The document outlines key strategies and targets for India's Twelfth Five Year Plan presented to State Planning Boards. It aims to achieve faster, more sustainable and inclusive growth through developing human and institutional capabilities, promoting economic growth and inclusion, optimizing use of natural resources, and increasing engagement with the world. Specific goals include increasing education levels, reducing poverty and malnutrition, expanding electricity and road access, boosting manufacturing and job growth, and meeting targets for GDP, agriculture and green cover increases.
Overview of the 12th Plan--July 6 presentation by Pronab Sen
1. PRESENTATION TO
STATE PLANNING BOARDS
FRIDAY, JULY 6, 2012
Overview of the Twelfth Plan
Perspectives and Strategies
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2. Faster, Sustainable, and More Inclusive Growth
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Plan must meet people’s aspirations—as seen from
our consultations.
All States want faster growth—unity of purpose.
Quality of growth is important—ethics, equity,
efficiency, and sustainability.
People are principal agents of development
Interests of weak and vulnerable are protected
Driven by knowledge and innovation, not exploitation of
natural resources
3. Four dimensions of our approach
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Developing Capabilities
Human
Institutional
National
Economic growth and inclusion
Livelihoods
The Earth and its resources
Land
Water
Energy
Engagement with the world
4. Developing human capabilities
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Two pre-requisites:
Life: IMR, MMR, child sex ratio, malnutrition
Personal identity: Aadhar
How to best use the demographic dividend?
Education, skill development
Teachers’ training
Quality of teaching
Enrolment and retention in secondary schools
5. Developing human capabilities … 2
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Other challenges
Malnutrition
Effects on education
Effects on health
Migration—linguistic barriers
Medical facilities and trained staff, esp. nurses
Mobile phones to access useful, timely information.
6. Developing institutional capabilities
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Capacity building of all arms of the government.
Legislature Union
Executive State
Judiciary PRI/ULB
Delivery of public services
Dispute resolution within government
Improving regulatory capacities.
Reforms that facilitate institutional innovation and
adaptation.
7. Developing national capabilities
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1) Infrastructure
State governments’ capacities to use PPP in more
areas.
Power reforms
Railway reforms.
2) Science, Technology, and Innovation
8. Economic Growth and Inclusion
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Unfavorable starting conditions, unlike the Eleventh
Plan.
Difficult to grow faster than 8 percent, without being
more efficient in our use of resources.
Global and local trade and finance: difficult to rely on
large-scale corporate investments to boost growth.
Need a new strategy
9. The small business way to faster growth
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SME share of total investment expanded even in the
crisis.
More attuned to the domestic economy.
Need to stimulate new entrepreneurship:
Promotes inclusiveness too
Enable existing SMEs to expand
Capital: DFIs, insurance
Human resources
Closer policy collaboration between Union and States
10. Building on MGNREGS and NRLM
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Foster entrepreneurship—lower cost of failure.
Use assets created MGNREGS.
More income in rural hands—spark local
entrepreneurship to spend that money.
Promote the shift to more productive non-
agricultural growth.
States and Panchayats roles are critical
11. Expand manufacturing
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Expand labor-intensive light manufacturing.
Markets
Credit
Technology
Institutional reforms
Making clusters more effective
Need better logistics
Improved industrial infrastructure
Improving the business regulatory framework
12. Stronger financial system
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Improving credit to agriculture, SSIs, and
infrastructure.
Making insurance more useful and more
sustainable—especially for agriculture.
13. The earth and its resources
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India has the lowest per-capita availability of natural
resources—planning must optimize their use.
Increasing agitations on land, water, and forests.
Climate change is accelerating.
Soil health is deteriorating—unhealthy fertilizer use.
14. Rational land use
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A growing and a wealthier population.
Changing nutrition will need changes in cropping patterns.
Trade-off between:
agriculture and industrial/urban
forests and minerals—both are national assets
Managing urban land
15. Agriculture: rainfed farming
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Apply natural resource management to rainfed
farming
Focus on many crops and products that reinforce
each other—and strengthen the resilience of the
land
This needs:
Soil productivity
Moisture management
Seeds
Farm mechanization
16. Energy: Efficiency plus alternate sources
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Coal constraint will remain—improve energy
efficiency
Nuclear energy must be promoted—but
apprehensions allayed.
Decentralized generation and distribution of
energy—to meet rising urban demand.
For rural and semi-urban, integrate existing
government schemes to attract private investment.
17. Water: efficiency, policy, and institutions
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Water use efficiency in agriculture is the poorest in
the world.
Need modern laws and policies on water and
groundwater
Reduce pollution, through better designed
institutions.
Challenges of increasing urbanization.
18. Engagement with the world
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9 percent GDP growth requires 20 percent export
growth.
External borrowings are likely to increase—volatile
FDI and FII.
India can command more of the non-traded services
market—through migration to other countries.
Use our soft power to strengthen our position
Improve tourist inflows
Engage more with neighboring countries—states
role
19. Proposed monitorable targets for 2017
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1) Increase Mean Years of Schooling to eight years.
2) Create two million additional seats for each age cohort in
higher education aligned to the skill needs of the
economy.
3) Reduce IMR to 28 and TFR to 2.1 by the end of the Plan.
4) Reduce malnutrition among children age 0-3 years and
anemia among girls and women to half of NGHS-3 levels.
5) Provide electricity to all habitations and reliable power by
the end of the Plan.
6) Connect all villages with all-weather roads, and improve
the quality of national and state highways.
20. Monitorable targets for 2017
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7) Real GDP Growth Rate of 8.5 percent.
8) Agriculture Growth Rate of 4 percent.
9) Manufacturing Growth Rate of 2 percent higher than GDP
Growth rate.
10) Reduce head-count ratio of consumption poverty by 10
percentage points over the immediately preceding
estimates.
11) Generate 25 million new work opportunities in the non-
agriculture sector.
12) Increase the green cover by 1 million hectares every year.
21. FOR MORE DETAILS CONTACT
PRONAB@NIC.IN
HARSH.SHRIVASTAVA@NIC.IN
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Thank you