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The Cloud Adoption Toolkit
                                 Prof. Ian Sommerville




JISC meeting, December 2011   St Andrews Cloud Computing Co-laboratory   Slide 1
Cloud Adoption
  Our aim is to support decision makers thinking
about migrating systems to a public cloud platform


                                  How much might it cost?
                               How should I price my services?
                                 What are the risks/benefits?
                              How will it affect my organisation?
                                    Will it save energy?




JISC meeting, December 2011                                         Slide 2
Scope
                                •   Medium-scale enterprises
                                    that currently run most
                                    services in-house
                                •   Tens to hundreds of
                                    servers
                                •   Incremental service
                                    migration to cloud, where
                                    services are provided on
                                    dedicated infrastructure



JISC meeting, December 2011                               Slide 3
Not just a technical problem
                              •   Concerns from staff about
                                  how the move will affect their
                                  jobs
                              •   Concerns from users over
                                  „loss of control‟ over „their‟
                                  systems
                              •   Concerns from IT
                                  management about
                                  maintaining their
                                  organisational influence
                              •   Concerns (real and
JISC meeting, December 2011       misplaced) about             Slide 4
Cloud adoption toolkit
                              •   Infrastructure cost
                                  modelling
                              •   Energy modelling
                              •   Risk and benefit analysis
                              •   Stakeholder impact
                                  analysis
                              •   Service pricing




JISC meeting, December 2011                              Slide 5
Cost modelling
                                         •   Cost modellers are
                                             provided by major
                                             cloud providers
                                         •   Simplistic usage
                                             assumptions
                                         •   Difficult to do „what
                                             if‟ calculations




JISC meeting, December 2011                                 Slide 6
Our requirements
                                          •   Cost modelling
                                              and comparison
                                              for different
                                              providers
                                          •   Variable usage
                                              patterns
                                          •   Simple „what if‟
                                              analysis
                                          •   Infrastructure
                                              model to allow
                                              comparison with
JISC meeting, December 2011                   in-house       Slide 7
Stand-alone prototype implemented
                              and tested with several case-studies

                              Now developing web-based system




JISC meeting, December 2011                      8         Slide 8
Supported clouds




JISC meeting, December 2011                      Slide 9
Patterns
 •      If you simply need a service that runs all the time with
        a predictable, steady workload, you will not save
        money by moving this infrastructure to the cloud
 •      Cost savings from the cloud come when you have a
        variable workload and you provision your
        infrastructure to cope with periods of higher demand
 •      Patterns are a key feature of our tool that allow
        fluctuating demand to be modelled




JISC meeting, December 2011                                 Slide 10
JISC meeting, December 2011   11   Slide 11
JISC meeting, December 2011   12   Slide 12
Infrastructure description




    •      Analysis is based on an XML model of
           infrastructure AND the applications deployed to
           that infrastructure
    •      Very hard to predict overall infrastructure loading
    •      Easier to predict service/application use
JISC meeting, December 2011                                  Slide 13
JISC meeting, December 2011   14   Slide 14
JISC meeting, December 2011   Slide 15
Socio-technical analysis
                              •   Its not all about money
                              •   Intended to assess risks and
                                  benefits of migrating
                                  systems to the cloud
                              •   Allows complex stakeholder
                                  relationships to be
                                  considered and the impacts
                                  on these stakeholders




JISC meeting, December 2011                                 Slide 16
JISC meeting, December 2011   Slide 17
Case studies
Oil & Gas IT Company
•    A Khajeh-Hosseini, D Greenwood, I Sommerville, "Cloud Migration: A Case Study of
     Migrating an Enterprise IT System to IaaS," 2010 IEEE 3rd Int. Conf. on Cloud
     Computing

•    D Greenwood, I Sommerville, "Responsibility Modelling for Identifying Sociotechnical
     Threats to the Dependability of Coalitions-of-Systems", 2011 Sixth IEEE Int. Conf. on
     SoS Engineering

CS School in St Andrews
•    A Khajeh-Hosseini, D Greenwood, J W Smith, and I Sommerville, 2011, "The Cloud
     Adoption Toolkit: supporting cloud adoption decisions in the enterprise." Software:
     Practice and Experience. Special Issue on Software Architectures and Application
     Development Environments for Cloud Computing, January 2011

Large media corporation and CiteSeerX
•    A Khajeh-Hosseini, I Sommerville, J Bogaerts, P Teregowda. 2011. Decision Support
     Tools for Cloud Migration in the Enterprise. IEEE 4th Int. Conf. on Cloud Computing


    JISC meeting, December 2011                                                     Slide 18
Service pricing
 •      New addition to toolkit intended
 •      Addresses the key question for service providers

        “How much should I charge for a service and what
        revenue can I expect”
 •      Price setting and revenue simulations
 •      How much will it cost to provision infrastructure for
        provided services



JISC meeting, December 2011                                 Slide 19
System status
 •      Stand-alone prototype developed and tested in a
        number of case studies
 •      Now being re-implemented as a web-based service
 •      Initial version scheduled for release around end-
        February 2012




