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Job and Population Trends, What’s Ahead for San Jose and Silicon Valley  Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy May 27, 2008
A Turnaround in Silicon Valley ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent Job Growth Trends
Recent Population Growth Trends
Key Economic Base Sectors Shifting Trends in Santa Clara County
The Bay Area and Silicon Valley Economy Today—Bottom Line ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Framework for Projecting the Future Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Projecting the Future—The U.S. Growth Outlook ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Aging of the Baby Boomers ,[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Labor Force Participation Rates—Later Retirement Ages
Still, Aging Causes a Decline in Overall Labor Participation
Which Causes a Slowdown in U.S. Job Growth After 2015
Bay Area Job Growth—What Will Push Our Economic Base ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bay Area Manufacturing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bay Area Professional Services  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Projecting Bay Area Job Growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bay Area Economic Base—Key Sector Growth 2007-2017
Bay Area Job Growth to Slightly Outpace Nation to 2017
Annual Bay Area Job Growth Slows After 2017
Bay Area Projected to Get Slowly Rising Share of U.S. Jobs
ABAG—The Source for Projecting the County’s and City’s Share of Regional Growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ABAG Projected Job Shares ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
San Jose Share of Santa Clara County Jobs
Annual Job Growth
Total Jobs in San Jose +81,000 to 2020; +172,000 to 2040
Projecting Population Growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Components of Population Growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Santa Clara County Population Growth
ABAG Projects San Jose and Santa Clara County To Grow Faster Than the Bay Area ,[object Object],[object Object]
San Jose Population Growth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
San Jose Population +174,000 to 2020; +471,000 to 2040
DOF—The Source for Population Change by Age and Ethnic Group ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
San Jose Population Growth by Age Group 2007-2030
San Jose Population Growth by Ethnic Group 2007-2030
SJ Population Growth by Age and Ethnic Group 2007-2030
Implications of Projections for Housing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications of Job Growth ,[object Object],[object Object]

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San Jose's Job & Population Trends through 2040