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#SROCC
Ocean-based Mitigation and Adaptation
Jean-Pierre Gattuso
Potential ocean-based measures
and robust decision-making and are specifically relevant for appraising long-term investment decisions in the
context of coastal adaptation (Section 4.4.4.6).
Figure 1.2. Overview of the main ocean-cryosphere mitigation and adaptation measures to observed and expected
changes in the context of this report. A longer description of these measures are given in SM1.3. Solar radiation
management techniques are omitted because they are covered in other AR6 products. Governance and enabling
conditions are implicitly embedded in all mitigation and adaptation measures. Some governance-based measures (e.g.,
SROCCChapter1
Ocean-based solar radiation
management will be covered in AR6
Reducing risks
Chapter 1 Framing and Context of the Report
1
Cross-Chapter Box 2 (continued)
Actions to reduce
Hazards
Risk
Vulnerability
Exposure
Hazard
Actions to reduce
Vulnerability
Actions to reduce
Exposure
Limits to Adaptation
• E.g. physical, ecological, technological,
economic, political, institutional,
psychological, and/or socio-cultural
Examples include:
• Coastal retreat and resettlement
• Risk sensitive land use planning
• Early warning systems and
evacuations
Examples include:
•Social protection
•Livelihood diversification
•Insurance solutions
•Hazard-proof housing
and infrastructure
Examples include:
•Ecosystem-based measures
to reduce coastal flooding
•Mangroves to alleviate coastal
storm energy
•Water reservoirs to buffer
low-flows and water scarcity
Figure CB2.1 | There are options for risk reduction through adaptation.Adaptation can reduce risk by addressing one or more of the three risk factors: vulnerability,
exposure, and/or hazard.The reduction of vulnerability, exposure, and/or hazard potential can be achieved through different policy and action choices over time until
limits to adaptation might be reached.The figure builds on the conceptual framework of risk used in the IPCC 5thAssessment Report (AR5) (Oppenheimer et al., 2014).
SROCCChapter1
Assessment of ocean-based measures
Marine renewable energy
(physical processes)
Ocean fertilization
(open ocean)
Enhanced weathering
(alkalinisation)
Restoring & conserving
coastal vegetation
Marine protected areas
Reducing pollution
(including nutrients)
Restoring hydrological
regimes
Eliminating over-
exploitation
Assisted evolution
Relocation & restoration
(reef systems)
Benefits Constraints
NA
NA NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
nil
Global
Local
Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reducingimpacts:
warming
Reducingimpacts:
acidificationReducingimpacts:
sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming
OA
&
sealevelrisecombined
Co-benefits
Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto
overcome
Cost(forwarming
mitigation)Governablilty
challenges
very
low
very
high
very highhighmoderatelowvery low
SROCCChapter5
Assessment of ocean-based measures
Marine renewable energy
(physical processes)
Ocean fertilization
(open ocean)
Enhanced weathering
(alkalinisation)
Restoring & conserving
coastal vegetation
Marine protected areas
Reducing pollution
(including nutrients)
Restoring hydrological
regimes
Eliminating over-
exploitation
Assisted evolution
Relocation & restoration
(reef systems)
Benefits Constraints
NA
NA NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
nil
Global
Local
Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reducingimpacts:
warming
Reducingimpacts:
acidificationReducingimpacts:
sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming
OA
&
sealevelrisecombined
Co-benefits
Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto
overcome
Cost(forwarming
mitigation)Governablilty
challenges
very
low
very
high
very highhighmoderatelowvery low
SROCCChapter5
Assessment of ocean-based measures
Marine renewable energy
(physical processes)
Ocean fertilization
(open ocean)
Enhanced weathering
(alkalinisation)
Restoring & conserving
coastal vegetation
Marine protected areas
Reducing pollution
(including nutrients)
Restoring hydrological
regimes
Eliminating over-
exploitation
Assisted evolution
Relocation & restoration
(reef systems)
Benefits Constraints
NA
NA NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
nil
Global
Local
Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reducingimpacts:
warming
Reducingimpacts:
acidificationReducingimpacts:
sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming
OA
&
sealevelrisecombined
Co-benefits
Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto
overcome
Cost(forwarming
mitigation)Governablilty
challenges
very
low
very
high
very highhighmoderatelowvery low
SROCCChapter5
Assessment of ocean-based measures
Marine renewable energy
(physical processes)
Ocean fertilization
(open ocean)
Enhanced weathering
(alkalinisation)
Restoring & conserving
coastal vegetation
Marine protected areas
Reducing pollution
(including nutrients)
Restoring hydrological
regimes
Eliminating over-
