achieved
by 2015 based on the results of national TB
prevalence survey completed in 2010.
• in 2011 the estimated prevalence was 506 TB
cases per 100,000 population.
• However, additional efforts are needed to
reach the MDG target of 447 prevalent TB
cases per 100,000 population in 2015
6
65
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• Myanmar is far from ensuring universal access to
treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it.
• In 2011, the HIV Treatment: Antiretroviral
Therapy (ART) was approximately 44 per cent and
the 12-month retention rate following HIV
Treatment was 87%.
6
66
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
67
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 2010 Target
Target 6.
Halt and begin to reverse the
spread of HIV/AIDS
HIV prevalence among
population aged 15-24 years
>1
early
achiever
Condom use at last high-risk
sex
Proportion of population aged
15-24 years with
comprehensive correct
knowledge of HIV/AIDS
Ratio of school attendance of
orphans to school attendance
of non-orphans aged 10-14
years
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
68
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 2011 Target
Target 6.
Achieve, by 2010, universal
access to treatment for
HIV/AIDS for all those who
need it.
Proportion of population with
advanced HIV infection with
access to antiretroviral drugs
44 100 off track
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
6
• Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
69
•scale up HIV treatment
•universal access to
treatment for HIV/AIDS
•Financial assistance and
Human Assistance program
from International
•Education program,
seminar, workshop for
HIV/AIDS, malaria and
other diseases
Ensure environmental sustainability
Where we are (Present Situation)
The Myanmar forest policy (1995)
• focuses on the sustainable development of the
country
• paves the way for sustainable use of the forest
resources
• maintaining the natural ecosystem functions.
7
70
Myanmar : a land area of 676,577 km
almost 47 per cent of the area is
covered with the forest.
Inland water body:
estimated to be 2.81 per cent.
Ensure environmental sustainability
Where we are (Present Situation)
• Total emission of CO2 was estimated to be
74400.7 Gg CO2 e in Myanmar for the
year 2000, where the major emissions
came from deforestation, shifting
cultivation and land clearing for forest
plantations.
• Together they constitute about 6.67 % of
the total land area of Myanmar.
7
71
Ensure environmental sustainability
Where we are (Present Situation)
• There are a total of 281 threatened
animal species and 50 threatened plant
species in Myanmar. ( source: The
International Union for Conservation of
Nature and Natural Resources - IUCN Red List
2011)
7
72
73
indicators
Proportion of land area covered by forest
Proportion of population using an improved
drinking water source
Proportion of population using an improved
sanitation facility
7
Ensure environmental sustainability
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
1. Integrate the
principles of
sustainable
development into
country policies and
programmes;
reverse loss of
environmental
resources
Ensure environmental sustainability7
Targets for 2015
74
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
2. Reduce
biodiversity loss,
achieving, by 2010,
a significant
reduction in the
rate of loss
1. Proportion of land area covered by
forest and proportion of species
threatened with extinction
2. CO2 emissions, total, per capita and per
$1 GDP (PPP)
3. Consumption of ozone-depleting
substances
4. Proportion of fish stocks within safe
biological limits
5. Proportion of total water resources
used
6. Proportion of terrestrial and marine
areas protected
Ensure environmental sustainability7
Targets for 2015
75
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
3. Reduce by half
the proportion of
people without
sustainable access
to safe drinking
water and basic
sanitation
7. Proportion of population
using an improved drinking
water source
8. Proportion of population
using an improved sanitation
facility
Ensure environmental sustainability7
Targets for 2015
76
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
4. Achieve significant
improvement in lives
of at least 100 million
slum dwellers, by
2020 Proportion of
urban population
living in slums
Ensure environmental sustainability7
Targets for 2015
77
Ensure environmental sustainability
• Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
 Access to safe drinking water increased moderately
in the country,
 where the increase was less among the poor when
compared to the non-poor.
 The natural environment is being degraded due to
both human activities and natural phenomena such
as forest fires, landslides, floods and storm surges.
7
78
Ensure environmental sustainability
• Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
Findings from the Integrated Household Living
Conditions Assessment - IHLCA (2009-2010) reveal
that 69 per cent of the total population of the
country used improved water in 2010.
A total of 79 per cent of the total population of
the country used improved sanitation facilities in
2010.
Around 65 per cent of urban households in
Myanmar lack access to improved water;
improved sanitation; sufficient living area; or
durability of housing.
7
79
Ensure environmental sustainability
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• Myanmar is working towards for the MDG 7
Goal:
ensuring environmental sustainability,
by integrating sustainability practices into the
country’s policies.
• Although the government has enacted the new
Environmental Law and related regulations to
use natural resources in a sustainable manner,
 there are many environmental problems caused by
development projects of various sectors.
7
80
Ensure environmental sustainability
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
7
81
The loss of forest cover slowed down. Recent data suggest
that reforestation efforts have halted further declines.
The target of 69.5 percent for improved sanitation for
2015 has been achieved in 2010.
However, 3 out of every 10 persons in 2010 still do not
have access to improved sanitation facility.
more than one-third (37%) of the population still do not
have access to improved drinking water source.
