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Webinar Series: Public engagement, education and outreach for carbon
capture and storage
Part 4: Is there a cost-effective way of making Industrial CCS a reality?
Tuesday 14th February 2017
Sarah Tennison
 Responsible for the transition to a Low Carbon
Economy in one of the most industrialised and
energy intensive locations in the UK.
 Manages Teesside Collective, a consortium of
leading industries with a shared vision: to
establish Teesside as the go-to location for
future clean industrial development by creating
the UK’s first Carbon Capture and Storage
equipped industrial zone
Technology and Innovation Manager, Tees Valley Combined Authority
 10 years at Pöyry consulting on CCS, advising on a range of
CCS development projects in Europe, North America and
Central Asia.
 Specialist in the economics of CCS
 Managed Pöyry’s work with the UK CCS Cost Reduction
Task Force in 2012/13, and more recently with The Crown
Estate examining the barriers to CCS deployment, as well
as modelling of CCS development pathways for the Energy
Technologies Institute and Committee on Climate Change.
 Background in energy market economics, and power market
modelling for asset valuations – advising a range of clients
including major international utilities, Multilateral
Development Banks, government departments and the
Prime Minister’s Office in the UK.
Principal, London office, Pöyry Management Consulting
Stuart Murray
Questions
 We will collect questions during
the presentation.
 Your Webinar Host will pose
these question to the
presenters after the
presentation.
 Please submit your questions
directly into the GoToWebinar
control panel.
The webinar will start shortly.
www.teessidecollective.co.uk
@TeesCollective
What is Teesside Collective?
Teesside Collective is a cluster of leading energy intensive companies working together to build one of Europe’s first CCS
equipped industrial zones, helping to retain the UK’s industrial base, attract new investment and jobs, and meet the UK’s
climate change targets.
The group is made up of five large industrial companies:
– BOC – UK’s largest hydrogen plant
– CF Fertilisers – UK’s largest ammonia plant – 35% of UK fertilisers
– Lotte Chemical UK – PET for 15bn plastic bottles
– SABIC – UK’s largest cracker – upgrading to run on US shale gas
– Sembcorp – industrial utilities – in planning for 850MW CCGT
Teesside Collective is coordinated by Tees Valley Combined Authority and backed by the North East Process Industry Cluster
“CCS on industrial plants is going to be a
critical part of the global effort to prevent
serious climate change. Teesside is in the
right place, at the right time, to get ahead of
the curve.”
Sir David King, UK’s Special Representative
for Climate Change
“The sustainability of the PET we buy is of
paramount importance to us. Suppliers who
account for their emissions in a credible way
will present a fundamentally more attractive
proposition in relation to their rivals.”
Alison Rothnie, Britvic Plc
Background
ICCS is the only technology to remove CO2 from some industrial
processes
Strategic infrastructure that can lead to competitive advantage
Key blocker is commercial – this report presents a solution
No direct follow on from Lord Oxburgh report but agree on need for
separate state backed transport and storage
Uses cost figures published in 2015 – Teesside Collective Blueprint –
recent work shows these could be reduced even further
Focus on developing hubs of power and industry and that industry
could move first
Industrial CCS is very cost
competitive
Industrial CCS would cost government £58/t including an £18/t fee
for transport and storage
Potential for government to receive up to £41/t income from carbon
saving
Pilot CCS network in Teesside would cost £110million to build and
£29million year to operate including a Transport and Storage fee
Pilot would capture 11million tonnes over 15 years, the network
would then expand to over 7million tonnes CO2 per year
Pilot could be operational in 6 years
Start small and start cheap in an area that can expand to link power
and industry into a network
“CCS in industry represents some of the
cheapest available carbon abatement in the UK
economy.”
