delays - feedback - risk. NB: see http://skaug.no/ingvald/2012/10/tdc-2012/ for original PDF, since slideshare seems to reduce quality.

1. better ways to work
ingvald skaug

2. better ways to work
delays
feedback
risk

3. delays create extra work
http://www.leankanbanuniversity.com/what-lean-kanban-0
http://www.personalkanban.com/pk/expert/multitasking-and-bottlenecks-why-limit-your-wip-iii/

4. lean startup
beyond budgeting
real options
uncertainty cannot be eliminated
by any estimation methods
continuous integration
nature of estimates
continuous delivery => average deviations accumulate upwards
TDD / BDD/ ATDD
Spec by example How Uncertainty Works
http://www.cprime.com/knowledge/articles/uncertainty.html
http://www.flickr.com/photos/adamfranco/5948262113/in/photostream/

5. you can't manage what you can't see
http://skaug.no/ingvald/2010/12/agile_basics_visualize_more/

6. estimates create waste
estimates hide risk
illusion of control
Jim Benson: Why Plans Fail: Cognitive Bias, Decision Making, and Your Business
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optimism_bias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parkinson's_Law
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Student_syndrome
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hofstadter%27s_law
Jørn Ola Birkeland, Bekk, at XP2010: From a timebox tangle to a more flexible flow
http://xp2010.org/program?sid=11&o=1

7. you say estimates, i say promises
Mary Poppendieck: Theory of Constraints - It's Okay to be Late
http://www.leanessays.com/2001/03/theory-of-constraints.html
http://www.methodsandtools.com/archive/archive.php?id=79
http://leadinganswers.typepad.com/leading_answers/2008/01/software-estima.html

9. the purpose of a company is not to make money
... it is as absurd to say that the purpose of an organisation is to make money
as it is to say that the purpose of a human being is to eat or breathe.
The Capable Company: Building the capabilities that make strategy work,
Richard L. Lynch, John G. Diezemann, James F. Dowling

10. Donald G. Reinertsen: "The Principles of Product Development Flow", pg 121
via http://dev2ops.org/blog/2012/3/18/devops-lessons-from-lean-small-batches-improve-flow.html

11. http://agileconsulting.blogspot.com/2011/07/explaining-why-limiting-wip-is-so.html
http://skaug.no/ingvald/2010/02/lean_development_is_not_manufa/

12. @ingvald
http://blog.crisp.se/2009/11/16/henrikkniberg/1258359420000