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
82
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability 2010 Target
Target 7.A: Integrate the principles
of sustainable development into
country policies and programmes
and reverse the loss of
environmental resources
Proportion of land area covered
by forest
47 off track
Target 7.CReduce by half the
proportion of people without
sustainable access to safe
drinking water and basic sanitation
Proportion of population using an
improved drinking water source
69 slow
Proportion of population using an
improved sanitation facility
79 69.5
early
achiever
Ensure environmental sustainability
• Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
Making easy access to safe water
Helping protect environment with compost fertilizer
Reforestation Policy
Work plan for access to improve sanitation
specific institution assigned for the overall management of
toxic chemicals and hazardous wastes.
No specific chemical law and regulation
Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from
International
7
83
Where we are. (Present Situation)
International Relations
• Rapprochement with the West
• High-profile visits of senior Government and National
and UN officials
• Re-engagement with the international community
• Resumption of ODA
• Gradual lifting of Sanctions
• ASEAN Chairmanship in 2014
• AFTA/AEC in 2015
• Engagement with UN
• UN Country Team Strategic Framework (2012-15)
Develop a global partnership for development
8
Develop a global partnership for development
Where we are. (Present Situation)
•re-integration into the world community.
•domestic transformation.
•human development ranked 149 out of 187 on the rank.
(2012)
•Myanmar’s life expectancy at birth increased by 10.6
years, mean years of schooling increased by 2.2 years and
expected years of schooling increased by 3.2 years. (1980 ~
2012)
•Myanmar’s GNI per capita increased by about 405 percent
between 1980 and 2012.
8
85
86
indicators
Telephone lines per 100 population
Cellular subscribers per 100 population
Internet users per 100 population
Develop a global partnership for development8
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
1. Develop further an
open, rule-based,
predictable, non-
discriminatory
trading and financial
system
1. Developing countries gain
greater access to the markets
of developed countries
2. Least developed countries
benefit most from tariff
reductions, especially on their
agricultural products
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
87
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
2. Address the
special needs of
least developed
countries
3. Net Official development assistance
(ODA), total and to the least
developed countries, as percentage
of OECD/DAC donors' gross national
income
4. Proportion of total bilateral, sector-
allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors
to basic social services (basic
education, primary health care,
nutrition, safe water and sanitation)
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
88
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
2. Address the
special needs of
least developed
countries
5. Proportion of bilateral official
development assistance of
OECD/DAC donors that is untied
6. Market access
7. Debt sustainability
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
89
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
3. Address the
special needs
of landlocked
developing
countries and
small island
developing
States
8. Official development assistance (ODA)
received in landlocked developing countries
as a proportion of their gross national
income
9. ODA received in small island developing
States as a proportion of their gross national
incomes
10.Proportion of bilateral official development
assistance of OECD/DAC donors that is
untied
11.Market access
12.Debt sustainability
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
90
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
4. Deal
comprehensively
with the debt
problems of
developing
countries
13.Total number of countries that have
reached their HIPC decision points
and number that have reached
their HIPC completion points
(cumulative)
14.Debt relief committed under HIPC
and MDRI Initiatives
15.Debt service as a percentage of
exports of goods and services
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
91
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress
5. In cooperation with
pharmaceutical
companies, provide
access to affordable
essential drugs in
developing countries
16.Proportion of population
with access to affordable
essential drugs on a
sustainable basis
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
92
Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring
progress
6. In cooperation with the
private sector, make
available the benefits of
new technologies,
especially information
and communications
17.Telephone lines per
100 population
18.Cellular subscribers
per 100 population
19.Internet users per 100
population
Develop a global partnership for development8
Targets for 2015
93
Develop a global partnership for development
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• Myanmar is undergoing a rapid transformation
• But still in low human development category.
•Myanmar opened its doors for Foreign Direct
Investment in 1988 following the enactment of
Foreign Investment Law on 30 November, 1988.
8
94
Develop a global partnership for development
Evaluation progresses towards MDGs
• Recent economic growth in Myanmar has been
relatively low for its level of income.(source:
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD))
• The OECD’s medium-term growth forecasts
indicate that without structural change the
economy can grow at an average of 6.3% over
2013-17, somewhat below the government’s
7.7% target for 2013-2015.