“CCS hubs: a national infrastructure priority”
Lord Oxburgh report
0.5
3
8 11
11
17 40
18 47 58
41
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Pre-FEED FEED to FID CAPEX grant Subtotal:
capital
payments
CAPEX
repayment
OPEX
passthrough
Subtotal:
cost excl
T&S
T&S
passthrough
Subtotal:
operating
payments
Total lifetime
payments
Carbon
abated ETS
value
Costtogovernment(£/tCO2,real2015)
Costs per tonne to capture, transport, and store
2.4million tonnes CO2 per year from 6 plants on
Teesside
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
BUSINESS MODEL CONCEPT DISCUSSION
GCCSI Webinar
14 February 2017
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
11
CONTENTS
1. Overview
2. Industrial Contract Structure
3. Timing and allocation mechanism
4. Cost and expense estimates
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
REPORT HEADLINES
 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is a technically proven
technology for application to industrial emissions currently
operating at sites worldwide, and the only option for deep
emissions cuts for many UK industries.
 Total lifetime cost for capture, transport and storage for an
industrial CCS hub is ~£60/tCO2 – appears good value in
comparison to cost of carbon used for UK policy
development which stands at £78/tCO2 by 2030, and other
contracts aimed at decarbonising the energy system.
 Building on Lord Oxburgh report recommendations, a
commercially feasible industrial CCS business model has
been identified and tested through broad stakeholder input
that potentially meets needs of both industry and
Government.
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
12
Three headline points
 Still appears to be the
number one question from
many parties in the UK –
need to keep pushing!
Notes for GCCSI Members
 Engineering study basis is
2015 Teesside Collective
blueprint study from RHI
 Assumes that industry pays
a fee for the proportional use
of large shared T&S
 Reiterate need to separate
business model of capture
from T&S
 Business model tested
through meetings with EIIs,
BEIS, treasury
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
ALIGNING PERSPECTIVES
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
13
Report and model targeting a solution to meet intersection of three view points
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
14
CONTENTS
1. Overview
2. Industrial Contract Structure
3. Timing and allocation mechanism
4. Cost and expense estimates
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
Separate T&S development
PROPOSED INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODEL: OVERVIEW
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
15
EIIs transfer part of CO2 benefit from fitting CCS to Government. Government
provide upfront capital (in two tranches) and also cover on-going opex for [15 yrs].
EII
Government
Invest part capex upfront, receive a fixed return on investment and some EU ETS
downside protection and, after the support period, gain a CCS system long-term
Provide capex and opex support to drive domestic carbon reduction, receive value of
saved CO2 permits, and jobs/industry retention from upgrading industrial infrastructure
Rationale for
[15yr] Contract for CO2 capture
Storage
CCSDC/Gov’t
T&SCo
[100%] Opex
Incl. any fees for
T&S
T&S Fees
In return for transporting
and storing CO2
Transport
[50%]
Capex
EIIEII
EIIs Capture
Plant
Capture
Plant
Capture
Plants[50%] Capex
Returns part of
CO2 savings to
Gov’t Return on
investment
Shaped repayment
of invested capital
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
CAPITAL SUPPORT ARRANGEMENTS
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
16
Combination of grant + EII upfront investment repaid over time (as long as capture
plant operates over life of contract). EII incentivised to minimise capex overrun.
Key discussion points Recommended solutions
1 % funding split – EII & Gov’t appetite? 50:50 partnership good starting point for all? Potentially advantageous to
define boundaries on split but flexibility helpful to reflect difference in EIIs
2 Repayment term – EII requires <5yrs,
Government contracts usually longer>?
Shaped payments may help resolve potential issue: Font-loaded capex so
EII recovers capex quickly [e.g. 3yrs] but longer term [e.g. 12yrs] contract tail
3 What return to offer on EII funded portion? Return depends on specific industry; so negotiate or set in pre-FEED –
negotiation could be led centrally or by regions
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
“OPEX” PAYMENTS (PASS THROUGH EII)
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
17
All capture related opex expenditure (and any T&SCo fees) passed through to Gov –
propose that FEED study defines categories with open book recovery process
Key discussion points Recommended solutions
1 Does EII pay for use of T&S system? Could have EIIs pay, but with the cost passed through as part of opex
costs to Government (money-go-round)
2 Residual risk (e.g. calculation basis) Simple starting point is to pay reasonable actual costs (open book
process). Alternative elements (e.g. split of actual vs. forecast costs)
may improve incentives.
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
LINK TO EU ETS – WHAT IS AN EQUITABLE CO2 RISK SHARE?
