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Green Energy from Heat Applying Thermo Electric Generation (TEG) Jamie Yang, 2009 [email_address] Linkedin Profile
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Outline
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Driving Forces
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],System Function Block Heat Absorber TEG Heat Liquid Cooling Balance and Charger  AC Power DC Power Function Block Diagram Heat Sources Inverter Battery Array
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],TEG Applications
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Business Model
Raw Material  Powder  Metallurgy … Module Assembly Covered by TEG module Maker A B System Design (Charger/Battery/Inverter) Construction & Installation A Mount TEG modules on Specific Devices Covered by Device Maker B Covered by System Integrator Business Model
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Unit : Million ton per year Source :  The Worldwide Market for Waste Incineration Plants, ecoprog 2008 Note : *1. Industrial number was estimated by 5x of municipal quantity *2. The detailed estimation for TEG quantity, please refer to appendix  TEG Projection Global Waste Incineration Capacity Type   Year 1997    2007 2008    2013 Municipal 160    200 210   240 Industrial * 1 800    1000 1050    1200 TEG Q’ty  * 2 2008    2013 100 M sets 500 M sets
Source : IGA (International Geothermal Association) Electricity Statistic, 2008 See Appendix for detail Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Geothermal Electricity
Unit : MWe per year Source : The Worldwide Installed Geothermal Power Plant Capacity, IGA 2008 (International Geothermal Association) Note :  1. The detailed estimation for TEG quantity, please refer to appendix 2. MWe: Mega Watt of Electricity  *  see appendix Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Geothermal Electricity Type   Year 2005 2010 MWe  *2 9,064 12,100 TEG Q’ty  *1 2010 120  M pcs/year
TAM CAGR 23% from 2007 to 2017 Revenue CAGR 12.6% from 2007 to 2017 Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Solar PV Global Solar PV Installation/Production : Alternative Energy 2003 2007 2017 (est.) Solar PV Installations (MW) 620 2,821 22,760 Wind Power Installed (MW) 8000 20,060 75,781 Source: Clean Edge, Inc., 2008
Source: 2007 solar market review, Solarbuzz, Merrill Lynch Note : please refer to appendix for the output power of TEG  Year 2008 SPV market size projection will be 3.674 GW, which is equal to TEG as below formula : 7,348Km 2  * 100 pcs/m 2  = 734 million pcs per year Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Solar PV Global solar PV installations and TEG projections  2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 PV Installations – Megawatts (MW) 1,086 1,460 1,744 2,826 3,674  4,776  5,970  7,462  9,328  Y/Y Change 82% 34% 19% 62% 30% 30% 25% 25% 25% PV Installations – KM 2  ,(12.7M 2 /KW) 13,792  18,542  22,149  35,890  46,657  60,654  75,818  94,773  118,466  Solar TEG Equivalent – KM 2  ,(2M 2 /KW)* 2,172  2,920  3,488  5,652  7,348  9,552  11,940  14,925  18,656
Geothermal  Generation Thermal-Electric Market TEG Applications 600M 120M 735M Annum Quantity (pcs) Waste Heat  Incinerator Industrial Solar Heat Roof-top Power Plant Market Analysis and Potentiality –  TEG Prospective
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline Sales 2014 2015 Rejuvenation Maintain Stable Decline or Exit ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Life Cycle
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Japan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Rest of World Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Waste Heat System Integrators
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Waste Heat System Integrators
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Geothermal System Integrators
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Solar PV System Integrators
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Key Success Factors
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Analysis and Potentiality –  Entry Barriers
Market Analysis and Potentiality –  SWOT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market Analysis and Potentiality –  4P ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Strategy
Out Sourcing, Subcontracting Management Factory Build Up Asia Factory Build Up Global  Manufacturing Operation Mfg Site Mirroring (Near customer) Strategy - Manufacturing Plan
items W-9 W-8 W-7 W-6 W-5 W-4 W-3 W-2 W-1 W0 Market  demand Distribution W/H Geo W/H materials all-part-in sea freight lead time air freight lead time PCB production Ore mining mill TEG Overall Material Planning Flow The longest lead time component Distribution manufacturing Material planning and manufacturing Strategy  - Fulfillment & Logistics
System Integrator End Customer Geo Site Recycling Center Plant Site Recycling Refurbish & Recycling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pushed Logistics Pulled Logistics Strategy  - Fulfillment & Logistics Suppliers Procurement  Logistics Plants Manufacturing  Logistics Distribution Sales Logistics
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Appendix
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Set 220K Mg/a in average per plant Appendix TEG Market Size Calculation on Global Waste Incineration Capacity
