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    www.constructionpoland.com




                                 The power sector in Poland
                                 will determine the future of
                                 the construction industry.
                                 €50bn worth of investments
                                 expected in the coming years
                                 Source: Report „Power Sector Construction in Poland 2010 –
                                 Development Forecasts and Planned Investments”


                                 Bartłomiej Sosna


                                 January 2010




                                      PMR
                                 P U B L I C A T I O N S
The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry.




                                                                                               Bartłomiej Sosna,
                                                                                        Senior Construction Analyst




                                In the coming several years the Polish construction sector, the driving force
                          of which is now road construction, will be undergoing major transformation.
                          The portfolios of the largest construction companies will start to be dominated by
                          revenue from power sector projects. Capital expenditure planned by power companies
                          in the next 10-15 years can amount to up to PLN 200bn (€50bn).


                                The Polish power engineering sector is among the European top 10 power markets
                          in terms of size. In 2008, the revenue of the seven largest players in Poland’s power sector
                          exceeded PLN 54bn (€13.5bn). Combined revenue of the two largest companies operating
                          in the market (Polska Grupa Energetyczna and Tauron Polska Energia) amounts to PLN 31bn
                          (€7.8bn).

                          Revenue of the key investors in the power market in Poland, 2008


                                                               RWE Electrabel
                                                                4% 3%
                                                  Vattenfall
                                                     8%
                                                                                                PGE
                                                                                                34%
                                              Enea
                                              12%
                                                                                                                      Total: PLN 54.1bn



                                                Energa
                                                 16%
                                                                                    Tauron
                                                                                     23%

                          Source: PMR Publications based on the companies' data, 2010                       www.pmrpublications.com




2                                                                                                                      www.constructionpoland.com
The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry.


       Due to a high level of production capacity utilisation and the continued growth in
 demand for electricity projected for the future combined with the required phasing out of old
 power-generation units, it is necessary to build new power generation assets and expand
 the transmission and distribution system. This is going to be one of the major challenges for
 the Polish power engineering sector.
       The years 2010-2020 will see the construction of units with aggregate power generation
 capacity of around 16,000 MW. One MW of capacity in a coal-fired power plant requires
 expenditure of €1.5m-2m, so investment outlays on new conventional power-generation
 units can add up to around €24bn-32bn. Additionally, given the assumptions of the European
 Commission’s directive on renewable energy sources and the general desire to produce
 nuclear energy in Poland, the actual amount could even double.

 Age profile of power-generation assets
 (conventional energy production) in Poland, 2008

                                                          <10 years
                                                            10%
                                >40 years
                                                                   11-20 years
                                   23%
                                                                       6%


                                                                         21-30 years
                                                                            13%




                                          31-40 years
                                             48%
Source: the Energy Market Agency (ARE), 2009                            www.pmrpublications.com




         As described in our report entitled “Power Sector Construction in Poland 2010 –
 Development Forecasts and Planned Investments”, due to long-standing underinvestment,
 over the next 10-15 years the Polish power sector will be wrestling with a genuine need
 for capital expenditure of up to PLN 200bn (€50bn) on new power-production capacity and
 transmission systems. Thus, the coming years will see the largest construction groups operating
 in Poland struggle to secure these orders; predictably, these groups will also compete against
 foreign contractors willing to get a chunk of awards in the coming contracts.
        Polimex-Mostostal, which is Poland’s largest construction group, increasingly participates
 in power sector projects. The coming investments in the Polish power sector encouraged
 Polimex to expand the scope of its business activities. Polimex-Mostostal intends to establish
 itself as the strongest organisation in Poland and Central Europe which offers comprehensive
 services to the power sector and the heat-generation industry.
        Other market players are following in the footsteps of Polimex-Mostostal. So far, the
 Budimex Group has not established a firm position in the power sector construction sector,
 but it intends to become a major player in power sector construction by the end of 2012.
 The Budimex Group is seeking partner companies, including in particular suppliers of boilers
 and turbines.




 www.constructionpoland.com
                                                                                                                               3
The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry.


