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AARHUS
     UNIVERSITY




ONLINE CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY



Jacob L. Orquin, Ph.D.
Department of Business Administration
Aarhus University



                              ASB AU
                                MAPP
AARHUS
       UNIVERSITY




LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Understand how to:


Create trust
Persuade customers
Create loyalty




                      ASB AU
                        MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




MATCHING GOALS




                Change users or change website?




                                                  ASB AU
                                                    MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




TRUST
Why is trust important to online marketing?


Can we imagine economic transactions without trust?
How do they take place?




                                                      ASB AU
                                                        MAPP
AARHUS
       UNIVERSITY




TRUST AND ECONOMIC EXCHANGES
So what’s the value of trust in e-commerce?


•   Low degrees of trust are detrimental to economic exchanges
•   Increased levels of trust are associated with a higher conversion rate
•   Increased levels of trust are associated with satisfaction and loyalty




                                                                   ASB AU
                                                                     MAPP
AARHUS
     UNIVERSITY




TRUST AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Denmark is not part of the study, but is probably somewhere near to
Norway (NOR)




                                                              ASB AU
                                                                MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




INTERPERSONAL TRUST ACROSS NATIONS
Denmark is not part of this graph but it’s up here!




                                                      ASB AU
                                                        MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




TRUST
A (very) simple model of trust (Sultan et al 2002)




                                                     ASB AU
                                                       MAPP
AARHUS
       UNIVERSITY




TRUST SEALS
Trust seals has been used to incease consumer confidence in e-commerce
since the earliest days of online shopping but the documented effect is
quite modest.


According to Sultan et al. (2002) trust seals only account for 0.2 % of
explained variance in trust!




                                                                    ASB AU
                                                                      MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




TRUST SEALS
Secific e-commece vendors claim to have improven conversion rates for
new visitors with up til 7 % using trust seals.




                                  Screenshot from billigvoks.dk




                                                              ASB AU
                                                                MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




FACTORS PREDICTING TRUST




                           ASB AU
                             MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




PREDICTORS (CONT)

                Percent of respondents who self
                motivatedly commented on
                certain website characteristics
                influencing website credibility.
                (Fogg et al. 2003)




                                                   ASB AU
                                                     MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




PERSUASION




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




ELABORATION LIKELIHOOD MODEL




                               ASB AU
                                 MAPP
AARHUS
       UNIVERSITY




PERSUASION STRATEGIES

Cialdini identifies 6 compliance strategies


•   Reciprocity
•   Commitment and Consistency
•   Social Proof
•   Authority
•   Liking
•   Scarcity


                                              ASB AU
                                                MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




RECIPROCITY




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




COMMITMENT AND CONSISTENCY




                             ASB AU
                               MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




SOCIAL PROOF




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




AUTHORITY




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




LIKING




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




SCARCITY




                ASB AU
                  MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




LOYALTY

Why is loyalty important to online marketing?


What difference does it make if have to attract new customer for every
sale we make?




                                                               ASB AU
                                                                 MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




RETENTION IS (VERY) PROFITABLE!

                      A 10 % change in repeat
                      customer conversion leads to a
                      10 % change in net present value


                      Agrawal et al (2001) E-
                      performance




                                                ASB AU
                                                  MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




LOYALTY AND SATISFACTION
                The apostle model




                                    ASB AU
                                      MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




WOM AND SATISFACTION

There is a U-shaped relation between satisfaction and WOM




                                                            ASB AU
                                                              MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




WORD OF MOUTH

WOM: contributes with 30 % of customers and has no specific budget
allocation!




                                                             ASB AU
                                                               MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




SO WHAT’S THE POINT?

     Customer satisfaction is a strong predictor both of WOM and
     loyalty.



     Among online marketing initiatives WOM and loyalty have
     the highest ROI.




                                                            ASB AU
                                                              MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




WOM AND LOYALTY

Carpenter (2005) Consumer shopping value, satisfaction, and loyalty for
retail apparel brands




                                                               ASB AU
                                                                 MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




ANTECEDENTS TO E-SATISFACTION

The Szymanski & Hise (2000) model was tested and re-examined in 2004.




                                                            ASB AU
                                                              MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




CORRELATIONS WITH CONVENIENCE

Results from Szymanski & Hise (2000) seem to focus on general aspects of
e-commerce:




                                                              ASB AU
                                                                MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY



E-SATISFACTION AFFECTS RETENTION AND
CONVERSION

Bansal et al (2004) Relating e-satisfaction to behavioral outcomes




                                                                ASB AU
                                                                  MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




ANTECEDENTS TO E-SATISFACTION

Results from Bansal et al (2004) Relating e-satisfaction to behavioral
outcomes




                                                                  ASB AU
                                                                    MAPP
AARHUS
       UNIVERSITY




MODERATORS OF E-SATISFACTION

Yes, e-satisfaction does affect e-loyalty …




                                              ASB AU
                                                MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




ONLINE VS. OFFLINE

Satisfaction has an even stronger impact on loyalty online than offline!




