On 15 November 2016, the Global CCS Institute’s Americas office held the Clean energy solutions symposium: What is the Future of Carbon Capture? at the National Press Club, Washington, DC.
The Institute’s General Manager for the Americas, Jeff Erikson, launched The Global Status of CCS: 2016 report by presenting to the audience the highlights from the report and discussing the significant milestones achieved in the past year in the world of CCS. Erikson’s presentation was followed by an expert panel discussion on the future of clean energy, with focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS).
2. The Global CCS Institute
Improve public understanding and acceptance
Increase policy support
Advance commercial opportunities
Our mission: to accelerate the development and deployment of CCS
globally
3. The Global Status of CCS: 2016
The Institute’s key publication
Summary Report, Key Findings and other
advocacy materials can be found at:
www.status.globalccsinstitute.com
Full report is available online at the Institute’s
Members Portal.
5. 75% of Primary Energy Demand from Fossil Fuel in 2040
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015
Fossil fuel proved reserves:
6 trillion barrels of oil equivalent
Reserves to production ratio:
~75 years
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, 2015 (New policies scenario)
6. Non-
OECD
OECD
~ 95
Gt CO2
Power
Industry
~95
Gt CO2
Source: IEA, Energy Technology Perspectives (2015).
CCS contributes 13% of cumulative reductions required through 2050 in a 2DS world compared to ‘business as usual’
13% of CO2 Reductions Should Come from CCS
7. *Percentage increase in total discounted mitigation costs (2015-2100) relative to default technology assumptions – median estimate
+ 7% + 6%
+ 64%
+ 138%
Baseline cost
with all mitigation
options utilized
Source: IPCC Fifth Assessment Synthesis Report, Summary for Policymakers, November 2014.
Cost increase under
limited technology
availability scenarios
50
100
150
Percentage*
Nuclear phase out Limited solar/wind
Limited bioenergy
No CCS
138% Higher Cost to Stay Below 2C without CCS
8. Essential but not Inevitable
Data source: IEA 2015 “Tracking Clean Energy Progress”. Bloomberg New Energy Finance “Clean Energy
Investment By the Numbers – End of Year 2015” fact pack.
USD billion since 2006
20
2,500
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
CCS Total clean energy
9. 38 large-scale CCS facilities -
combined CO2 capture capacity
of approximately 70 Mtpa*:
• 21 facilities in operation or
construction (40.3 Mtpa)
• 6 facilities in advanced
planning (8.4 Mtpa)
• 11 facilities in earlier stages of
planning (21.1 Mtpa)
OECDNon-OECD
Almost 4,000 Mtpa of CO2
captured and stored by 2040
(IEA 2DS Scenario)**
40 Mtpa
Global Status of CCS
November 2016
*Mtpa = million tonnes per annum
**Source: IEA, 2016. Energy Technology Perspectives: Towards Sustainable Urban Energy Systems. Paris. OECD/IEA.
Essential but not Inevitable
10. Carbon Capture Operational Milestones
Boundary Dam
CCS Project
Over one million
tonnes of CO2
captured and used
mainly for
enhanced oil
recovery
Petrobras Santos Basin
Pre-Salt Oil Field CCS
Project
Three million tonnes of CO2
injected into producing reservoirs
Quest
Over one
million tonnes
of CO2
captured and
stored in a
deep saline
formation
Sleipner CO2
Storage Project
20 years of successful
operations, over 18
millions tonnes of CO2
stored
Jilin Oil Field EOR
Demonstration Project
Over one million tonnes of CO2
injected
Air Products Steam Methane
Reformer EOR Project
Three million tonnes of CO2
captured and used for enhanced
recovery
11. Carbon Capture Project Startups
Illinois Industrial
CCS Project
Nearing operations
Kemper County
Energy Facility
Operations imminent
Petra Nova
Carbon
Capture Project
Operations
imminent
Gorgon Carbon Dioxide
Injection Project
Operations anticipated late in the first
half of 2017
Abu Dhabi CCS Project
World’s first operational CCS
project in the iron and steel
sector
Norway Full
Chain CCS
Project
2017 budget supports
full-chain CCS project
Tomakomai CCS
Demonstration Project
Japan’s first fully integrated
CCS Project
ROAD
New storage site permitting,
confidence for project
progression heightened
Yangchang Integrated CCS
Demonstration Project
Approaching final investment
decision
ACTL
Capturing CO2
from multiple
industrial sources
for EOR; late
2017 start
12. Large-Scale CCS Facilities by Region
North America dominates – three of the five facilities in construction soon to be operational,
China has most facilities in planning, facility pipeline needs replenishment.
North America 1 1 5 10 17
Early
planning
Advanced
planning
Construction Operation Total
China 5 3 - - 8
Europe 2 1 - 2 5
Gulf Cooperation
Council
- - - 2 2
Rest of World* 3 1 1 1 6
Total 11 6 6 15 38
* Includes facilities in Australia, Brazil and South Korea.
13. The Future of CCS
1. A shift in focus from power generation to industrial
2. From single source/single storage to hub & spoke and trunkline
approaches
3. Recognition that fuel switching from coal to natural gas is not
enough
4. From bolt-on to integrated
5. The rise of CO2 utilization
14. Closing Thoughts
1. CCS is a proven, safe, reliable and cost-effective technology
2. The pace of CCS deployment must be accelerated if we are to
limit climate change
3. Policy parity is integral to the widespread adoption of CCS
15. The Global Status of CCS: 2016
The Institute’s key publication
Summary Report, Key Findings and other
advocacy materials can be found at:
www.status.globalccsinstitute.com
Full report is available online at the Institute’s
Members Portal.