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
18
Carbon value shared – CO2 value to Government at least partially offsets ongoing
support costs and value to EII helps to create compelling business case for boards
CO2
emissions
captured
CO2
emitted
With CCS
Free
allowances
Permit
value
returned to
government
CO2
exposure
reduction
CO2
emitted
Free
allowances
Permits
bought to
match CO2
production
Without CCS
CO2
balance for
EII – as free
allowance
% falls
 Clear CO2 emissions reduction from installing CCS – ‘status quo’ would be for this benefit to accrue to
the EII who fitted capture
– As per current ETS rules, industry assumed to receive free allowances even after CCS installed
 We therefore proposed that for early adopters:
– 100% of the value of ‘spare’ free allowances resulting from CCS installation are passed to
Government (value nets off on-going operational support requirements to government); and
– all subsequent carbon value remains with the EIIs, sheltering them from carbon cost risks as long
as capture plant running, so providing incentive to keep the capture unit operational
 Propose that support levels drop for later projects developing after hubs have been committed to
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
19
CONTENTS
1. Overview
2. Industrial Contract Structure
3. Timing and allocation mechanism
4. Cost and expense estimates
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
EII CONTRACT ALLOCATION
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
20
Commit to store locations early (but not commit full funding) to minimise pre-feed
requirements, then run parallel processes to deliver industrial + power CCS hub
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
21
CONTENTS
1. Industrial Contract Structure
2. Timing and allocation mechanism
3. Cost and expense estimates
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
CCS CAPTURE HUB AT TEESSIDE – FUNDING COST OVERVIEW
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
22
*Average over 15 year support life commissioning in 2025, assumes DECC 2015 elec and CO2 forecasts rising to £47/tCO2 by 2030
**Assumes a T&S network in place and charged at £18/tCO2 [based on latest ETI estimates of levelised T&S cost allowing for ramp up]
CO2 reduction (kt
CO2 /yr)
3 Teesside
blueprint
EIIs
730 £2.2M £15M £110M
£16mpa OPEX
£13mpa T&S Fee**
-£31mpa CO2 saving*
3 follow on
EIIs
1700 £8M £40M £340M
£26mpa OPEX
£31mpa T&S Fee**
-£71mpa CO2 saving*
Industrial
inward
investment
1400
850MW
Teesside
CCGT
2000
H2 for
domestic
heating
1440
Total 7270
Pre-FEED FEED Construction Operation
COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY
COSTS BREAKDOWN: 3 TEESSIDE BLUEPRINT EIIS ONLY
 Costs in £/tCO2 stored over
a 15 year scheme lifetime
– Discount rate of 3.5%
 Total cost compares
favourably to social cost of
carbon from treasury green
book (£78/tCO2 by 2030)
– Carbon permit value clearly
sensitive to carbon market
value used
TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017
INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
23
Chart shows breakdown of costs by type – ‘net’ cost heavily dependent on CO2 price
*Assumes DECC 2015 reference scenario electricity and carbon price forecasts rising to £47/tCO2 by 2030, and commissioning in 2025
7
9
22
18
41
58
17
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Abatementcost(£/tCO2)
‘Net’
cost
Carbon
permit
value*
TotalT&S
Fee
OPEXCAPEX
Support
GrantFEED
2
Pre-
FEED
0.4
Numbers for 3 original EIIs
only and don’t include any
cost reduction opportunities
(e.g. opex reduction from
aggregation)
WHAT'S NEEDED
1. Focus on regions and clusters – Teesside pursued as a
pilot with agreement to fund FEED (£15million)
2. Agreement to put in place an ICCS funding mechanism
and timeline for implementation
3. Agreement to establish a transportation and storage
company with timeline for implementation
4. Focus on the two stores in the North Sea which have
received large amounts of public funding
Please submit questions in English directly through
the GoToWebinar control panel…
• Desperate to read the report now?