8
95
Myanmar: Progress in MDGs
96
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development 2013
Target 8.F
In cooperation with the private
sector, make available the benefits
of new technologies, especially
information and communications
Telephone lines per 100
population 29 On track
Cellular subscribers per 100
population
83
early
achiever
Internet users per 100 population
83
early
achiever
Develop a global partnership for development
Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
• Policy advocacy work
 Parliament
 Civil Society actors
 Donors efforts
 Research
• Networking and Clusters
• Media
• Good Governance and Clean Government
• Financial assistance and Human Assistance program
from International
• ODA Loan, Soft Loan, Grant
• FDIs
8
97
• The 8 goals and 21 targets of the MDGs and
the Community goals of Myanmar
• Some significant challenges still need to be
overcome to fully achieve the MDGs and
narrow the development gap
98
Recommendation
Development Priorities
• Education and Health
• Legal structures
• Infrastructure, and
• Policy formation and implementation
• Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
99
Challenges
• Socio-economic and
humanitarian challenges
• Weak capacity for
implementing reforms
• Beginning not the end
• Much still depends on
individuals not policy
• Sanctions
• Official Development
Assistance (ODA)
• Lowest recipient of ODA
among all LDC’s, with 7.2 US$
per capita in 2010
• FDIs
• Kick-Starting/Jump Start
Growth – SEZs, Deep Sea
Ports
• Equality of opportunities not
outcomes
• “Pulled Along” by China, India
+ ASEAN
• Poor Infrastructure
• Corruption
• Weak rule of law and
property rights
• No independent judiciary
and lack of legal transparency
• Arbitrary tax policies
EXISTING CHALLENGES
• International sanctions not fully removed yet
• Opaque and arbitrary policymaking, including
frequent, unannounced and unwritten policy changes
• Tiny financial sector and shallow domestic capital
market
• Continued unpredictability in electricity supply,
especially areas outside Yangon and other major
cities
• Privatization
• Weak educational system and unskilled work force
• Evolving system of exchange rates and foreign
exchange controls
• Investments approved on a case-by-case basis
Recommendation
New Myanmar
• One of Asia's final economic frontiers
• Comparative advantages
• Geographical location
• 60-million untapped market
• Numerous natural resources
102
THANK YOU
103
References
• Government of Myanmar Public Health Statistics; Draft Myanmar
MDGs Report
• Integrated Households Living Conditions Assessments; Draft
Myanmar MDGs report
• IHLCA Project Technical Unit, “Integrated Household
Living Conditions Survey in Myanmar (2009-2010)
• Poverty Profile,” UNDP Myanmar, June, 2011
• First ASEAN Statistical Report on MDGs Indicators: ASEAN
Secretariat Paper International Conference on MDGs Indicators
• Status of GHS Implementation and Hazard Communication in
Myanmar
• Myanmar Education Sector Profile : USAID
• Current scene in the Education Sector By Aung Kyaw Thein
• Assessing Myanmar’s Reforms by PROF.DR.Aung Tun Thet
104

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Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)_Presentation

  • 1. “Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and the Prospect in Post MDGs Architecture". Presented By, Khaing Sape Saw (Ms.), 14th Overseas Fellow, Myanmar Master of Arts in International Political Economy (University of Tsukuba, JAPAN) MBA (Yangon Institute of Economics, MYANMAR) Post Graduate Diploma in Economics Development Studies (Institute of Developing Economies Advanced School (IDEAS), Chiba, JAPAN) DBS (LCCI , LONDON ) B.Com (Yangon Institute of Economics, MYANMAR) 1 Institute of Developing Economies Advanced School, JETRO Chiba, Japan , 17-21 March 2014
  • 2. • Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) • Status quo of poverty reduction and social development towards MDGs in Myanmar. • Evaluation of achievements of Myanmar in terms of progresses towards MDGs. • The Prospects of Post MDGs Architecture • Prospective policies needed beyond 2015. 2 Outline
  • 3. 3 Objectives where the Myanmar is with regards to the MDG goals and targets progress by which Myanmar is moving towards the MDGs
  • 4. Myanmar : Case study on “Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and the Prospect in Post MDGs Architecture". 4
  • 5. Economic and Social Progress toward Achieving the MDGs the present situation of poverty reduction and social development 5
  • 6. Myanmar:Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Achieve universal primary education Promote gender equality and empower women Reduce child mortality Improve maternal health Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Ensure environmental sustainability Develop a global partnership for development 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 6
  • 7. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger One in four people lives below the national poverty line. Two in five children below the age of five are under- nourished. Where We Are? Poverty and food security remain serious challenges facing Myanmar. the vast majority of whom reside in remote rural areas. 1 7
  • 8. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 1 8 indicators National Level % Food poverty headcount index 10 Poverty headcount index 32 Poverty gap index 0.07 Squared poverty gap index 0.02 Per capita GDP USD857 poverty rate 26 HD Index rank 149 out of 187 countries Share of poorest quintile in national consumption. 12.2 Where We Are?
