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National and regional GWP CEE
  initiatives proposed to be included in
                        WMO/GWP IDMP
Proposal for CEE IDMP and commitments for
                        the future Platform

    Janusz Kindler – GWP Poland – TF Leader for CEE IDMP


                                                       1
LEGEND
    Yellow colour: GWP CEE
        countries
    Yellow hash: GWP CEE and
        DMCSEE countries


2
Observed changes in annual precipitation
between 1961-2006
                                           3
Change in recurrence of 100-year drought,
based on comparison between today’s
climate and water use (1961-1990) and
simulation for the 2070s models (Lehner et
al., 2006)




                                             4
Characteristic relationship for floods and
droughts between a change in return period
and the corresponding change in intensity
(Lehner et al.2006)




                                             5
CEE IDMP Task Force
Prof. Pavol Bielek (CWP Slovakia),
Prof. Elena Mateescu (CWP Romania),
Prof. Gintas Stankunavicius (CWP Lithuania),
Prof. Janos Tamas (CWP Hungary), and
Prof. Janusz Kindler (CWP Poland – TF Leader)

+ about 20 experts from all participating CWPs
to understand better country specific drought
                                  related issues
                                                6
Inception Report for GWP CEE
part of WMO/GWP Integrated
Drought Management Report

GWP CEE Regional
Secretariat, Bratislava, June
2012


                                7
INCEPTION REPORT

•   Rationale for the GWP CEE part of WMO/GWP IDMP
•   Drought situation and the related risks (already
    presented by Elena Mateescu)
•   Mapping current policies regarding drought
    monitoring and management (already presented by
    Lucka Kajfez Bogataj)
•   National and regional GWP CEE initiatives proposed
    for the IDMP
•   Conclusions and recommendations
                                                         8
A REGIONAL PROJECT PROPOSAL
Project Title: INTEGRATED DROUGHT
MANAGEMENT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN
EUROPE (IDMCEE)

Estimated budget and duration: .. 2013-2014/15

Implementing agencies: GWP CEE and CWPs,
TOGETHER WITH THEIR NATIONAL (e.g.
NMHSs) and INTERNATIONAL DROUGHT
MANAGEMENT RELATED PARTNERS
                                             9
Thematic coverage: CLIMATE CHANGE
ADAPTATION IN WATER MANAGEMENT and
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS

Partners: INTERGOVERNMENTAL (incl. UN
Agencies, Regional Drought Centers,
especially DMCSEE), GOVERNMENTAL, NON-
GOVERNMENTAL AND OTHER
ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN DROUGHT
MONITORING, PREDICTION, DROUGHT RISK
REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT
                                         10
BENEFICIARIES:

- CEE societies more resilient to drought ;
- Ultimate target group - population and all
       stakeholders vulnerable to drought;
- On the planning and implementation levels -
       government institutions responsible for
       developing drought management policies,
       monitoring and systems for drought risk
       mitigation, prediction and response at different
       scales;
- Decision-makers and managers implementing
       these policies and systems at different levels;
- NGOs involved in drought advocacy, awareness and
       response effects
                                                          11
SPATIAL COVERAGE : Regional, but directed towards
and integrated with national programmes of the regioal
countries

PRINCIPAL APPROACH:
- Drought management proactive instead of reactive;
- Integration of science, policy and implementation;
- Sharing best practices at the local, national and
       regional levels;
- Integration of responses by various sectors ,as
       agriculture, energy, ecosystems, ...;



                                                       12
Activities to be taken under the following
six categories (project outputs suggested
by the Inception Report):


                                         13
1. Planning drought preparedness
      measures and integrated approaches on
      specific actions to develop operational
      guidance (investment and non-
      investment measures),

     - development of national and regional
          CEE Draught Preparedness and
          Response Plans

                                           14
2. Enhancement (and/or) development of
     monitoring and early warning systems

- Key to integrated drought management,
- Continous monitoring of key importance for
     the proactive approach,
- Understanding the underlying causes of
     vulnerability.


                                               15
3. Development of capacity building and
     technology transfer programs for water
     managers and farmers

- Identify the existing drought related capacity,
- Provide leadership for organzation of
      specialized seminars, courses,
      workshops on risk based approach to
      drought management
- Regional pilot project on improvement of soil
      water holding capacity.
                                                16
4. Design and implementation of integrated
     drought risk management systems,
     including real-time operational systems
     od different complexity

- developing integrated information systems of
     different complexity to amplify the
     drought monitoring and early warning
     systems with a drought protection and
     management procedures;
-
-                                            17
5. Development of case studies to document
     good practices in application of
     integrated drought management as an
     integral part of water and land
     management (including transboundary
     basins)

- Empirical case studies to investigate drought
      management within its real-life context,
- Tisza, Dnieper and Odra river basins,
- Assessment of drought impact on forest
      ecosystems                               18
-
6. Establishment of a Regional Drought
      Management Platform

- A Drought HelpDesk = information architecture and
       intelligent infrastructure that enables continuous
       automated sensing, monitoring and decision
       support for drought managment operations,
- To provide consulting and system integration
       services on drought monitoring, EWS and
       drought risk management tools

                                                       19
EXPECTED RESULTS

See project objectives, plus:

- Identification of regionally available data &
      gaps for improving information base,
- Best practice guidelines,
- Synergies between institutions developing
      drought knowledge/managment tools and
      DM institutions at the national and local
      level,
- Share good methods and experience based
      on                on pilot projects,      20
Thank you !