• The full report and an executive
summary are both available from the
Teesside Collective website:
• http://www.teessidecollective.co.uk/teessi
de-collective-report-a-business-case-for-a-
uk-industrial-ccs-support-mechanism/
• Be sure to check out Teesside Collective’s
proposition document as well:
Further reading…
Reports/ Publications Links
Blueprint for Industrial CCS in the UK
(Teesside Collective, 2015)
This is a collection of reports that the new study
has built on and refined. The reports include:
• Investment mechanism report (Societe Generale)
• Business case (Pale Blue Dot)
• Engineering estimates (Amec Foster Wheeler/ RHI)
• Economic impact report (Cambridge Econometrics).
www.teessidecollective.co.uk/teesside
-collective-blueprint-for-industrial-ccs-
in-the-uk/
A Need Unsatisfied. A blueprint for enabling
investment in CO2
(The Crown Estate and Deloitte, 2016)
A collaborative study investigating the risks of offshore
CO2 storage development and identified potential
commercial models for public and private investment in
CO2 transport and offshore storage infrastructure.
www.thecrownestate.co.uk/media/50
2093/ei-a-need-unsatisfied-blueprint-
for-enabling-investment-in-co2-
deloitte.pdf
Further reading…
Reports/ Publications Links
Future of carbon capture and storage in the
UK inquiry - publications
(House of Commons Energy and Climate
Change Committee, 2016)
The UK Government’s Energy and Climate Change
Committee held an inquiry into the near- and long-term
future of carbon capture and storage in the UK following the
cancellation of the UK CCS Commercialisation Competition.
After hearing all the evidence the ECCC left a strong set of
recommendations for the UK Government.
All Evidence:
www.parliament.uk/business/committee
s/committees-a-z/commons-
select/energy-and-climate-change-
committee/inquiries/parliament-
2015/ccs-15-16/publications/nquiry -
publications
Final Report:
www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm2
01516/cmselect/cmenergy/542/542.pdf
A strategic approach to carbon capture and
storage
(The UK Committee on Climate Change, 2016)
The CCC’s formal response and recommendations to the
(then) UK Secretary for State for Energy and Climate on the
critical importance of CCS in the UK.
www.theccc.org.uk/wp-
content/uploads/2016/07/Letter-to-Rt-
Hon-Amber-Rudd-CCS.pdf
Further reading…
Reports/ Publications Links
Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal
(Energy Technologies Institute, 2016)
This project confirmed there are no major technical hurdles
to storing industrial scale CO2 offshore in the UK with sites
able to service mainland Europe as well as the UK.
The 12 month project was delivered by the ETI and funded
with up to £2.5m from the UK Department of Energy and
Climate Change (DECC). It progressed the appraisal of five
selected storage sites towards readiness for Final
Investment Decisions, de-risking these stores for potential
future storage developers.
The detailed reports from the project and the sub-surface
geological models are all publically available – links can be
found on the ETI page linked to here…
www.eti.co.uk/programmes/carbon
-capture-storage/strategic-uk-ccs-
storage-appraisal
The project built on data from CO2Stored - the
UK’s CO2 storage atlas - a database which was
created from the ETI’s UK Storage Appraisal
Project.
This is now publically available and being further
developed by The Crown Estate and the British
Geological Survey.
Information on CO2Stored is available at
www.co2stored.com
Further reading…
Reports/ Publications Links
Lessons Learned – Lessons and evidence derived
from UK CCS programmes, 2008-2015
(CCSA, 2016)
Patrick Dixon, former Expert Chair of the Office for CCS
partnered with the CCSA and interviewed the most recent
UK CCS project developers and a number of other
companies with an interest in CCS deployment, in order to
capture important insights into the delivery challenges of
large–scale CCS projects. These are presented in ‘36-lessons
learned’.
Report:
www.ccsassociation.org/press-centre/reports-
and-publications/lessons-learned/
Webinar:
www.globalccsinstitute.com/events/webinar/20
16-09-06-080000/thirty-six-key-lessons-2008-
%E2%80%93-2015-uk-carbon-capture-and-
storage-programmes
‘The Lord Oxburgh Report’ - Lowest Cost
Decarbonisation for the UK: The Critical Role of CCS.
