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Theme: New Market Entry




                  Wal-Mart Entering India




                          Presented by Group – 5 (Section: B)
Akash Jauhari; Raghav Agarwal; Karan Verma; Alok Mishra; Lokesh Chaudhari; Varun Sehgal
Key Findings
 With the opening up of Indian Retail sector for FDI up to 51% in multi-brand retail, India is
set to become hub of Multinational Retailers from across the Globe.

 Increasing per capita income and changing consumption pattern are the key drivers of fast
growing Retail sector in India.

 Organized retail are expected to increase its market share from 5.7% in 2011 to about 12%
by 2016. Major gainers are expected to be the new entrants like Wal-Mart and Carrefour.



 Recommendations

 Wal-Mart should apply its ‘Repeatable formula’ of Lowest price - supported with efficient
supply chain and Information technology for Indian markets as well.

 Given the compliance with Regulatory norms and fast market penetration, Wal-Mart to go
for strategic alliance – joint venture. Success depends on implementation within time-limits.

 Wal-Mart should focus on local customer preferences, strategic locations, regional
diversity & incorporating Indian values for building a sustainable business model for India.
The Corporate Level Decision: Entering India

                                Should Walmart Enter India?



                                 No                  Yes


                 More Downside Risk                    Growth Opportunities


                             Acquiring a local
                                 Player                                                Joint
                                                                                      Venture
                                                    Organic          Start
                                                    Growth         Greenfield



                           Operational & Cultural
                        Issues - Not Recommended                                    Recommended

                                           Regulation Issues –    Too risky – Not
                                           Not Recommended        Recommended


  Considering various Regulatory & Risk vs. Return aspects, it is recommended that Walmart
            should enter India with a strategic Joint Venture, at least to start with.
Indian Retail Market - Growth & Opportunities


                                                                        Indian Retail Food Industry Market Value
• Indian Retail Industry had total Revenues                                            (Billion USD)

of $470 bn in 2011.                                500
                                                   400
                                                   300
• CACG between 2007-11 stands at 10.7%.            200
                                                   100

• Data Monitor Research estimates a                  0
                                                           2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Industry size of $675 bn between 2010-
                                                         Source Datamonitor India – Food Retail Industry Retail report dated June 2010
2014 with a CAGR of 14.7%.
                                                                Indian Food Retail Segmentation 2009 (% by Value)
• Fast Urbanization & Young demographics                 1.3%          0.1% 0.3%
                                                                                                            Convenience Stores &
are key drivers.                                                                                            Gas Stations
                                                               32.9%                                        Food and Drinks

• Changing preference will boost                                                      65.4%
                                                                                                            Hypermart, Supermar
hypermarket & super markets in India.                                                                       t & Discounters
                                                                                                            Cash & Carries &
                                                                                                            Warehouse Clubs



  With rising per capita income & changing consumption pattern, retail industry to become
 massive in next 5 years. Organized retail & hypermarkets to have a even higher proportionate
                                            growth.
Profitability Analysis:
  Porter’s 5 Forces

                                      Threat of New Entrants
                                    • Carrefour to enter market.
                                     • Walmart has first mover
                                             advantage




Bargaining Power of Suppliers        Competitive Rivalry              Bargaining Power of Customers
• With ‘high volume’ model of         • Large unorganized sector           • Present Organized/
 Walmart, suppliers have low        • Moderate to high organized       Unorganized sector unable to
      bargaining power                   sector e.g. Big Bazaar            give low price deals




                                    Threat of substitute products
                                     • No immediate substitutes
                                          possible to Retail




  With fast increasing demand & proposed model of cost leadership, Indian Retail Industry looks
                                 substantially PROFITABLE.
SWOT Analysis: Wal-Mart


                   Strengths                                           Weakness

1.   Deal with Suppliers - Cost Leadership          1. Unable to adapt to different cultures/
2.   Efficient Supply Chain                            countries e.g. Germany
3.   Strategic Location/ Facilities at Stores       2. Heavily dependent on ‘bulk sales’
4.   Strong IT backup                               3. Late entrants
5.   New Technology Implementation                  4. No success beyond Americas


                 Opportunities                                          Threats

1. New Economies - India/ China/ Brazil              1.   Restriction on FDI e.g. India
2. Rising disposable incomes                         2.   International law against dumping
3. New channels – Marketing/ Internet                3.   Regional competitors
   based models                                      4.   Law against ‘Monopoly’– Anti-thrust
4. J.V. with some leading players                         policies


     Opportunities look impressive. The key to success lies in how Walmart tackles local laws/
             regulations & makes its ‘repeatable formulas’ work in new markets.
Key Success Factors for Indian Markets


1.   Cost Leadership – Attracting Masses
2.   Strategic Retail Outlet Location
3.   Wide Range of Goods/ Variety - keeping ethnic & economic diversity in mind
4.   Sales Promotion/ Marketing Campaigns in Festive Seasons




