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Access to Food: Safety Nets and
   Hunger Solutions for the Most Needy


                      Joachim von Braun
             International Food Policy Research Institute




Strategic Meeting of WFP on “School Feeding: Feed Minds, Change Lives”
                       Bellagio, Italy, July16, 2009
Social safety nets
                      and the food and financial crises
           Many governments effectively used existing
            safety net programs to mitigate impacts of the
            food crisis, though political constraints
            sometimes limited the response

           But some governments did not expand safety
            nets

           This is an vital period to reexamine the role of
            social safety nets, particularly regarding
            securing access to food

Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Key actions that need to be taken
              (Conclusions of IFPRI’ activity on “the poorest and the
                          hungry” 2006-2008; Beijing)

       1. Promote inclusive growth with emphasis on
          rural growth and –in many countries - on
          agriculture
       2. Enhance access to assets, infrastructure,
          markets
       3. Strengthen and move faster to social protection
       4. Accelerate investments in health, nutrition,
          education, particularly for children and women
       5. Include the excluded
       The mix is different for different countries and regions
           (Africa, Asia, and Latin America)
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Growth, poverty reduction, and hunger (1)

     For poor (very poor) households, a 10% increase
     in income increases caloric acquisition by 3% (5%)
         “Income growth and hunger reduction are
                       tightly wedded”
                              and
        of the 10 low income countries that reduced
       hunger index the fastest since 1990, 8 are also
          among the top 10 in agricultural growth
                             BUT

Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Growth, poverty reduction, and hunger (2)

          “Income growth and pre-school malnutrition
                      are loosely meshed”

     The direct effect of income growth on pre-school
       nutrition is low, so other investments (targeted
       programs aimed at pre-schoolers) are needed

               - Note that given the high economic returns to
                 reducing pre-school malnutrition, these too
                 are excellent investments!

Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Pro-poor social protection and nutrition
                    interventions needed
     Protective actions e.g.:
         • Cash transfers
         • Employment-based food security programs

     Preventive actions e.g.:
         • School feeding
        • Early childhood nutrition programs


                  Focus on the most vulnerable:
          children, women, excluded groups, the poorest
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Problem zone “under–two”: the most risky age
                                            Weight for age by region
                    0.5
                  0.25
                                                                                              NCHS
                      0
                                                                                              Reference
                  -0.25
 Z-score (NCHS)




                   -0.5
                  -0.75
                     -1
                  -1.25
                   -1.5
                  -1.75
                     -2
                           0   3   6   9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60
                                                    Age (months)
                          Africa             Latin America and Caribbean            Asia
But no reason to play the under two’s against school children:
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
                                    there are important linkagesSource: Shrimpton et al. 2001.
Guatemala: Early childhood nutrition impacting
           adult education and productivity

    Grade attainment                                                              Nutritional intervention
                                                                         27%
         (women)                                                                  among Guatemalan
                                                                                  children 0-7 years old
      Cognitive ability                    8%                                     (’69-’77)

          Reading                                                                 Follow-up in adults 25-
                                                       17%
        comprehension                                                             42 years old (’02-04)

                                                                                  Investments in early
                                                                                  childhood nutrition can
   Income earned per                                                              be long-term drivers of
       hour worked                                           20%                  economic growth
         (men)

                            0%        5%   10%   15%    20%        25%     30%




Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009                                Source: Hoddinott et al. 2008. Lancet (in revision).
What do we know about safety nets and
       access to food? School feeding programs (1)
        Household vs. individual food security
         • Careful studies from the Philippines and
           Bangladesh show that school-age children keep
           most of the calories transferred at school meals

        Quality and size of food transfers
         • Larger and more nutritious food transfers were vital
           to achieve impacts on learning achievement and
           iron status: school meals or take-home rations
           providing 1100 kcal of iron-fortified food per day
           reduced anemia prevalence among adolescent girls
           in Uganda by 18 percentage points
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009          Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
What do we know about safety nets and
      access to food? School feeding programs (2)
      Obtain complementarities with education objectives
             •    In Uganda, separate school meals and take-home rations
                  programs both improved scores on math achievement tests
                  and cognitive development tests
             •    Timing of meals not critical: Learning and cognitive benefits of
                  FFE programs were similar whether the meals were given at
                  school or through take-home rations. Improved access to food
                  was critical.

