1. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS

2. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
BASKETBALL COACHES
ARE PAID TO WIN GAMES
BASKETBALL COACHES
DO NOT ALWAYS
MAKE WINNING DECISIONS

3. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
MONEYBALL IS NEW SCHOOL
COACHING IS OLD SCHOOL
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

4. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
BIG DATA DRIVES BIG WINS
DALLAS MAVERICKS
&
MIAMI HEAT
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

5. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
TRANSLATION PLEASE
“NOBODY ON THE STAFF
CAN SNIFF THIS.”
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

6. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
HOW DO TEAMS WIN GAMES
WIN MORE
POSSESSIONS
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

7. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
WHAT IS A POSSESSION
WORTH?
~132 POSSESSIONS PER GAME
~4,584 POSSESSIONS PER SEASON
$1,389 PER POSSESSION
$286,963 PER WIN
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

8. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
IMPACT OF PERSONNEL LOSSES
WVU Defensive Efficiency
140
127.3 129.1 128.3
124.2
120 120
115.4 116.9 116.4
111.7 110.3 110 110.9
106.1 104.8 106.2 106.8
101.5 102.8 101.4
100 98.6 96.4 96.9
94.1 92.4
88.9 89.9
80 79.5 79.1 77.9 78.7 78.6
75.7
70.6
Noreen
60
Hurt in
1st half
40 Forsythe
Hurt
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

9. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
IMPACT OF PERSONNEL LOSSES
Defensive Efficiency Impact of Noreen & Forsythe
115.0
STD DEV = 3.67 112.2
110.0
109.6
109
107.3
STD DEV = 5.84 Opponents'
105.0 104.8 Average
With KN & PF
Offensive
Efficiency W/KN only
W/O KN & PF
100.0
STD DEV = 4.39 98.4
Defensive
Efficiency
95.0
90.0
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

10. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
DO WHAT WE DO BEST
Points Per Possession by Time of Possession Range
1.16
1.14
1.12
1.1
1.08
1.06
1.04
1.02
1
0.98
0.96
:02-:08 (402) :09 - :16 (559) :17 - :24 (645) :25 - :32 (343) :32+ (115)
Jay Cipoletti::hoopalytics@gmail.com

11. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
WINS TO DATE
TEAMRANKINGS.COM CONTEST
(STATGEEK IDOL)
WESTMONT HIGH SCHOOL

12. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
GOING FORWARD
HOOPALYTICS.COM
MIT SLOAN SPORTS ANALYTICS ABSTRACT
AUTOMATE DATA COLLECTION
PRODUCT PROTOTYPES

13. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
JAY CIPOLETTI
HOOPALYTICS@GMAIL.COM
TWITTER:@HOOPALYTICS
304-610-7881/304-389-3099

14. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
APPENDIX
WHY ANALYTICS?

15. Descriptive Analytics
This is “the what.” It describes what happened in the past
through reports, queries, drill downs, and alerts.
Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics
This uses data to understand the “so what.” Predictive
analytics—which include forecasting, predictive
modeling, and optimization—are focused on the future.
The use of predictive analytics takes an organization to a
higher degree of intelligence and can yield competitive
advantage.
Analytics and the Bottom Line
September 23 2010

16. “Companies that invest heavily in advanced analytical
capabilities outperform the S&P 500 on average by 64%.”
—Tom Davenport
Analytics and the Bottom Line
September 23 2010

17. Stage 1 – Analytically Impaired
Executives aren’t asking analytics questions.
Stage 2 – Localized Analytics
Pockets of analysis exist in localized silos, but the focus is on the past rather than the future.
Stage 3 – Analytical Aspirations
These firms see the value of analytics and prepare a detailed road map to move from descriptive to predictive
and prescriptive analytics.
Stage 4 – Analytical Companies
These companies are highly data-oriented and make use of analytics, but lack a top-level, passionate
commitment to competing on analytics.
Stage 5 – Analytical Competitors
These “Zen Masters” use analytics as a competitive differentiator. These analytical competitors have proven that
the use of analytics is linked with positive bottom-line results.
Analytics and the Bottom Line
September 23 2010