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IHR Digital History Seminar
Quantifying the Language of
 British Politics, 1880-1914




            Dr. Luke Blaxill:
         King’s College London
          Luke.blaxill@kcl.ac.uk
                                   1
The Linguistic Turn and Electoral Politics
• Great deal of recent interest in language in electoral politics since
  the ‘linguistic turn’
• The turn has given us a great deal, but its focus on deep readings of
  specific texts in isolation has often caused historians, especially of
  language, to be gun-shy of offering broader explanations.
• Many historians have called for a ‘reintegration’ of the explanatory
  ambition of the old social-scientific historical tradition with the new
  sensitivity to language.

But how could such a reintegration occur?
My Proposal: Quantitative language analysis
               with a Corpus
A corpus: a huge bank of text of several million words




                                            Computerised Corpus:
Candidates’ Speeches from Press   SCANNED
                                             Millions of words of
                                            freely searchable text
My Corpora
                 1                                   2


East Anglian Speeches 1880-1910.      National Speeches 1880-1910.
 Subdivided per party, per election   Subdivided per party, per election
         (1 million words)                    (4 million words)




                      What are they used for?
To trace the patterns and associations of interesting words on
a huge scale.
Corpus-driven Quantification in action:
  Example One: Ireland, 1880-1900
Corpus-driven Quantification in action:
        Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900
How can we measure the ‘language of Imperialism’ with a corpus?

Proposed solution: try to construct a controlled vocabulary or a
   ‘taxonomy’ composed of words which reliably correlate to occasions
   when a speaker is using such language.


A five word Taxonomy of Imperialism:
•   Imperial (and all variants)
•   Empire
•   Flag
•   British (and all variants)
•   Colony (and all variants)
Corpus-driven Quantification in action:
           Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900
To ensure the ascriptions of ‘the language of imperialism’
are correct, each word is checked in its original context:
Corpus-driven Quantification in action:
 Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900
The Case for using Corpus-driven quantification
          to study Political Language
k
The Case for using Corpus-driven quantification
          to study Political Language
                    Five Arguments
1. Amenability of political (especially electoral) language to
   analysis by these techniques.
2. Difficult to measure quantity by intuition.
3. Corpora can help establish typicality better than
   selected quotations from speech.
3. Numerical conclusions easy to verify
4. More empirical approach to working can illuminate
   unexpected patterns otherwise hard to detect
Case Study: The Impact of the 1883-85
  Reforms on Rural Political Language




1. Was there a major shift in the nature of political appeals in East
Anglia? Were farmers issues and the language of farming
supplanted by agricultural labourer’s issues?

2. Can we attempt to measure the influence of Chamberlain's
   Unauthorised Programme on political language in East Anglia?
    Was it influential?
The Language of Farming 1880-1885
The Language of Farming 1835-1900




                      1886-1910
The Language of Agricultural Labourers 1880-
                   1885
The Language of Radicalism 1880-1885
The word ‘Land’ in context in 1885
                                                                      Percentage of total
   Context of Liberal Mentions of Land (130 total)       Score            mentions
Benefits of owning land                                      30                     23%
Land ownership monopoly                                      20                     15%
Attacks on landowners                                        24                     18%


Transfer of land simplification/ facilitation                16                     12%
Evocations of the past                                           8                    6%
Compulsory purchase                                              8                    6%




                                                                              Percentage of
      Context of Conservative Mentions of Land (158 total)           Score    total mentions
 Theft/compulsory taking of land                                         36                 23%


 Transfer of land simplification/ facilitation                           27                 17%
 General mocking of Radical land reform                                  14                 9%
 Good Landlords                                                          13                 8%
 General issues of agriculture and farming                               18                 11%
Conclusions
1.   Major break from the past in 1885 in language, not just in
     electioneering.
2.   The Agricultural Laborer eclipsed the farmer as the most visible in
     vocabulary remarkably quickly. This suggests that the perceived interests
     of the voting base were perhaps the key factor in determining the
     content of platform speeches.
3.   Unauthorised Programme had a big impact on electoral language in the
     countryside.
4.   Overall: Chamberlain was in a much stronger position after 1885 than
     Historians have argued, but the biggest group within the electorate who
     supported him was the agricultural labourer- not who he had thought.
Thank You.
•   Note: The following few pages show extras tables and graphs, which aren’t part of the paper
    but might be referred to in discussions.
Corpus-driven Quantification in action:
       Gladstone, 1880-1892




 EAST ANGLIA             NATIONAL SPEAKERS
‘Gladstone’: Top Contexts
42% Foreign Policy Weakness           General Greatness         20%
                                                                17%
17% Inferiority to Disraeli
8% Good orator                1880    Financial competence
                                      Bringer of Peace
                                      Superiority to Disraeli
                                                                14%
                                                                14%
16% Disunity
                                     Manifesto/Programme        21%
11% Disestablishment
7% General Gordon
7% Financial incompetence
                              1885   Party unity
                                     General Greatness
                                                                21%
                                                                20%

