KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
The new trans regional politics in the Asia
1. The new transregional security politics
of the Asia-Pacific
International Relation in the Asia Pacific
Professor FUJIMURO Kazuhiro
TOKTORALIEV Keneshbek
ID 51216632
2. Locating the global regional nexus in Asia security
US established a network of bilateral alliances involving Japan, South
Korea, Thailand, the Philippines, and the Republic of China (Taiwan).
“hub and spokes” strategic relations in East Asia.
Important relationship between Japan and the US.
“San Francisco system” (1950s, Australia, New Zealand, the
Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, South Vietnam, US)
Political-military relationship
ANZUS (1951, Australia, New Zealand, US)
International defense organization
Have not remained symbolically important.
SEATO (1954, Australia, France, New Zealand, Pakistan (East Pakistan
- Bangladesh), The Philippines, Thailand, UK, US)
Intergovernmental military alliance
Failed to make much impact on the region’s security architecture.
3. POWER
Foreign policy of Japan revolves around and
emanates from the security needs.
Threat of Japan:
Challenge of China;
Nuclear program of North Korea.
How Japan deals with the challenge of China and
North Korea in its security relationship with US.
4. The “million dollar question” is about China’s true
intentions.
Is China a growing hegemon and an aggressor nation
against US hyper power and potential threat to Japan?
Or is it simply a developing nation protecting its own
interests?
What is Japan doing about it?
Prudence and realism dictates to prepare for an aggressor
China;
Idealism indicates that Japan should work with China
politically, military, and economically.
5. Two ways to make a state a tempting target:
Possibility of conventional
Disarm to the or nuclear conflict?
I. point of weakness
An aggressor state
Aggressive policy
Grow military
capabilities
II.
China and North Korea – US and Japan.
6. China counts on US greed for cheap products to avoid
a new Cold War while it builds PLA;
The US counts on China’s greed for more profits to
keep it from becoming more aggressive.
US and Japan are seeing China as a growing threat.
7. China’s military and technological
advancement:
purchasing much of the latest weaponry
and technology from Russia, Israel and EU;
building up technological military-industrial
complex;
demonstrating technological advancement
through space program.
Anxiety of US.
8. The cause for most of the worry in Asia is not
simply the growth in Chinese military power
over the past decade. Rather, it is the ways in
which China is now exercising its new abilities.
In particular, given the importance of trade
routes, the expansion of the Chinese Navy’s
operations throughout the East and South
China Seas is causing alarm.
Asian Anxiety
By MICHAEL AUSLIN
Published: October 25, 2011
9. Demonstration of military force.
Fomenting anti-Japanese
nationalism within China
(riots, street demonstrations).
Raising a generation of
anti-Japanese Chinese.
10. I. Lack of adequate energy reserves to fuel its
industrial needs.
II. The environment in China is also an
important threat to Chinese power.
III. Newfound wealth.
IV. China’s position in the world system.
11. Problematic issues of the Nuclear-armed Japan? What is
the public’s opinion?
relationship between Japan
and North Korea:
Abduction of the Japanese
citizens.
North Korea’s nuclear-
weapons program.
The problem (and solution?) is
that a nuclear Japan as a
counterweight to a nuclear North
Korea is exactly what China don't
want to see.
12. What is Japan doing to protect itself in an increasingly tense
situation in Northeast Asia?
Two factors which can bring Japan to nuclear club:
Credibility of the US nuclear security guarantee;
Decline in relationship with US.
“No matter what it is called, whether it’s a self-defense
capability or an organization to defend Japan, the SDF should
have a solid foundation in the Constitution to eliminate any
argument branding it as contrary to the nation’s fundamental
law” - PM Koizumi Junichiro on 2 February 2005.
13. Building international goodwill.
The status that Japan wants as a part of its global efforts
at goodwill is a permanent seat on the UN Security
Council.
14. Renewed Japan-American alliance as a consequence of
growing Chinese militarism.
Importance of alliance with US.
USA
Not officially
RUSSIA settled WWII global power
SOUTH Not forgiven Japan
KOREA for its occupation
Regional
NORTH Potential
security
KOREA threat to Japan
Own isolation JAPAN
TAIWAN policy
CHINA
rival in Asia
15. In spite of the challenge and potential
rival, that is making itself to be to US and
Japan, China is an even greater threat to itself.
Japan can become a major power, when
China and North Korea dictate that action by
becoming a threat that Japan can no longer
ignore.
Japan’s relationship with US is a key
relationship for both nations. Both need each
other to support their global position.
16. Would not a revision of Article 9 of the Constitution of
Japan lead to the public outcry both within Japan and
internationally and as a consequence to the loss of
Japan's authority and image of the goodwill country?
Would not the development of weapons of mass
destruction lead to a rapid escalation of tension in
Northeast Asia in particular and the Asia-Pacific region
as a whole?