Modelling the deposition of pollutants on habitats involves quantifying the deposition of sulfur and nitrogen compounds in the UK using concentration-based estimates. Measurements of pollutant concentrations are combined with meteorological data and land use information to calculate dry deposition fluxes and wet deposition. This allows mapping of deposition fields and exceedances of critical loads for acidity and eutrophication on habitats. While sulfur deposition was historically the main driver of acidification, nitrogen deposition currently exceeds critical loads over much of the UK, and reductions in deposition have been smaller than expected based on emissions inventories. This suggests emissions reductions may be overestimated or atmospheric chemistry changes are larger than anticipated.
2. Outline
• A little history
• Principles….the objectives of the model and the
approach
• Dry deposition of S and N compounds
• Wet and cloud deposition
• The measured concentration fields
• Mapped deposition fields and budgets
• Comparisons with FRAME and EMEP4UK
• Trends
4. Requirements
• We needed to quantify deposition (S and N) to
the UK….budgets mass balance and fate of
emissions
• Exceedance of Critical Loads for acidity,
nutrient nitrogen and ozone
• Habitat specific deposition
5. Policy drivers
UNECE Gothenburg Protocol: 1999, revised 2012
➢protocol to reduce acidification, eutrophication and ground-level ozone
➢ 1999: 2010 Emission ceilings set for NH3, SO2, NOx, O3.
➢ 2012: 2005-2020 emission cuts agreed:
NH3: 6% SO2: 59% NOx: 42% VOCs: 28% PM: 22%.
National Emissions Ceilings Directive 2001/81/EC (NECD)
➢This requires pig and poultry farms (above stated size thresholds) to reduce
emissions using Best Available Techniques.
➢ 2001: National emission ceilings set for NH3, SO2, NOx, VOCs.
➢ Areas with critical loads of acid depositions reduced by >50% c.f. 1990.
➢ Under revision.
EU Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control Directive (IPPC) 2008/1/EC
6. CBED Concentration based estimates of deposition
• Principles
• To calculate deposition to the UK landscape using
measured concentrations of pollutants
• In this way the estimates are independent of the
emission inventories
• Meteorological data: measured UK (MORECS,
CHESS) 30y, mean providing hourly average
St, U, T, rh, ppt,
• Land use at 1 km from CIS (countryside survey
information)
• Resolution 5km x 5km, hourly fluxes of gases and
particulate matter, monthly wet deposition.
9. CBED Concentration based estimates of deposition
• Principles
• 5 Land use classes: arable, grassland,
moorland, forest, urban
• Land use and time determines roughness
length for atmospheric resistances (ra and rb)
• For SO2, NO2 , HNO3 deposition only
• For NH3 a compensation point approach
17. CBED Concentration based estimates of deposition
• Calculate atmospheric and surface resistance
components
• Combine with measured concentrations to
provide:
• Fluxes of SO2, NO2, HNO3, NH3,
• Particulate matter and cloud water deposition
(only significant above 600m asl)
• Wet deposition and corrections for orographic
enhancement of wet deposition due to seeder –
feeder precipitation scavenging
19. Orography and deposition processes
• Lifting particulate matter cools them leading
to droplet formation and with further cooling
the droplets grow
• Particle deposition increases rapidly with
particle size
• Vegetation in the uplands collect droplets and
particles efficiently
24. OROGRAPHIC
(FEEDER) CLOUD
AIR FLOW
aerosols activated
into cloud droplets
at cloud base
scavenging of
feeder cloud
hill profile
more deposition in
seeder-feeder rain fall
SEEDER
CLOUD
25. Orographic Cloud
5.6 – 5.85
Height Above Sea Level (m)
Rain
Concentrations of major ions in rain and orographic cloud
26. • Data from Precip-Net provides input
for:
– EMEP and OSPAR1 reporting
– Modelling and mapping pollution
concentration & wet deposition
– Critical loads exceedance
mapping
– Assessment of compliance with
Habitats Directive
• 39 fortnightly bulk rain sites
• 2 daily wet only collectors (DWOC)
– Auchencorth Moss
– Chilbolton
Data reported to EMEP
Precip-Net
1 Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North-East Atlantic
36. UKEAP monitoring
measurements
Modelling and
mapping pollutant
concentrations and
deposition
Critical Loads and
exceedence
mapping
Local
Environmental
Impact
Assessments
Screening tools
e.g. SCAIL
Public access to data
Measurement data uses
http://pollutantdeposition.defra.gov.uk/
http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk
http://www.ceh.ac.uk/sci_programmes/UKEAP-Project.html
http://cldm.defra.gov.uk/index.htm
http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/research/air-quality-modelling
Submitted to databases
EMEP
OSPAR
UK-Air
UK Pollutant Deposition Air pollution information service
APIS
National Assessments of the
UK environment (e.g. RoTAP)
http://www.apis.ac.uk/
http://www..scail.ceh.ac.uk/
38. Key reference
Smith, R I., Fowler, D., Sutton, M.A., Flechard,
and Coyle, M. 2000. Regional estimation of pollutant
gas dry deposition in the UK: model description,
sensitivity analyses and outputs.