  • 9. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1. Reduce by half the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a day 1. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day 2. Poverty gap ratio [incidence x depth of poverty] 3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption 1 Targets for 2015 9
  • 10. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2. Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people 4.Growth rate of GDP per person employed 5.Employment-to-population ratio 6.Proportion of employed people living below $1 (PPP) per day 7.Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in total employment 1 10
  • 11. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 3. Reduce by half the proportion of people who suffer from hunger 7.Prevalence of underweight children under-five years of age 8.Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption 1 11
  • 12. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Myanmar’s National Strategy on Rural Development and Poverty Alleviation aims 1 Myanmar poverty line : MMK 376’151 (Around US $ 437 at an exchange rate of US $ 1= MMK 860) per adult per year. above the poverty Line1 2 3 32% 2005 Poverty Rate 26% 2010 Poverty Rate to reduce the poverty rate by half from 32% in 2005 to 16% by 2015. As of 2010, around 26% of the population was living below the national poverty line. Source: Integrated Household Living Conditions Assessments (IHLCAs) 12
  • 13. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1 2 3 4 2010 2005 rural poor account The employment/population ratio Moderate malnutrition Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Evaluation progresses towards MDGs 1 The rural poor account for 84 per cent of the total poor. The employment/population ratio increased from 54.3 per cent to 57.1 per cent between 2005 and 2010. Moderate malnutrition in Myanmar fell marginally from 34.3 per cent to 32 per cent between 2005 and 2010. The incidence of poverty declined faster in urban areas than in rural areas. Consequently, rural poverty remains higher considerably higher than urban poverty. 13
  • 14. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 14 Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 2010 Target Progress Target 1. Reduce by half the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a day Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day Poverty gap ratio [incidence x depth of poverty] 26 16 On Track Share of poorest quintile in national consumption
  • 15. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 •Framework Plan of Action on Rural Development and Poverty Eradication •Affordable credit, a creditable means to improve lives •Healthy livestock for better livelihoods •Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International 1 15
  • 16. Achieve universal primary education • Myanmar has achieved parity in primary, secondary and tertiary education. • Close to 12 per cent of primary school-aged children do not still enroll in primary schools. 2 Where We Are? 16
  • 17. Achieve universal primary education2 Where We Are? 17 indicators National Level % rural urban Net enrolment ratio in primary education 85 84 88 Literacy rate of 15-24 year olds. 92 91 96
  • 18. Education School Level Grade Age Years Primary Elementary 1-5 5-9 5 Secondary Lower Secondary 6-9 10-14 4 Upper secondary 10-11 15-16 2 Tertiary Undergraduate 17-20 4 Post-Graduate 21+ Myanmar Education System Compulsory education in Myanmar includes ages 5-9. Achieve universal primary education 2 18
  • 19. Over 170 Universities I. Main  States and Regions II. Health  Medical  Dental  Public Health  Traditional  Veterinary Science III. Technology  Engineering  Aerospace Engineering  Computer Science IV. Defend Services Academy  Defence  Technology  Nursing and Paramedical V. Religion  Theological Colleges  Buddhism VI. Other Specialisations  Economics  Forest  Agriculture  Education College  Foreign language Achieve universal primary education2 According to Nov 2012 Data Base 19
  • 20. Achieve universal primary education Where we are The literacy rate: 15-24 year olds The net enrolment rate in primary schools. 2 88%96% 12% Only 75 per cent of pupils starting grade 1 reach the last grade of primary: grade 5. 20
  • 21. Achieve universal primary education Targets for 2015 2 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1. children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling 1. Net enrolment ratio in primary education 2. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach last grade of primary 3. Literacy rate of 15-24 year-olds, women and men 21
  • 22. Key Issues in Education Sector 2 Achieve universal primary education • Highly central control • complex management, • under Different Ministries Management • Lack of coordination • among Universities • between Basic and Higher Across the sectors • teaching ,learning resources – library • an adequate budget – increase to 4 % though limited resources and access • Exams- based, • Teacher Centership • Outdated policy and resources System 22
  • 23. Achieve universal primary education progress in achieving universal primary education has been slow. Wide gaps exist across states and regions in net enrolment and net completion rates. Progress in the retention and completion rates of primary education has been slow. Due to this status addressing slow progress, it is unlikely to achieve MDG Goal 2 by 2015. 2 Evaluation progresses towards MDGs 23
  • 24. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 24 Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education 2010 Target Progress Target 2.A: Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Net enrolment ratio in primary education 88 100 slow Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach last grade of primary 75 100 slow Literacy rate of 15-24 year- olds, women and men 96 100 Early Achiever
  • 25. Achieve universal primary education Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 2 Addressing issues of over-aged children, out-of-school children and dropouts is needed before Myanmar can achieve universal primary education. Vocational training and creation of employment opportunities chronic youth unemployment are particularly important. 25
  • 26. Achieve universal primary education Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 2 Prospective policies Work Plan for Primary Education Child Centred Education English Language and other capacity Building Ethnic language policy work Comprehensive Education Sector Review Independent Education System Teacher Training Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International 26
  • 27. Promote gender equality and empower women Where we are? ( Present Situation) Gender inequality 3 Sector Inequality National Parliament The proportion of seats Informal-Formal sector sector Difference in wages paid employment in higher ranks State ministries The proportion and positions 27
  • 28. Promote gender equality and empower women Where we are? ( Present Situation) Eliminating gender inequality 3 Sector equality primary education The ratio of girls to boys has increased from 98 per cent in 2000 to 104 per cent in 2010. secondary education The ratio of girls to boys has increased from 99 per cent in 2000 to 105 per cent in 2010. 28
  • 29. Promote gender equality and empower women Where we are? ( Present Situation) Eliminating gender inequality 3 Sector equality tertiary education The number of girls had far exceeded that of boys since 1990. The GPI in tertiary education was 151 % in 1990, 168 %in 2000 and 164 %in 2010. 29 i. Girls and boys have almost equal opportunities in attending primary and secondary education, with the boys at a slight advantage. ii. Girls have more Job access in Myanmar but not in wage.