                                                                 ASB AU
                                                                   MAPP
AARHUS
     UNIVERSITY




FACTORS AFFECTING LOYALTY
Borrowed from Reibstein (2002).




                                  ASB AU
                                    MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




TOUCH POINT ANALYSIS

Mapping customer touch points: satisfaction can be replaced with
performance for fast benchmarking




                                                              ASB AU
                                                                MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




GATHER YOUR DATA

Gathering questionnaire data is practically free. What matters is integrating
the data sources




                                                                 ASB AU
                                                                   MAPP
AARHUS
   UNIVERSITY




SURVEY SOCIAL MEDIA
                Get direct input on what you have
                done right and wrong!

                Complaint about support center


                Complaint about broad band service


                Complaint about support center


                Ok delivery but bad support

                                                 ASB AU
                                                   MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




OTHER WEB 2.0 TOOLS

What are they talking about and how much are they talking?
Social media monitoring: Buzzmetrics, Cymphony, Google blogsearch,
Blogpulse.com




   Facebook Lexicon      Google blogsearch     Blogpulse.com

                                                             ASB AU
                                                               MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




INTEGRATE THE DATA!

Measure and integrate data sources. There are no universal truths so
always check what works on your website.




                   E-Satisfaction    web analytics     pipeline metrics
                        Is there any correlation between the data?

                                                                     ASB AU
                                                                       MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




DEVELOPING E-SATISFACTION

Setting expectations: do you deliver what your market communication
promised?


Website characteristics: how is your websites’s ease of use,
content/information, price, and product selection doing?


Customer service: check your support, delivery, and complaints.


e-CRM applications: there are no killer apps! Feinberg & Kadam (2002)


                                                                  ASB AU
                                                                    MAPP
AARHUS
      UNIVERSITY




CONTACT
Jacob L Orquin, Ph.D.
Department of Business Administration
Aarhus University
E-mail: jalo@asb.dk

