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1
Product Management and Advanced Analytics
Shervin Majd
No Show Application
Prevent Missed Appointments
2
Pain: No Show Impact in Healthcare
Limited effect
of Automated
reminders/calls
$196
Avg. Cost of
a single No
Show
600,000
No
Shows/year
(PSJH)
(Conservative estimate
based on national avg.)
997
PSJH
Clinics
*: Late Cancels have similar economic burden to no shows
$150B/Year
nationally
Total Cost
12%-50%
No Show
Rate*
3
Solution: No Show Application
• PSJH has developed the No Show Web Application (Nov 2017) to reduce high rates of late cancels and
no shows
• It works based on a statistically-accurate multi-variable predictive model (more than 50 discreet
parameters) using PSJH data
– Parameter Categories: patient’s past appointment history, demographics, clinical and social history, and
appointment-specific factors
• An 8 week pilot in 2015 with two clinics validated the No Show predictive model (3,235 calls made, 49% of
high risk expected no shows were avoided)
• Near-real time data from Epic (updated every 2 minutes) keeps clinics from calling people who have
already cancelled/confirmed
4
Product Release | Customer Traction
“…I believe it has helped our
no-show rate. I also have
noticed that those patients on
the No Show [app] seem to
realize why they are being
contacted and are more diligent
about coming for their
appointments.”
-- Becky Anderson, PMG
Newberg Orthopedics
“Everything worked well for
me…overall [No Show] was very
easy to use”
-- Melissa Harrison, PMG Sunset
Internal Medicine
• No Show Application Version 1 release was launched in
November 2017, deployed enterprise-wide, with active sites -
14 Clinics- in Oregon.
• In December 2017 and January 2018, average of 1500 calls
per month were made and average no show rate was
reduced by about 20%.
• Currently, covering 45 active clinics in Oregon, Kadlec,
Swedish and Washington regions. We make close to 9000
calls/month (~500% increase).
• In October 2018, achieved 100% compliance for 10 am daily
data refresh.
• In February 2019, we optimized application performance
(response time <1.2 s)
5
ROI Case Study – Sunset Medical Plaza
• Sunset clinic was early adopter of the No-Show App,
with calls starting in October of 2017
• Approximately called 30% of patients using No-Show
app
• ROI case study compared year-over-year data to see
impact for next-day call model
• ROI >400% (conservative estimate)
Sunset Internal Medicine, Portland OR
6
Education drives adoption: Manager Graph 2.0
No Show / Late Cancel Visibility Impact on Adoption
7
2019: Validate ROI at scale (Critical Step for Enterprise Adoption)
Call Center Pilot
Overview
• Small call center to validate no show impact and ROI at scale
• Duration: 6 months; 20 clinics
• Focus on Primary Care and two areas of specialty care – Neurology and Gastroenterology
• Streamline the end-end protocol (automated text, IVR and No Show calls)
Key Objectives
• Engage with clinics with high No Show/Late Cancel rates to reduce No Shows and Late Cancels
• Examine impact of personal calls and increased engagement with high No Show risk patients
• Implement a consistent end-end protocol to generate clear data for validation of impact at scale
8
9:00 AM – 10:00 AM
Liaisons will work to
enter confirmations and
cancellations from
Automated Text/IVR
vendor reports from
9:00 – 10:00 AM
10:00 AM
Data in the No
Show application
will be refreshed
daily by 10:00 AM
Liaisons will begin calling
(high risk) patients that
appear in No Show
Exclusions:
• New and Clinical Support
appointment types
• Appointments already
confirmed or canceled (via all
channels, myChart, etc.)
Liaisons document
call outcomes in
the No Show app
and Epic
Overview of Daily Workflow
10:00 AM – 5:30 PM
9
Measuring the Impact
Metrics & Analysis
Success Measures
• Reduction in No Show / Late Cancel Rate
• Patient Experience (testimonials, qualitative)
• Increase in additional arrivals and minimize empty slots
Metrics
• No Show / Late Cancel Rates (YoY data, before and after pilot start)
• Empty slot metric per provider per clinic (YoY data, before and after pilot start)
10
Questions?

