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The new transregional security politics
        of the Asia-Pacific




       International Relation in the Asia Pacific

Professor FUJIMURO Kazuhiro



TOKTORALIEV Keneshbek
 ID 51216632
Locating the global regional nexus in Asia security


  US established a network of bilateral alliances involving Japan, South
  Korea, Thailand, the Philippines, and the Republic of China (Taiwan).
          “hub and spokes” strategic relations in East Asia.
          Important relationship between Japan and the US.

      “San Francisco system” (1950s, Australia, New Zealand, the
      Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, South Vietnam, US)
           Political-military relationship
      ANZUS (1951, Australia, New Zealand, US)
           International defense organization
           Have not remained symbolically important.
      SEATO (1954, Australia, France, New Zealand, Pakistan (East Pakistan
      - Bangladesh), The Philippines, Thailand, UK, US)
           Intergovernmental military alliance
           Failed to make much impact on the region’s security architecture.
POWER




   Foreign policy of Japan revolves around      and
    emanates from the security needs.
   Threat of Japan:
            Challenge of China;

            Nuclear program of North Korea.



   How Japan deals with the challenge of China and
    North Korea in its security relationship with US.
   The “million dollar question” is about China’s true
    intentions.
   Is China a growing hegemon and an aggressor nation
    against US hyper power and potential threat to Japan?
    Or is it simply a developing nation protecting its own
    interests?
   What is Japan doing about it?

           Prudence and realism dictates to prepare for an aggressor
            China;
           Idealism indicates that Japan should work with China
            politically, military, and economically.
     Two ways to make a state a tempting target:
                          Possibility of conventional
        Disarm to the        or nuclear conflict?
I.    point of weakness

                                                        An aggressor state
                               Aggressive policy

        Grow military
         capabilities
II.

     China and North Korea – US and Japan.
   China counts on US greed for cheap products to avoid
    a new Cold War while it builds PLA;

   The US counts on China’s greed for more profits to
    keep it from becoming more aggressive.

   US and Japan are seeing China as a growing threat.
China’s military and technological
                      advancement:
   purchasing much of the latest weaponry
    and technology from Russia, Israel and EU;
   building up technological military-industrial
    complex;
   demonstrating technological advancement
     through space program.

                      Anxiety of US.
   The cause for most of the worry in Asia is not
    simply the growth in Chinese military power
    over the past decade. Rather, it is the ways in
    which China is now exercising its new abilities.
    In particular, given the importance of trade
    routes, the expansion of the Chinese Navy’s
    operations throughout the East and South
    China Seas is causing alarm.
                              Asian Anxiety
                              By MICHAEL AUSLIN
                              Published: October 25, 2011
   Demonstration of military force.

         Fomenting anti-Japanese
           nationalism within China
     (riots, street demonstrations).

              Raising a generation of
               anti-Japanese Chinese.
I.     Lack of adequate energy reserves to fuel its
       industrial needs.

II.    The environment in China is also an
       important threat to Chinese power.

III.   Newfound wealth.

IV.    China’s position in the world system.
Problematic issues of the     Nuclear-armed Japan? What is
                               the public’s opinion?
 relationship between Japan
 and North Korea:
Abduction of the Japanese
 citizens.
North     Korea’s nuclear-
 weapons program.

                              The problem (and solution?) is
                               that   a nuclear Japan as a
                               counterweight to a nuclear North
                               Korea is exactly what China don't
                               want to see.
   What is Japan doing to protect itself in an increasingly tense
    situation in Northeast Asia?

   Two factors which can bring Japan to nuclear club:
      Credibility of the US nuclear security guarantee;

      Decline in relationship with US.



   “No matter what it is called, whether it’s a self-defense
    capability or an organization to defend Japan, the SDF should
    have a solid foundation in the Constitution to eliminate any
    argument branding it as contrary to the nation’s fundamental
    law” - PM Koizumi Junichiro on 2 February 2005.
   Building international goodwill.

   The status that Japan wants as a part of its global efforts
    at goodwill is a permanent seat on the UN Security
    Council.
   Renewed Japan-American alliance as a consequence of
    growing Chinese militarism.
   Importance of alliance with US.

                                                USA
                  Not officially
      RUSSIA      settled WWII               global power


      SOUTH    Not forgiven Japan
      KOREA     for its occupation

                                             Regional
      NORTH        Potential
                                             security
      KOREA     threat to Japan


                 Own isolation                                JAPAN
      TAIWAN       policy
                                     CHINA
                                              rival in Asia
 In spite of the challenge and potential
  rival, that is making itself to be to US and
  Japan, China is an even greater threat to itself.
 Japan can become a major power, when
  China and North Korea dictate that action by
  becoming a threat that Japan can no longer
  ignore.
 Japan’s relationship with US is a key
  relationship for both nations. Both need each
  other to support their global position.
   Would not a revision of Article 9 of the Constitution of
    Japan lead to the public outcry both within Japan and
    internationally and as a consequence to the loss of
    Japan's authority and image of the goodwill country?