Strategic Gaps in Indian Retail Sector


1. Limited mainly to Metros, Tier-I cities. Huge potential lies in sub-urban, rural
   markets, Tier-II & Tier-III cities
2. Geographical Gaps – Markets like North East are yet to be explored
3. Truly Global Shopping Experience missing in Indian Retail Stores




  Wal-Mart has to incorporate Indian Values & preferences while designing the business
            model. Focus on strategic gaps critical for its eventual success.
Competitors in India

    Name                Category             Target Segments              Comments              Rating

  Big Bazaar     Merchandize Diversified     Middle Class
(Future Group)
                                                                     The main competitors
  Pantaloons      Apparels, Accessories    Upper Middle Class +
(Future Group)                              Lower Upper Class

  Star Bazaar         Merchandize          Upper Middle Class +     String Backing by Tata,
 (Tata Group)         (Diversified)         Lower Upper Class            Limited Reach

   Spencer’s
                                                                    Smaller outlets, Limited
    More
                      Merchandize          Middle/Upper Middle              Growth
    D.Mart                                        Class


Shopper’s Stop    Apparels, Accessories     Mostly Upper Class    Strong hold in Metros. Good
                                              (Corporate)         presence in Target Segment
   LifeStyle



Given bargaining power (with FMCG companies) along with its Logistic& IT support, Walmart is
   expected to tackle its competitors. Key lies in capturing new geographies & finding strategic
                                              locations
Walmart Expansion: Past Track Record

Country              Mode                            Strategy                     Results
Canada       Acquired a Weak Player        • Operating in markets which       Very Successful
                                          required minimum adaptation
                                             • High Brand Recognition
                                                     Segment


  UK             Acquired ASDA                    M&A Synergies                Successful-
                                                                             Competition from
                                                                                 Tesco

Germany       Acquired a Big Player        Leveraged Acquired Network             Failed –
                   ‘Werkauf’                                                     cultural &
                                                                             operational issues
 China       Greenfield Operations       Sourced from Chinese suppliers;         Neutral-
                                              focused on need gaps           Labour Union and
                                                                              Law Suit issues


Success & Failure mainly driven by adapting to local culture, consumer need gaps and tackling
                                    Government issues.
Key Challenges in India

1. FDI Restrictions
        - FDI Restrictions of 51% on Multi-brand Retail. Proposal for increasing the
         cap to be discussed in winter session, but chances are low.

2. Social & Political Resistance
         - A strong opposition from certain political parties is certainly expected in
          some pockets of society – local retailers, dealers would protest

3. Countering deep penetration of ‘Mom & Pop’ Stores
        - Especially in Tier-II & III cities, the network of ‘ Kirana Stores’ is extensive.
        Also sales on credit facility is available which Walmart cannot do.

4. Poor Infrastructure will cause friction
        - Indian standards of roads, ports & freight facilities are way below global
         benchmark. It will lead to inefficiency in the value chain.

5. Regional Diversity
        - Challenge to have tactics according to regional/ ethical requirements

  Wal-Mart need to appreciate & accommodate each of the above challenges into its strategy- in
                 order to reap Benefits from the ‘Indian Retail Growth Story’.