Appendix Geothermal Installed Generating Capacity
Source from: ORRA Lab Taiwan Appendix TEG Output Power Projection Hot Side Cold Side ΔT V A W=VA /0.01M 2 W=VA /1M 2 PFC Efficiency Output (W) 30°C 29°C 1°C 0.05 0.02 0.0010 0.100 0.95 0.8 0.076 70°C 30°C 40°C 0.97 0.48 0.4656 46.56 0.95 0.8 35.38 110°C 32°C 78°C 1.78 0.93 1.6554 165.54 0.95 0.8 125.81 150°C 35°C 115°C 2.49 1.31 3.2619 326.19 0.95 0.8 247.90 190°C 39°C 151°C 3.17 1.67 5.2939 529.39 0.95 0.8 402.33 230°C 43°C 187°C 3.82 2.06 7.8692 786.92 0.95 0.8 598.05
Appendix TEG Market Size Calculation on Geothermal Electricity
[object Object],Appendix System Integrators - Waste Heat Potentiality System Integrator Field Country/Territory Veolia Environmental Service  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Combustion Association ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Capstone Micro Turbine ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Electra Therm ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Appendix System Integrators – Geothermal Potentiality System Integrator Field Country/Territory Calpine Corp. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Chevron Corp. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],AES Corp. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Western GeoPower Corp. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Appendix  System Integrators – Solar PV Potentiality System Integrator Field Country/Territory Sekisue Chemical ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Solon AG Fuer Solartechnik ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Aleo Solar AG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conergy AG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Green Energy From Heat - Themo Electric Generation (TEG)

  • 1. Green Energy from Heat Applying Thermo Electric Generation (TEG) Jamie Yang, 2009 [email_address] Linkedin Profile
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Raw Material Powder Metallurgy … Module Assembly Covered by TEG module Maker A B System Design (Charger/Battery/Inverter) Construction & Installation A Mount TEG modules on Specific Devices Covered by Device Maker B Covered by System Integrator Business Model
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Source : IGA (International Geothermal Association) Electricity Statistic, 2008 See Appendix for detail Market Analysis and Potentiality – Geothermal Electricity
  • 11. Unit : MWe per year Source : The Worldwide Installed Geothermal Power Plant Capacity, IGA 2008 (International Geothermal Association) Note : 1. The detailed estimation for TEG quantity, please refer to appendix 2. MWe: Mega Watt of Electricity * see appendix Market Analysis and Potentiality – Geothermal Electricity Type Year 2005 2010 MWe *2 9,064 12,100 TEG Q’ty *1 2010 120 M pcs/year
  • 12. TAM CAGR 23% from 2007 to 2017 Revenue CAGR 12.6% from 2007 to 2017 Market Analysis and Potentiality – Solar PV Global Solar PV Installation/Production : Alternative Energy 2003 2007 2017 (est.) Solar PV Installations (MW) 620 2,821 22,760 Wind Power Installed (MW) 8000 20,060 75,781 Source: Clean Edge, Inc., 2008
  • 13. Source: 2007 solar market review, Solarbuzz, Merrill Lynch Note : please refer to appendix for the output power of TEG Year 2008 SPV market size projection will be 3.674 GW, which is equal to TEG as below formula : 7,348Km 2 * 100 pcs/m 2 = 734 million pcs per year Market Analysis and Potentiality – Solar PV Global solar PV installations and TEG projections 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 PV Installations – Megawatts (MW) 1,086 1,460 1,744 2,826 3,674 4,776 5,970 7,462 9,328 Y/Y Change 82% 34% 19% 62% 30% 30% 25% 25% 25% PV Installations – KM 2 ,(12.7M 2 /KW) 13,792 18,542 22,149 35,890 46,657 60,654 75,818 94,773 118,466 Solar TEG Equivalent – KM 2 ,(2M 2 /KW)* 2,172 2,920 3,488 5,652 7,348 9,552 11,940 14,925 18,656
  • 14. Geothermal Generation Thermal-Electric Market TEG Applications 600M 120M 735M Annum Quantity (pcs) Waste Heat Incinerator Industrial Solar Heat Roof-top Power Plant Market Analysis and Potentiality – TEG Prospective
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Out Sourcing, Subcontracting Management Factory Build Up Asia Factory Build Up Global Manufacturing Operation Mfg Site Mirroring (Near customer) Strategy - Manufacturing Plan
  • 26. items W-9 W-8 W-7 W-6 W-5 W-4 W-3 W-2 W-1 W0 Market demand Distribution W/H Geo W/H materials all-part-in sea freight lead time air freight lead time PCB production Ore mining mill TEG Overall Material Planning Flow The longest lead time component Distribution manufacturing Material planning and manufacturing Strategy - Fulfillment & Logistics
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. Appendix Geothermal Installed Generating Capacity
  • 31. Source from: ORRA Lab Taiwan Appendix TEG Output Power Projection Hot Side Cold Side ΔT V A W=VA /0.01M 2 W=VA /1M 2 PFC Efficiency Output (W) 30°C 29°C 1°C 0.05 0.02 0.0010 0.100 0.95 0.8 0.076 70°C 30°C 40°C 0.97 0.48 0.4656 46.56 0.95 0.8 35.38 110°C 32°C 78°C 1.78 0.93 1.6554 165.54 0.95 0.8 125.81 150°C 35°C 115°C 2.49 1.31 3.2619 326.19 0.95 0.8 247.90 190°C 39°C 151°C 3.17 1.67 5.2939 529.39 0.95 0.8 402.33 230°C 43°C 187°C 3.82 2.06 7.8692 786.92 0.95 0.8 598.05
  • 32. Appendix TEG Market Size Calculation on Geothermal Electricity
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.