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The Future of Music & Digital
Content: Mobile, Connected,
 Social, Open... and Paid?
       by Gerd Leonhard
      www.mediafuturist.com
      twitter.com/gleonhard
We have a problem...
Disconnect fans to... sell more Music???
Source: Slideshare
So what are those new behaviors?
• Access now comes before ownership
• All-you-can-eat and unlimited offers, flat-fees
  & bundles are critical to success
• ‘Feels Like Free’ is a crucial step to conversion
• Paying with attention (i.e. advertising) is ok!
• The Users are gaining power, all the time
    Welcome to the People
formerly known as Consumers!
The Toll-Booth Challenge: how to
make $$ with Access rather than Copies




                                Source: istockphoto
Music
 is first a Service & an
 Experience - and only
then (maybe) a Product.
Like it or not:Connected people ‘consume’ differently
Time to accept, adapt and move forward!




Access tru mps Copy

Sh aring is the Key Driver
Copies don’t equal $$ anymore




 Source: kk.org
From Physical to Digital
   From Fixed to Mobile




 From Top-Down to Social
 From Consumers to Users
From Push to Pull
Soon:

The New
Premium


    The new
     Normal
The irreversible shift in Content & Media
                                Co
                      munity
                 omnterf Con
                                  nv
                                     en
                C I                     ien
                        ace  texte          c

                 Content        Timeliness
                      Curation


                    Content
Time to focus on the New Generatives
  Content
  Context
  Curation                        5%
  Timeliness                           20%
  Embodiment / Packaging
                            15%
  Relevance
  Others
                                             15%
                           15%
  Content / Copy
                             10%       20%
100%
Music Commerce 2.0:
 don’t try to sell what is
Ubiquitous - sell what is

  Scarce
Welcome to another pricing logic
                Price per Song   Numbers of Users
100



 75



 50



 25



  0
          Was                      Will be
New revenues from new collaborations
                                  Telecom
             TV


                                       Advertising

 Internet Mobile

                                  Content
Hybrid Models in many variations
Personal, digital consumer ‘Piracy’ is
     simply just Market Failure
                                  Source: CEA.org
This will not work
We have been here before



                           D !
                    S E
            E N
   L I C
A Public License
   + Build-in Revenues
+ Proportional Distribution
Many other New Generatives


      Community Premium Services               Permission
    High Definition & Premium Media



  Mobile Device Applications & Software



Live-Concerts, Web-Casts, Virtual Shows...



  Flat Rates, Bundles, Revenue-Sharing



A new and very lucrative Ecosystem can emerge on-top of the flat-rate
We don’t pay to eat all the food... we pay for access
Why this is good for the      Creators
     Attention turns automatically into $$
Distribution is available to everyone, by default
     Many up-selling options will emerge
       Direct market access is included
    Marketing costs will be greatly reduced
Let’s change this film
The Music Industry needs to switch to

           Open
          Open licenses
         Open innovation
         Open distribution
        Open competition
        Open partnerships
        Open technologies
       Open data standards
Not Control and Protection but
Engagement and Conversion
The rising tide floats all boats:
Permission, Collaboration and $-Sharing is key
So why is there still so little revenue
from Youtube, Myspace, Facebook...?

• Advertisers are always 2-3 years behind
• Lack of permission for premium and legal
  content slows adoption
• Lack of public license has deterred new
  investors, and killed many startus
• Mobile broadband and smart mobile
  devices are just now starting to take off
Every large audience can be monetized
Huge opportunities in curation,
filtering, meaningful aggregation

              Source: Clay Shirky
versus
Free gets you to
a place where
you can ask to
get paid.
Quote by Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures www.avc.com
Free to paid: examples
I pay - You pay - 3rd party pays
Why I have spend $1000+ on iStockphoto




• Good quality images
• Finding the right photo is quick and easy
• The rights (licenses) are cleared
• The price is right (well... mostly)
• I don’t pay just for the content - I
  pay for ease of use, peace of mind,
  the interface, service & curation...!
Content<>Cloud<>$
New ways to package
New ways to ‘sell’
Virtual concerts and venues
Brands
      Music          Agencies
                    Advertisers
     Industry         Media
                              Legislation
                              Government
 Telecom                      Regulation


 Google China President Kai Fu Lee:
“Mutual Interest, rather than Monopoly,
   is the key to sustainable growth”
Summary
My Music 2.0 Book


              www.music20thebook.com
                    (Lulu, print)
             www.payingwithattention.com
                     (free PDF)
             www.musicfutures.com
                (freee mobile version)
Thanks for your time

email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
 twitter.com/gleonhard
  facebook: gleonhard
  more presentations at
 www.mediafuturist.com

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The Future of Music and Digital Content: Mobile, Social and... PAID?

