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Hbj capital daily newsletter 3rd dec 2012
- 1. 12/2/2012
Daily Market Insight
Technical View-
The technical picture on the charts
suggests that the markets are trading in
continuation to the expiry move. The
Volumes are supporting this up move but at
the same time the RSI is on the upper side
which is showing markets to be on
overbought region.
Positional traders are suggested to hold up
NIFTY future till 6000 Mark and as of now a
short position is created only if the NIFTY
future gives a closing below 5850.
Those who are still SHORT on the markets
are suggested to keep their position hedged
as long as the NIFTY up move continues
and should continue their short positions
open only if NIFTY Future closes below
5850 mark.
NIFTY being in the range of 5550 to 5800
from last 90 days has given a clear
Outlook for the day breakout this time and we are expecting it
Fundamental View- continue the same move. Unless and until
we see any significant move in NIFTY, we
NIFTY has moved with a jet rocketed speed in should not short the markets rather ride
last 3 sessions. Say it to be either derivative the UPMOVE.
expiry move or real strength move. But its
amazing to see almost 300 points up move in last
3 sessions in NIFTY. Now the question is the
sustainability of this up move. Looking at the last INDICES LTP Change % Change
volume which is almost equal to the volume on
expiry day but the Nifty move was constrained in NIFTY 5,879.85 54.85 0.94 %
the range of just 50 odd points. Similar effort on
SENSEX 19,339.90 168.99 0.88%
expiry day or one day prior to expiry had an
amazing up move of 100 points. So what should CNX
we conclude??? 3,638.60 33.20 0.92 %
SMALLCAP
CNXMIDCAP 8,139.80 99.70 1.24 %
Is there a net selling on last session?
Shall we create a short position on NIFTY now? BANKNIFTY 12,158.90 166.10 1.38 %
Shall we wait for NIFTY to close below 5830?
Is this up move not going to stop till 6200
mark?
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com
- 2. 12/2/2012
Daily Market
Insight
Option Strategy- NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST CHART
7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000 STRIKE PRICE
3000000 CALL OI
2000000 PUT OI
1000000
0
5300 5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200
NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST CHANGE CHART
1400000
1200000
1000000
800000 STRIKE PRICE
600000 CALL OI CHANGE
400000 PUT OI CHANGE
200000
0
-200000 5300 5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200
The option data suggests that the market participants are currently
visualizing the 6000 mark on the higher side. Very high CALL writing at
6000 Strike price will stop market to move beyond 6000 mark. On the other
side we can see equal PUT writings on 5400 to 5800 strike price. This
indicates that NIFTY down move would be restricted below 5800 mark. Last
session’s option data indicated that NIFTY can have a range of 5900 and
6100 in near term.
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com
- 3. 12/2/2012
Daily Market
Insight
Derivative Info
Increase In Open Interest
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price
%Chg.
Price
BUY PTC
UNIPHOS 4288 6294 46.78% 119.15 4.70 TARGET 80
PTC
SYNDIBANK
893
774
1265
1095
41.66%
41.47%
72.5
128.85
0.95
4.75
SL 68
KTKBANK 4815 6710 39.36% 176.8 11.95 CMP 72
CANBK 2659 3487 31.14% 468.1 22.75
Decrease In Open Interest
%Chg.
SELL DIVISLAB Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
DIVISLAB
TARGET 1000 FEDERALBNK
4668
2069
3576
1899
-23.39%
-8.22%
1186.4
484.25
-7.75
7.80
SL 1220 SRTRANSFIN 653 611 -6.43% 673.4 16.95
CMP 1186 LUPIN 3940 3702 -6.04% 593.6 10.25
DABUR 2704 2542 -5.99% 128.75 1.85
Increase In Open Interest & Decrease In Price
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price
%Chg.
Price
AGGRESSIVE
ZEEL 3823 4331 13.29% 196.7 -7.55 MOVE IN
IDEA
ACC
1852
3574
2071
3991
11.83%
11.67%
97.95
1394.95
-2.20
-13.20
HAVELLS
RANBAXY 8333 9283 11.40% 506.15 -10.60 EXPECTED…
HAVELLS 1250 1385 10.80% 579.3 -3.20
Decrease In Open Interest & Increase In Price
%Chg.
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
FALSE FEDERALBNK 2069 1899 -8.22% 484.25 7.80
SRTRANSFIN 653 611 -6.43% 673.4 16.95
BREAKOUT LUPIN 3940 3702 -6.04% 593.6 10.25
SELL ON SUNTV DABUR 2704 2542 -5.99% 128.75 1.85
SUNTV 3995 3800 -4.88% 410.75 1.00
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com
- 4. 12/2/2012
Daily Market
Insight
Daily Market Insight is an Informative Newsletter, powered by STOPLOSSTRADE
[www.stoplosstrade.com | www.stoplosstrade.in]
About STOPLOSSTRADE - A decade old financial advisory services firm with a vision to simplify the
complex world of the financial markets. It provides a wide range of services nationwide to a substantial
and diversified client base that includes retail clients, HNI’s, corporates and financial institutions.
STOPLOSSTRADE is a 100% subsidiary of HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. Complete details can be
found on [www.stoplosstrade.com | www.stoplosstrade.in ]
About HBJ Capital - HBJ Capital was founded in 2005 as an Equity research firm and currently has
grown to become a Financial Services provider.HBJ Capital has core competencies in Equity
Research, Corporate Consultancy and Private Equity. The company is one of the leaders in Equity
research domain and provides services to retail clients, HNI’ s, FII’s, Hedge Funds and Brokerage
partners. Complete details can be found on www.hbjcapital.com
DISCLAIMER:
This report has been prepared for private circulation and the content has been obtained from
various sources believed to be reliable, but we do not hold ourselves liable for its
completeness and accuracy. HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd, STOPLOSSTRADE and any of its
employees shall not be responsible for the content and actions taken on the basis of this
content. This is not an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. Users are advised to
use the data for purposes of information only and rely on their own judgment while making
investment decisions.
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com
- 5. 12/2/2012
Daily Market
Insight
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© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com