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COMPANY  History : “ Skiing is a celebration of life” Klaus Obermeyer 1947: Klaus Obermeyer, a German immigrant began teaching at the Aspen Ski School
COMPANY  History: 1985:  Obersport; a joint venture in Hong Kong , the company began to increase productivity to meet their new  d emands.
COMPANY  Network: Recently, a number of contractual ventures were added and a new complex in Lo Village Guangdong China
PRODUCT  & Segmentation :
PRODUCT  Variety:
The Obermeyer supply chain stretches  from Asia to Aspen SUPPLY CHAIN  Process: Raw Materials Finished goods Textile and Accessories Suppliers Apparel Manufactures Obersport Retailers
[object Object],[object Object],Feb 92   Mar 92   May 92  Jul 92  Sep 92 Nov 92   Mar 93  Apr 93 - Jul 93  Dec 93-Feb 94 Place 1 st  Production  Las Vegas  Additional    Replenishment  Order with Obersport  Show  orders received   orders received Prototype, Sample Production Full  scale  production PLANNING  & Production Cycle :
Fabric Producer Fabric Dyer Cut/Sew Factory Denver Warehouse Retailer undyed greige goods Asia Consumer Components Greige Shell Fabric Finishing of Shell Fabric (Dying & Printing) Finished Lining Fabric Insulation Zippers Thread Logo Patches, Drawcords, Hang Tags, etc. Snaps (undyed) Dyeing of Snaps Procurement lead time 45 – 90 days 45 – 60 days 45 – 60 days 2 – 3 weeks Standard (HK) 60 days, Custom (JP) 90+ days 30 days 15 – 30 days 1 – 2 months 15 – 30 days 6 wk 6 weeks 6 wk PRODUCTION   Process:
Factories in Hong Kong Seattle warehouse 800 Ski Retailers Product Sketches Forecast Committee Forecasts Order 20% in Apr-Jun 93 Order 80% in Mar 93 Retailers order in  Apr-Jun 93 Denver warehouse 6 weeks ORDERING & SHIPMENT   Process:
SALES & REPLENISHING   Process: Peak Sales Aug 92   Sep 92  Oct  92  Nov 92     Dec 92   Feb 93 Sales Re-Sales Stock outs (+24 % of whole sale price) Market downs( -8% of wholesale price)
Questions & Answer
1. Using the sample data given in Table 3 -19 , make a recommend for how many units of each style Wally should make during the initial phase of production. Assume that all of 10 styles in the sample problem are made in Hong Kong and that Wally’s initial production commitment must be at least 10,000 units. Ignore price differences among styles in your initial analysis?
3. Repeat your methodology and assume now that all 10 styles are made in China. What is the difference (If any) between the two initial production commitments?
1. & 3. Comparison units of each style when produced in HK and China
Differences between production in HK and China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. & 3. The differences between production in HK and China
2. Can you come up a measure of risk associated with an your ordering policy? This measure should be quantifiable.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What’s the result if demand  forecasting uncertainty?
Forecasts are always uncertain Why does risk happens ? Demand Average Standard   deviation Standard   deviation
How can we assessing  forecast certainty? 1 .  Based on historical data - Past forecast error - Variability of demand
2. Rather than producing one joint  forecast ,each member of the purchasing committee produces his/her own forecast . Obermeyer’s Buying committee
3. The deviation in views is good  estimator of forecast reliability Table of standard deviation vs Coefficient of variation
4. How is this information helpful ? -  Using  Early production  Capacity ( Speculative  capacity) for Assoult and Seduced -  Reserve later production Capacity (reactive capacity) for Daphne and Anita as demand become more apparent “ Risk –based  production planning”
4. What operational changes would you recommend to Wally to improve performance?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY Problems:
[object Object],[object Object],OPERATIONAL Changes:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OPERATIONAL Changes:
Lead time reduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Fabric Producer Fabric Dyer Cut/Sew Factory Denver Warehouse Retailer undyed greige goods Sport Obermeyer Asia Consumer
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OPERATIONAL Changes:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OPERATIONAL Changes:
Hong Kong Seattle Original distribution process Establish Distribution  Center in Seattle   without  through Denver
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OPERATIONAL Changes:
5. How should Wally think (both short term and long term) about sourcing in Hong Kong versus China?  What kind of sourcing policy do you recommend?
