1. Our Urban Future
Key issues and challenges for sustainability
Nicholas.You@Citistates.com
Naples, October 2011
1

2. Getting
There
The
The Challenges
Barriers
Overcoming
Them
2

3. The Challenges
Mega-trends
of the 21st
century
@
Urbanisation
Globalisation
Climate Change
3

4. The Challenges
Mega-trend: Urbanisation
World is now
50% urban and
urbanising rapidly Percentage of Rural and Urban Population
@ 70
60
World Population: Urban Population:
50
2000 - 6.1 billion 2000 - 2.9 billion
Percentage
40
Urban Population
Rural Population
30
2015 - 7.2 billion 2015 - 3.8 billion
20
2030 - 8.1 billion 2030 - 5.0 billion 10
0
2000 2015 2030
Years
4

5. The Challenges
Mega-trend: Globalisation
Economic growth but:
• Urbanisation of
poverty & social
exclusion
• 30% to 60% urban
population living in
slums @
• Rising perceptions
of injustice leading
to crime & violence
5

6. The Challenges
Mega-trend: Climate Change
• Urbanisation =
irreversible
changes in the
way we use land,
water & energy
• Cities generate
80% of all waste
& 70% of GHG
emissions
@
• Cities are both the
cause and the
victims of climate
change
6

7. The Challenges
Mega-trend: Governance
Inability to predict
and contain:
• Energy crisis
• Food crisis
• Financial crisis
@
• Political crisis
7

8. Smart Infrastructure
@
Smart Communities
Top 5 : 5.68 kg/yr (C$ 2.74)
Bottom 5: 328 kg/yr (C$ 158)
[Δ = >57]
8

9. Looking Forward
Integrated
vs
Sectoral
9

10. Getting There
Sustainable
urban
development
policies
@
new
business
models
10

11. Getting There
PPP
@
Creating Value
locally & globally
11

12. The Barriers
Social/Cultural & Political & Institutional
12

13. Overcoming the barriers
Alternative
Policy
Options &
Education
@
Greater Region
Agreements & Planning
13