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Computation of Things

                       … the next-generation prediction engine …

                                    Justyna Zander, Dr.
                                 Pieter Mosterman, Prof. Dr.



2010
Copyrights reserved.
1 <why>
    Computation of Things
    … the next-generation prediction engine …




2
Started with
    the Sustainability Science




3
Changing Disaster Patterns

       Weather-related disasters doubled over the past 2 decades
       Increase small- and medium-scale disasters
       More uncertainties, more impact




                                                          Source: CRED 2008 Report
4
Happiness Net by Country




5
Happiness Net by Country




Iceland     94 %
USA        84 %
Bulgaria   -24 %


  6
Social Network Influence on Happiness




7
YOU


8
Citizen
    Science

9
10
Personalized
     Human-centered
      Computation
11
2 <what>
     Computation of Things
     … the next-generation prediction engine …




12
Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

     Mission:
      increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

     Vision:
      increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life
      based on:




13
Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

     Mission:
      increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

     Vision:
      increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life
      based on:




14
Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

     Mission:
      increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

     Vision:
      increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life
      based on:




15
Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

     Mission:
      increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

     Vision:
      increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life
      based on:




     Common
     Computation
     Framework




16
17
18
From Internet of Things to Computation of Things




                Wisdom

      Knowledge

      Information

         Data


     Internet of
       Things

19
From Internet of Things to Computation of Things



                                               Forecasting
                Wisdom
                                      Wisdom

      Knowledge                      Knowledge

      Information                    Information

         Data                           Data


     Internet of                    Computation
       Things                        of Things
                                      (CoTh)
20
CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor




         Participatory Sensing (HLoop)




21
CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor




           Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

          Assessment                                  CoTh
            criteria,                 Intelligent Modeling                               
     Geolocation,
                       Physical             and Simulation             
                       Systems,
      Patterns,   Infrastructure, etc     for Sustainability
                                                              User                       
                                                              User
           ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction              Interface




22
CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor




           Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

          Assessment                                  CoTh
            criteria,                 Intelligent Modeling                               
     Geolocation,
                       Physical             and Simulation             
                       Systems,
      Patterns,   Infrastructure, etc     for Sustainability
                                                              User                       
                                                              User
           ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction              Interface




           SYNTHESIS: Decision making
           SYNTHESIS: Decision‐making


23
CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor




               Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

              Assessment                                  CoTh
                criteria,                 Intelligent Modeling                               
         Geolocation,
                           Physical             and Simulation             
                           Systems,
          Patterns,   Infrastructure, etc     for Sustainability
                                                                  User                       
                                                                  User
               ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction              Interface




     ?         SYNTHESIS: Decision making
               SYNTHESIS: Decision‐making


24
25
26
3 <how>
     Computation of Things
     … the next-generation prediction engine …




27
28
Imagine rigorously validating

          6.8 billion models!




29
CoTh Engine
     Models




      Physical model




30
CoTh Engine
      Models
     Assumptions



        Physical model   Theoretical model




31
CoTh Engine
      Models
     Assumptions



        Physical model   Theoretical model




32
CoTh Engine
             Models
           Assumptions
           Approximations
           A     i ti



     Physical model         Theoretical model   Computational model


                                                  computational
                                                     p
                                                     model




33
CoTh Engine
             Models
           Assumptions
           Approximations
           A      i ti
              Correctness


     Physical model         Theoretical model              Computational model


                                                             computational
                                                                p
                                                                model




                                                Numerical integration
                                                       Solver model




34
CoTh Engine
             Models
           Assumptions
           Approximations
           A      i ti
              Correctness


     Physical model         Theoretical model   Computational model


                                                  computational
                                                     p
                                                     model




                       Numerical integration
                              Solver model




35
4 <process>
      Get
     aware-   Accept
              A    t   Decide
                       D id     Transform
                                T    f
      ness



36
Decide Wisely




37
Decide Wisely




38
Acknowledgements




 pmosterman@yahoo.com                                         justyna.zander@gmail.com
 http://msdl.cs.mcgill.ca/people/mosterman/   http://sites.google.com/site/justynazander
39
40

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Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

  • 1. Computation of Things … the next-generation prediction engine … Justyna Zander, Dr. Pieter Mosterman, Prof. Dr. 2010 Copyrights reserved.
  • 2. 1 <why> Computation of Things … the next-generation prediction engine … 2
  • 3. Started with the Sustainability Science 3
  • 4. Changing Disaster Patterns  Weather-related disasters doubled over the past 2 decades  Increase small- and medium-scale disasters  More uncertainties, more impact Source: CRED 2008 Report 4
  • 5. Happiness Net by Country 5
  • 6. Happiness Net by Country Iceland 94 % USA 84 % Bulgaria -24 % 6
  • 7. Social Network Influence on Happiness 7
  • 9. Citizen Science 9
  • 10. 10
  • 11. Personalized Human-centered Computation 11
  • 12. 2 <what> Computation of Things … the next-generation prediction engine … 12
  • 13. Computation of Things – Mission and Vision Mission:  increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness Vision:  increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life  based on: 13
  • 14. Computation of Things – Mission and Vision Mission:  increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness Vision:  increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life  based on: 14
  • 15. Computation of Things – Mission and Vision Mission:  increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness Vision:  increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life  based on: 15
  • 16. Computation of Things – Mission and Vision Mission:  increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness Vision:  increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life  based on: Common Computation Framework 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. From Internet of Things to Computation of Things Wisdom Knowledge Information Data Internet of Things 19
  • 20. From Internet of Things to Computation of Things Forecasting Wisdom Wisdom Knowledge Knowledge Information Information Data Data Internet of Computation Things of Things (CoTh) 20
  • 21. CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor Participatory Sensing (HLoop) 21
  • 22. CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor Participatory Sensing (HLoop) Assessment CoTh criteria, Intelligent Modeling                                Geolocation, Physical and Simulation              Systems, Patterns, Infrastructure, etc for Sustainability User                        User ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction Interface 22
  • 23. CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor Participatory Sensing (HLoop) Assessment CoTh criteria, Intelligent Modeling                                Geolocation, Physical and Simulation              Systems, Patterns, Infrastructure, etc for Sustainability User                        User ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction Interface SYNTHESIS: Decision making SYNTHESIS: Decision‐making 23
  • 24. CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor Participatory Sensing (HLoop) Assessment CoTh criteria, Intelligent Modeling                                Geolocation, Physical and Simulation              Systems, Patterns, Infrastructure, etc for Sustainability User                        User ANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction Interface ? SYNTHESIS: Decision making SYNTHESIS: Decision‐making 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. 3 <how> Computation of Things … the next-generation prediction engine … 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. Imagine rigorously validating 6.8 billion models! 29
  • 30. CoTh Engine Models Physical model 30
  • 31. CoTh Engine Models Assumptions Physical model Theoretical model 31
  • 32. CoTh Engine Models Assumptions Physical model Theoretical model 32
  • 33. CoTh Engine Models Assumptions Approximations A i ti Physical model Theoretical model Computational model computational p model 33
  • 34. CoTh Engine Models Assumptions Approximations A i ti Correctness Physical model Theoretical model Computational model computational p model Numerical integration Solver model 34
  • 35. CoTh Engine Models Assumptions Approximations A i ti Correctness Physical model Theoretical model Computational model computational p model Numerical integration Solver model 35
  • 36. 4 <process> Get aware- Accept A t Decide D id Transform T f ness 36
  • 39. Acknowledgements pmosterman@yahoo.com justyna.zander@gmail.com http://msdl.cs.mcgill.ca/people/mosterman/ http://sites.google.com/site/justynazander 39
  • 40. 40