(Report of the Parliamentary Advisory Group on CCS,
2016)
This was the Parliamentary Advisory Group report commissioned by
the UK Government to examine the role of CCS. It found that CCS is an
essential component in delivering lowest cost decarbonisation across
the whole UK economy.
www.sccs.org.uk/images/expertise/reports/oxfo
rd/oxburgh_report_the_critical_role_of_CCS.pdf
Please submit any feedback to: webinar@globalccsinstitute.com

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Webinar Series: Public engagement, education and outreach for CCS. Part 4: Is there a cost-effective way of making Industrial CCS a reality?

  • 1. Webinar Series: Public engagement, education and outreach for carbon capture and storage Part 4: Is there a cost-effective way of making Industrial CCS a reality? Tuesday 14th February 2017
  • 2. Sarah Tennison  Responsible for the transition to a Low Carbon Economy in one of the most industrialised and energy intensive locations in the UK.  Manages Teesside Collective, a consortium of leading industries with a shared vision: to establish Teesside as the go-to location for future clean industrial development by creating the UK’s first Carbon Capture and Storage equipped industrial zone Technology and Innovation Manager, Tees Valley Combined Authority
  • 3.  10 years at Pöyry consulting on CCS, advising on a range of CCS development projects in Europe, North America and Central Asia.  Specialist in the economics of CCS  Managed Pöyry’s work with the UK CCS Cost Reduction Task Force in 2012/13, and more recently with The Crown Estate examining the barriers to CCS deployment, as well as modelling of CCS development pathways for the Energy Technologies Institute and Committee on Climate Change.  Background in energy market economics, and power market modelling for asset valuations – advising a range of clients including major international utilities, Multilateral Development Banks, government departments and the Prime Minister’s Office in the UK. Principal, London office, Pöyry Management Consulting Stuart Murray
  • 4. Questions  We will collect questions during the presentation.  Your Webinar Host will pose these question to the presenters after the presentation.  Please submit your questions directly into the GoToWebinar control panel. The webinar will start shortly.
  • 6. What is Teesside Collective? Teesside Collective is a cluster of leading energy intensive companies working together to build one of Europe’s first CCS equipped industrial zones, helping to retain the UK’s industrial base, attract new investment and jobs, and meet the UK’s climate change targets. The group is made up of five large industrial companies: – BOC – UK’s largest hydrogen plant – CF Fertilisers – UK’s largest ammonia plant – 35% of UK fertilisers – Lotte Chemical UK – PET for 15bn plastic bottles – SABIC – UK’s largest cracker – upgrading to run on US shale gas – Sembcorp – industrial utilities – in planning for 850MW CCGT Teesside Collective is coordinated by Tees Valley Combined Authority and backed by the North East Process Industry Cluster “CCS on industrial plants is going to be a critical part of the global effort to prevent serious climate change. Teesside is in the right place, at the right time, to get ahead of the curve.” Sir David King, UK’s Special Representative for Climate Change “The sustainability of the PET we buy is of paramount importance to us. Suppliers who account for their emissions in a credible way will present a fundamentally more attractive proposition in relation to their rivals.” Alison Rothnie, Britvic Plc
  • 7.
  • 8. Background ICCS is the only technology to remove CO2 from some industrial processes Strategic infrastructure that can lead to competitive advantage Key blocker is commercial – this report presents a solution No direct follow on from Lord Oxburgh report but agree on need for separate state backed transport and storage Uses cost figures published in 2015 – Teesside Collective Blueprint – recent work shows these could be reduced even further Focus on developing hubs of power and industry and that industry could move first
  • 9. Industrial CCS is very cost competitive Industrial CCS would cost government £58/t including an £18/t fee for transport and storage Potential for government to receive up to £41/t income from carbon saving Pilot CCS network in Teesside would cost £110million to build and £29million year to operate including a Transport and Storage fee Pilot would capture 11million tonnes over 15 years, the network would then expand to over 7million tonnes CO2 per year Pilot could be operational in 6 years Start small and start cheap in an area that can expand to link power and industry into a network “CCS in industry represents some of the cheapest available carbon abatement in the UK economy.” “CCS hubs: a national infrastructure priority” Lord Oxburgh report 0.5 3 8 11 11 17 40 18 47 58 41 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Pre-FEED FEED to FID CAPEX grant Subtotal: capital payments CAPEX repayment OPEX passthrough Subtotal: cost excl T&S T&S passthrough Subtotal: operating payments Total lifetime payments Carbon abated ETS value Costtogovernment(£/tCO2,real2015) Costs per tonne to capture, transport, and store 2.4million tonnes CO2 per year from 6 plants on Teesside