Check out my company:
www.userpilot.dk




                                        ASB AU
                                          MAPP

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online consumer psychology

  • 1. AARHUS UNIVERSITY ONLINE CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY Jacob L. Orquin, Ph.D. Department of Business Administration Aarhus University ASB AU MAPP
  • 2. AARHUS UNIVERSITY LEARNING OBJECTIVES Understand how to: Create trust Persuade customers Create loyalty ASB AU MAPP
  • 3. AARHUS UNIVERSITY MATCHING GOALS Change users or change website? ASB AU MAPP
  • 4. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST Why is trust important to online marketing? Can we imagine economic transactions without trust? How do they take place? ASB AU MAPP
  • 5. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST AND ECONOMIC EXCHANGES So what’s the value of trust in e-commerce? • Low degrees of trust are detrimental to economic exchanges • Increased levels of trust are associated with a higher conversion rate • Increased levels of trust are associated with satisfaction and loyalty ASB AU MAPP
  • 6. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Denmark is not part of the study, but is probably somewhere near to Norway (NOR) ASB AU MAPP
  • 7. AARHUS UNIVERSITY INTERPERSONAL TRUST ACROSS NATIONS Denmark is not part of this graph but it’s up here! ASB AU MAPP
  • 8. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST A (very) simple model of trust (Sultan et al 2002) ASB AU MAPP
  • 9. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST SEALS Trust seals has been used to incease consumer confidence in e-commerce since the earliest days of online shopping but the documented effect is quite modest. According to Sultan et al. (2002) trust seals only account for 0.2 % of explained variance in trust! ASB AU MAPP
  • 10. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TRUST SEALS Secific e-commece vendors claim to have improven conversion rates for new visitors with up til 7 % using trust seals. Screenshot from billigvoks.dk ASB AU MAPP
  • 11. AARHUS UNIVERSITY FACTORS PREDICTING TRUST ASB AU MAPP
  • 12. AARHUS UNIVERSITY PREDICTORS (CONT) Percent of respondents who self motivatedly commented on certain website characteristics influencing website credibility. (Fogg et al. 2003) ASB AU MAPP
  • 13. AARHUS UNIVERSITY PERSUASION ASB AU MAPP
  • 14. AARHUS UNIVERSITY ELABORATION LIKELIHOOD MODEL ASB AU MAPP
  • 15. AARHUS UNIVERSITY PERSUASION STRATEGIES Cialdini identifies 6 compliance strategies • Reciprocity • Commitment and Consistency • Social Proof • Authority • Liking • Scarcity ASB AU MAPP
  • 16. AARHUS UNIVERSITY RECIPROCITY ASB AU MAPP
  • 17. AARHUS UNIVERSITY COMMITMENT AND CONSISTENCY ASB AU MAPP
  • 18. AARHUS UNIVERSITY SOCIAL PROOF ASB AU MAPP
  • 19. AARHUS UNIVERSITY AUTHORITY ASB AU MAPP
  • 20. AARHUS UNIVERSITY LIKING ASB AU MAPP
  • 21. AARHUS UNIVERSITY SCARCITY ASB AU MAPP
  • 22. AARHUS UNIVERSITY LOYALTY Why is loyalty important to online marketing? What difference does it make if have to attract new customer for every sale we make? ASB AU MAPP
  • 23. AARHUS UNIVERSITY RETENTION IS (VERY) PROFITABLE! A 10 % change in repeat customer conversion leads to a 10 % change in net present value Agrawal et al (2001) E- performance ASB AU MAPP
  • 24. AARHUS UNIVERSITY LOYALTY AND SATISFACTION The apostle model ASB AU MAPP
  • 25. AARHUS UNIVERSITY WOM AND SATISFACTION There is a U-shaped relation between satisfaction and WOM ASB AU MAPP
  • 26. AARHUS UNIVERSITY WORD OF MOUTH WOM: contributes with 30 % of customers and has no specific budget allocation! ASB AU MAPP
  • 27. AARHUS UNIVERSITY SO WHAT’S THE POINT? Customer satisfaction is a strong predictor both of WOM and loyalty. Among online marketing initiatives WOM and loyalty have the highest ROI. ASB AU MAPP
  • 28. AARHUS UNIVERSITY WOM AND LOYALTY Carpenter (2005) Consumer shopping value, satisfaction, and loyalty for retail apparel brands ASB AU MAPP
  • 29. AARHUS UNIVERSITY ANTECEDENTS TO E-SATISFACTION The Szymanski & Hise (2000) model was tested and re-examined in 2004. ASB AU MAPP
  • 30. AARHUS UNIVERSITY CORRELATIONS WITH CONVENIENCE Results from Szymanski & Hise (2000) seem to focus on general aspects of e-commerce: ASB AU MAPP
  • 31. AARHUS UNIVERSITY E-SATISFACTION AFFECTS RETENTION AND CONVERSION Bansal et al (2004) Relating e-satisfaction to behavioral outcomes ASB AU MAPP
  • 32. AARHUS UNIVERSITY ANTECEDENTS TO E-SATISFACTION Results from Bansal et al (2004) Relating e-satisfaction to behavioral outcomes ASB AU MAPP
  • 33. AARHUS UNIVERSITY MODERATORS OF E-SATISFACTION Yes, e-satisfaction does affect e-loyalty … ASB AU MAPP
  • 34. AARHUS UNIVERSITY ONLINE VS. OFFLINE Satisfaction has an even stronger impact on loyalty online than offline! ASB AU MAPP
  • 35. AARHUS UNIVERSITY FACTORS AFFECTING LOYALTY Borrowed from Reibstein (2002). ASB AU MAPP
  • 36. AARHUS UNIVERSITY TOUCH POINT ANALYSIS Mapping customer touch points: satisfaction can be replaced with performance for fast benchmarking ASB AU MAPP
  • 37. AARHUS UNIVERSITY GATHER YOUR DATA Gathering questionnaire data is practically free. What matters is integrating the data sources ASB AU MAPP
  • 38. AARHUS UNIVERSITY SURVEY SOCIAL MEDIA Get direct input on what you have done right and wrong! Complaint about support center Complaint about broad band service Complaint about support center Ok delivery but bad support ASB AU MAPP
  • 39. AARHUS UNIVERSITY OTHER WEB 2.0 TOOLS What are they talking about and how much are they talking? Social media monitoring: Buzzmetrics, Cymphony, Google blogsearch, Blogpulse.com Facebook Lexicon Google blogsearch Blogpulse.com ASB AU MAPP
  • 40. AARHUS UNIVERSITY INTEGRATE THE DATA! Measure and integrate data sources. There are no universal truths so always check what works on your website. E-Satisfaction web analytics pipeline metrics Is there any correlation between the data? ASB AU MAPP
  • 41. AARHUS UNIVERSITY DEVELOPING E-SATISFACTION Setting expectations: do you deliver what your market communication promised? Website characteristics: how is your websites’s ease of use, content/information, price, and product selection doing? Customer service: check your support, delivery, and complaints. e-CRM applications: there are no killer apps! Feinberg & Kadam (2002) ASB AU MAPP
  • 42. AARHUS UNIVERSITY CONTACT Jacob L Orquin, Ph.D. Department of Business Administration Aarhus University E-mail: jalo@asb.dk Check out my company: www.userpilot.dk ASB AU MAPP