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Investments in Value Creation and
  Value Appropriation: The Effect of
    Industry Growth and Volatility




David R. King, U.S. Air Force
Rebecca J. Slotegraaf, Indiana University

                  August 10, 2009
Firm vs. Environment

   Resource Based View (Barney, 1991; Dierickx &
    Cool, 1989) has established firm investments
    build internal capabilities
   However, firm investments also impact the
    competitive landscape (Peteraf, 2005)
       Entry barriers (Williamson, 1975)
       Spillover effects (Henderson & Cockburn, 1996;
        Porter, 1985)


   Question: How do firm investments shape
    industry environment?
                                                         1
Environment & Investment

   Environmental munificence – growth profit/sales
      Value Creation – Aggregate R&D investment

          3-phases innovation: Incremental/disruption/dominant
           design
              H1a: U-shaped relationship with industry sales

               growth
          Initially positive impact of R&D on profit, but
           diminishing returns
              H1b: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry

               profit growth


                                                                   2
Environment & Investment
   Environmental munificence – growth profit/sales
      Value Appropriation – Aggregate advertising

       investment
          Diminishing returns to advertising
              H2a: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry

               sales growth
          Some advertising better than none, but establishing
           brand requires significant investment
              H2b: U-shaped relationship with industry profit

               growth


                                                                   3
Environment & Investment

   Environmental dynamism – volatility profit/sales
      Value Creation – Aggregate R&D investment

          Predictable levels of R&D have lower sales volatility
              H3a: U-shaped relationship with industry sales

               volatility
          R&D has high failure rate, but likely find something
           useful with high investment
              H3b: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry

               profit volatility



                                                                   4
Environment & Investment

   Environmental dynamism – volatility profit/sales
      Value Appropriation – Aggregate advertising

       investment
          High advertising reaches new customers and markets
              H4a: Positive relationship with industry sales

               volatility
          Advertising is an “expense” not fully covered by
           premium pricing
              H4b: Negative relationship with industry profit

               volatility


                                                                 5
Method
   Sample
       Longitudinal, secondary data
       Annual data: 1980-2000
       377 industries (4-digit SIC and 10+firms in industry)
   Measures
       Munificence/Dynamism (Keats & Hitt, 1988)
            Sales growth/volatility
            Profit growth/volatility
       R&D and Advertising investment
            Depreciated, 1 year lag of aggregate spending
       Controls: Year, capital investment, intensive industries, and
        industry debt & profitability
   Analysis
       Preliminary – Granger (1969) causality tests
                                                                        6
       OLS regression
Results: Growth

       R&D Investment
                H1a: U-shaped impact on sales growth                                                       Supported (p < .05)
                H1b: Inverted U-shaped impact on profit growth                                             Supported (p < .01)
       Advertising Investment
                H3a: Inverted U-shaped impact on sales growth                                              Supported (p < .10)
                H3b: U-shaped impact on profit growth                                                      Supported (p < .01)


                        Sales Growth                                                          Profit Growth




   Effect on
                                                      R&D investments       Effect on
Industry Sales                                                                                                                 R&D investments
                                                      Adv. investments   Industry Profit
   Grow th                                                                  Grow th                                            Adv. investments




                  Level of Cum ulative Investm ents
                                                                                           Level of Cum ulative Investm ents


                                                                                                                                        7
Results: Volatility

            R&D
                    H2a: U-shaped impact on sales volatility                                                      Supported (p < .05)
                    H2b: Inverted U-shaped impact on profit volatility                                            Supported (p < .01)
            Advertising
                    H4a: Increase sales volatility                                                                Supported (p < .01)
                    H4b: Decrease profit volatility                                                               Supported (p < .01)


                          Sales Volatility                                                          Profit Volatility




                                                                                Effect on
Effect on Industry                                        R&D investments                                                          R&D investments
                                                                             Industry Profit
  Sales Volatility                                        Adv. investments      Volatility                                         Adv. investments




                      Level of Cum ulative Investm ents                                        Level of Cum ulative Investm ents