Production Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where is better? ,[object Object],Long term Hong Kong China
Skiing is a celebration of life Klaus Obermeyer Thank you
Women’s Collection
Young’s Collection   Dharma Jacket - 51103
Competitors   The Jacobs Corporation   founded by David L .  Jacobs Biography
Competitors   The North Face, Inc. : subsidiary of VF Corporation
Competitors   Burton Snowboards   founded by Jake Burton Carpenter   Innovative Burton  outerwear performance meets leading  Motorola Bluetooth  ®  technology
Manufacturing  Structure: Sport Obermeyer Ltd. Obersport Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Other subcontractors Lo Village
The Supply Chain Textile and Accessories Suppliers Apparel Manufacturers Sport Obermeyer Retailers Obersport Produce, dye and print shell and lining fabrics, supply insulation, zippers, thread, logo patches and snaps. Subcontractors, receive production orders and materials from Obersport. Cut, sew and final assembly. Responsible for material and production sourcing in the Far East. It also acts as a distribution centre for materials and finished goods. Product design, production planning and sales. Purchase from Sport Obermeyer and sell products to consumers.
Obermeyer’s planning calendar
Product Transportation Hong Kong Warehouse Seattle Obermeyer’s Denver Warehouse then transported by trucks goods produced in August were air-shipped Retailers orders were finally shipped via small-package carriers such as UPS at the end of August 1993 Cost $5 per parka products made in June and July were transported by ships
Retailers Specialty Ski-Retail Stores Department Stores Direct Mail Retailers Consumers Most sales occur between September and January Delivering products by early September Sport Obermeyer
SUPPLY CHAIN  Management: Jan Dec Jan Dec Apr Jul Oct Apr Jul Oct 1992 1993 Committee  forecast Munich show &  Las Vegas show   Design process Production  Process   I Ordering  process I Ordering  process II Peak Sales Shipment  process Approved Production  Process II Replenishing process II 1994 Jan Apr Jul Re-Sales Original planning & production cycle
SUPPLY CHAIN  Management: Jan Dec Jan Dec Apr Jul Oct Apr Jul Oct 1992 1993 Munich show &  Las Vegas show   Design process Production  Process   I Ordering  process I Ordering  process II Peak Sales Shipment  Process I Approved Production  Process II Replenishing process 1994 Jan Apr Jul Re-Sales Recommended  planning & production cycle ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Forecasting I Forecasting II Forecasting III Shipment  Process II

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Sport Obermeyer

  • 1.  
  • 2. COMPANY History : “ Skiing is a celebration of life” Klaus Obermeyer 1947: Klaus Obermeyer, a German immigrant began teaching at the Aspen Ski School
  • 3. COMPANY History: 1985: Obersport; a joint venture in Hong Kong , the company began to increase productivity to meet their new d emands.
  • 4. COMPANY Network: Recently, a number of contractual ventures were added and a new complex in Lo Village Guangdong China
  • 5. PRODUCT & Segmentation :
  • 7. The Obermeyer supply chain stretches from Asia to Aspen SUPPLY CHAIN Process: Raw Materials Finished goods Textile and Accessories Suppliers Apparel Manufactures Obersport Retailers
  • 8.