Atmospheric Environment 34, 3757-3777
RoTAP2012 Review of Transboundary
Air Pollution
43. EMISSIONS
DRY
DEPOSITION
WET + CLOUD
DEPOSITION
60 100
680
INPUT EXPORT
580
60
From non-
UK/Europe
EMISSIONS
DRY
DEPOSITION
WET + CLOUD
DEPOSITION
40 80
300
INPUT EXPORT
210
30
From non-
UK/Europe
EMISSION 680 kT N
DEPOSITION 160 kT N
23% deposited in UK
EMISSION 300 kT N
DEPOSITION 120 kT N
40% deposited in UK
1999-2001 2011-2013
Changes in the mass budget for oxidized N over the UK 2000 to 2013
-55%
-25%
44. Total UK reduced N deposition 2013
• No trend in wet NH4
Deposition 0ver 30
years
• No trend in total
reduced N deposition
• Small changes in
spatial deposition
45. NH3 Emissions & Total NHx Deposition (wet + dry + aerosols*)
*estimated as 0.05 of wet & dry from 1997 to 1999
46. UK NH3 Emissions and Ambient Concentrations
Emission inventory -22% over 15 years
47. Summary
• UKEAP measurements quantify the exposure of ecosystems and
underpin the assessment of effects for acidification and
eutrophication in the UK
• The measured concentration and deposition fields
independently monitor the effects of control measures
• S deposition was the main driver of the acidifying input for
sensitive catchments and to critical load exceedance and has
been most important historically; but has declined sufficiently
for ecosystems to recover
• N deposition in the UK exceeds critical loads for sensitive
ecosystems over ~70% of the country
48. Summary
• Eutrophication by Nitrogen compounds remains a major
problem and the small reduction in deposition to date is
insufficient to allow recovery to begin
• Measured N deposition data suggest that emission reductions
(NAEI) for both oxidized and reduced nitrogen have been
overestimated
52. Measurements : UK Networks
National Acid gas, and Aerosol Network (AGAnet) 30 sites
Ammonia network (85 sites)
Rain chemistry network (Precip-Net)
NH3 SO2
NO2
N depositionHNO3
N Deposition
53. NO2-NET
• NAEI emissions decreasing
• Greatest deceases seen at southern sites more influenced by
traffic/industry
• Very rural sites don’t all appear be influenced by the emission
reductions
54.
55.
56. • Oxidized N changes with time
• Much smaller decline in concentration
and deposition than expected
• Significant changes in atmospheric
chemistry
• Conclusion: reductions in emissions are
smaller than official emission statistics,
Or that atmospheric chemistry changes
are large.
57. • Increase in regional oxidation NOx to NOy
• Uncertainty in emissions including the
effect
Causes of changes in NOy budget
58. Checking emission inventories
• London emission inventory (from NAEI)
accounted for half of measured NOx
emission in an aircraft study of N emissions
in London.
• Oxidized N is present in many different
compounds, only a few of which are
measured widely
• Atmospheric chemistry of N is more
complex than S
• There does not appear to be sufficient
effort validating emissions
59. Measurements : UK Networks
National Acid gas, and Aerosol Network (AGAnet) 30 sites
Ammonia network (85 sites)
Rain chemistry network (Precip-Net)
NH3 SO2
NO2
N depositionHNO3
N Deposition