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Opening Black Boxes
The need for greater transparency and accuracy
Dr Keith Baker
Centre for Energy and the Built Environment
Glasgow Caledonian University
Overview
• The problem of black boxes
• For and against greater transparency
• Accuracy and building energy modelling
• Enabling greater accuracy
• Final thoughts
Data CO2 / CO2e
The Problem
Data CO2 / CO2e
?
Conversion factors
Calculations
Assumptions
Boundaries
?
The Problem
Against Transparency
• Intellectual Property Rights
• Profit and competitive advantage
• Expediency
• Lack of an independent, impartial, expert
scrutiny body
• Problem of non-expert scrutiny (e.g. by
climate change deniers)
For Transparency
• How valuable is that IPR anyway?
• ‘Transparent’ does not have to mean ‘free’
• Whose advantage?
• How expedient?
• Need for greater exposure to peer review –
stakeholder and public confidence in results
• Greater transparency means results are less
open to questions / claims of greenwashing
Positive Examples
Free:
• Inventory of Carbon and Energy, University of Bath
• Climate Challenge Fund Route Maps, Footprint
Consulting
Low cost:
• REAP / REAP Petite, Stockholm Environment Institute
• Many building energy models
Energy CO2 / CO2e
Heating
Lighting
Ventilation
Appliances
etc
Accuracy and Building
Energy Modelling
Energy CO2 / CO2e?
But then...
Enabling Accuracy
• Is there really a standard household any
more?
– Is it time to ditch the zone 1 / zone 2 assumption?
– What are the implications for policy making?
• How accurately can we model the impact of
behaviour, and behavioural interventions?
• What can be learnt from buildings that can be
applied elsewhere?
Final Thoughts
• Two inter-connected problems
• Can greater transparency lead to greater
accuracy?
• How can our knowledge of building energy
modelling inform carbon accounting in
general?
• How accurate can we be? And how accurate
do we need to be?
The Agriculture Workshop
Date: Tues 17th June
Time: 10:00 - 1:00 (includes lunch) – plus an afternoon
session for those able to stay
Venue: Room A426, Govan Mbeki Building, Glasgow
Caledonian University
Workshop leaders: Dr Keith Baker, GCU & ICARB; Dr Ole
Pahl, BATFarm Project, GCU; Dr Colin Burton,
Cemagref, France; Dr Gary Lanigan, Teagasc, Ireland;
and Dr Arthur Fallick, Kwantlen Polytechnic
University, Vancouver, Canada.

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Buildings workshop presentation Keith Bakerb

  • 1. Opening Black Boxes The need for greater transparency and accuracy Dr Keith Baker Centre for Energy and the Built Environment Glasgow Caledonian University
  • 2. Overview • The problem of black boxes • For and against greater transparency • Accuracy and building energy modelling • Enabling greater accuracy • Final thoughts
  • 3. Data CO2 / CO2e The Problem
  • 4. Data CO2 / CO2e ? Conversion factors Calculations Assumptions Boundaries ? The Problem
  • 5. Against Transparency • Intellectual Property Rights • Profit and competitive advantage • Expediency • Lack of an independent, impartial, expert scrutiny body • Problem of non-expert scrutiny (e.g. by climate change deniers)
  • 6. For Transparency • How valuable is that IPR anyway? • ‘Transparent’ does not have to mean ‘free’ • Whose advantage? • How expedient? • Need for greater exposure to peer review – stakeholder and public confidence in results • Greater transparency means results are less open to questions / claims of greenwashing
  • 7. Positive Examples Free: • Inventory of Carbon and Energy, University of Bath • Climate Challenge Fund Route Maps, Footprint Consulting Low cost: • REAP / REAP Petite, Stockholm Environment Institute • Many building energy models
  • 8. Energy CO2 / CO2e Heating Lighting Ventilation Appliances etc Accuracy and Building Energy Modelling
  • 9. Energy CO2 / CO2e? But then...
  • 10. Enabling Accuracy • Is there really a standard household any more? – Is it time to ditch the zone 1 / zone 2 assumption? – What are the implications for policy making? • How accurately can we model the impact of behaviour, and behavioural interventions? • What can be learnt from buildings that can be applied elsewhere?
  • 11. Final Thoughts • Two inter-connected problems • Can greater transparency lead to greater accuracy? • How can our knowledge of building energy modelling inform carbon accounting in general? • How accurate can we be? And how accurate do we need to be?
  • 12. The Agriculture Workshop Date: Tues 17th June Time: 10:00 - 1:00 (includes lunch) – plus an afternoon session for those able to stay Venue: Room A426, Govan Mbeki Building, Glasgow Caledonian University Workshop leaders: Dr Keith Baker, GCU & ICARB; Dr Ole Pahl, BATFarm Project, GCU; Dr Colin Burton, Cemagref, France; Dr Gary Lanigan, Teagasc, Ireland; and Dr Arthur Fallick, Kwantlen Polytechnic University, Vancouver, Canada.