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Wal mart Entering India

  • 1. Theme: New Market Entry Wal-Mart Entering India Presented by Group – 5 (Section: B) Akash Jauhari; Raghav Agarwal; Karan Verma; Alok Mishra; Lokesh Chaudhari; Varun Sehgal
  • 2. Key Findings  With the opening up of Indian Retail sector for FDI up to 51% in multi-brand retail, India is set to become hub of Multinational Retailers from across the Globe.  Increasing per capita income and changing consumption pattern are the key drivers of fast growing Retail sector in India.  Organized retail are expected to increase its market share from 5.7% in 2011 to about 12% by 2016. Major gainers are expected to be the new entrants like Wal-Mart and Carrefour. Recommendations  Wal-Mart should apply its ‘Repeatable formula’ of Lowest price - supported with efficient supply chain and Information technology for Indian markets as well.  Given the compliance with Regulatory norms and fast market penetration, Wal-Mart to go for strategic alliance – joint venture. Success depends on implementation within time-limits.  Wal-Mart should focus on local customer preferences, strategic locations, regional diversity & incorporating Indian values for building a sustainable business model for India.
  • 3. The Corporate Level Decision: Entering India Should Walmart Enter India? No Yes More Downside Risk Growth Opportunities Acquiring a local Player Joint Venture Organic Start Growth Greenfield Operational & Cultural Issues - Not Recommended Recommended Regulation Issues – Too risky – Not Not Recommended Recommended Considering various Regulatory & Risk vs. Return aspects, it is recommended that Walmart should enter India with a strategic Joint Venture, at least to start with.
  • 4. Indian Retail Market - Growth & Opportunities Indian Retail Food Industry Market Value • Indian Retail Industry had total Revenues (Billion USD) of $470 bn in 2011. 500 400 300 • CACG between 2007-11 stands at 10.7%. 200 100 • Data Monitor Research estimates a 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Industry size of $675 bn between 2010- Source Datamonitor India – Food Retail Industry Retail report dated June 2010 2014 with a CAGR of 14.7%. Indian Food Retail Segmentation 2009 (% by Value) • Fast Urbanization & Young demographics 1.3% 0.1% 0.3% Convenience Stores & are key drivers. Gas Stations 32.9% Food and Drinks • Changing preference will boost 65.4% Hypermart, Supermar hypermarket & super markets in India. t & Discounters Cash & Carries & Warehouse Clubs With rising per capita income & changing consumption pattern, retail industry to become massive in next 5 years. Organized retail & hypermarkets to have a even higher proportionate growth.
  • 5. Profitability Analysis: Porter’s 5 Forces Threat of New Entrants • Carrefour to enter market. • Walmart has first mover advantage Bargaining Power of Suppliers Competitive Rivalry Bargaining Power of Customers • With ‘high volume’ model of • Large unorganized sector • Present Organized/ Walmart, suppliers have low • Moderate to high organized Unorganized sector unable to bargaining power sector e.g. Big Bazaar give low price deals Threat of substitute products • No immediate substitutes possible to Retail With fast increasing demand & proposed model of cost leadership, Indian Retail Industry looks substantially PROFITABLE.
  • 6. SWOT Analysis: Wal-Mart Strengths Weakness 1. Deal with Suppliers - Cost Leadership 1. Unable to adapt to different cultures/ 2. Efficient Supply Chain countries e.g. Germany 3. Strategic Location/ Facilities at Stores 2. Heavily dependent on ‘bulk sales’ 4. Strong IT backup 3. Late entrants 5. New Technology Implementation 4. No success beyond Americas Opportunities Threats 1. New Economies - India/ China/ Brazil 1. Restriction on FDI e.g. India 2. Rising disposable incomes 2. International law against dumping 3. New channels – Marketing/ Internet 3. Regional competitors based models 4. Law against ‘Monopoly’– Anti-thrust 4. J.V. with some leading players policies Opportunities look impressive. The key to success lies in how Walmart tackles local laws/ regulations & makes its ‘repeatable formulas’ work in new markets.
  • 7. Key Success Factors for Indian Markets 1. Cost Leadership – Attracting Masses 2. Strategic Retail Outlet Location 3. Wide Range of Goods/ Variety - keeping ethnic & economic diversity in mind 4. Sales Promotion/ Marketing Campaigns in Festive Seasons Strategic Gaps in Indian Retail Sector 1. Limited mainly to Metros, Tier-I cities. Huge potential lies in sub-urban, rural markets, Tier-II & Tier-III cities 2. Geographical Gaps – Markets like North East are yet to be explored 3. Truly Global Shopping Experience missing in Indian Retail Stores Wal-Mart has to incorporate Indian Values & preferences while designing the business model. Focus on strategic gaps critical for its eventual success.
  • 8. Competitors in India Name Category Target Segments Comments Rating Big Bazaar Merchandize Diversified Middle Class (Future Group) The main competitors Pantaloons Apparels, Accessories Upper Middle Class + (Future Group) Lower Upper Class Star Bazaar Merchandize Upper Middle Class + String Backing by Tata, (Tata Group) (Diversified) Lower Upper Class Limited Reach Spencer’s Smaller outlets, Limited More Merchandize Middle/Upper Middle Growth D.Mart Class Shopper’s Stop Apparels, Accessories Mostly Upper Class Strong hold in Metros. Good (Corporate) presence in Target Segment LifeStyle Given bargaining power (with FMCG companies) along with its Logistic& IT support, Walmart is expected to tackle its competitors. Key lies in capturing new geographies & finding strategic locations
  • 9. Walmart Expansion: Past Track Record Country Mode Strategy Results Canada Acquired a Weak Player • Operating in markets which Very Successful required minimum adaptation • High Brand Recognition Segment UK Acquired ASDA M&A Synergies Successful- Competition from Tesco Germany Acquired a Big Player Leveraged Acquired Network Failed – ‘Werkauf’ cultural & operational issues China Greenfield Operations Sourced from Chinese suppliers; Neutral- focused on need gaps Labour Union and Law Suit issues Success & Failure mainly driven by adapting to local culture, consumer need gaps and tackling Government issues.
  • 10. Key Challenges in India 1. FDI Restrictions - FDI Restrictions of 51% on Multi-brand Retail. Proposal for increasing the cap to be discussed in winter session, but chances are low. 2. Social & Political Resistance - A strong opposition from certain political parties is certainly expected in some pockets of society – local retailers, dealers would protest 3. Countering deep penetration of ‘Mom & Pop’ Stores - Especially in Tier-II & III cities, the network of ‘ Kirana Stores’ is extensive. Also sales on credit facility is available which Walmart cannot do. 4. Poor Infrastructure will cause friction - Indian standards of roads, ports & freight facilities are way below global benchmark. It will lead to inefficiency in the value chain. 5. Regional Diversity - Challenge to have tactics according to regional/ ethical requirements Wal-Mart need to appreciate & accommodate each of the above challenges into its strategy- in order to reap Benefits from the ‘Indian Retail Growth Story’.