      Potential nutrition benefits to young children
             •    In Burkina Faso, take-home rations conditional on school
                  attendance improved the anthropometry of pre-school siblings
                  of beneficiary children
             •    In Uganda, school feeding (but not take-home rations)
                  improved the anthropometry of pre-school age siblings of
                  beneficiary children possibly through direct spillovers of
                  fortified food to these siblings
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009                           Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
What do we know about safety nets and
         access to food? Conditional cash transfers
      Composition of consumption
              •    Recent evidence from many countries in Latin America
                   shows that cash transfers from CCTs increased the share
                   of income spent on food at all income levels.
                  •    May be because most CCTs transfer money to women or
                       because of complementary messages about the benefits
                       of good nutrition
      Diet composition
              •    In some countries, CCT transfers led to increased diet
                   diversification and improved diet quality
      Long-term consumption smoothing
              •    In Nicaragua and Mexico, CCT beneficiaries were better
                   able to smooth their consumption during economic shocks,
                   which increased future incomes and access to food
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009                       Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
Issues in designing safety nets
                                for food security
               Cost-effectiveness
               •     Safety nets can be expensive to operate
                     and require perpetual expenditures

               •     In well-run programs, larger transfers do
                     have greater impacts

               •     Effective targeting is an important tool

               •     The growing body of evidence: the cost-
                     effectiveness of many programs is higher
                     than previously thought
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
Issues of safety net design

      •       Transactions costs of systems: administrative
              capacity, information, costs
      •       Switching systems or adding components (CCTs,
              employment guarantee)
      •       Political sustainability of systems: commitment,
              structure of institutions
      •       Innovation and optimization of systems: learning
              by doing; series of impact studies and experimental
              designs
      e.g. IFPRI studies in Mexico (PROGRESA), Brazil (BOLSA),
           Turkey (CCT), Bangladesh (FFE), Ethiopia (PSN)
                                                     .
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
How much is spent on social protection?

      • Health (% of GDP)
              - Germany, France, Sweden: 7-8%
              - India, Somalia, Georgia: < 1%

      • Pensions (% of GDP)
              - Austria, Greece, Poland: 11-13%
              - Nigeria, Bangladesh, Mozambique: < 1%

      • Social assistance (% of GDP)
              - Pakistan, Peru, Colombia, Chile: < 1%

Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
                                                        Source: Dethier 2007.
Developing countries: National income,
                    social spending, and infant mortality

             Plot of GOVEXP with GNI                                                   Plot of INFANT with GNI (right scale)
             Expon. (Plot of GOVEXP with GNI)                                          Expon. (Plot of INFANT with GNI (right scale))

                                              1,600                                                                      100
                    GOVEXP per capita (US$)




                                                                                                                         90




                                                                                                                               (per 1000 live births)
                                              1,400
                                                                                                                         80
                                              1,200
                                                                                                                         70




                                                                                                                                     INFANT
                                              1,000                                                                      60
                                               800                                                                       50
                                               600                                                                       40
                                                                                                                         30
                                               400
                                                                                                                         20
                                               200                                                                       10
                                                 0                                                                       0
                                                      0   1000   2000   3000   4000    5000   6000   7000    8000   9000

                                                                         GNI per capita (US$)


                                                                                  Source: Data from World Bank 2007 and WHO 2007.
                                                           Note: Data for health and education expenditure: 2003-04 or latest year(s) ,
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009                                          (not earlier than 2000). Data for infant mortality: 2004-05.
How to scale up social protection?

      • Start with existing institutions and choose
        appropriate scale
      • Strengthen tax base
      • Improve information and incentives
      • Create broad-based political and stakeholder
        support
      • Pursue public–private partnerships
      • Draw on global lessons
      • Think across institutions: markets, microfinance,
        insurance, services
Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
The two dual challenges for policy

     1. Accelerate growth and its pro-poor
        qualities!

     2. Accelerate social spending and its
        effectiveness!




Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009

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Mais de Joachim von Braun (20)

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Poverty and Hunger Reduction – a new mix of growth and social protection poli...
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Access to Food: Safety Nets and Hunger Solutions for the Most Needy