              21

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National and Regional GWP Central and Eastern Europe Initiatives Proposed to be Included in WMO/GWP Integrated Drought Management Programme by Janusz Kindler, GWP Poland

  • 1. National and regional GWP CEE initiatives proposed to be included in WMO/GWP IDMP Proposal for CEE IDMP and commitments for the future Platform Janusz Kindler – GWP Poland – TF Leader for CEE IDMP 1
  • 2. LEGEND Yellow colour: GWP CEE countries Yellow hash: GWP CEE and DMCSEE countries 2
  • 3. Observed changes in annual precipitation between 1961-2006 3
  • 4. Change in recurrence of 100-year drought, based on comparison between today’s climate and water use (1961-1990) and simulation for the 2070s models (Lehner et al., 2006) 4
  • 5. Characteristic relationship for floods and droughts between a change in return period and the corresponding change in intensity (Lehner et al.2006) 5
  • 6. CEE IDMP Task Force Prof. Pavol Bielek (CWP Slovakia), Prof. Elena Mateescu (CWP Romania), Prof. Gintas Stankunavicius (CWP Lithuania), Prof. Janos Tamas (CWP Hungary), and Prof. Janusz Kindler (CWP Poland – TF Leader) + about 20 experts from all participating CWPs to understand better country specific drought related issues 6
  • 7. Inception Report for GWP CEE part of WMO/GWP Integrated Drought Management Report GWP CEE Regional Secretariat, Bratislava, June 2012 7
  • 8. INCEPTION REPORT • Rationale for the GWP CEE part of WMO/GWP IDMP • Drought situation and the related risks (already presented by Elena Mateescu) • Mapping current policies regarding drought monitoring and management (already presented by Lucka Kajfez Bogataj) • National and regional GWP CEE initiatives proposed for the IDMP • Conclusions and recommendations 8
  • 9. A REGIONAL PROJECT PROPOSAL Project Title: INTEGRATED DROUGHT MANAGEMENT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE (IDMCEE) Estimated budget and duration: .. 2013-2014/15 Implementing agencies: GWP CEE and CWPs, TOGETHER WITH THEIR NATIONAL (e.g. NMHSs) and INTERNATIONAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT RELATED PARTNERS 9
  • 10. Thematic coverage: CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN WATER MANAGEMENT and AGRICULTURAL SECTORS Partners: INTERGOVERNMENTAL (incl. UN Agencies, Regional Drought Centers, especially DMCSEE), GOVERNMENTAL, NON- GOVERNMENTAL AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN DROUGHT MONITORING, PREDICTION, DROUGHT RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT 10
  • 11. BENEFICIARIES: - CEE societies more resilient to drought ; - Ultimate target group - population and all stakeholders vulnerable to drought; - On the planning and implementation levels - government institutions responsible for developing drought management policies, monitoring and systems for drought risk mitigation, prediction and response at different scales; - Decision-makers and managers implementing these policies and systems at different levels; - NGOs involved in drought advocacy, awareness and response effects 11
  • 12. SPATIAL COVERAGE : Regional, but directed towards and integrated with national programmes of the regioal countries PRINCIPAL APPROACH: - Drought management proactive instead of reactive; - Integration of science, policy and implementation; - Sharing best practices at the local, national and regional levels; - Integration of responses by various sectors ,as agriculture, energy, ecosystems, ...; 12
  • 13. Activities to be taken under the following six categories (project outputs suggested by the Inception Report): 13
  • 14. 1. Planning drought preparedness measures and integrated approaches on specific actions to develop operational guidance (investment and non- investment measures), - development of national and regional CEE Draught Preparedness and Response Plans 14
  • 15. 2. Enhancement (and/or) development of monitoring and early warning systems - Key to integrated drought management, - Continous monitoring of key importance for the proactive approach, - Understanding the underlying causes of vulnerability. 15
  • 16. 3. Development of capacity building and technology transfer programs for water managers and farmers - Identify the existing drought related capacity, - Provide leadership for organzation of specialized seminars, courses, workshops on risk based approach to drought management - Regional pilot project on improvement of soil water holding capacity. 16
  • 17. 4. Design and implementation of integrated drought risk management systems, including real-time operational systems od different complexity - developing integrated information systems of different complexity to amplify the drought monitoring and early warning systems with a drought protection and management procedures; - - 17
  • 18. 5. Development of case studies to document good practices in application of integrated drought management as an integral part of water and land management (including transboundary basins) - Empirical case studies to investigate drought management within its real-life context, - Tisza, Dnieper and Odra river basins, - Assessment of drought impact on forest ecosystems 18 -
  • 19. 6. Establishment of a Regional Drought Management Platform - A Drought HelpDesk = information architecture and intelligent infrastructure that enables continuous automated sensing, monitoring and decision support for drought managment operations, - To provide consulting and system integration services on drought monitoring, EWS and drought risk management tools 19
  • 20. EXPECTED RESULTS See project objectives, plus: - Identification of regionally available data & gaps for improving information base, - Best practice guidelines, - Synergies between institutions developing drought knowledge/managment tools and DM institutions at the national and local level, - Share good methods and experience based on on pilot projects, 20