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What Will Be?
We Know What Has Been and What Is
But
Dr. H. Jeffrey Rafn, President
Northeast Wisconsin Technical College
June 23, 2017
Northeast Wisconsin Technical College
By the Numbers
• Founded in 1912 , NWTC is a two-year public college.
• Pursue your passion with one of 200+ career-focused degree, diploma, certificate, and
apprenticeship programs.
• NWTC’s class of 2016 had 2,361 degree and diploma graduates.
• 94.2% of 2016 NWTC grads reported employment within six months of
graduation; 80.1% of those grads reported employment in their career fields.
• Locations: 3 campuses in Green Bay, Marinette, and Sturgeon Bay; 5 regional learning
centers in Crivitz, Luxemburg, Aurora, Oconto Falls, and Shawano.
• 600+ scholarships are available to current and future NWTC students through the
NWTC Educational Foundation.
• Student-to-Faculty Ratio: 17 to 1
• NWTC has welcomed students from more than 23 countries around the globe including
Egypt, Pakistan, South Africa, Brazil, Ghana, Spain, Moldova, and China.
• NWTC served 1,129 businesses in 2013-2014 with training for 25,530 employees.
2
Determining Emerging Labor Market Demand
• Create Occupational Cluster Matrix
• Understand Previous and Current Occupational Mix of Area Served
• Formalize Product Research
• Stay Aware of Employment Demand Trends
• Engage in and with External Business Partners
• Use Certificates or Subspecialty Areas to test the market
• Create Common Core
• Maximize Agility
3
200+Advisory Committees
4
Understand Previous and Current Occupational
Mix of Area Served - EMSI
NAICS Industry 2017 Jobs 2022 Jobs 2017 - 2022 Change
2017 - 2022 %
Change
Current Total
Earnings
11 Crop and Animal Production 7,653 8,068 415 5% $33,113
21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 178 160 (18) (10%) $79,946
22 Utilities 713 606 (107) (15%) $150,909
23 Construction 11,529 11,671 142 1% $57,444
31 Manufacturing 41,043 41,385 342 1% $61,542
42 Wholesale Trade 9,148 9,550 402 4% $64,250
44 Retail Trade 23,021 23,201 180 1% $29,513
48 Transportation and Warehousing 9,070 9,050 (20) (0%) $52,197
51 Information 2,247 2,121 (126) (6%) $59,195
52 Finance and Insurance 12,226 12,524 298 2% $69,139
53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2,179 2,219 40 2% $37,245
54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 8,536 9,143 607 7% $72,583
55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 6,396 7,243 847 13% $97,099
56
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation Services
8,702 8,669 (33) (0%) $34,233
61 Educational Services 2,952 2,986 34 1% $27,725
62 Health Care and Social Assistance 29,858 31,847 1,989 7% $58,383
71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 3,908 4,206 298 8% $71,649
72 Accommodation and Food Services 18,859 18,609 (250) (1%) $16,898
81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 9,781 9,428 (353) (4%) $23,153
90 Government 28,891 29,291 400 1% $58,445
99 Unclassified Industry 0 0 0 0% $0
236,891 241,978 5,087 2% $51,558
5
Historical Trend of Job Openings – Burning Glass
Historic trends by industry sector in NWTC District Active Filter Selections
There are 21,133 postings available with the current filters applied. County:Brown,
WI|WI,Door,
WI|WI,Kewaunee,
WI|WI,Oconto,
WI|WI,Shawano,
WI|WI,Marinette,
WI|WI,Florence,
WI|WI
There are 20,113 unspecified or unclassified postings.
01/01/2011 - 12/16/2011 (Data not available after 11/27/2011)
Industry Sector Total Number of Jobs
[01/01/2011 -
12/16/2011]
Percentage of Total Jobs
[01/01/2011 -
12/16/2011]
Percentage of Total Jobs
[01/01/2010 -
12/16/2010]
Percentage of Total Jobs
[01/01/2007 -
12/16/2007]
Health Care and Social Assistance 2,834 18% 24% 24%
Finance and Insurance 1,985 12% 9% 15%
Manufacturing 1,911 12% 9% 10%
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation
Services
1,494 9% 8% 10%
Public Administration 1,064 7% 5% 3%
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1,033 6% 2% 1%
Transportation and Warehousing 1,010 6% 7% 9%
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 938 6% 7% 7%
Educational Services 907 6% 6% 4%
Accommodation and Food Services 671 4% 4% 3%
Information 623 4% 5% 6%
Retail Trade 488 3% 6% 2%
Construction 397 2% 2% 2%
Other Services (except Public Administration) 283 2% 2% 2%
Wholesale Trade 126 1% 1% 1%
Management of Companies and Enterprises 72 0% 1% 1%
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 62 0% 1% 0%
Utilities 43 0% 0% 2%
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 6 0% 0% 0%
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 3 0% 0% 0%
6
Formalize Product Research
• Idea Description and Idea Champion
• Wisconsin College and University Drone Activities
• College and High School Programs (nation-wide)
Integrating drones into Curriculum
• College and University Programs (Degrees and
Research Facilities)
• Articles and Reports
• State Plans and Laws
• Additional Resources
7
Drone Technology Research Report
The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration in the United States. (2013). Association
for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International (AUVSI).