                                 The PBG Group plans to consolidate its power sector operations within Energomontaz-
                          Poludnie, which is expected to achieve profitability of 7-10%. Over the next two or three years
                          Energomontaz should generate revenue of PLN 0.5bn-1bn annually.
                                 Furthermore, Erbud, a stock-exchange listed company, has announced its plans for the
                          power sector. In 2009, the company acquired a 70% stake in JF Inwestycje, a power company,
                          and intends to pursue other acquisitions in the industry. Erbud’s governing bodies expect
                          that the power sector should become the driver of Erbud’s growth. The company intends to
                          participate in consortia competing to win contracts for the construction of power-generation
                          units – Erbud hopes that two of three tenders will be announced in 2010.
                                 In all probability, after 2015, when the most intensive phase of the national road and
                          motorway construction scheme is completed, the largest construction companies specialised
                          in civil engineering construction will be seeking new contracts in the power sector, either as
                          general contractors or consortium members or subcontractors.




4                                                                                               www.constructionpoland.com
About PMR

                       PMR Publications (www.pmrpublications.com)
                           provides reliable market intelligence for business professionals interested
                        in Central and Eastern European countries as well as other emerging markets.
               Publications by PMR analyse the business climate in the region, in particular in the construction,
                                   retail, IT, telecommunications and pharmaceutical sectors.
       PMR Publications offers both free and paid subscription newsletters, internet news portals and in-depth reports.
       To find out more about Poland and Central and Eastern European countries please visit www.polishmarket.com
                      and www.ceemarket.com as well as regional and national sector portals dedicated
        to construction (www.constructionpoland.com, www.constructionrussia.com, www.constructionukraine.com,
  www.ceeconstruction.com), IT and telecom (www.itandtelecompoland.com, www.ceeitandtelecom.com, www.ictrussia.com),
                        retail (www.retailpoland.com, www.ceeretail.com, www.russiaretail.com)
                               and pharma (www.pharmapoland.com, www.ceepharma.com).



                             PMR Research (www.research-pmr.com)
   is the specialised custom research unit of PMR. It offers a full array of qualitative and quantitative research methodologies,
        providing services such as customer satisfaction studies, brand awareness and brand image research, distribution
    and competition studies, segmentation analyses, fieldwork, online surveys and customised analyses of selected branches
            of the economy. PMR Research’s services are available in over 20 countries of Central and Eastern Europe.



                          PMR Consulting (www.pmrconsulting.com)
    provides a wide range of services in 20 countries of Central and Eastern Europe, including market entry feasibility studies,
sourcing, CI (competitive intelligence), strategic advisory, FDI assistance (M&A and greenfield projects), quick consulting as well as
 any other services and support a company might require to enter a market, find a business partner or gain reliable information.
      Our services are always tailored to the specific requirements of our clients, many of which are Fortune 500 companies.




                                                   Contact PMR

                                    Customer service                   Marketing
                               tel.: /48/ 12 618 90 30                 tel.: /48/ 12 618 90 20
                                fax: /48/ 12 618 90 08                 e-mail: marketing@pmrcorporate.com
                 e-mail: moreinfo@pmrcorporate.com                     www.pmrpublications.com

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The Power Sector In Poland Will Determine The Future Of The Construction Industry