  • 9. Fabric Producer Fabric Dyer Cut/Sew Factory Denver Warehouse Retailer undyed greige goods Asia Consumer Components Greige Shell Fabric Finishing of Shell Fabric (Dying & Printing) Finished Lining Fabric Insulation Zippers Thread Logo Patches, Drawcords, Hang Tags, etc. Snaps (undyed) Dyeing of Snaps Procurement lead time 45 – 90 days 45 – 60 days 45 – 60 days 2 – 3 weeks Standard (HK) 60 days, Custom (JP) 90+ days 30 days 15 – 30 days 1 – 2 months 15 – 30 days 6 wk 6 weeks 6 wk PRODUCTION Process:
  • 10. Factories in Hong Kong Seattle warehouse 800 Ski Retailers Product Sketches Forecast Committee Forecasts Order 20% in Apr-Jun 93 Order 80% in Mar 93 Retailers order in Apr-Jun 93 Denver warehouse 6 weeks ORDERING & SHIPMENT Process:
  • 11. SALES & REPLENISHING Process: Peak Sales Aug 92 Sep 92 Oct 92 Nov 92 Dec 92 Feb 93 Sales Re-Sales Stock outs (+24 % of whole sale price) Market downs( -8% of wholesale price)
  • 13. 1. Using the sample data given in Table 3 -19 , make a recommend for how many units of each style Wally should make during the initial phase of production. Assume that all of 10 styles in the sample problem are made in Hong Kong and that Wally’s initial production commitment must be at least 10,000 units. Ignore price differences among styles in your initial analysis?
  • 14. 3. Repeat your methodology and assume now that all 10 styles are made in China. What is the difference (If any) between the two initial production commitments?
  • 15. 1. & 3. Comparison units of each style when produced in HK and China
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  • 17. 1. & 3. The differences between production in HK and China
  • 18. 2. Can you come up a measure of risk associated with an your ordering policy? This measure should be quantifiable.
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  • 20. Forecasts are always uncertain Why does risk happens ? Demand Average Standard deviation Standard deviation
  • 21. How can we assessing forecast certainty? 1 . Based on historical data - Past forecast error - Variability of demand
  • 22. 2. Rather than producing one joint forecast ,each member of the purchasing committee produces his/her own forecast . Obermeyer’s Buying committee
  • 23. 3. The deviation in views is good estimator of forecast reliability Table of standard deviation vs Coefficient of variation
  • 24. 4. How is this information helpful ? - Using Early production Capacity ( Speculative capacity) for Assoult and Seduced - Reserve later production Capacity (reactive capacity) for Daphne and Anita as demand become more apparent “ Risk –based production planning”
  • 25. 4. What operational changes would you recommend to Wally to improve performance?
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  • 33. Hong Kong Seattle Original distribution process Establish Distribution Center in Seattle without through Denver
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  • 35. 5. How should Wally think (both short term and long term) about sourcing in Hong Kong versus China? What kind of sourcing policy do you recommend?
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  • 38. Skiing is a celebration of life Klaus Obermeyer Thank you
  • 40. Young’s Collection Dharma Jacket - 51103
  • 41. Competitors The Jacobs Corporation founded by David L . Jacobs Biography
  • 42. Competitors The North Face, Inc. : subsidiary of VF Corporation
  • 43. Competitors Burton Snowboards founded by Jake Burton Carpenter Innovative Burton outerwear performance meets leading Motorola Bluetooth ® technology
  • 44.
  • 45. The Supply Chain Textile and Accessories Suppliers Apparel Manufacturers Sport Obermeyer Retailers Obersport Produce, dye and print shell and lining fabrics, supply insulation, zippers, thread, logo patches and snaps. Subcontractors, receive production orders and materials from Obersport. Cut, sew and final assembly. Responsible for material and production sourcing in the Far East. It also acts as a distribution centre for materials and finished goods. Product design, production planning and sales. Purchase from Sport Obermeyer and sell products to consumers.
  • 47. Product Transportation Hong Kong Warehouse Seattle Obermeyer’s Denver Warehouse then transported by trucks goods produced in August were air-shipped Retailers orders were finally shipped via small-package carriers such as UPS at the end of August 1993 Cost $5 per parka products made in June and July were transported by ships
  • 48. Retailers Specialty Ski-Retail Stores Department Stores Direct Mail Retailers Consumers Most sales occur between September and January Delivering products by early September Sport Obermeyer
  • 49. SUPPLY CHAIN Management: Jan Dec Jan Dec Apr Jul Oct Apr Jul Oct 1992 1993 Committee forecast Munich show & Las Vegas show Design process Production Process I Ordering process I Ordering process II Peak Sales Shipment process Approved Production Process II Replenishing process II 1994 Jan Apr Jul Re-Sales Original planning & production cycle
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