   Would not the development of weapons of mass
    destruction lead to a rapid escalation of tension in
    Northeast Asia in particular and the Asia-Pacific region
    as a whole?
THANK YOU

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The new trans regional politics in the Asia

  • 1. The new transregional security politics of the Asia-Pacific International Relation in the Asia Pacific Professor FUJIMURO Kazuhiro TOKTORALIEV Keneshbek ID 51216632
  • 2. Locating the global regional nexus in Asia security US established a network of bilateral alliances involving Japan, South Korea, Thailand, the Philippines, and the Republic of China (Taiwan). “hub and spokes” strategic relations in East Asia. Important relationship between Japan and the US. “San Francisco system” (1950s, Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, South Vietnam, US) Political-military relationship ANZUS (1951, Australia, New Zealand, US) International defense organization Have not remained symbolically important. SEATO (1954, Australia, France, New Zealand, Pakistan (East Pakistan - Bangladesh), The Philippines, Thailand, UK, US) Intergovernmental military alliance Failed to make much impact on the region’s security architecture.
  • 3. POWER  Foreign policy of Japan revolves around and emanates from the security needs.  Threat of Japan:  Challenge of China;  Nuclear program of North Korea.  How Japan deals with the challenge of China and North Korea in its security relationship with US.
  • 4. The “million dollar question” is about China’s true intentions.  Is China a growing hegemon and an aggressor nation against US hyper power and potential threat to Japan? Or is it simply a developing nation protecting its own interests?  What is Japan doing about it?  Prudence and realism dictates to prepare for an aggressor China;  Idealism indicates that Japan should work with China politically, military, and economically.
  • 5. Two ways to make a state a tempting target: Possibility of conventional Disarm to the or nuclear conflict? I. point of weakness An aggressor state Aggressive policy Grow military capabilities II.  China and North Korea – US and Japan.
  • 6. China counts on US greed for cheap products to avoid a new Cold War while it builds PLA;  The US counts on China’s greed for more profits to keep it from becoming more aggressive.  US and Japan are seeing China as a growing threat.
  • 7. China’s military and technological advancement:  purchasing much of the latest weaponry and technology from Russia, Israel and EU;  building up technological military-industrial complex;  demonstrating technological advancement through space program. Anxiety of US.
  • 8. The cause for most of the worry in Asia is not simply the growth in Chinese military power over the past decade. Rather, it is the ways in which China is now exercising its new abilities. In particular, given the importance of trade routes, the expansion of the Chinese Navy’s operations throughout the East and South China Seas is causing alarm. Asian Anxiety By MICHAEL AUSLIN Published: October 25, 2011
  • 9. Demonstration of military force.  Fomenting anti-Japanese nationalism within China (riots, street demonstrations).  Raising a generation of anti-Japanese Chinese.
  • 10. I. Lack of adequate energy reserves to fuel its industrial needs. II. The environment in China is also an important threat to Chinese power. III. Newfound wealth. IV. China’s position in the world system.
  • 11. Problematic issues of the Nuclear-armed Japan? What is the public’s opinion? relationship between Japan and North Korea: Abduction of the Japanese citizens. North Korea’s nuclear- weapons program. The problem (and solution?) is that a nuclear Japan as a counterweight to a nuclear North Korea is exactly what China don't want to see.
  • 12. What is Japan doing to protect itself in an increasingly tense situation in Northeast Asia?  Two factors which can bring Japan to nuclear club:  Credibility of the US nuclear security guarantee;  Decline in relationship with US.  “No matter what it is called, whether it’s a self-defense capability or an organization to defend Japan, the SDF should have a solid foundation in the Constitution to eliminate any argument branding it as contrary to the nation’s fundamental law” - PM Koizumi Junichiro on 2 February 2005.
  • 13. Building international goodwill.  The status that Japan wants as a part of its global efforts at goodwill is a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.
  • 14. Renewed Japan-American alliance as a consequence of growing Chinese militarism.  Importance of alliance with US. USA Not officially RUSSIA settled WWII global power SOUTH Not forgiven Japan KOREA for its occupation Regional NORTH Potential security KOREA threat to Japan Own isolation JAPAN TAIWAN policy CHINA rival in Asia
  • 15.  In spite of the challenge and potential rival, that is making itself to be to US and Japan, China is an even greater threat to itself.  Japan can become a major power, when China and North Korea dictate that action by becoming a threat that Japan can no longer ignore.  Japan’s relationship with US is a key relationship for both nations. Both need each other to support their global position.
  • 16. Would not a revision of Article 9 of the Constitution of Japan lead to the public outcry both within Japan and internationally and as a consequence to the loss of Japan's authority and image of the goodwill country?  Would not the development of weapons of mass destruction lead to a rapid escalation of tension in Northeast Asia in particular and the Asia-Pacific region as a whole?