exploitation
Assisted evolution
Relocation & restoration
(reef systems)
Benefits Constraints
NA
NA NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
nil
Global
Local
Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reducingimpacts:
warming
Reducingimpacts:
acidificationReducingimpacts:
sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming
OA
&
sealevelrisecombined
Co-benefits
Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto
overcome
Cost(forwarming
mitigation)Governablilty
challenges
very
low
very
high
very highhighmoderatelowvery low
SROCCChapter5
Assessment of ocean-based measures
Marine renewable energy
(physical processes)
Ocean fertilization
(open ocean)
Enhanced weathering
(alkalinisation)
Restoring & conserving
coastal vegetation
Marine protected areas
Reducing pollution
(including nutrients)
Restoring hydrological
regimes
Eliminating over-
exploitation
Assisted evolution
Relocation & restoration
(reef systems)
Benefits Constraints
NA
NA NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
nil
Global
Local
Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reducingimpacts:
warming
Reducingimpacts:
acidificationReducingimpacts:
sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming
OA
&
sealevelrisecombined
Co-benefits
Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto
overcome
Cost(forwarming
mitigation)Governablilty
challenges
very
low
very
high
very highhighmoderatelowvery low
SROCCChapter5
(My own) Conclusions and key messages
• Climate change already affects marine and coastal ecosystems and
the services they provide
• Paris Agreement has the potential to avoid the unmanageable but one
must manage the unavoidable
• Urgent need for ambitious global mitigation and local adaptation:
ocean provides solutions for both:
• Most global measures (except renewable energy) exhibit too many
uncertainties to be recommended for large-scale deployment
• Local measures are low-regret options with huge co-benefits, can
be scaled up immediately (although far less effective to address
the global problem)
• Greatest benefit is derived from the combination of global and
local solutions
Considerably expanded:
Policy Brief presented on
Saturday
More Information:
Website: http://ipcc.ch
IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int
IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int
@IPCC_CH
@IPCCNews
@IPCC_Climate_Change
www.vimeo.com/ipcc
www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva
Find us on:

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Ocean-based Mitigation and Adaptation

  • 1. #SROCC Ocean-based Mitigation and Adaptation Jean-Pierre Gattuso
  • 2. Potential ocean-based measures and robust decision-making and are specifically relevant for appraising long-term investment decisions in the context of coastal adaptation (Section 4.4.4.6). Figure 1.2. Overview of the main ocean-cryosphere mitigation and adaptation measures to observed and expected changes in the context of this report. A longer description of these measures are given in SM1.3. Solar radiation management techniques are omitted because they are covered in other AR6 products. Governance and enabling conditions are implicitly embedded in all mitigation and adaptation measures. Some governance-based measures (e.g., SROCCChapter1 Ocean-based solar radiation management will be covered in AR6
  • 3. Reducing risks Chapter 1 Framing and Context of the Report 1 Cross-Chapter Box 2 (continued) Actions to reduce Hazards Risk Vulnerability Exposure Hazard Actions to reduce Vulnerability Actions to reduce Exposure Limits to Adaptation • E.g. physical, ecological, technological, economic, political, institutional, psychological, and/or socio-cultural Examples include: • Coastal retreat and resettlement • Risk sensitive land use planning • Early warning systems and evacuations Examples include: •Social protection •Livelihood diversification •Insurance solutions •Hazard-proof housing and infrastructure Examples include: •Ecosystem-based measures to reduce coastal flooding •Mangroves to alleviate coastal storm energy •Water reservoirs to buffer low-flows and water scarcity Figure CB2.1 | There are options for risk reduction through adaptation.Adaptation can reduce risk by addressing one or more of the three risk factors: vulnerability, exposure, and/or hazard.The reduction of vulnerability, exposure, and/or hazard potential can be achieved through different policy and action choices over time until limits to adaptation might be reached.The figure builds on the conceptual framework of risk used in the IPCC 5thAssessment Report (AR5) (Oppenheimer et al., 2014). SROCCChapter1