  • 30. Promote gender equality and empower women 3 30 Indicators Ratios of girls to boys in primary, secondary and tertiary education Share of women in wage employment in the non- agricultural sector Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament
  • 31. Promote gender equality and empower women3 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress • Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015. 1. Ratios of girls to boys in primary, secondary and tertiary education 2. Share of women in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector 3. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament Targets for 2015 31
  • 32. Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Myanmar has met the MDG target of eliminating gender disparity in primary, secondary and tertiary education. The relative position of women vis-à-vis men is much better in Myanmar than in many developing countries. Myanmar has a long way to go from achieving the target of 30 per cent that was envisaged in the Beijing Platform for Action as necessary to achieve a ‘critical mass’ of women’s representation. 3 Promote gender equality and empower women 32
  • 33. Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Women’s share in paid employment outside the agricultural sector has increased from 41.3 per cent in 2005 to 44.7 per cent in 2010. 3 Promote gender equality and empower women 33 The 2010 elections, women held 43 seats (3.7 per cent) in the National Parliament. This increased to 53 women MPs holding seats by end of 2012 (representing 4.6 per cent of elected seats) An indication of Seats held by women in national parliament Is strong positive trend. However, is apparent.
  • 34. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 34 Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women 2010 2015 Target 3. Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015. Ratios of girls to boys in primary, secondary and tertiary education 104 105 164 100 Early Achiever Share of women in wage employment in the non- agricultural sector 44.7 100 slow Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament 3.7 100 off track
  • 35. Promote gender equality and empower women 3 35 Work Plan for Gender Equality Work Plan on the Elimination of Violence against Women Women's access to microfinance services has improved their standard of living. Financial assistance and Human Assistance program for Microfinance from International Prospective policies needed beyond 2015
  • 36. Reduce child mortality Where we are? (Present Situation) • Child survival in Myanmar has improved over the past decade. • The rates of infant and under-five mortality have been declining over the past decade. • There is a slower reduction in neonatal mortality than in under-five mortality. 4 36 Source: UN Inter-agency estimates for 2011.
  • 37. Reduce child mortality4 37 indicators Under-five mortality rate Infant mortality rate Proportion of 1 year-old children immunised against measles
  • 38. Reduce child mortality Targets for 2015 4 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five 1. Under-five mortality rate (U5MR) 2. Infant mortality rate 3. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunised against measles 38
  • 39. Reduce child mortality Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • The overall target of measles immunization of 90 per cent is likely to be fulfilled. • Service delivery is particularly weak in rural, remote and border areas and as a result women and children in such areas and those from poorer families have worse health and survival outcomes. 4 39
  • 40. Reduce child mortality Evaluation progresses towards MDGs (Cont..) • reaching the MDG target of U5MR of 36 per 1,000 live births by 2015 remain challenging. • 2011 place the under-five mortality rate (U5MR) at 62 per 1,000 live births and the infant mortality rate (IMR) at 48 per 1,000 live births. 4 40 Myanmar has successfully reduced child mortality rate to lower than half since 1990. However, according to 2011 data, Myanmar continues to lag behind the MDG 4.
  • 41. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 41 Goal 4: Reduce child mortality 2010 Target Progress Target 4. Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five Under-five mortality rate 62 36 slow Infant mortality rate 48 24 slow Proportion of 1 year-old children immunised against measles 90 100 on track
  • 42. Reduce child mortality Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 measles immunization specific programmes will be needed. Promote Service delivery program in rural, remote and border areas 4 42
  • 43. Improve maternal health Where we are (Present Situation) 5 the proportion of skilled attendance at birth 64 % to 67 % Urban Vs rural areas  90 % higher than  63 % of Rural. among adolescent girls aged 15-19 years. The lowest proportion of skilled attendance at birth 59 per cent By the Government of Myanmar’s Public Health Statistics Report 2011 between 2006-2009 43
  • 44. Improve maternal health Where we are (Present Situation) 5 According to the 2007 Fertility and Reproductive Health Survey (FRHS) using contraceptives 38 per cent of married women a steady increase in contraceptive prevalence rates: 1997 28 per cent 2007 38 per cent 44
  • 45. Improve maternal health Where we are (Present Situation) According to 2007 (FRHS) among ever-married girls and women under 49 years, the birth rates are; 5 below 15 years : 1.9 per cent and below 18 years: 10 per cent The average (mean) age at first birth was 22.8 years 45
  • 46. Improve maternal health 5 46 indicators Most maternal deaths could be avoided Giving birth is especially risky in Southern Asia and sub- Saharan Africa, where most women deliver without skilled care The rural-urban gap in skilled care during childbirth has narrowed
  • 47. Improve maternal health Targets for 2015 5 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1) Reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio 1. Most maternal deaths could be avoided 2. Giving birth is especially risky in Southern Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, where most women deliver without skilled care 3. The rural-urban gap in skilled care during childbirth has narrowed 47
  • 48. Improve maternal health Targets for 2015 5 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2) Achieve universal access to reproductive health & inadequate funding for family planning is a major failure in fulfilling commitments to improving women’s reproductive health 4. More women are receiving antenatal care 5. Inequalities in care during pregnancy are striking 6. Only one in three rural women in developing regions receive the recommended care during pregnancy 48
  • 49. Improve maternal health Targets for 2015 5 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 3) Achieve universal access to reproductive health & inadequate funding for family planning is a major failure in fulfilling commitments to improving women’s reproductive health 7. Progress has stalled in reducing the number of teenage pregnancies, putting more young mothers at risk 8. Poverty and lack of education perpetuate high adolescent birth rates 9. Progress in expanding the use of contraceptives by women has slowed & use of contraception is lowest among the poorest women and those with no education 49
  • 50. Improve maternal health • Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Though the maternal mortality ratio has declined steadily and the proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel has increased gradually, 5 the country might not reach the national MDG 5 MMR target of 130 per 100,000 live births by 2015. 50
