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Potential Impact Of Climate Change On Land Use In The Lao Pdr

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Potential Impact of Climate Change on Land Use in the Lao PDR Mike Salazar / Laura Collet A short study implemented by the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical – CIAT)
Components of the Report ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate Change
Climate Variables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results 1901 – 2002: Annual Mean Temp. 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results 2020 & 2050: Annual Mean Temp. 2
Results 2020 & 2050: Annual Mean Temp. 2 Example: Sayabouri Annual Mean Temperature 1982 – 2002: 23.7 °C Modeled 2020: 24.4 °C Modeled 2050: 25.7 °C
Climate Change in Laos: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate Change in Laos: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impacts
Sugarcane: Current & Future Suitability
Arabica coffee: Current & Future Suitability
Land Use Change
Assessing Land Use & Land Use Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Detecting Land Use Change – Results 2000 2009 Bare Land: < 0.5 Dense Vegetation: > 0.75
Detecting Land Use Change – Results Example of Sayabouri Province 2000 2009 Maiz
Detecting Land Use Change – Results Main Decrease: -150 - -7 Main Increase: 20 - 100 Mean: -2.32
Fire Patterns Spatial distribution of fire mapped over an elevation gradient by the years 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 & 2007, 2008 and 2009 in Xieng Ngeung and Botene districts
Spatial pattern of vegetation activity Geographical distribution of 5 clusters classified in a time series (8-years) and labeled to land coverage in Botene
Spatial pattern of vegetation activity Geographical distribution of 5 clusters classified in a time series (8-years) and labeled to land coverage in Xieng Ngeun
Conclusion and Recommendations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you

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Potential Impact Of Climate Change On Land Use In The Lao Pdr

  • 1. Potential Impact of Climate Change on Land Use in the Lao PDR Mike Salazar / Laura Collet A short study implemented by the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical – CIAT)
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Results 2020 & 2050: Annual Mean Temp. 2
  • 7. Results 2020 & 2050: Annual Mean Temp. 2 Example: Sayabouri Annual Mean Temperature 1982 – 2002: 23.7 °C Modeled 2020: 24.4 °C Modeled 2050: 25.7 °C
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 11. Sugarcane: Current & Future Suitability
  • 12. Arabica coffee: Current & Future Suitability
  • 14.
  • 15. Detecting Land Use Change – Results 2000 2009 Bare Land: < 0.5 Dense Vegetation: > 0.75
  • 16. Detecting Land Use Change – Results Example of Sayabouri Province 2000 2009 Maiz
  • 17. Detecting Land Use Change – Results Main Decrease: -150 - -7 Main Increase: 20 - 100 Mean: -2.32
  • 18. Fire Patterns Spatial distribution of fire mapped over an elevation gradient by the years 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 & 2007, 2008 and 2009 in Xieng Ngeung and Botene districts
  • 19. Spatial pattern of vegetation activity Geographical distribution of 5 clusters classified in a time series (8-years) and labeled to land coverage in Botene
  • 20. Spatial pattern of vegetation activity Geographical distribution of 5 clusters classified in a time series (8-years) and labeled to land coverage in Xieng Ngeun
  • 21.

Notas do Editor

  1. A three-level hierarchical land use classification scheme based on the time series of forest/crop related land use change maps
  2.   (A &amp; B) Comparison of variability NDVI data in vegetation covers on day 81/Mar. 22 for 2000 and 2009 series.
  3. (C) Trends map depicting patterns of change vegetation. (D) Preliminary spatial pattern map of land cover on day 81 2009.
  4. (C) Trends map depicting patterns of change vegetation. (D) Preliminary spatial pattern map of land cover on day 81 2009.