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Analyzing Growth & Opportunities in
Crypto Derivatives
January 2022
Agenda
● Intro & Growth
● Key Derivatives Indicators
● Opportunities & the Road Ahead
A quick update about ITB
Partnerships
● Domain Money, WazirX, Let’s Bit
Upcoming Ownership Release
● 5 new indicators giving deeper
insights into buying/selling from
holding groups
● Holders with 1, 10, 100 BTC, etc
● Several requests
● Newsletter data
Intro & Growth
of Derivatives
Intro to Derivatives
● Trading contracts based on financial instruments
○ Asset (e.g. AAPL, BTC)
○ Index (e.g. SPY futures)
○ Interest rates (e.g. Treasury yield futures)
● Common types of derivatives
○ Futures - agreement to buy/sell
○ Options - right to buy/sell
○ Swaps - exchange of instruments
“Derivatives are
financial weapons of
mass destruction.” -
Warren Buffett
Use-Cases for Derivatives
● Use-cases
○ Leveraged exposure to an asset
○ Hedge against risk of underlying asset
○ Price discovery (high liquidity)
○ Arbitrage
● Highly risky
Crypto Derivatives
● Perpetual swaps
● Adapted to crypto’s nature
○ 24/7 - no expiration, non-stop trading
○ Higher leverage
TradFi, CeFi & TradFi Derivatives
Attribute TradFi (CME) CeFi (Binance) DeFi (dYdX)
Daily Volume (BTC) $1B - $2B $15B - $30B $2B - $4B
Max Leverage 2x 20x+ 20x+
Min Order Size 0.1 BTC 0.001 BTC 0.001 BTC
Denominator USD USDT, BTC USDC, USDT
Composable No No Yes
Timeline for Crypto Derivatives
● 2014 - BitMex launches
● 2017 - CME and CBOE launch
● 2019 - Bitfinex, Binance, Kraken,
FTX launch perpetual swaps
● Quickly surpass spot
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
Growth of Crypto Derivatives
● $100B/month by late 2019 ● $25.6T in 2021 ● ~ 5x YoY
Key Derivatives Indicators
Deriving Value
● Derivatives data has become a must
● Market momentum
● Tops and bottoms
● Regardless of using derivatives or not
Volume & Open Interest (OI)
● Volume - Total amount of contracts (or $) traded
● Open Interest - Amount of outstanding positions (both long and short)
Open Interest
● Similar growth to vol (5x)
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
● Higher high in November
Open Interest to Market Cap
● Growth irrespective of price
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
● Insights on momentum
Turnover Ratio
● Vol / OI
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
● Signs of short-term speculation
Funding Rate
● Charged to stabilize contract peg
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
● Spotting potential tops and bottoms
Contango/Backwardation
● Difference between futures and spot
Data Source: IntoTheBlock
● Sentiment and expectations
Opportunities &
The Road Ahead
Market Neutral Strategies
● Generating yield without price exposure
● Carry trade: Long spot, short futures
● Profiting from diverging funding rates
● Arbitrage in prices
Directional Strategies
● Long/short perps or options
● Sell options (covered call, put selling)
● Structured products
Structured Product Vaults
● Automated options selling
○ Cheaper
○ Auto-compounds
○ Sustainable yield, but risky
● Ribbon Finance, Dopex, Thetanuts
Structured Product Vaults
● Covered calls - Own spot, sell out of the money futures
Status DeFi Derivatives
● Transparent look into one of most opaque industries
● Gaining traction - dYdX volume up 100x since L2 launch
● Growing number of protocols across chains
● Experimentation and user ownership
Road Ahead
● Derivatives = trading contracts
● Smart contracts unlock utility from these
● Similar path to DEXs
● Leveraging composability
● ERC-4626
Conclusions
● Derivatives are a key component of financial markets
● Crypto derivatives have grown but still have room for more
● DeFi derivatives still in their infancy
● Expect innovation and growing market share
Thank You! Questions?