57% Irish Home Rule                   Irish Home Rule           40%
                                      General Greatness          29%
11% Liberal Unionists
7% Abandoning Land Reform     1886    Party unity                17%
                                      Superiority to Chamberlain 13%

56% Irish Home Rule                   Irish Home Rule           39%
14% Disunity
12% Newcastle Programme       1892    General Greatness   30%
                                      Newcastle Programme 12%
11% General Greatness
Boroughs versus counties in 1885
                          East Anglia   East Anglia    Other    Other
        Lemma
                           Borough       County       Borough   County

        Radical               96            86          72        99

         Class                64           132          56        78

      Programme               50            16          37        37

      Chamberlain             70            88          60        72

     Land Reform             276           374          72       142

        Church               220           186          151      180

 Education/School/Child      254           248          176      177

  Working Man/Class           42           104          50        43

        Reform                56           116          67        93

         Total               1128          1350         741      921
Education Issue in 1885: top contexts
                 Liberals mentions of
     School, Child, Education (163                       Percentage of total
              mentions)                     Score            mentions

Poor people priced out of education                 34                   21%

General expressions of support in favour
of free education                                   34                   21%

Will give dignity to poor/ will help poor           19                   12%

Improve social mobility of poor                     14                    9%
Reassurance that religious aspect to
education will be kept                               9                    6%



   Conservative mentions of school,                      Percentage of total
   Child, Education (146 mentions)          Score            mentions
Weaken voluntary schools                            26                   18%
Expensive, wasteful                                 24                   16%
Highlighting Liberal attack on religious
basis of education                                  19                   13%
Stops people being stakeholders*                    13                    9%
Criticising compulsory and universal
education                                           16                   11%

Poor standard of board Schools                       5                    3%
Church Disestablishment in 1885: top
                       contexts
 Context of Liberal Mentions of Church (105
                    total)                         Score        Percentage of total mentions

 Proclamations in favour of Disestablishment               37                              35%
 Disestablishment as a route to Religious
 Equality                                                  17                              16%

 Candidate distancing themselves from
 Disestablishment                                          10                              10%
 Attacks on Conservatives for politicising the
 Church                                                     9                                  9%


    Context of Conservative Mentions of
                Church (111)                       Score        Percentage of total mentions
Attacks on Liberals for tying to weaken/
abolish Church                                             36                              32%
General vows to protect Church                             31                              28%
Benefits of Church (Education)                              5                               5%
Benefits of Church (Church sponsored
charities)                                                 11                              10%
Benefits of Church (Classless, available for all
Classes)                                                   10                                  9%
Benefits of Church (Education)                              3                                  3%
Benefits of Church (Improvement of character)               3                                  3%

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Blaxill ihr digital_history_slides