  • 51. Improve maternal health  Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • all maternal deaths occur  during delivery and the immediate post-partum period. a number of household, community level factors and social factors highlight to the high levels of maternal mortality. Further contributing to maternal mortality are weak infrastructure, poor reach of health services and limited access to information. 5 51
  • 52. Improve maternal health • Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Contraceptive prevalence for modern methods has not increased significantly between 2001 ~ 2007. There are also persistent differences among States and Regions and by rural - urban residence, age and wealth groups. The contraceptive prevalence rate among married women also remains low. 5 52
  • 53. Evaluation progresses towards MDGs 53 Myanmar has significantly reduced the number of births not attended by skilled health personnel since 1990. But, according to 2010 data, 1 out of every 5 births still unattended by skilled health personnel. Improve maternal health 5
  • 54. Improve maternal health • Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Myanmar’s maternal mortality ratio (MMR) was estimated to be 200 per 100,000 live births in 2010. Despite the decline in MMR between 1990 and 2010, achieving the national MDG 5 Myanmar target of 130 per 100,000 live births by 2015 remains a challenge. 5 54
  • 55. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 55 Goal 5: Improve maternal health Target 5. Reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio Most maternal deaths could be avoided 200 130 slow Giving birth is especially risky in Southern Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, where most women deliver without skilled care 20 0 on track The rural-urban gap in skilled care during childbirth has narrowed 63 120 off track
  • 56. Improve maternal health Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 5 Contraceptive prevalence for modern methods Inclusive policy reform Socio-economic progress National Development Strategy Poverty Reduction and Rural Development Develop infrastructure including communications and transportation networks Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International 56
  • 57. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Where we are (Present Situation) 6 Myanmar has done well to stabilize the HIV/AIDS epidemic. the prevalence among the general population (15- 49 years old) is below 1 percent. The major challenge is to scale up HIV treatment, which now covers only about 1 in 3 of those in need. HIV/AIDS 57
  • 58. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Where we are (Present Situation) Since 2007, • Myanmar already has achieved the goal of a 50 percent reduction in malaria morbidity and mortality. 6 Malaria 58
  • 59. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Where we are (Present Situation) An increase in the use of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) 6 nearly 20 per cent of under-five children are now sleeping under ITN, compared to only 0.11 percent in 2000. 59
  • 60. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases • Myanmar is one of the world’s 22 high tuberculosis (TB) burden countries. • WHO estimates that 180,000 new TB cases emerge in the country each year, including 20,000 cases co- infected by TB and HIV. Since 1995, • The TB incidence rate has declined. • the target of halving TB mortality compared with 1990 levels was met in 2010. 6 TB Where we are (Present Situation) 60
  • 61. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 6 61 indicators HIV prevalence among population aged 15-24 years Condom use at last high-risk sex Proportion of population aged 15-24 years with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school attendance of non-orphans aged 10-14 years Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection with access to antiretroviral drugs
  • 62. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Targets for 2015 6 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1) Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS 1. HIV prevalence among population aged 15-24 years 2. Condom use at last high-risk sex 3. Proportion of population aged 15-24 years with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS 4. Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school attendance of non-orphans aged 10-14 years 62
  • 63. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Targets for 2015 6 Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2) Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it. 5. Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection with access to antiretroviral drugs 63
  • 64. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • Even HIV/AIDS epidemic and the prevalence among the general population (15-49 years old) is below 1 percent, “hot spots” of high HIV transmission exist in several locations which intensify the need for continued focus on key populations at higher risk ;– sex workers, men who have sex with men and persons who inject drugs – to maintain the positive achievements. 6 64
  • 65. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • The TB-related MDGs are likely to be achieved by 2015 based on the results of national TB prevalence survey completed in 2010. • in 2011 the estimated prevalence was 506 TB cases per 100,000 population. • However, additional efforts are needed to reach the MDG target of 447 prevalent TB cases per 100,000 population in 2015 6 65
  • 66. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • Myanmar is far from ensuring universal access to treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it. • In 2011, the HIV Treatment: Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) was approximately 44 per cent and the 12-month retention rate following HIV Treatment was 87%. 6 66
  • 67. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 67 Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 2010 Target Target 6. Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS HIV prevalence among population aged 15-24 years >1 early achiever Condom use at last high-risk sex Proportion of population aged 15-24 years with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school attendance of non-orphans aged 10-14 years
  • 68. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 68 Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 2011 Target Target 6. Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it. Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection with access to antiretroviral drugs 44 100 off track
  • 69. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases 6 • Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 69 •scale up HIV treatment •universal access to treatment for HIV/AIDS •Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International •Education program, seminar, workshop for HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
  • 70. Ensure environmental sustainability Where we are (Present Situation) The Myanmar forest policy (1995) • focuses on the sustainable development of the country • paves the way for sustainable use of the forest resources • maintaining the natural ecosystem functions. 7 70 Myanmar : a land area of 676,577 km almost 47 per cent of the area is covered with the forest. Inland water body: estimated to be 2.81 per cent.