  • 1. Access to Food: Safety Nets and Hunger Solutions for the Most Needy Joachim von Braun International Food Policy Research Institute Strategic Meeting of WFP on “School Feeding: Feed Minds, Change Lives” Bellagio, Italy, July16, 2009
  • 2. Social safety nets and the food and financial crises  Many governments effectively used existing safety net programs to mitigate impacts of the food crisis, though political constraints sometimes limited the response  But some governments did not expand safety nets  This is an vital period to reexamine the role of social safety nets, particularly regarding securing access to food Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 3. Key actions that need to be taken (Conclusions of IFPRI’ activity on “the poorest and the hungry” 2006-2008; Beijing) 1. Promote inclusive growth with emphasis on rural growth and –in many countries - on agriculture 2. Enhance access to assets, infrastructure, markets 3. Strengthen and move faster to social protection 4. Accelerate investments in health, nutrition, education, particularly for children and women 5. Include the excluded The mix is different for different countries and regions (Africa, Asia, and Latin America) Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 4. Growth, poverty reduction, and hunger (1) For poor (very poor) households, a 10% increase in income increases caloric acquisition by 3% (5%) “Income growth and hunger reduction are tightly wedded” and of the 10 low income countries that reduced hunger index the fastest since 1990, 8 are also among the top 10 in agricultural growth BUT Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 5. Growth, poverty reduction, and hunger (2) “Income growth and pre-school malnutrition are loosely meshed” The direct effect of income growth on pre-school nutrition is low, so other investments (targeted programs aimed at pre-schoolers) are needed - Note that given the high economic returns to reducing pre-school malnutrition, these too are excellent investments! Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 6. Pro-poor social protection and nutrition interventions needed Protective actions e.g.: • Cash transfers • Employment-based food security programs Preventive actions e.g.: • School feeding • Early childhood nutrition programs Focus on the most vulnerable: children, women, excluded groups, the poorest Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 7. Problem zone “under–two”: the most risky age Weight for age by region 0.5 0.25 NCHS 0 Reference -0.25 Z-score (NCHS) -0.5 -0.75 -1 -1.25 -1.5 -1.75 -2 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 Age (months) Africa Latin America and Caribbean Asia But no reason to play the under two’s against school children: Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 there are important linkagesSource: Shrimpton et al. 2001.
  • 8. Guatemala: Early childhood nutrition impacting adult education and productivity Grade attainment Nutritional intervention 27% (women) among Guatemalan children 0-7 years old Cognitive ability 8% (’69-’77) Reading Follow-up in adults 25- 17% comprehension 42 years old (’02-04) Investments in early childhood nutrition can Income earned per be long-term drivers of hour worked 20% economic growth (men) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 Source: Hoddinott et al. 2008. Lancet (in revision).
  • 9. What do we know about safety nets and access to food? School feeding programs (1)  Household vs. individual food security • Careful studies from the Philippines and Bangladesh show that school-age children keep most of the calories transferred at school meals  Quality and size of food transfers • Larger and more nutritious food transfers were vital to achieve impacts on learning achievement and iron status: school meals or take-home rations providing 1100 kcal of iron-fortified food per day reduced anemia prevalence among adolescent girls in Uganda by 18 percentage points Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
  • 10. What do we know about safety nets and access to food? School feeding programs (2) Obtain complementarities with education objectives • In Uganda, separate school meals and take-home rations programs both improved scores on math achievement tests and cognitive development tests • Timing of meals not critical: Learning and cognitive benefits of FFE programs were similar whether the meals were given at school or through take-home rations. Improved access to food was critical. Potential nutrition benefits to young children • In Burkina Faso, take-home rations conditional on school attendance improved the anthropometry of pre-school siblings of beneficiary children • In Uganda, school feeding (but not take-home rations) improved the anthropometry of pre-school age siblings of beneficiary children possibly through direct spillovers of fortified food to these siblings Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
  • 11. What do we know about safety nets and access to food? Conditional cash transfers Composition of consumption • Recent evidence from many countries in Latin America shows that cash transfers from CCTs increased the share of income spent on food at all income levels. • May be because most CCTs transfer money to women or because of complementary messages about the benefits of good nutrition Diet composition • In some countries, CCT transfers led to increased diet diversification and improved diet quality Long-term consumption smoothing • In Nicaragua and Mexico, CCT beneficiaries were better able to smooth their consumption during economic shocks, which increased future incomes and access to food Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 Source: Dan Gilligan, IFPRI, 2009.
  • 12. Issues in designing safety nets for food security  Cost-effectiveness • Safety nets can be expensive to operate and require perpetual expenditures • In well-run programs, larger transfers do have greater impacts • Effective targeting is an important tool • The growing body of evidence: the cost- effectiveness of many programs is higher than previously thought Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 13. Issues of safety net design • Transactions costs of systems: administrative capacity, information, costs • Switching systems or adding components (CCTs, employment guarantee) • Political sustainability of systems: commitment, structure of institutions • Innovation and optimization of systems: learning by doing; series of impact studies and experimental designs e.g. IFPRI studies in Mexico (PROGRESA), Brazil (BOLSA), Turkey (CCT), Bangladesh (FFE), Ethiopia (PSN) . Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 14. How much is spent on social protection? • Health (% of GDP) - Germany, France, Sweden: 7-8% - India, Somalia, Georgia: < 1% • Pensions (% of GDP) - Austria, Greece, Poland: 11-13% - Nigeria, Bangladesh, Mozambique: < 1% • Social assistance (% of GDP) - Pakistan, Peru, Colombia, Chile: < 1% Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 Source: Dethier 2007.
  • 15. Developing countries: National income, social spending, and infant mortality Plot of GOVEXP with GNI Plot of INFANT with GNI (right scale) Expon. (Plot of GOVEXP with GNI) Expon. (Plot of INFANT with GNI (right scale)) 1,600 100 GOVEXP per capita (US$) 90 (per 1000 live births) 1,400 80 1,200 70 INFANT 1,000 60 800 50 600 40 30 400 20 200 10 0 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 GNI per capita (US$) Source: Data from World Bank 2007 and WHO 2007. Note: Data for health and education expenditure: 2003-04 or latest year(s) , Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009 (not earlier than 2000). Data for infant mortality: 2004-05.
  • 16. How to scale up social protection? • Start with existing institutions and choose appropriate scale • Strengthen tax base • Improve information and incentives • Create broad-based political and stakeholder support • Pursue public–private partnerships • Draw on global lessons • Think across institutions: markets, microfinance, insurance, services Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009
  • 17. The two dual challenges for policy 1. Accelerate growth and its pro-poor qualities! 2. Accelerate social spending and its effectiveness! Joachim von Braun, IFPRI, July 2009