                                                                                                                                             8
Discussion

   Firm-level investments (when aggregated) impact
    industry characteristics
       Firm level decisions make a difference internal and
        external to a firm
   Value Creation (R&D) and Value Appropriation
    (Advertising) investments act as complements
       Balance potentially negative second-order effects
   Value of resources varies by Type & Industry



                                                              9

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Aom09b

  • 1. Investments in Value Creation and Value Appropriation: The Effect of Industry Growth and Volatility David R. King, U.S. Air Force Rebecca J. Slotegraaf, Indiana University August 10, 2009
  • 2. Firm vs. Environment  Resource Based View (Barney, 1991; Dierickx & Cool, 1989) has established firm investments build internal capabilities  However, firm investments also impact the competitive landscape (Peteraf, 2005)  Entry barriers (Williamson, 1975)  Spillover effects (Henderson & Cockburn, 1996; Porter, 1985)  Question: How do firm investments shape industry environment? 1
  • 3. Environment & Investment  Environmental munificence – growth profit/sales  Value Creation – Aggregate R&D investment  3-phases innovation: Incremental/disruption/dominant design  H1a: U-shaped relationship with industry sales growth  Initially positive impact of R&D on profit, but diminishing returns  H1b: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry profit growth 2
  • 4. Environment & Investment  Environmental munificence – growth profit/sales  Value Appropriation – Aggregate advertising investment  Diminishing returns to advertising  H2a: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry sales growth  Some advertising better than none, but establishing brand requires significant investment  H2b: U-shaped relationship with industry profit growth 3
  • 5. Environment & Investment  Environmental dynamism – volatility profit/sales  Value Creation – Aggregate R&D investment  Predictable levels of R&D have lower sales volatility  H3a: U-shaped relationship with industry sales volatility  R&D has high failure rate, but likely find something useful with high investment  H3b: Inverted U-shaped relationship with industry profit volatility 4
  • 6. Environment & Investment  Environmental dynamism – volatility profit/sales  Value Appropriation – Aggregate advertising investment  High advertising reaches new customers and markets  H4a: Positive relationship with industry sales volatility  Advertising is an “expense” not fully covered by premium pricing  H4b: Negative relationship with industry profit volatility 5
  • 7. Method  Sample  Longitudinal, secondary data  Annual data: 1980-2000  377 industries (4-digit SIC and 10+firms in industry)  Measures  Munificence/Dynamism (Keats & Hitt, 1988)  Sales growth/volatility  Profit growth/volatility  R&D and Advertising investment  Depreciated, 1 year lag of aggregate spending  Controls: Year, capital investment, intensive industries, and industry debt & profitability  Analysis  Preliminary – Granger (1969) causality tests 6  OLS regression
  • 8. Results: Growth  R&D Investment  H1a: U-shaped impact on sales growth Supported (p < .05)  H1b: Inverted U-shaped impact on profit growth Supported (p < .01)  Advertising Investment  H3a: Inverted U-shaped impact on sales growth Supported (p < .10)  H3b: U-shaped impact on profit growth Supported (p < .01) Sales Growth Profit Growth Effect on R&D investments Effect on Industry Sales R&D investments Adv. investments Industry Profit Grow th Grow th Adv. investments Level of Cum ulative Investm ents Level of Cum ulative Investm ents 7
  • 9. Results: Volatility  R&D  H2a: U-shaped impact on sales volatility Supported (p < .05)  H2b: Inverted U-shaped impact on profit volatility Supported (p < .01)  Advertising  H4a: Increase sales volatility Supported (p < .01)  H4b: Decrease profit volatility Supported (p < .01) Sales Volatility Profit Volatility Effect on Effect on Industry R&D investments R&D investments Industry Profit Sales Volatility Adv. investments Volatility Adv. investments Level of Cum ulative Investm ents Level of Cum ulative Investm ents 8
  • 10. Discussion  Firm-level investments (when aggregated) impact industry characteristics  Firm level decisions make a difference internal and external to a firm  Value Creation (R&D) and Value Appropriation (Advertising) investments act as complements  Balance potentially negative second-order effects  Value of resources varies by Type & Industry 9