  • 71. Ensure environmental sustainability Where we are (Present Situation) • Total emission of CO2 was estimated to be 74400.7 Gg CO2 e in Myanmar for the year 2000, where the major emissions came from deforestation, shifting cultivation and land clearing for forest plantations. • Together they constitute about 6.67 % of the total land area of Myanmar. 7 71
  • 72. Ensure environmental sustainability Where we are (Present Situation) • There are a total of 281 threatened animal species and 50 threatened plant species in Myanmar. ( source: The International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources - IUCN Red List 2011) 7 72
  • 73. 73 indicators Proportion of land area covered by forest Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility 7 Ensure environmental sustainability
  • 74. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1. Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes; reverse loss of environmental resources Ensure environmental sustainability7 Targets for 2015 74
  • 75. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2. Reduce biodiversity loss, achieving, by 2010, a significant reduction in the rate of loss 1. Proportion of land area covered by forest and proportion of species threatened with extinction 2. CO2 emissions, total, per capita and per $1 GDP (PPP) 3. Consumption of ozone-depleting substances 4. Proportion of fish stocks within safe biological limits 5. Proportion of total water resources used 6. Proportion of terrestrial and marine areas protected Ensure environmental sustainability7 Targets for 2015 75
  • 76. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 3. Reduce by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation 7. Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source 8. Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility Ensure environmental sustainability7 Targets for 2015 76
  • 77. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 4. Achieve significant improvement in lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers, by 2020 Proportion of urban population living in slums Ensure environmental sustainability7 Targets for 2015 77
  • 78. Ensure environmental sustainability • Evaluation progresses towards MDGs  Access to safe drinking water increased moderately in the country,  where the increase was less among the poor when compared to the non-poor.  The natural environment is being degraded due to both human activities and natural phenomena such as forest fires, landslides, floods and storm surges. 7 78
  • 79. Ensure environmental sustainability • Evaluation progresses towards MDGs Findings from the Integrated Household Living Conditions Assessment - IHLCA (2009-2010) reveal that 69 per cent of the total population of the country used improved water in 2010. A total of 79 per cent of the total population of the country used improved sanitation facilities in 2010. Around 65 per cent of urban households in Myanmar lack access to improved water; improved sanitation; sufficient living area; or durability of housing. 7 79
  • 80. Ensure environmental sustainability Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • Myanmar is working towards for the MDG 7 Goal: ensuring environmental sustainability, by integrating sustainability practices into the country’s policies. • Although the government has enacted the new Environmental Law and related regulations to use natural resources in a sustainable manner,  there are many environmental problems caused by development projects of various sectors. 7 80
  • 81. Ensure environmental sustainability Evaluation progresses towards MDGs 7 81 The loss of forest cover slowed down. Recent data suggest that reforestation efforts have halted further declines. The target of 69.5 percent for improved sanitation for 2015 has been achieved in 2010. However, 3 out of every 10 persons in 2010 still do not have access to improved sanitation facility. more than one-third (37%) of the population still do not have access to improved drinking water source.