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Reducing No-shows and Late Cancelations in Healthcare Enterprise" - Shervin Majd, Ph.D

  • 1. 1 Product Management and Advanced Analytics Shervin Majd No Show Application Prevent Missed Appointments
  • 2. 2 Pain: No Show Impact in Healthcare Limited effect of Automated reminders/calls $196 Avg. Cost of a single No Show 600,000 No Shows/year (PSJH) (Conservative estimate based on national avg.) 997 PSJH Clinics *: Late Cancels have similar economic burden to no shows $150B/Year nationally Total Cost 12%-50% No Show Rate*
  • 3. 3 Solution: No Show Application • PSJH has developed the No Show Web Application (Nov 2017) to reduce high rates of late cancels and no shows • It works based on a statistically-accurate multi-variable predictive model (more than 50 discreet parameters) using PSJH data – Parameter Categories: patient’s past appointment history, demographics, clinical and social history, and appointment-specific factors • An 8 week pilot in 2015 with two clinics validated the No Show predictive model (3,235 calls made, 49% of high risk expected no shows were avoided) • Near-real time data from Epic (updated every 2 minutes) keeps clinics from calling people who have already cancelled/confirmed
  • 4. 4 Product Release | Customer Traction “…I believe it has helped our no-show rate. I also have noticed that those patients on the No Show [app] seem to realize why they are being contacted and are more diligent about coming for their appointments.” -- Becky Anderson, PMG Newberg Orthopedics “Everything worked well for me…overall [No Show] was very easy to use” -- Melissa Harrison, PMG Sunset Internal Medicine • No Show Application Version 1 release was launched in November 2017, deployed enterprise-wide, with active sites - 14 Clinics- in Oregon. • In December 2017 and January 2018, average of 1500 calls per month were made and average no show rate was reduced by about 20%. • Currently, covering 45 active clinics in Oregon, Kadlec, Swedish and Washington regions. We make close to 9000 calls/month (~500% increase). • In October 2018, achieved 100% compliance for 10 am daily data refresh. • In February 2019, we optimized application performance (response time <1.2 s)
  • 5. 5 ROI Case Study – Sunset Medical Plaza • Sunset clinic was early adopter of the No-Show App, with calls starting in October of 2017 • Approximately called 30% of patients using No-Show app • ROI case study compared year-over-year data to see impact for next-day call model • ROI >400% (conservative estimate) Sunset Internal Medicine, Portland OR
  • 6. 6 Education drives adoption: Manager Graph 2.0 No Show / Late Cancel Visibility Impact on Adoption
  • 7. 7 2019: Validate ROI at scale (Critical Step for Enterprise Adoption) Call Center Pilot Overview • Small call center to validate no show impact and ROI at scale • Duration: 6 months; 20 clinics • Focus on Primary Care and two areas of specialty care – Neurology and Gastroenterology • Streamline the end-end protocol (automated text, IVR and No Show calls) Key Objectives • Engage with clinics with high No Show/Late Cancel rates to reduce No Shows and Late Cancels • Examine impact of personal calls and increased engagement with high No Show risk patients • Implement a consistent end-end protocol to generate clear data for validation of impact at scale
  • 8. 8 9:00 AM – 10:00 AM Liaisons will work to enter confirmations and cancellations from Automated Text/IVR vendor reports from 9:00 – 10:00 AM 10:00 AM Data in the No Show application will be refreshed daily by 10:00 AM Liaisons will begin calling (high risk) patients that appear in No Show Exclusions: • New and Clinical Support appointment types • Appointments already confirmed or canceled (via all channels, myChart, etc.) Liaisons document call outcomes in the No Show app and Epic Overview of Daily Workflow 10:00 AM – 5:30 PM
  • 9. 9 Measuring the Impact Metrics & Analysis Success Measures • Reduction in No Show / Late Cancel Rate • Patient Experience (testimonials, qualitative) • Increase in additional arrivals and minimize empty slots Metrics • No Show / Late Cancel Rates (YoY data, before and after pilot start) • Empty slot metric per provider per clinic (YoY data, before and after pilot start)

Notas do Editor

  1. Adam Heath – director of clin ops?