  • 10. INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS BUSINESS MODEL CONCEPT DISCUSSION GCCSI Webinar 14 February 2017
  • 11. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY 11 CONTENTS 1. Overview 2. Industrial Contract Structure 3. Timing and allocation mechanism 4. Cost and expense estimates TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
  • 12. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY REPORT HEADLINES  Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is a technically proven technology for application to industrial emissions currently operating at sites worldwide, and the only option for deep emissions cuts for many UK industries.  Total lifetime cost for capture, transport and storage for an industrial CCS hub is ~£60/tCO2 – appears good value in comparison to cost of carbon used for UK policy development which stands at £78/tCO2 by 2030, and other contracts aimed at decarbonising the energy system.  Building on Lord Oxburgh report recommendations, a commercially feasible industrial CCS business model has been identified and tested through broad stakeholder input that potentially meets needs of both industry and Government. TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 12 Three headline points  Still appears to be the number one question from many parties in the UK – need to keep pushing! Notes for GCCSI Members  Engineering study basis is 2015 Teesside Collective blueprint study from RHI  Assumes that industry pays a fee for the proportional use of large shared T&S  Reiterate need to separate business model of capture from T&S  Business model tested through meetings with EIIs, BEIS, treasury
  • 13. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY ALIGNING PERSPECTIVES TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 13 Report and model targeting a solution to meet intersection of three view points
  • 14. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY 14 CONTENTS 1. Overview 2. Industrial Contract Structure 3. Timing and allocation mechanism 4. Cost and expense estimates TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
  • 15. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY Separate T&S development PROPOSED INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODEL: OVERVIEW TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 15 EIIs transfer part of CO2 benefit from fitting CCS to Government. Government provide upfront capital (in two tranches) and also cover on-going opex for [15 yrs]. EII Government Invest part capex upfront, receive a fixed return on investment and some EU ETS downside protection and, after the support period, gain a CCS system long-term Provide capex and opex support to drive domestic carbon reduction, receive value of saved CO2 permits, and jobs/industry retention from upgrading industrial infrastructure Rationale for [15yr] Contract for CO2 capture Storage CCSDC/Gov’t T&SCo [100%] Opex Incl. any fees for T&S T&S Fees In return for transporting and storing CO2 Transport [50%] Capex EIIEII EIIs Capture Plant Capture Plant Capture Plants[50%] Capex Returns part of CO2 savings to Gov’t Return on investment Shaped repayment of invested capital
  • 16. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY CAPITAL SUPPORT ARRANGEMENTS TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 16 Combination of grant + EII upfront investment repaid over time (as long as capture plant operates over life of contract). EII incentivised to minimise capex overrun. Key discussion points Recommended solutions 1 % funding split – EII & Gov’t appetite? 50:50 partnership good starting point for all? Potentially advantageous to define boundaries on split but flexibility helpful to reflect difference in EIIs 2 Repayment term – EII requires <5yrs, Government contracts usually longer>? Shaped payments may help resolve potential issue: Font-loaded capex so EII recovers capex quickly [e.g. 3yrs] but longer term [e.g. 12yrs] contract tail 3 What return to offer on EII funded portion? Return depends on specific industry; so negotiate or set in pre-FEED – negotiation could be led centrally or by regions
  • 17. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY “OPEX” PAYMENTS (PASS THROUGH EII) TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 17 All capture related opex expenditure (and any T&SCo fees) passed through to Gov – propose that FEED study defines categories with open book recovery process Key discussion points Recommended solutions 1 Does EII pay for use of T&S system? Could have EIIs pay, but with the cost passed through as part of opex costs to Government (money-go-round) 2 Residual risk (e.g. calculation basis) Simple starting point is to pay reasonable actual costs (open book process). Alternative elements (e.g. split of actual vs. forecast costs) may improve incentives.