Lucas Outumuro
Head of Research at IntoTheBlock
Email: loutumuro@intotheblock.io
Twitter: @LucasOutumuro

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Analyzing Growth & Opportunities in Crypto Derivatives

  • 1. Analyzing Growth & Opportunities in Crypto Derivatives January 2022
  • 2. Agenda ● Intro & Growth ● Key Derivatives Indicators ● Opportunities & the Road Ahead
  • 3. A quick update about ITB
  • 4. Partnerships ● Domain Money, WazirX, Let’s Bit
  • 5. Upcoming Ownership Release ● 5 new indicators giving deeper insights into buying/selling from holding groups ● Holders with 1, 10, 100 BTC, etc ● Several requests ● Newsletter data
  • 6. Intro & Growth of Derivatives
  • 7. Intro to Derivatives ● Trading contracts based on financial instruments ○ Asset (e.g. AAPL, BTC) ○ Index (e.g. SPY futures) ○ Interest rates (e.g. Treasury yield futures) ● Common types of derivatives ○ Futures - agreement to buy/sell ○ Options - right to buy/sell ○ Swaps - exchange of instruments “Derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction.” - Warren Buffett
  • 8. Use-Cases for Derivatives ● Use-cases ○ Leveraged exposure to an asset ○ Hedge against risk of underlying asset ○ Price discovery (high liquidity) ○ Arbitrage ● Highly risky
  • 9. Crypto Derivatives ● Perpetual swaps ● Adapted to crypto’s nature ○ 24/7 - no expiration, non-stop trading ○ Higher leverage
  • 10. TradFi, CeFi & TradFi Derivatives Attribute TradFi (CME) CeFi (Binance) DeFi (dYdX) Daily Volume (BTC) $1B - $2B $15B - $30B $2B - $4B Max Leverage 2x 20x+ 20x+ Min Order Size 0.1 BTC 0.001 BTC 0.001 BTC Denominator USD USDT, BTC USDC, USDT Composable No No Yes
  • 11. Timeline for Crypto Derivatives ● 2014 - BitMex launches ● 2017 - CME and CBOE launch ● 2019 - Bitfinex, Binance, Kraken, FTX launch perpetual swaps ● Quickly surpass spot
  • 12. Data Source: IntoTheBlock Growth of Crypto Derivatives ● $100B/month by late 2019 ● $25.6T in 2021 ● ~ 5x YoY
  • 14. Deriving Value ● Derivatives data has become a must ● Market momentum ● Tops and bottoms ● Regardless of using derivatives or not
  • 15. Volume & Open Interest (OI) ● Volume - Total amount of contracts (or $) traded ● Open Interest - Amount of outstanding positions (both long and short)
  • 16. Open Interest ● Similar growth to vol (5x) Data Source: IntoTheBlock ● Higher high in November
  • 17. Open Interest to Market Cap ● Growth irrespective of price Data Source: IntoTheBlock ● Insights on momentum
  • 18. Turnover Ratio ● Vol / OI Data Source: IntoTheBlock ● Signs of short-term speculation
  • 19. Funding Rate ● Charged to stabilize contract peg Data Source: IntoTheBlock ● Spotting potential tops and bottoms
  • 20. Contango/Backwardation ● Difference between futures and spot Data Source: IntoTheBlock ● Sentiment and expectations
  • 22. Market Neutral Strategies ● Generating yield without price exposure ● Carry trade: Long spot, short futures ● Profiting from diverging funding rates ● Arbitrage in prices
  • 23. Directional Strategies ● Long/short perps or options ● Sell options (covered call, put selling) ● Structured products
  • 24. Structured Product Vaults ● Automated options selling ○ Cheaper ○ Auto-compounds ○ Sustainable yield, but risky ● Ribbon Finance, Dopex, Thetanuts
  • 25. Structured Product Vaults ● Covered calls - Own spot, sell out of the money futures
  • 26. Status DeFi Derivatives ● Transparent look into one of most opaque industries ● Gaining traction - dYdX volume up 100x since L2 launch ● Growing number of protocols across chains ● Experimentation and user ownership
  • 27. Road Ahead ● Derivatives = trading contracts ● Smart contracts unlock utility from these ● Similar path to DEXs ● Leveraging composability ● ERC-4626
  • 28. Conclusions ● Derivatives are a key component of financial markets ● Crypto derivatives have grown but still have room for more ● DeFi derivatives still in their infancy ● Expect innovation and growing market share
  • 29.
  • 30. Thank You! Questions? Lucas Outumuro Head of Research at IntoTheBlock Email: loutumuro@intotheblock.io Twitter: @LucasOutumuro