  • 1. FREE ARTICLE www.constructionpoland.com The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry. €50bn worth of investments expected in the coming years Source: Report „Power Sector Construction in Poland 2010 – Development Forecasts and Planned Investments” Bartłomiej Sosna January 2010 PMR P U B L I C A T I O N S
  • 2. The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry. Bartłomiej Sosna, Senior Construction Analyst In the coming several years the Polish construction sector, the driving force of which is now road construction, will be undergoing major transformation. The portfolios of the largest construction companies will start to be dominated by revenue from power sector projects. Capital expenditure planned by power companies in the next 10-15 years can amount to up to PLN 200bn (€50bn). The Polish power engineering sector is among the European top 10 power markets in terms of size. In 2008, the revenue of the seven largest players in Poland’s power sector exceeded PLN 54bn (€13.5bn). Combined revenue of the two largest companies operating in the market (Polska Grupa Energetyczna and Tauron Polska Energia) amounts to PLN 31bn (€7.8bn). Revenue of the key investors in the power market in Poland, 2008 RWE Electrabel 4% 3% Vattenfall 8% PGE 34% Enea 12% Total: PLN 54.1bn Energa 16% Tauron 23% Source: PMR Publications based on the companies' data, 2010 www.pmrpublications.com 2 www.constructionpoland.com
  • 3. The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry. Due to a high level of production capacity utilisation and the continued growth in demand for electricity projected for the future combined with the required phasing out of old power-generation units, it is necessary to build new power generation assets and expand the transmission and distribution system. This is going to be one of the major challenges for the Polish power engineering sector. The years 2010-2020 will see the construction of units with aggregate power generation capacity of around 16,000 MW. One MW of capacity in a coal-fired power plant requires expenditure of €1.5m-2m, so investment outlays on new conventional power-generation units can add up to around €24bn-32bn. Additionally, given the assumptions of the European Commission’s directive on renewable energy sources and the general desire to produce nuclear energy in Poland, the actual amount could even double. Age profile of power-generation assets (conventional energy production) in Poland, 2008 <10 years 10% >40 years 11-20 years 23% 6% 21-30 years 13% 31-40 years 48% Source: the Energy Market Agency (ARE), 2009 www.pmrpublications.com As described in our report entitled “Power Sector Construction in Poland 2010 – Development Forecasts and Planned Investments”, due to long-standing underinvestment, over the next 10-15 years the Polish power sector will be wrestling with a genuine need for capital expenditure of up to PLN 200bn (€50bn) on new power-production capacity and transmission systems. Thus, the coming years will see the largest construction groups operating in Poland struggle to secure these orders; predictably, these groups will also compete against foreign contractors willing to get a chunk of awards in the coming contracts. Polimex-Mostostal, which is Poland’s largest construction group, increasingly participates in power sector projects. The coming investments in the Polish power sector encouraged Polimex to expand the scope of its business activities. Polimex-Mostostal intends to establish itself as the strongest organisation in Poland and Central Europe which offers comprehensive services to the power sector and the heat-generation industry. Other market players are following in the footsteps of Polimex-Mostostal. So far, the Budimex Group has not established a firm position in the power sector construction sector, but it intends to become a major player in power sector construction by the end of 2012. The Budimex Group is seeking partner companies, including in particular suppliers of boilers and turbines. www.constructionpoland.com 3
  • 4. The power sector in Poland will determine the future of the construction industry. The PBG Group plans to consolidate its power sector operations within Energomontaz- Poludnie, which is expected to achieve profitability of 7-10%. Over the next two or three years Energomontaz should generate revenue of PLN 0.5bn-1bn annually. Furthermore, Erbud, a stock-exchange listed company, has announced its plans for the power sector. In 2009, the company acquired a 70% stake in JF Inwestycje, a power company, and intends to pursue other acquisitions in the industry. Erbud’s governing bodies expect that the power sector should become the driver of Erbud’s growth. The company intends to participate in consortia competing to win contracts for the construction of power-generation units – Erbud hopes that two of three tenders will be announced in 2010. In all probability, after 2015, when the most intensive phase of the national road and motorway construction scheme is completed, the largest construction companies specialised in civil engineering construction will be seeking new contracts in the power sector, either as general contractors or consortium members or subcontractors. 4 www.constructionpoland.com
  • 5. About PMR PMR Publications (www.pmrpublications.com) provides reliable market intelligence for business professionals interested in Central and Eastern European countries as well as other emerging markets. Publications by PMR analyse the business climate in the region, in particular in the construction, retail, IT, telecommunications and pharmaceutical sectors. PMR Publications offers both free and paid subscription newsletters, internet news portals and in-depth reports. To find out more about Poland and Central and Eastern European countries please visit www.polishmarket.com and www.ceemarket.com as well as regional and national sector portals dedicated to construction (www.constructionpoland.com, www.constructionrussia.com, www.constructionukraine.com, www.ceeconstruction.com), IT and telecom (www.itandtelecompoland.com, www.ceeitandtelecom.com, www.ictrussia.com), retail (www.retailpoland.com, www.ceeretail.com, www.russiaretail.com) and pharma (www.pharmapoland.com, www.ceepharma.com). PMR Research (www.research-pmr.com) is the specialised custom research unit of PMR. It offers a full array of qualitative and quantitative research methodologies, providing services such as customer satisfaction studies, brand awareness and brand image research, distribution and competition studies, segmentation analyses, fieldwork, online surveys and customised analyses of selected branches of the economy. PMR Research’s services are available in over 20 countries of Central and Eastern Europe. PMR Consulting (www.pmrconsulting.com) provides a wide range of services in 20 countries of Central and Eastern Europe, including market entry feasibility studies, sourcing, CI (competitive intelligence), strategic advisory, FDI assistance (M&A and greenfield projects), quick consulting as well as any other services and support a company might require to enter a market, find a business partner or gain reliable information. Our services are always tailored to the specific requirements of our clients, many of which are Fortune 500 companies. Contact PMR Customer service Marketing tel.: /48/ 12 618 90 30 tel.: /48/ 12 618 90 20 fax: /48/ 12 618 90 08 e-mail: marketing@pmrcorporate.com e-mail: moreinfo@pmrcorporate.com www.pmrpublications.com