  • 18. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY LINK TO EU ETS – WHAT IS AN EQUITABLE CO2 RISK SHARE? TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 18 Carbon value shared – CO2 value to Government at least partially offsets ongoing support costs and value to EII helps to create compelling business case for boards CO2 emissions captured CO2 emitted With CCS Free allowances Permit value returned to government CO2 exposure reduction CO2 emitted Free allowances Permits bought to match CO2 production Without CCS CO2 balance for EII – as free allowance % falls  Clear CO2 emissions reduction from installing CCS – ‘status quo’ would be for this benefit to accrue to the EII who fitted capture – As per current ETS rules, industry assumed to receive free allowances even after CCS installed  We therefore proposed that for early adopters: – 100% of the value of ‘spare’ free allowances resulting from CCS installation are passed to Government (value nets off on-going operational support requirements to government); and – all subsequent carbon value remains with the EIIs, sheltering them from carbon cost risks as long as capture plant running, so providing incentive to keep the capture unit operational  Propose that support levels drop for later projects developing after hubs have been committed to
  • 19. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY 19 CONTENTS 1. Overview 2. Industrial Contract Structure 3. Timing and allocation mechanism 4. Cost and expense estimates TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
  • 20. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY EII CONTRACT ALLOCATION TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 20 Commit to store locations early (but not commit full funding) to minimise pre-feed requirements, then run parallel processes to deliver industrial + power CCS hub
  • 21. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY 21 CONTENTS 1. Industrial Contract Structure 2. Timing and allocation mechanism 3. Cost and expense estimates TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS
  • 22. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY CCS CAPTURE HUB AT TEESSIDE – FUNDING COST OVERVIEW TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 22 *Average over 15 year support life commissioning in 2025, assumes DECC 2015 elec and CO2 forecasts rising to £47/tCO2 by 2030 **Assumes a T&S network in place and charged at £18/tCO2 [based on latest ETI estimates of levelised T&S cost allowing for ramp up] CO2 reduction (kt CO2 /yr) 3 Teesside blueprint EIIs 730 £2.2M £15M £110M £16mpa OPEX £13mpa T&S Fee** -£31mpa CO2 saving* 3 follow on EIIs 1700 £8M £40M £340M £26mpa OPEX £31mpa T&S Fee** -£71mpa CO2 saving* Industrial inward investment 1400 850MW Teesside CCGT 2000 H2 for domestic heating 1440 Total 7270 Pre-FEED FEED Construction Operation
  • 23. COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY COSTS BREAKDOWN: 3 TEESSIDE BLUEPRINT EIIS ONLY  Costs in £/tCO2 stored over a 15 year scheme lifetime – Discount rate of 3.5%  Total cost compares favourably to social cost of carbon from treasury green book (£78/tCO2 by 2030) – Carbon permit value clearly sensitive to carbon market value used TVCA | FEBRUARY 2017 INDUSTRIAL CCS BUSINESS MODELS 23 Chart shows breakdown of costs by type – ‘net’ cost heavily dependent on CO2 price *Assumes DECC 2015 reference scenario electricity and carbon price forecasts rising to £47/tCO2 by 2030, and commissioning in 2025 7 9 22 18 41 58 17 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Abatementcost(£/tCO2) ‘Net’ cost Carbon permit value* TotalT&S Fee OPEXCAPEX Support GrantFEED 2 Pre- FEED 0.4 Numbers for 3 original EIIs only and don’t include any cost reduction opportunities (e.g. opex reduction from aggregation)
  • 24.
  • 25. WHAT'S NEEDED 1. Focus on regions and clusters – Teesside pursued as a pilot with agreement to fund FEED (£15million) 2. Agreement to put in place an ICCS funding mechanism and timeline for implementation 3. Agreement to establish a transportation and storage company with timeline for implementation 4. Focus on the two stores in the North Sea which have received large amounts of public funding
  • 26.