JISC meeting, December 2011                                 Slide 20
Summary
 •      To understand the real costs of cloud usage, you
        need to understand and model how your applications
        and infrastructure are used
 •      Our cloud modelling toolkit allows more realistic cost
        simulations than the tools provided by cloud providers
 •      Socio-technical issues (threats, risks, benefits) are
        usually more significant in decision making than cost-
        savings
 •      Our toolkit is unique in integrating cost and socio-
        technical analysis

JISC meeting, December 2011                                    Slide 21
Thanks
                                   •   The development
                                       team
                                   •   Ali Khajeh Hosseini
                                   •   Derek Wang
                                   •   James Smith
                                   •   David Greenwood




JISC meeting, December 2011                            Slide 22

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Cloud Adoption Toolkit

  • 1. The Cloud Adoption Toolkit Prof. Ian Sommerville JISC meeting, December 2011 St Andrews Cloud Computing Co-laboratory Slide 1
  • 2. Cloud Adoption Our aim is to support decision makers thinking about migrating systems to a public cloud platform How much might it cost? How should I price my services? What are the risks/benefits? How will it affect my organisation? Will it save energy? JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 2
  • 3. Scope • Medium-scale enterprises that currently run most services in-house • Tens to hundreds of servers • Incremental service migration to cloud, where services are provided on dedicated infrastructure JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 3
  • 4. Not just a technical problem • Concerns from staff about how the move will affect their jobs • Concerns from users over „loss of control‟ over „their‟ systems • Concerns from IT management about maintaining their organisational influence • Concerns (real and JISC meeting, December 2011 misplaced) about Slide 4
  • 5. Cloud adoption toolkit • Infrastructure cost modelling • Energy modelling • Risk and benefit analysis • Stakeholder impact analysis • Service pricing JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 5
  • 6. Cost modelling • Cost modellers are provided by major cloud providers • Simplistic usage assumptions • Difficult to do „what if‟ calculations JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 6
  • 7. Our requirements • Cost modelling and comparison for different providers • Variable usage patterns • Simple „what if‟ analysis • Infrastructure model to allow comparison with JISC meeting, December 2011 in-house Slide 7
  • 8. Stand-alone prototype implemented and tested with several case-studies Now developing web-based system JISC meeting, December 2011 8 Slide 8
  • 9. Supported clouds JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 9
  • 10. Patterns • If you simply need a service that runs all the time with a predictable, steady workload, you will not save money by moving this infrastructure to the cloud • Cost savings from the cloud come when you have a variable workload and you provision your infrastructure to cope with periods of higher demand • Patterns are a key feature of our tool that allow fluctuating demand to be modelled JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 10
  • 11. JISC meeting, December 2011 11 Slide 11
  • 12. JISC meeting, December 2011 12 Slide 12
  • 13. Infrastructure description • Analysis is based on an XML model of infrastructure AND the applications deployed to that infrastructure • Very hard to predict overall infrastructure loading • Easier to predict service/application use JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 13
  • 14. JISC meeting, December 2011 14 Slide 14
  • 15. JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 15
  • 16. Socio-technical analysis • Its not all about money • Intended to assess risks and benefits of migrating systems to the cloud • Allows complex stakeholder relationships to be considered and the impacts on these stakeholders JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 16
  • 17. JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 17
  • 18. Case studies Oil & Gas IT Company • A Khajeh-Hosseini, D Greenwood, I Sommerville, "Cloud Migration: A Case Study of Migrating an Enterprise IT System to IaaS," 2010 IEEE 3rd Int. Conf. on Cloud Computing • D Greenwood, I Sommerville, "Responsibility Modelling for Identifying Sociotechnical Threats to the Dependability of Coalitions-of-Systems", 2011 Sixth IEEE Int. Conf. on SoS Engineering CS School in St Andrews • A Khajeh-Hosseini, D Greenwood, J W Smith, and I Sommerville, 2011, "The Cloud Adoption Toolkit: supporting cloud adoption decisions in the enterprise." Software: Practice and Experience. Special Issue on Software Architectures and Application Development Environments for Cloud Computing, January 2011 Large media corporation and CiteSeerX • A Khajeh-Hosseini, I Sommerville, J Bogaerts, P Teregowda. 2011. Decision Support Tools for Cloud Migration in the Enterprise. IEEE 4th Int. Conf. on Cloud Computing JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 18
  • 19. Service pricing • New addition to toolkit intended • Addresses the key question for service providers “How much should I charge for a service and what revenue can I expect” • Price setting and revenue simulations • How much will it cost to provision infrastructure for provided services JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 19
  • 20. System status • Stand-alone prototype developed and tested in a number of case studies • Now being re-implemented as a web-based service • Initial version scheduled for release around end- February 2012 JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 20
  • 21. Summary • To understand the real costs of cloud usage, you need to understand and model how your applications and infrastructure are used • Our cloud modelling toolkit allows more realistic cost simulations than the tools provided by cloud providers • Socio-technical issues (threats, risks, benefits) are usually more significant in decision making than cost- savings • Our toolkit is unique in integrating cost and socio- technical analysis JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 21
  • 22. Thanks • The development team • Ali Khajeh Hosseini • Derek Wang • James Smith • David Greenwood JISC meeting, December 2011 Slide 22