  • 4. Assessment of ocean-based measures Marine renewable energy (physical processes) Ocean fertilization (open ocean) Enhanced weathering (alkalinisation) Restoring & conserving coastal vegetation Marine protected areas Reducing pollution (including nutrients) Restoring hydrological regimes Eliminating over- exploitation Assisted evolution Relocation & restoration (reef systems) Benefits Constraints NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA nil Global Local Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints 0 1 2 3 4 5 Reducingimpacts: warming Reducingimpacts: acidificationReducingimpacts: sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming OA & sealevelrisecombined Co-benefits Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto overcome Cost(forwarming mitigation)Governablilty challenges very low very high very highhighmoderatelowvery low SROCCChapter5
  • 5. Assessment of ocean-based measures Marine renewable energy (physical processes) Ocean fertilization (open ocean) Enhanced weathering (alkalinisation) Restoring & conserving coastal vegetation Marine protected areas Reducing pollution (including nutrients) Restoring hydrological regimes Eliminating over- exploitation Assisted evolution Relocation & restoration (reef systems) Benefits Constraints NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA nil Global Local Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints 0 1 2 3 4 5 Reducingimpacts: warming Reducingimpacts: acidificationReducingimpacts: sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming OA & sealevelrisecombined Co-benefits Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto overcome Cost(forwarming mitigation)Governablilty challenges very low very high very highhighmoderatelowvery low SROCCChapter5
  • 6. Assessment of ocean-based measures Marine renewable energy (physical processes) Ocean fertilization (open ocean) Enhanced weathering (alkalinisation) Restoring & conserving coastal vegetation Marine protected areas Reducing pollution (including nutrients) Restoring hydrological regimes Eliminating over- exploitation Assisted evolution Relocation & restoration (reef systems) Benefits Constraints NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA nil Global Local Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints 0 1 2 3 4 5 Reducingimpacts: warming Reducingimpacts: acidificationReducingimpacts: sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming OA & sealevelrisecombined Co-benefits Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto overcome Cost(forwarming mitigation)Governablilty challenges very low very high very highhighmoderatelowvery low SROCCChapter5
  • 7. Assessment of ocean-based measures Marine renewable energy (physical processes) Ocean fertilization (open ocean) Enhanced weathering (alkalinisation) Restoring & conserving coastal vegetation Marine protected areas Reducing pollution (including nutrients) Restoring hydrological regimes Eliminating over- exploitation Assisted evolution Relocation & restoration (reef systems) Benefits Constraints NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA nil Global Local Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints 0 1 2 3 4 5 Reducingimpacts: warming Reducingimpacts: acidificationReducingimpacts: sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming OA & sealevelrisecombined Co-benefits Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto overcome Cost(forwarming mitigation)Governablilty challenges very low very high very highhighmoderatelowvery low SROCCChapter5
  • 8. Assessment of ocean-based measures Marine renewable energy (physical processes) Ocean fertilization (open ocean) Enhanced weathering (alkalinisation) Restoring & conserving coastal vegetation Marine protected areas Reducing pollution (including nutrients) Restoring hydrological regimes Eliminating over- exploitation Assisted evolution Relocation & restoration (reef systems) Benefits Constraints NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA nil Global Local Level of confidence (where assessed) Scoring for benefits and constraints 0 1 2 3 4 5 Reducingimpacts: warming Reducingimpacts: acidificationReducingimpacts: sealevelriseReducingimpacts:warming OA & sealevelrisecombined Co-benefits Trade-offsTechnicalissuesto overcome Cost(forwarming mitigation)Governablilty challenges very low very high very highhighmoderatelowvery low SROCCChapter5
  • 9. (My own) Conclusions and key messages • Climate change already affects marine and coastal ecosystems and the services they provide • Paris Agreement has the potential to avoid the unmanageable but one must manage the unavoidable • Urgent need for ambitious global mitigation and local adaptation: ocean provides solutions for both: • Most global measures (except renewable energy) exhibit too many uncertainties to be recommended for large-scale deployment • Local measures are low-regret options with huge co-benefits, can be scaled up immediately (although far less effective to address the global problem) • Greatest benefit is derived from the combination of global and local solutions
  • 10.
  • 11. Considerably expanded: Policy Brief presented on Saturday
  • 12. More Information: Website: http://ipcc.ch IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int @IPCC_CH @IPCCNews @IPCC_Climate_Change www.vimeo.com/ipcc www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva Find us on: