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Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation
options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to
climate change


Dr. Brenda B. Lin
Research Scientist
October 27, 2011
Agriculture and climate change effects


• Temperature
       • Maximums and
         minimums
       • Seasonal shifts
• Precipitation
       • Extreme events
       • Flooding
       • Drought




                                                                                Fisher et al, 2005; Parry and Livermore, 2005
CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Agricultural Vulnerabilities


Rice - decreased seed
weight during El Niño
drought seasons

Wheat - heat pulses
applied to wheat during
anthesis reduced
harvest
Maize - reduced pollen
viability above 36 °C


                                Lansigan et al, 2000; Porter and Semenov, 2005; Wollenweber et al, 2003
CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Smallholder farmers: Exposure and Sensitivity

• Agricultural based economies with few other livelihood
  strategies
• Reliance on ecosystem services, natural resources -
  water, soil, air
• Small family farms have little capital to invest in
  adaptation strategies




CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Progressive adaptation

                                                                                                       Transformation from landuse or
                                                                                                       distribution change
Benefit from




                                                                                                       New products such as
 adaptation




                                                                                                       ecosystem services

                                                                              Climate ready germplasm
                                                                              Climate-sensitive precision-agric
                                                                              Diversification and risk management

                                                      Varieties, planting times, spacing
                                                      Stubble, water, nutrient and canopy
                                                      management etc


                                                                Climate change                                              Howden et al. 2010
               CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Agroforestry Systems: Adaptation and Mitigation




                                                                                                             Schoeneberger 2009
CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Literature Survey

       What are the ways in which agroforestry can
       increase farmer resilience to climate change
                         effects?

• Web of Knowledge search
       • “agfor* AND climate change”
• Two main categories of agroforestry implementation
  for smallholder farmers
       • Adaptation tool to protect against climate change
       • Mitigation tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions




CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Adaptation
       Examples from the coffee agroforestry system




CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Variation in Coffee Agroforestry

                                                                                       4




                                                                              Height (m)
            High Shade (HS)                                                            0
        Traditional Polyculture
Coffee grown under natural canopy, with
  other commercially productive trees



       Medium Shade (MS)

                                                                             Height
     Commercial Polyculture                                                        15
      Coffee grown only with
  commercially productive trees (no
          natural canopy)
                                                                              Height


          Low Shade (LS)
       Shaded Monoculture
 Coffee grown under one species of
            shade tree
                                                                                                                    Moguel and Toledo, 1999
       CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Buffering against Temperature variability

                     Dry Season                                                    Wet Season
    30                                                                    30

                                                                                                              Shade cover
    27                                                                    27




                                                       Temperature (°C)
                                                                                                                   High

    24                                                                    24                                       Medium
                                                                                                                   Low
    21                                                                    21


    18                                                                    18


    15                                                                    15
               0          6         12         18                              0     6        12 18
                                                              Time                                                Lin, 2007
 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Buffering against water loss
                                                            150
 Water Loss through Evapotranspiration

                                                                     Soil Evaporation                              c
Water Loss through Evapotranspiration

                                                            150
                                                                     Plant Transpiration
                                                                    Soil Evaporation
                                                                    Plant Transpiration
                                                            120
                                                            120                             b
                                         (g H2O m-2 h -1)
                                          (g H2O m h )
                                         -1




                                                             90
                                                            90          a
                                         -2




                                                            60
                                                             60


                                                            30
                                                             30

                                                             0

                                                              0     High      Medium        Low
                                                                   Shade      Shade        Shade
                                                                     High Shade Medium Shade
                                                                  High Shade     Medium Shade Low Shade
                                                                                                Low Shade
                                                                                                                       Lin, 2010
      CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Buffering against extreme events: storms and winds


                                                                            • In Chiapas – economic
                                                                              damages estimated 3 billion
                                                                              in the agricultural sector
                                                                            • 20% of coffee harvest lost
                                                                              worth $US 4 million in the
                                                                              Pacific region of Guatemala




Tropical Storm Stan:
   Oct 1-5, 2005
                                                                                                              Philpott et al, 2008
 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Buffering against extreme events: storms and winds

           Greater farming intensity led to greater farm
           area affected by landslides

                        y=1.64x-0.8312
                        R2 = 0.0827




P=0.014
    CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Mitigation

                               Carbon sequestration potential




                                                                                                             Verchot et al, 2006
CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Carbon sequestration potential of agroforestry