  • 1. IHR Digital History Seminar Quantifying the Language of British Politics, 1880-1914 Dr. Luke Blaxill: King’s College London Luke.blaxill@kcl.ac.uk 1
  • 2. The Linguistic Turn and Electoral Politics • Great deal of recent interest in language in electoral politics since the ‘linguistic turn’ • The turn has given us a great deal, but its focus on deep readings of specific texts in isolation has often caused historians, especially of language, to be gun-shy of offering broader explanations. • Many historians have called for a ‘reintegration’ of the explanatory ambition of the old social-scientific historical tradition with the new sensitivity to language. But how could such a reintegration occur?
  • 3. My Proposal: Quantitative language analysis with a Corpus A corpus: a huge bank of text of several million words Computerised Corpus: Candidates’ Speeches from Press SCANNED Millions of words of freely searchable text
  • 4. My Corpora 1 2 East Anglian Speeches 1880-1910. National Speeches 1880-1910. Subdivided per party, per election Subdivided per party, per election (1 million words) (4 million words) What are they used for? To trace the patterns and associations of interesting words on a huge scale.
  • 5. Corpus-driven Quantification in action: Example One: Ireland, 1880-1900
  • 6. Corpus-driven Quantification in action: Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900 How can we measure the ‘language of Imperialism’ with a corpus? Proposed solution: try to construct a controlled vocabulary or a ‘taxonomy’ composed of words which reliably correlate to occasions when a speaker is using such language. A five word Taxonomy of Imperialism: • Imperial (and all variants) • Empire • Flag • British (and all variants) • Colony (and all variants)
  • 7. Corpus-driven Quantification in action: Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900 To ensure the ascriptions of ‘the language of imperialism’ are correct, each word is checked in its original context:
  • 8. Corpus-driven Quantification in action: Example Two: Imperialism 1880-1900
  • 9. The Case for using Corpus-driven quantification to study Political Language k
  • 10. The Case for using Corpus-driven quantification to study Political Language Five Arguments 1. Amenability of political (especially electoral) language to analysis by these techniques. 2. Difficult to measure quantity by intuition. 3. Corpora can help establish typicality better than selected quotations from speech. 3. Numerical conclusions easy to verify 4. More empirical approach to working can illuminate unexpected patterns otherwise hard to detect
  • 11. Case Study: The Impact of the 1883-85 Reforms on Rural Political Language 1. Was there a major shift in the nature of political appeals in East Anglia? Were farmers issues and the language of farming supplanted by agricultural labourer’s issues? 2. Can we attempt to measure the influence of Chamberlain's Unauthorised Programme on political language in East Anglia? Was it influential?
  • 12. The Language of Farming 1880-1885
  • 13. The Language of Farming 1835-1900 1886-1910
  • 14. The Language of Agricultural Labourers 1880- 1885
  • 15. The Language of Radicalism 1880-1885
  • 16. The word ‘Land’ in context in 1885 Percentage of total Context of Liberal Mentions of Land (130 total) Score mentions Benefits of owning land 30 23% Land ownership monopoly 20 15% Attacks on landowners 24 18% Transfer of land simplification/ facilitation 16 12% Evocations of the past 8 6% Compulsory purchase 8 6% Percentage of Context of Conservative Mentions of Land (158 total) Score total mentions Theft/compulsory taking of land 36 23% Transfer of land simplification/ facilitation 27 17% General mocking of Radical land reform 14 9% Good Landlords 13 8% General issues of agriculture and farming 18 11%
  • 17. Conclusions 1. Major break from the past in 1885 in language, not just in electioneering. 2. The Agricultural Laborer eclipsed the farmer as the most visible in vocabulary remarkably quickly. This suggests that the perceived interests of the voting base were perhaps the key factor in determining the content of platform speeches. 3. Unauthorised Programme had a big impact on electoral language in the countryside. 4. Overall: Chamberlain was in a much stronger position after 1885 than Historians have argued, but the biggest group within the electorate who supported him was the agricultural labourer- not who he had thought.
  • 19. Note: The following few pages show extras tables and graphs, which aren’t part of the paper but might be referred to in discussions.
  • 20. Corpus-driven Quantification in action: Gladstone, 1880-1892 EAST ANGLIA NATIONAL SPEAKERS
  • 21. ‘Gladstone’: Top Contexts 42% Foreign Policy Weakness General Greatness 20% 17% 17% Inferiority to Disraeli 8% Good orator 1880 Financial competence Bringer of Peace Superiority to Disraeli 14% 14% 16% Disunity Manifesto/Programme 21% 11% Disestablishment 7% General Gordon 7% Financial incompetence 1885 Party unity General Greatness 21% 20% 57% Irish Home Rule Irish Home Rule 40% General Greatness 29% 11% Liberal Unionists 7% Abandoning Land Reform 1886 Party unity 17% Superiority to Chamberlain 13% 56% Irish Home Rule Irish Home Rule 39% 14% Disunity 12% Newcastle Programme 1892 General Greatness 30% Newcastle Programme 12% 11% General Greatness
  • 22. Boroughs versus counties in 1885 East Anglia East Anglia Other Other Lemma Borough County Borough County Radical 96 86 72 99 Class 64 132 56 78 Programme 50 16 37 37 Chamberlain 70 88 60 72 Land Reform 276 374 72 142 Church 220 186 151 180 Education/School/Child 254 248 176 177 Working Man/Class 42 104 50 43 Reform 56 116 67 93 Total 1128 1350 741 921
  • 23. Education Issue in 1885: top contexts Liberals mentions of School, Child, Education (163 Percentage of total mentions) Score mentions Poor people priced out of education 34 21% General expressions of support in favour of free education 34 21% Will give dignity to poor/ will help poor 19 12% Improve social mobility of poor 14 9% Reassurance that religious aspect to education will be kept 9 6% Conservative mentions of school, Percentage of total Child, Education (146 mentions) Score mentions Weaken voluntary schools 26 18% Expensive, wasteful 24 16% Highlighting Liberal attack on religious basis of education 19 13% Stops people being stakeholders* 13 9% Criticising compulsory and universal education 16 11% Poor standard of board Schools 5 3%
  • 24. Church Disestablishment in 1885: top contexts Context of Liberal Mentions of Church (105 total) Score Percentage of total mentions Proclamations in favour of Disestablishment 37 35% Disestablishment as a route to Religious Equality 17 16% Candidate distancing themselves from Disestablishment 10 10% Attacks on Conservatives for politicising the Church 9 9% Context of Conservative Mentions of Church (111) Score Percentage of total mentions Attacks on Liberals for tying to weaken/ abolish Church 36 32% General vows to protect Church 31 28% Benefits of Church (Education) 5 5% Benefits of Church (Church sponsored charities) 11 10% Benefits of Church (Classless, available for all Classes) 10 9% Benefits of Church (Education) 3 3% Benefits of Church (Improvement of character) 3 3%