https://higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/AUVSI/958c920a-7f9b-4ad2-9807-
f9a4e95d1ef1/UploadedImages/New_Economic%20Report%202013%20Full.pdf
8
Table A: Agriculture, Food, & Natural Resources
2014-2015
# of
Grads
# of Job
Openings
# of Grads to meet
60% of Job Openings
# of Grads over/under
60%
Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water
Technology
7 3 2 5
Farm Business & Production Management 10 74 44 -34
Landscape Horticulture 5 52 31 -26
Sustainable Food & Agriculture Systems 4 66 40 -36
Utilities Engineering Technology 5 17 10 -5
Vineyard Management (Viticulture) 0 1 1 -1
Winemaking (Enology) 2 3 2 0
TOTAL 33 216 128 -102
Table B: Agriculture, Food, & Natural Resources
Projections 2016-2018
# of
Grads
# of Job
Openings
# of Grads to meet
60% of Job Openings
# of Grads over/under
60%
Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water
Technology
6 2 1 5
Farm Business & Production Management 13 140 84 -71
Landscape Horticulture 9 117 70 -61
Sustainable Food & Agriculture Systems 36 62 37 -1
Utilities Engineering Technology 7 14 8 -1
Vineyard Management (Viticulture) 0 3 2 -2
Winemaking (Enology) 1 5 3 -2
TOTAL 72 343 205 -139
Comparison of Graduate Count by Program to
Related In-District Job Openings
9
Summary of Findings – 2015 Graduates
• 36 of the 82 (44%) applicable NWTC programs met the benchmark
of producing a sufficient number of graduates
• Those programs by Career Cluster are:
• Agriculture, Food, and Natural Resources
• Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water Technology
• Wine Making (Enology)
• Architecture and Construction
• Civil Engineering Technology
• Electrical Power Distribution Gas Utility Construction & Service
• Prototype & Design
• Solar Energy
• Technology Arts, Audiovisual Technology and Communications
• Design and Graphic Technology
• Photography Business, Management and Administration
• Business Management Education & Training
• And so on…….
10
Engage in and With External Business
Partners
• EMSI
• Burning Glass
• Advisory Committees
• Community and company visits
• TEC
• Reading
11
Use Certificates or Subspecialty Areas
to Test Market
• Renewable Energy
• Enology and Viticulture
• Shipfitting
• Cybersecurity
• Culinary
• Early Childhood Educator: Autism
12
Pathway Design
13
Common Core: Tech Hall
• Electro-Mechanical Technology AAS
• Automation Engineering Technology AAS
• Electrical Engineering Technology AAS
• Biomedical Electronics Technology AAS
• Utilities Engineering Technology AAS
• Solar Energy Technology AAS
• Energy Management Technology AAS
• Nuclear Technology AAS
• Wind Energy Technology AAS
• Manufacturing Engineering Technology AAS
• Mechanical Design Technology AAS
• Environmental Engineering Technology AAS
• Electricity TD
• Industrial Electrician Apprenticeship
• E&I (Electrical/Instrumentation) Apprenticeship
• Construction Electrician Apprenticeship 14
Maximize Agility
• Curriculum
• Project managers
• Pathways – build incrementally?
• Faculty
• Cross train
• Adjuncts to start?
• Operational
• Grants as risk capital
• Capital
• Minimize need through internships
• Temporary Use of External Facilities and/or Equipment
15
Emerging Labor Markets: Anyone’s Best Guess?
Some Guesses
• Organic Food Production
• Non-traditional energy sources
• Biotechnology
• Biology based technologies – medicine, nano, genetic
• Security (both data and physical)
• Augmented and virtual reality
• Unmanned vehicles
• Automation and evermore complex robotics
• Integration of multiple systems; virtual and physical
• E-commerce and E-learning
16
Changing Nature of Work and Workers
• Greater interconnectedness
• Fewer silos
• Multidisciplinary
• Much greater ethnic and cultural diversity
• Greater reliance on problem solving and innovation
• Team participation, accountability and leadership
• More sophisticated automation and technology require higher
levels of skill
• E-learning, E-commerce, E-production – higher customization to
needs of the customer
17
Questions?