• Trees
    • Agroforestry systems maintains 22 times more carbon stored
      aboveground when compared to traditional maize
• Soil organic matter
    • Improved fallow agroforestry
      found to increase topsoil C
      stocks up to 1.6 Mg C/ha/yr
      above continuous maize
      cropping
• Sequestration potential
    • 95 Mg C ha-1 median value
      for the agroforestry system
      as a whole



                            Soto Pinto et al, 2010; Montagnini and Nair, 2004; Albrecht and Kandji, 2003
 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Payments for carbon sequestration

• Eligible for
  afforestation/reforestation (A/R)
  activity in the Clean
  Development Mechanism
• REDD – reduce
  carbon emissions
  from deforestation
  and forest
  degradation
• At $100 per MgC, carbon
  sequestration in agroforestry
  systems could potentially raise
  per capita incomes up to 15%
                                                                                                              Antle et al., 2007
 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Curbing GHG emissions

                 • Less fertilizer use because of nutrient cycling
                 • Mitigate N2O and CO2 emissions from soils and
                   increase CH4 sink strength

Land-use system                                                     N 2O emissions                 CH 4 flux                CO 2 emissions       Source
                                                                                -2    -1                   -2    -1                   -2    -1
                                                                    (µg N m          h )      (µg C m           h )         (µg C m        h )

Cropping System            High input cropping                             31.2                       15.2                        84             Palm et al (2002)
                           Low input cropping                              15.6                      -17.5                       66.6            Palm et al (2002)
                           Cassava/Imperata                                 7.1                      -14.8                                       Tsurata et al (2000)

Agroforestry               Shifting cultivation                             8.6                      -23.5                       67.5            Palm et al   (2002)
Systems                    Multistrate agroforestry                         5.8                      -23.3                       32.6            Palm et al   (2002)
                           Peach Palm                                       9.8                       -17                        66.4            Palm et al   (2002)
                           Jungle rubber                                     1                        -12                                        Tsurata et   al (2000)
                           Rubber agroforests                              12.5                      -27.5                                       Tsurata et   al (2000)
Forests                    Forest                                           9.2                      -28.8                       73.3            Palm et al (2002)
                           Forest                                            5                        -31                                        Tsurata et al (2000)
                           Logged Forest                                    7.2                      -38.2                                       Tsurata et al (2000)

                                                                                                                                       Adapted from Mutuo et al 2005



                                                                                                                      Palm et al 2002; Mutuo et al, 2005
               CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
Conclusions

Benefits for Smallscale Farmers
• Adaptation to climate change effects
     • Temperature
     • Precipitation
• Mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions
     • Carbon sequestration
     • Decreased GHG loss and increased sinks
• Increase on farm profitability by
     • Protecting crop production from climate change and potential
       secondary effects
     • Increasing crop diversification and products produced
       including carbon sequestration



 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship
Brenda B. Lin
Research Scientist

Phone: 03 9239 4476
Email: Brenda.Lin@csiro.au
Web: www.csiro.au/org/ClimateAdaptationFlagship.html




Thank you
                                                    Contact Us
                       Phone: 1300 363 400 or +61 3 9545 2176
                    Email: enquiries@csiro.au Web: www.csiro.au

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Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change. Brenda Lin