  • 82. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 82 Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability 2010 Target Target 7.A: Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes and reverse the loss of environmental resources Proportion of land area covered by forest 47 off track Target 7.CReduce by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source 69 slow Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility 79 69.5 early achiever
  • 83. Ensure environmental sustainability • Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 Making easy access to safe water Helping protect environment with compost fertilizer Reforestation Policy Work plan for access to improve sanitation specific institution assigned for the overall management of toxic chemicals and hazardous wastes. No specific chemical law and regulation Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International 7 83
  • 84. Where we are. (Present Situation) International Relations • Rapprochement with the West • High-profile visits of senior Government and National and UN officials • Re-engagement with the international community • Resumption of ODA • Gradual lifting of Sanctions • ASEAN Chairmanship in 2014 • AFTA/AEC in 2015 • Engagement with UN • UN Country Team Strategic Framework (2012-15) Develop a global partnership for development 8
  • 85. Develop a global partnership for development Where we are. (Present Situation) •re-integration into the world community. •domestic transformation. •human development ranked 149 out of 187 on the rank. (2012) •Myanmar’s life expectancy at birth increased by 10.6 years, mean years of schooling increased by 2.2 years and expected years of schooling increased by 3.2 years. (1980 ~ 2012) •Myanmar’s GNI per capita increased by about 405 percent between 1980 and 2012. 8 85
  • 86. 86 indicators Telephone lines per 100 population Cellular subscribers per 100 population Internet users per 100 population Develop a global partnership for development8
  • 87. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 1. Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, non- discriminatory trading and financial system 1. Developing countries gain greater access to the markets of developed countries 2. Least developed countries benefit most from tariff reductions, especially on their agricultural products Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 87
  • 88. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2. Address the special needs of least developed countries 3. Net Official development assistance (ODA), total and to the least developed countries, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors' gross national income 4. Proportion of total bilateral, sector- allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social services (basic education, primary health care, nutrition, safe water and sanitation) Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 88
  • 89. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 2. Address the special needs of least developed countries 5. Proportion of bilateral official development assistance of OECD/DAC donors that is untied 6. Market access 7. Debt sustainability Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 89
  • 90. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 3. Address the special needs of landlocked developing countries and small island developing States 8. Official development assistance (ODA) received in landlocked developing countries as a proportion of their gross national income 9. ODA received in small island developing States as a proportion of their gross national incomes 10.Proportion of bilateral official development assistance of OECD/DAC donors that is untied 11.Market access 12.Debt sustainability Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 90
  • 91. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 4. Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries 13.Total number of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points and number that have reached their HIPC completion points (cumulative) 14.Debt relief committed under HIPC and MDRI Initiatives 15.Debt service as a percentage of exports of goods and services Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 91
  • 92. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 5. In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries 16.Proportion of population with access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable basis Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 92
  • 93. Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring progress 6. In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications 17.Telephone lines per 100 population 18.Cellular subscribers per 100 population 19.Internet users per 100 population Develop a global partnership for development8 Targets for 2015 93
  • 94. Develop a global partnership for development Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • Myanmar is undergoing a rapid transformation • But still in low human development category. •Myanmar opened its doors for Foreign Direct Investment in 1988 following the enactment of Foreign Investment Law on 30 November, 1988. 8 94
  • 95. Develop a global partnership for development Evaluation progresses towards MDGs • Recent economic growth in Myanmar has been relatively low for its level of income.(source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)) • The OECD’s medium-term growth forecasts indicate that without structural change the economy can grow at an average of 6.3% over 2013-17, somewhat below the government’s 7.7% target for 2013-2015. 8 95
  • 96. Myanmar: Progress in MDGs 96 Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development 2013 Target 8.F In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications Telephone lines per 100 population 29 On track Cellular subscribers per 100 population 83 early achiever Internet users per 100 population 83 early achiever
  • 97. Develop a global partnership for development Prospective policies needed beyond 2015 • Policy advocacy work  Parliament  Civil Society actors  Donors efforts  Research • Networking and Clusters • Media • Good Governance and Clean Government • Financial assistance and Human Assistance program from International • ODA Loan, Soft Loan, Grant • FDIs 8 97
  • 98. • The 8 goals and 21 targets of the MDGs and the Community goals of Myanmar • Some significant challenges still need to be overcome to fully achieve the MDGs and narrow the development gap 98
  • 99. Recommendation Development Priorities • Education and Health • Legal structures • Infrastructure, and • Policy formation and implementation • Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) 99
  • 100. Challenges • Socio-economic and humanitarian challenges • Weak capacity for implementing reforms • Beginning not the end • Much still depends on individuals not policy • Sanctions • Official Development Assistance (ODA) • Lowest recipient of ODA among all LDC’s, with 7.2 US$ per capita in 2010 • FDIs • Kick-Starting/Jump Start Growth – SEZs, Deep Sea Ports • Equality of opportunities not outcomes • “Pulled Along” by China, India + ASEAN • Poor Infrastructure • Corruption • Weak rule of law and property rights • No independent judiciary and lack of legal transparency • Arbitrary tax policies
  • 101. EXISTING CHALLENGES • International sanctions not fully removed yet • Opaque and arbitrary policymaking, including frequent, unannounced and unwritten policy changes • Tiny financial sector and shallow domestic capital market • Continued unpredictability in electricity supply, especially areas outside Yangon and other major cities • Privatization • Weak educational system and unskilled work force • Evolving system of exchange rates and foreign exchange controls • Investments approved on a case-by-case basis
  • 102. Recommendation New Myanmar • One of Asia's final economic frontiers • Comparative advantages • Geographical location • 60-million untapped market • Numerous natural resources 102
  • 104. References • Government of Myanmar Public Health Statistics; Draft Myanmar MDGs Report • Integrated Households Living Conditions Assessments; Draft Myanmar MDGs report • IHLCA Project Technical Unit, “Integrated Household Living Conditions Survey in Myanmar (2009-2010) • Poverty Profile,” UNDP Myanmar, June, 2011 • First ASEAN Statistical Report on MDGs Indicators: ASEAN Secretariat Paper International Conference on MDGs Indicators • Status of GHS Implementation and Hazard Communication in Myanmar • Myanmar Education Sector Profile : USAID • Current scene in the Education Sector By Aung Kyaw Thein • Assessing Myanmar’s Reforms by PROF.DR.Aung Tun Thet 104