Contact:
Dr. H. Jeffrey Rafn, President
Northeast Wisconsin Technical College
Green Bay, Wisconsin
Jeff.rafn@nwtc.edu
PowerPoint Available at NWTC.EDU/NEWS
18

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Pathways Institute panel presentation june 23, 2017-- What Will Be

  • 1. What Will Be? We Know What Has Been and What Is But Dr. H. Jeffrey Rafn, President Northeast Wisconsin Technical College June 23, 2017
  • 2. Northeast Wisconsin Technical College By the Numbers • Founded in 1912 , NWTC is a two-year public college. • Pursue your passion with one of 200+ career-focused degree, diploma, certificate, and apprenticeship programs. • NWTC’s class of 2016 had 2,361 degree and diploma graduates. • 94.2% of 2016 NWTC grads reported employment within six months of graduation; 80.1% of those grads reported employment in their career fields. • Locations: 3 campuses in Green Bay, Marinette, and Sturgeon Bay; 5 regional learning centers in Crivitz, Luxemburg, Aurora, Oconto Falls, and Shawano. • 600+ scholarships are available to current and future NWTC students through the NWTC Educational Foundation. • Student-to-Faculty Ratio: 17 to 1 • NWTC has welcomed students from more than 23 countries around the globe including Egypt, Pakistan, South Africa, Brazil, Ghana, Spain, Moldova, and China. • NWTC served 1,129 businesses in 2013-2014 with training for 25,530 employees. 2
  • 3. Determining Emerging Labor Market Demand • Create Occupational Cluster Matrix • Understand Previous and Current Occupational Mix of Area Served • Formalize Product Research • Stay Aware of Employment Demand Trends • Engage in and with External Business Partners • Use Certificates or Subspecialty Areas to test the market • Create Common Core • Maximize Agility 3
  • 5. Understand Previous and Current Occupational Mix of Area Served - EMSI NAICS Industry 2017 Jobs 2022 Jobs 2017 - 2022 Change 2017 - 2022 % Change Current Total Earnings 11 Crop and Animal Production 7,653 8,068 415 5% $33,113 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 178 160 (18) (10%) $79,946 22 Utilities 713 606 (107) (15%) $150,909 23 Construction 11,529 11,671 142 1% $57,444 31 Manufacturing 41,043 41,385 342 1% $61,542 42 Wholesale Trade 9,148 9,550 402 4% $64,250 44 Retail Trade 23,021 23,201 180 1% $29,513 48 Transportation and Warehousing 9,070 9,050 (20) (0%) $52,197 51 Information 2,247 2,121 (126) (6%) $59,195 52 Finance and Insurance 12,226 12,524 298 2% $69,139 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2,179 2,219 40 2% $37,245 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 8,536 9,143 607 7% $72,583 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 6,396 7,243 847 13% $97,099 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 8,702 8,669 (33) (0%) $34,233 61 Educational Services 2,952 2,986 34 1% $27,725 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 29,858 31,847 1,989 7% $58,383 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 3,908 4,206 298 8% $71,649 72 Accommodation and Food Services 18,859 18,609 (250) (1%) $16,898 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 9,781 9,428 (353) (4%) $23,153 90 Government 28,891 29,291 400 1% $58,445 99 Unclassified Industry 0 0 0 0% $0 236,891 241,978 5,087 2% $51,558 5
  • 6. Historical Trend of Job Openings – Burning Glass Historic trends by industry sector in NWTC District Active Filter Selections There are 21,133 postings available with the current filters applied. County:Brown, WI|WI,Door, WI|WI,Kewaunee, WI|WI,Oconto, WI|WI,Shawano, WI|WI,Marinette, WI|WI,Florence, WI|WI There are 20,113 unspecified or unclassified postings. 01/01/2011 - 12/16/2011 (Data not available after 11/27/2011) Industry Sector Total Number of Jobs [01/01/2011 - 12/16/2011] Percentage of Total Jobs [01/01/2011 - 12/16/2011] Percentage of Total Jobs [01/01/2010 - 12/16/2010] Percentage of Total Jobs [01/01/2007 - 12/16/2007] Health Care and Social Assistance 2,834 18% 24% 24% Finance and Insurance 1,985 12% 9% 15% Manufacturing 1,911 12% 9% 10% Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 1,494 9% 8% 10% Public Administration 1,064 7% 5% 3% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1,033 6% 2% 1% Transportation and Warehousing 1,010 6% 7% 9% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 938 6% 7% 7% Educational Services 907 6% 6% 4% Accommodation and Food Services 671 4% 4% 3% Information 623 4% 5% 6% Retail Trade 488 3% 6% 2% Construction 397 2% 2% 2% Other Services (except Public Administration) 283 2% 2% 2% Wholesale Trade 126 1% 1% 1% Management of Companies and Enterprises 72 0% 1% 1% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 62 0% 1% 0% Utilities 43 0% 0% 2% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 6 0% 0% 0% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 3 0% 0% 0% 6