  • 1. The Future of Music & Digital Content: Mobile, Connected, Social, Open... and Paid? by Gerd Leonhard www.mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard
  • 2. We have a problem...
  • 3. Disconnect fans to... sell more Music???
  • 5. So what are those new behaviors? • Access now comes before ownership • All-you-can-eat and unlimited offers, flat-fees & bundles are critical to success • ‘Feels Like Free’ is a crucial step to conversion • Paying with attention (i.e. advertising) is ok! • The Users are gaining power, all the time Welcome to the People formerly known as Consumers!
  • 6. The Toll-Booth Challenge: how to make $$ with Access rather than Copies Source: istockphoto
  • 7. Music is first a Service & an Experience - and only then (maybe) a Product.
  • 8. Like it or not:Connected people ‘consume’ differently Time to accept, adapt and move forward! Access tru mps Copy Sh aring is the Key Driver
  • 9. Copies don’t equal $$ anymore Source: kk.org
  • 10. From Physical to Digital From Fixed to Mobile From Top-Down to Social From Consumers to Users
  • 11. From Push to Pull
  • 12. Soon: The New Premium The new Normal
  • 13. The irreversible shift in Content & Media Co munity omnterf Con nv en C I ien ace texte c Content Timeliness Curation Content
  • 14. Time to focus on the New Generatives Content Context Curation 5% Timeliness 20% Embodiment / Packaging 15% Relevance Others 15% 15% Content / Copy 10% 20% 100%
  • 15. Music Commerce 2.0: don’t try to sell what is Ubiquitous - sell what is Scarce
  • 16. Welcome to another pricing logic Price per Song Numbers of Users 100 75 50 25 0 Was Will be
  • 17. New revenues from new collaborations Telecom TV Advertising Internet Mobile Content
  • 18. Hybrid Models in many variations
  • 19. Personal, digital consumer ‘Piracy’ is simply just Market Failure Source: CEA.org
  • 20.
  • 22. We have been here before D ! S E E N L I C
  • 23. A Public License + Build-in Revenues + Proportional Distribution
  • 24. Many other New Generatives Community Premium Services Permission High Definition & Premium Media Mobile Device Applications & Software Live-Concerts, Web-Casts, Virtual Shows... Flat Rates, Bundles, Revenue-Sharing A new and very lucrative Ecosystem can emerge on-top of the flat-rate
  • 25. We don’t pay to eat all the food... we pay for access
  • 26. Why this is good for the Creators Attention turns automatically into $$ Distribution is available to everyone, by default Many up-selling options will emerge Direct market access is included Marketing costs will be greatly reduced
  • 28. The Music Industry needs to switch to Open Open licenses Open innovation Open distribution Open competition Open partnerships Open technologies Open data standards
  • 29. Not Control and Protection but Engagement and Conversion
  • 30. The rising tide floats all boats: Permission, Collaboration and $-Sharing is key
  • 31. So why is there still so little revenue from Youtube, Myspace, Facebook...? • Advertisers are always 2-3 years behind • Lack of permission for premium and legal content slows adoption • Lack of public license has deterred new investors, and killed many startus • Mobile broadband and smart mobile devices are just now starting to take off
  • 32. Every large audience can be monetized
  • 33. Huge opportunities in curation, filtering, meaningful aggregation Source: Clay Shirky
  • 35. Free gets you to a place where you can ask to get paid. Quote by Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures www.avc.com
  • 36. Free to paid: examples
  • 37. I pay - You pay - 3rd party pays
  • 38. Why I have spend $1000+ on iStockphoto • Good quality images • Finding the right photo is quick and easy • The rights (licenses) are cleared • The price is right (well... mostly) • I don’t pay just for the content - I pay for ease of use, peace of mind, the interface, service & curation...!
  • 40. New ways to package
  • 41. New ways to ‘sell’
  • 43. Brands Music Agencies Advertisers Industry Media Legislation Government Telecom Regulation Google China President Kai Fu Lee: “Mutual Interest, rather than Monopoly, is the key to sustainable growth”
  • 45. My Music 2.0 Book www.music20thebook.com (Lulu, print) www.payingwithattention.com (free PDF) www.musicfutures.com (freee mobile version)
  • 46. Thanks for your time email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard facebook: gleonhard more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com