This pack includes a selection of slides from The Saturday Economist Webinar for May, held on the 29th May 2020. Videos of the presentation are available on Youtube and LinkedIn

1. The Saturday Economist
Newscast May 29th 2020
The Saturday Economist . com
Slide Selection

2. The Saturday Economist
Duration of the Pandemic
Damage to the Economy
Shape of the Recovery
The Saturday Economist . com
*Bonus Feature

3. 0
10,000
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30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100105110115120125
The Saturday Economist
Covid-19
5.5 Million Cases
350,000 Deaths
6.4% Fatality Rate
World Data
The Saturday Economist . com

4. 84,500 Cases
4,645 Deaths
5.5% Fatality Rate
The Saturday Economist . com

5. 0.0
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Marc
h
April May
50 Million Reports
60 Million Episodes
12 Million Cases
20% Infection Rate
Back Cast Data UK Episode
2.2 million peak
The Saturday Economist . com

6. Fatality Rate %
y = 17.171x + 0.822
R² = 0.3538
0.0
1.0
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3.0
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Infection Rate Per 000
Infection Rate Per 000 v Fatality Rate
The Saturday Economist . com

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0
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50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 1004419
act
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UK Deaths UK Cases
Coronavirus Outbreak UK Cases and Deaths
Cases
rhs
Deaths
lhs
The Saturday Economist . com

8. “
Public Health England
the organisation is amassing evidence to evaluate
if the 2 meter rule is "absolutely necessary".
The two meter rule is a "precautionary approach"
and could change to allow closer contact”
The Saturday Economist . com

9. IMF World Forecasts - Growth %
3
3
3
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2019 2020 2021
The Saturday Economist . com

10. IMF World Forecasts - Growth %
3
-7
5
-8.0
-7.0
-6.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
2019 2020 2021
The Saturday Economist . com

11. The Saturday Economist . com

12. 2019 2020 2021
Belgium
1.4 -6.3 5.0
France 1.3 -8.2 6.7
Germany 0.6 -6.3 5.2
Italy 0.3 -9.9 6.3
Spain 2.0 -9.1 6.7
Sweden 1.2 -5.7 4.5
Forecasts for Europe
The Saturday Economist . com

13. Business will be hit by …
Covid-19
Aftermath
Recession
Digital
Disruption
Boris and Brexit
Trump and Tariffs
Social Distancing, Travel, Leisure, Entertainment, hit Unemployment, Spending, Investment, Housing
Retail Trends, Online Sales, AI, Working from home,
The Saturday Economist . com

14. Consumers Are Nervous …
The Saturday Economist . com

15. The Saturday Economist . com

16. -21.2%

17. -1.8% -21.2% -12.8% -5.8%
10.4%
The Saturday Economist . com

18. The Saturday Economist
-1.8
-21.2
-12.8
-5.8
1.0
17.0
15.0
6.0
-20
-10
0
10
20
2020 2021
GDP 2020 -10.4% GDP 2021 9.8%
The Saturday Economist . com

19. The Saturday Economist . com

20. The Saturday Economist . com

21. -23% in April
The Saturday Economist . com

22. All Retail inc Fuel -22.6
Fuel -62.4
Total excluding Fuel -18.4
Food 5.9
Non Specialised Food 6.7
Specialised Food
Alcohol 63.1
Non Food -53.3
Non Specialised -24.7
Clothing, Footwear
Textiles -53.6
Clothing -67.7
Footwear -77.0
Retail Sales April
Household Goods -49.4
Furniture Lighting -75.9
Electrical Household Goods -20.0
Hardward Paint Glass -35.3
Music Video -21.4
Other Non Specialised
Dispensing Chemists -4.7
Medical Goods -72.7
Cosmetics -38.0
Computers Telecom -67.3
Floorcoverings -71.6
Books Newspapers -67.0
Sports Equipment -51.7
Flowers Plants Seeds -44.3
Watches, Jewellry -79.0
Other Retail -65.3
Second Hand Goods -67.8
The Saturday Economist . com

23. 0.0
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25.0
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source ONS : MS6Y Internet Sales All Retail
The Saturday Economist
The Saturday Economist .com
On Line Sales
30.7%
Of all sales

24. 4.4
32.1
38.8
46.1
41.5
38.0
42.9
113.5
153.1
140.4
122.2
125.4
105.5
96.9
81.2
56.0 56.5
40.1
44.1
62.6
0
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2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
Chart 8.1 : Borrowing £ billion
The Saturday Economist .com
The Saturday Economist Borrowing £ Billions
> £300 Billion
2020/21

25. The Saturday Economist Base Rates

26. The Saturday Economist Base Rates
2020 2021 2021

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UK Ten Year Gilt Yields
The Saturday Economist
0.30
The Saturday Economist .com
Gilt Yields
Base Rate % Gilt Yield % 10 yr
0.10 0.30
0.25 0.75
0.50 1.50
0.75 1.75

28. The Saturday Economist .com
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$35.00
Latest Price
May Spot
Brent Crude Oil Price $ Monthly Average monthly
Where Next For Oil Prices …

29. The Saturday Economist
Newscast May 29th 2020
The Saturday Economist . com
Slide Selection