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BRICS & Its Future.
Harish Patidar (47)
PGDM, MET, Bandra, Mumbai
Introduction
 BRIC an acronym floated in November 2001
 Term coined by Jim O’Neill, a global economist at Goldman Sachs
 Fastest growing group of economies
 First Summit: Yekateringburg, Russia on June 16, 2009
 Entry of South Africa in June 2010
 7th Summit in July 2015 at Ufa, Russia
 8th Summit will be in 2016 at New Delhi, India
Key Statistics
3 Billion
people
lives in
BRICS
Combined
GDP of
US$
16.039
trillion
15% of
world’s
export
volume
US$ 4
trillion of
Foreign
reserves
Importance of BRICS
 Promote the technological information exchange
 Improve the professional development and education of countries.
 Making these countries getting closer to others to obtain the
comparative advantages of these countries.
 To achieve regional development
 To remove trade barriers
 Economic development
 Optimum use of resources
 Building relationship
Foreign Exchange Reserves (2015)
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
BRAZIL RUSSIA INDIA CHINA SOUTH AFRICA
362,744 358,500 352,131
3,899,285
47,190
Foreign Exchange Reserves (2015)
In USD
Imports (2015)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Brazil Russia India China South Africa
278.8
358.1
500.3
1,780.00
106.8
Imports
In USD billions
Exports (2015)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Brazil Russia India China South Africa
396
542.5
462.21
2,021.00
101.2
Exports
In USD billions
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
BRAZIL RUSSIA INDIA CHINA SOUTH AFRICA
0.744
0.778
0.586
0.719
0.658
HDI
HDI
The BRICS: Three Things to
Know
1. Diverse but Cooperative
GDP Prediction
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
China USA India Brazil Russia Japan UK Germany
Goldman Sachs prediction about top 8 nations
2050 2040 2030 2020 2015 2010
2. Financial Alternatives
 New Development Bank: $50 billion
 Contingency Reserve Arrangement: $100 billion
3. Inclusive Multilateralism
 Role of other countries
 China’s influence through other channels
Travel & Tourism-Future prospect
Brazil
-Tourism contributes 8.6% of GDP
-Host for Olympics in 2016
Russia
-Expected to grow by 4%
-FIFA World Cup will be held in 2018 i.e after Brazil
India
-Expected to grow at 7.9%
-Benefits other industries
China
-Would be most visited country by 2020
-Continues to grow at 14.2%
South Africa
-Famous for eco-tourism
-Prominent contributors of GDP
Introduction of 5G
 Man behind 5G technology is Miao
Wei
 Currently being developed in China
 10 times faster than an optical fiber
connection
 Capable of fundamentally changing
the balance of force in the field of
technological control
BRICS - CHALLENGES
 Reducing the rural/urban income gap
 Maintaining macroeconomic stability
 Inadequate Financial reforms
 Managing Supply Chain
 Industrial
output is
weak
 Inefficient
Judicial
System
 Dependency
on oil
 Lack of
Infrastructur
e
 Illiteracy
 Lack of
Infrastructure
 High
Inflation
 Economic
disparity
 48%
populatio
n below
poverty
line
 Lack of
skill sets,
particula
rly in IT
Conclusion
 It is possible that China could become
as big as the US by 2027
 India and Russia will individually be larger than
Spain, Canada or Italy by 2020
 By 2025 BRICS will be over half the size of the G7
 Long-term projections BRICs could account for almost 50% of global equity
markets by 2050
 Of the current G7, only the US and Japan may be among the seven largest
economies in US dollar terms in 2050
 By 2050, the largest economies in the world (by GDP) may no longer be the
richest (by income per capita)
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BRICS

  • 1. BRICS & Its Future. Harish Patidar (47) PGDM, MET, Bandra, Mumbai
  • 2. Introduction  BRIC an acronym floated in November 2001  Term coined by Jim O’Neill, a global economist at Goldman Sachs  Fastest growing group of economies  First Summit: Yekateringburg, Russia on June 16, 2009  Entry of South Africa in June 2010  7th Summit in July 2015 at Ufa, Russia  8th Summit will be in 2016 at New Delhi, India
  • 3. Key Statistics 3 Billion people lives in BRICS Combined GDP of US$ 16.039 trillion 15% of world’s export volume US$ 4 trillion of Foreign reserves
  • 4. Importance of BRICS  Promote the technological information exchange  Improve the professional development and education of countries.  Making these countries getting closer to others to obtain the comparative advantages of these countries.  To achieve regional development  To remove trade barriers  Economic development  Optimum use of resources  Building relationship
  • 5. Foreign Exchange Reserves (2015) 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 BRAZIL RUSSIA INDIA CHINA SOUTH AFRICA 362,744 358,500 352,131 3,899,285 47,190 Foreign Exchange Reserves (2015) In USD
  • 6. Imports (2015) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Brazil Russia India China South Africa 278.8 358.1 500.3 1,780.00 106.8 Imports In USD billions
  • 7. Exports (2015) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Brazil Russia India China South Africa 396 542.5 462.21 2,021.00 101.2 Exports In USD billions
  • 8. 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 BRAZIL RUSSIA INDIA CHINA SOUTH AFRICA 0.744 0.778 0.586 0.719 0.658 HDI HDI
  • 9. The BRICS: Three Things to Know
  • 10. 1. Diverse but Cooperative
  • 11.
  • 12. GDP Prediction 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 China USA India Brazil Russia Japan UK Germany Goldman Sachs prediction about top 8 nations 2050 2040 2030 2020 2015 2010
  • 13. 2. Financial Alternatives  New Development Bank: $50 billion  Contingency Reserve Arrangement: $100 billion
  • 14. 3. Inclusive Multilateralism  Role of other countries  China’s influence through other channels
  • 15. Travel & Tourism-Future prospect Brazil -Tourism contributes 8.6% of GDP -Host for Olympics in 2016
  • 16. Russia -Expected to grow by 4% -FIFA World Cup will be held in 2018 i.e after Brazil
  • 17. India -Expected to grow at 7.9% -Benefits other industries
  • 18. China -Would be most visited country by 2020 -Continues to grow at 14.2%
  • 19. South Africa -Famous for eco-tourism -Prominent contributors of GDP
  • 20. Introduction of 5G  Man behind 5G technology is Miao Wei  Currently being developed in China  10 times faster than an optical fiber connection  Capable of fundamentally changing the balance of force in the field of technological control
  • 21. BRICS - CHALLENGES  Reducing the rural/urban income gap  Maintaining macroeconomic stability  Inadequate Financial reforms  Managing Supply Chain
  • 22.  Industrial output is weak  Inefficient Judicial System  Dependency on oil  Lack of Infrastructur e  Illiteracy  Lack of Infrastructure  High Inflation  Economic disparity  48% populatio n below poverty line  Lack of skill sets, particula rly in IT
  • 23. Conclusion  It is possible that China could become as big as the US by 2027  India and Russia will individually be larger than Spain, Canada or Italy by 2020  By 2025 BRICS will be over half the size of the G7  Long-term projections BRICs could account for almost 50% of global equity markets by 2050  Of the current G7, only the US and Japan may be among the seven largest economies in US dollar terms in 2050  By 2050, the largest economies in the world (by GDP) may no longer be the richest (by income per capita)