  • 1. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change Dr. Brenda B. Lin Research Scientist October 27, 2011
  • 2. Agriculture and climate change effects • Temperature • Maximums and minimums • Seasonal shifts • Precipitation • Extreme events • Flooding • Drought Fisher et al, 2005; Parry and Livermore, 2005 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 3. Agricultural Vulnerabilities Rice - decreased seed weight during El Niño drought seasons Wheat - heat pulses applied to wheat during anthesis reduced harvest Maize - reduced pollen viability above 36 °C Lansigan et al, 2000; Porter and Semenov, 2005; Wollenweber et al, 2003 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 4. Smallholder farmers: Exposure and Sensitivity • Agricultural based economies with few other livelihood strategies • Reliance on ecosystem services, natural resources - water, soil, air • Small family farms have little capital to invest in adaptation strategies CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 5. Progressive adaptation Transformation from landuse or distribution change Benefit from New products such as adaptation ecosystem services Climate ready germplasm Climate-sensitive precision-agric Diversification and risk management Varieties, planting times, spacing Stubble, water, nutrient and canopy management etc Climate change Howden et al. 2010 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 6. Agroforestry Systems: Adaptation and Mitigation Schoeneberger 2009 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 7. Literature Survey What are the ways in which agroforestry can increase farmer resilience to climate change effects? • Web of Knowledge search • “agfor* AND climate change” • Two main categories of agroforestry implementation for smallholder farmers • Adaptation tool to protect against climate change • Mitigation tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 8. Adaptation Examples from the coffee agroforestry system CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 9. Variation in Coffee Agroforestry 4 Height (m) High Shade (HS) 0 Traditional Polyculture Coffee grown under natural canopy, with other commercially productive trees Medium Shade (MS) Height Commercial Polyculture 15 Coffee grown only with commercially productive trees (no natural canopy) Height Low Shade (LS) Shaded Monoculture Coffee grown under one species of shade tree Moguel and Toledo, 1999 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 10. Buffering against Temperature variability Dry Season Wet Season 30 30 Shade cover 27 27 Temperature (°C) High 24 24 Medium Low 21 21 18 18 15 15 0 6 12 18 0 6 12 18 Time Lin, 2007 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 11. Buffering against water loss 150 Water Loss through Evapotranspiration Soil Evaporation c Water Loss through Evapotranspiration 150 Plant Transpiration Soil Evaporation Plant Transpiration 120 120 b (g H2O m-2 h -1) (g H2O m h ) -1 90 90 a -2 60 60 30 30 0 0 High Medium Low Shade Shade Shade High Shade Medium Shade High Shade Medium Shade Low Shade Low Shade Lin, 2010 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 12. Buffering against extreme events: storms and winds • In Chiapas – economic damages estimated 3 billion in the agricultural sector • 20% of coffee harvest lost worth $US 4 million in the Pacific region of Guatemala Tropical Storm Stan: Oct 1-5, 2005 Philpott et al, 2008 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 13. Buffering against extreme events: storms and winds Greater farming intensity led to greater farm area affected by landslides y=1.64x-0.8312 R2 = 0.0827 P=0.014 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 14. Mitigation Carbon sequestration potential Verchot et al, 2006 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 15. Carbon sequestration potential of agroforestry • Trees • Agroforestry systems maintains 22 times more carbon stored aboveground when compared to traditional maize • Soil organic matter • Improved fallow agroforestry found to increase topsoil C stocks up to 1.6 Mg C/ha/yr above continuous maize cropping • Sequestration potential • 95 Mg C ha-1 median value for the agroforestry system as a whole Soto Pinto et al, 2010; Montagnini and Nair, 2004; Albrecht and Kandji, 2003 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 16. Payments for carbon sequestration • Eligible for afforestation/reforestation (A/R) activity in the Clean Development Mechanism • REDD – reduce carbon emissions from deforestation and forest degradation • At $100 per MgC, carbon sequestration in agroforestry systems could potentially raise per capita incomes up to 15% Antle et al., 2007 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 17. Curbing GHG emissions • Less fertilizer use because of nutrient cycling • Mitigate N2O and CO2 emissions from soils and increase CH4 sink strength Land-use system N 2O emissions CH 4 flux CO 2 emissions Source -2 -1 -2 -1 -2 -1 (µg N m h ) (µg C m h ) (µg C m h ) Cropping System High input cropping 31.2 15.2 84 Palm et al (2002) Low input cropping 15.6 -17.5 66.6 Palm et al (2002) Cassava/Imperata 7.1 -14.8 Tsurata et al (2000) Agroforestry Shifting cultivation 8.6 -23.5 67.5 Palm et al (2002) Systems Multistrate agroforestry 5.8 -23.3 32.6 Palm et al (2002) Peach Palm 9.8 -17 66.4 Palm et al (2002) Jungle rubber 1 -12 Tsurata et al (2000) Rubber agroforests 12.5 -27.5 Tsurata et al (2000) Forests Forest 9.2 -28.8 73.3 Palm et al (2002) Forest 5 -31 Tsurata et al (2000) Logged Forest 7.2 -38.2 Tsurata et al (2000) Adapted from Mutuo et al 2005 Palm et al 2002; Mutuo et al, 2005 CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 18. Conclusions Benefits for Smallscale Farmers • Adaptation to climate change effects • Temperature • Precipitation • Mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions • Carbon sequestration • Decreased GHG loss and increased sinks • Increase on farm profitability by • Protecting crop production from climate change and potential secondary effects • Increasing crop diversification and products produced including carbon sequestration CSIRO. Agroforestry adaptation and mitigation options for smallholder farmers vulnerable to climate change
  • 19. CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship Brenda B. Lin Research Scientist Phone: 03 9239 4476 Email: Brenda.Lin@csiro.au Web: www.csiro.au/org/ClimateAdaptationFlagship.html Thank you Contact Us Phone: 1300 363 400 or +61 3 9545 2176 Email: enquiries@csiro.au Web: www.csiro.au