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Making sense of the changing environment




    It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most
 intelligent, but the one most responsive to change. - Charles Darwin
Redfern 2007
Everyone has a plan - until they get
punched in the face.
                                 Mike Tyson
Baines, Fill & Page (2011)
Data Gathering
Primary data               Secondary data
                           •   Fundraising database
•   Interviews             •   Internal reports
•   Focus groups           •   Institute of Fundraising
•   Observations           •   NCVO -
                               http://www.3s4.org.uk/drivers
•   Surveys                •   NFP Synergy
                           •   Agencies
                           •   Civil Society Publications
                           •   Third Sector
                           •   The Guardian
                           •   Government sources e.g.
                               HMRC, Charity Commission,
                               OCS
                           •   Fundratios
                           •   Academic Journals: IJNVSM,
                               NVSQ, Marketing Journals
                           •   Social media
                           •   Meta-sites
Macro-environment
Interpreting what you find
Issue          Impact on     Likelihood   Impact     Time Frame    Progress         Type    Score
               charity




                             High 3       High 3     0-6m4         >increasing 2    + pos   4,5,6
                             Medium 2     Medium 2   6 - 12 m 3    = static 1       - neg   7,8,9
                                                     12 - 24 m 2   < decreasing 0   =?
                             Low 1        Low 1                                             10,11,
                                                     24 + m 1
                                                                                            12



New law        New focus     High 3       High 3     0–6m4         > Increasing     =?      12
on fur trade   for                                                 2
being          campaigning
introduced     and
               fundraising
Micro-Environment
Competitors
• How they are doing?
• Why they are doing what they’re doing?
• What do they want to do in the future?

               ...what does this mean for you?
         ….what’s your point of differentiation?
Internal Environment

Men
Money
Machines
Minutes
Mission
SWOT
Strengths             Weaknesses


            Match     Convert

Opportunities         Threats


                      Convert
From Thinkingfutures.net
Driver
Key points
•   Make it a regular process
•   Change the environment
•   Find your USP/point of differentiation
•   Look long term
•   Involve other people
Thank You!

@claireyjaner
claire.routley@biblesociety.org.uk

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Make sense of the changing environment

  • 1. Making sense of the changing environment It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change. - Charles Darwin
  • 3. Everyone has a plan - until they get punched in the face. Mike Tyson
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Baines, Fill & Page (2011)
  • 7. Data Gathering Primary data Secondary data • Fundraising database • Interviews • Internal reports • Focus groups • Institute of Fundraising • Observations • NCVO - http://www.3s4.org.uk/drivers • Surveys • NFP Synergy • Agencies • Civil Society Publications • Third Sector • The Guardian • Government sources e.g. HMRC, Charity Commission, OCS • Fundratios • Academic Journals: IJNVSM, NVSQ, Marketing Journals • Social media • Meta-sites
  • 9. Interpreting what you find Issue Impact on Likelihood Impact Time Frame Progress Type Score charity High 3 High 3 0-6m4 >increasing 2 + pos 4,5,6 Medium 2 Medium 2 6 - 12 m 3 = static 1 - neg 7,8,9 12 - 24 m 2 < decreasing 0 =? Low 1 Low 1 10,11, 24 + m 1 12 New law New focus High 3 High 3 0–6m4 > Increasing =? 12 on fur trade for 2 being campaigning introduced and fundraising
  • 11. Competitors • How they are doing? • Why they are doing what they’re doing? • What do they want to do in the future? ...what does this mean for you? ….what’s your point of differentiation?
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 15. SWOT Strengths Weaknesses Match Convert Opportunities Threats Convert
  • 16.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 21. Key points • Make it a regular process • Change the environment • Find your USP/point of differentiation • Look long term • Involve other people