  • 27. Please submit questions in English directly through the GoToWebinar control panel… • Desperate to read the report now? • The full report and an executive summary are both available from the Teesside Collective website: • http://www.teessidecollective.co.uk/teessi de-collective-report-a-business-case-for-a- uk-industrial-ccs-support-mechanism/ • Be sure to check out Teesside Collective’s proposition document as well:
  • 28. Further reading… Reports/ Publications Links Blueprint for Industrial CCS in the UK (Teesside Collective, 2015) This is a collection of reports that the new study has built on and refined. The reports include: • Investment mechanism report (Societe Generale) • Business case (Pale Blue Dot) • Engineering estimates (Amec Foster Wheeler/ RHI) • Economic impact report (Cambridge Econometrics). www.teessidecollective.co.uk/teesside -collective-blueprint-for-industrial-ccs- in-the-uk/ A Need Unsatisfied. A blueprint for enabling investment in CO2 (The Crown Estate and Deloitte, 2016) A collaborative study investigating the risks of offshore CO2 storage development and identified potential commercial models for public and private investment in CO2 transport and offshore storage infrastructure. www.thecrownestate.co.uk/media/50 2093/ei-a-need-unsatisfied-blueprint- for-enabling-investment-in-co2- deloitte.pdf
  • 29. Further reading… Reports/ Publications Links Future of carbon capture and storage in the UK inquiry - publications (House of Commons Energy and Climate Change Committee, 2016) The UK Government’s Energy and Climate Change Committee held an inquiry into the near- and long-term future of carbon capture and storage in the UK following the cancellation of the UK CCS Commercialisation Competition. After hearing all the evidence the ECCC left a strong set of recommendations for the UK Government. All Evidence: www.parliament.uk/business/committee s/committees-a-z/commons- select/energy-and-climate-change- committee/inquiries/parliament- 2015/ccs-15-16/publications/nquiry - publications Final Report: www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm2 01516/cmselect/cmenergy/542/542.pdf A strategic approach to carbon capture and storage (The UK Committee on Climate Change, 2016) The CCC’s formal response and recommendations to the (then) UK Secretary for State for Energy and Climate on the critical importance of CCS in the UK. www.theccc.org.uk/wp- content/uploads/2016/07/Letter-to-Rt- Hon-Amber-Rudd-CCS.pdf
  • 30. Further reading… Reports/ Publications Links Strategic UK CCS Storage Appraisal (Energy Technologies Institute, 2016) This project confirmed there are no major technical hurdles to storing industrial scale CO2 offshore in the UK with sites able to service mainland Europe as well as the UK. The 12 month project was delivered by the ETI and funded with up to £2.5m from the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC). It progressed the appraisal of five selected storage sites towards readiness for Final Investment Decisions, de-risking these stores for potential future storage developers. The detailed reports from the project and the sub-surface geological models are all publically available – links can be found on the ETI page linked to here… www.eti.co.uk/programmes/carbon -capture-storage/strategic-uk-ccs- storage-appraisal The project built on data from CO2Stored - the UK’s CO2 storage atlas - a database which was created from the ETI’s UK Storage Appraisal Project. This is now publically available and being further developed by The Crown Estate and the British Geological Survey. Information on CO2Stored is available at www.co2stored.com
  • 31. Further reading… Reports/ Publications Links Lessons Learned – Lessons and evidence derived from UK CCS programmes, 2008-2015 (CCSA, 2016) Patrick Dixon, former Expert Chair of the Office for CCS partnered with the CCSA and interviewed the most recent UK CCS project developers and a number of other companies with an interest in CCS deployment, in order to capture important insights into the delivery challenges of large–scale CCS projects. These are presented in ‘36-lessons learned’. Report: www.ccsassociation.org/press-centre/reports- and-publications/lessons-learned/ Webinar: www.globalccsinstitute.com/events/webinar/20 16-09-06-080000/thirty-six-key-lessons-2008- %E2%80%93-2015-uk-carbon-capture-and- storage-programmes ‘The Lord Oxburgh Report’ - Lowest Cost Decarbonisation for the UK: The Critical Role of CCS. (Report of the Parliamentary Advisory Group on CCS, 2016) This was the Parliamentary Advisory Group report commissioned by the UK Government to examine the role of CCS. It found that CCS is an essential component in delivering lowest cost decarbonisation across the whole UK economy. www.sccs.org.uk/images/expertise/reports/oxfo rd/oxburgh_report_the_critical_role_of_CCS.pdf
  • 32. Please submit any feedback to: webinar@globalccsinstitute.com