  • 7. Formalize Product Research • Idea Description and Idea Champion • Wisconsin College and University Drone Activities • College and High School Programs (nation-wide) Integrating drones into Curriculum • College and University Programs (Degrees and Research Facilities) • Articles and Reports • State Plans and Laws • Additional Resources 7
  • 8. Drone Technology Research Report The Economic Impact of Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration in the United States. (2013). Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International (AUVSI). https://higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/AUVSI/958c920a-7f9b-4ad2-9807- f9a4e95d1ef1/UploadedImages/New_Economic%20Report%202013%20Full.pdf 8
  • 9. Table A: Agriculture, Food, & Natural Resources 2014-2015 # of Grads # of Job Openings # of Grads to meet 60% of Job Openings # of Grads over/under 60% Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water Technology 7 3 2 5 Farm Business & Production Management 10 74 44 -34 Landscape Horticulture 5 52 31 -26 Sustainable Food & Agriculture Systems 4 66 40 -36 Utilities Engineering Technology 5 17 10 -5 Vineyard Management (Viticulture) 0 1 1 -1 Winemaking (Enology) 2 3 2 0 TOTAL 33 216 128 -102 Table B: Agriculture, Food, & Natural Resources Projections 2016-2018 # of Grads # of Job Openings # of Grads to meet 60% of Job Openings # of Grads over/under 60% Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water Technology 6 2 1 5 Farm Business & Production Management 13 140 84 -71 Landscape Horticulture 9 117 70 -61 Sustainable Food & Agriculture Systems 36 62 37 -1 Utilities Engineering Technology 7 14 8 -1 Vineyard Management (Viticulture) 0 3 2 -2 Winemaking (Enology) 1 5 3 -2 TOTAL 72 343 205 -139 Comparison of Graduate Count by Program to Related In-District Job Openings 9
  • 10. Summary of Findings – 2015 Graduates • 36 of the 82 (44%) applicable NWTC programs met the benchmark of producing a sufficient number of graduates • Those programs by Career Cluster are: • Agriculture, Food, and Natural Resources • Environmental Engineering-Waste & Water Technology • Wine Making (Enology) • Architecture and Construction • Civil Engineering Technology • Electrical Power Distribution Gas Utility Construction & Service • Prototype & Design • Solar Energy • Technology Arts, Audiovisual Technology and Communications • Design and Graphic Technology • Photography Business, Management and Administration • Business Management Education & Training • And so on……. 10
  • 11. Engage in and With External Business Partners • EMSI • Burning Glass • Advisory Committees • Community and company visits • TEC • Reading 11
  • 12. Use Certificates or Subspecialty Areas to Test Market • Renewable Energy • Enology and Viticulture • Shipfitting • Cybersecurity • Culinary • Early Childhood Educator: Autism 12
  • 14. Common Core: Tech Hall • Electro-Mechanical Technology AAS • Automation Engineering Technology AAS • Electrical Engineering Technology AAS • Biomedical Electronics Technology AAS • Utilities Engineering Technology AAS • Solar Energy Technology AAS • Energy Management Technology AAS • Nuclear Technology AAS • Wind Energy Technology AAS • Manufacturing Engineering Technology AAS • Mechanical Design Technology AAS • Environmental Engineering Technology AAS • Electricity TD • Industrial Electrician Apprenticeship • E&I (Electrical/Instrumentation) Apprenticeship • Construction Electrician Apprenticeship 14
  • 15. Maximize Agility • Curriculum • Project managers • Pathways – build incrementally? • Faculty • Cross train • Adjuncts to start? • Operational • Grants as risk capital • Capital • Minimize need through internships • Temporary Use of External Facilities and/or Equipment 15
  • 16. Emerging Labor Markets: Anyone’s Best Guess? Some Guesses • Organic Food Production • Non-traditional energy sources • Biotechnology • Biology based technologies – medicine, nano, genetic • Security (both data and physical) • Augmented and virtual reality • Unmanned vehicles • Automation and evermore complex robotics • Integration of multiple systems; virtual and physical • E-commerce and E-learning 16
  • 17. Changing Nature of Work and Workers • Greater interconnectedness • Fewer silos • Multidisciplinary • Much greater ethnic and cultural diversity • Greater reliance on problem solving and innovation • Team participation, accountability and leadership • More sophisticated automation and technology require higher levels of skill • E-learning, E-commerce, E-production – higher customization to needs of the customer 17
  • 18. Questions? Contact: Dr. H. Jeffrey Rafn, President Northeast Wisconsin Technical College Green Bay, Wisconsin Jeff.rafn@nwtc.edu PowerPoint Available at NWTC.EDU/NEWS 18