ED5

2. Lecture 5
Economic Development

3. Opening
Prayer

4. Quizmasters
1. Five Questions
2. Three answers for each question
3. Email to Connor at by 5:00pm
cjh425@go.byuh.edu
4. One Extra Point on Exam

6. It never changes!
The Destiny Instinct
This is the solution!
The Single Perspective Instinct
Dramatic Instincts
The Fear Instinct
It’s scary!
The Negativity Instinct
It’s getting worse!
The Size Instinct
It’s big!
The Blame Instinct
That’s the bad guy!
The Urgency Instinct
It’s now or never!
This poster is part of Gapminder’s free teaching resources. Gapminder is an independent Swedish foundation with no political, religious or economic affiliations. We fight devastating misconceptions with a fact-based worldview which everyone can
understand. LICENSE: Freely available under Creative Commons Attribution License. Please copy, share, modify, integrate and even sell them, as long as you mention ”Based on a free teaching material from www.gapminder.org”.
The Straight Line Instinct
It just continues!
The Generalization Instinct
They are all the same!
The gap instinct
Look at the gap!
Learn to recognize the ten common story types that often make us
misinterpret facts and see them as more dramatic than they are.
1
3
5
7
9
2
4
6
8
10
www.gapminder.org/factfulness

7. Rules of Thumb
Is there really a gap?
Locate the majority
TO CONTROL THE GAP INSTINCT
Would improvement get attention?
Expect negative news
TO CONTROL THE NEGATIVITY INSTINCT
Is it really dangerous?
Calculate the risk
TO CONTROL THE FEAR INSTINCT
Is it big in comparison?
Check the proportions
TO CONTROL THE SIZE INSTINCT
Isn’t it always changing slowly?
Notice slow changes
TO CONTROL THE DESTINY INSTINCT
What other solutions exist?
Use multiple tools
TO CONTROL THE SINGLE PERSPECTIVE INSTINCT
What system made this possible?
Resist pointing finger
TO CONTROL THE BLAME INSTINCT
Can we make decisions as we go?
Take small steps
TO CONTROL THE URGENCY INSTINCT
FACTFULNESS
Why would this line not bend?
Imagine bending lines
TO CONTROL THE STRAIGHT LINE INSTINCT
How are they different?
Question your categories
TO CONTROL THE GENERALIZATION INSTINCT
Control your dramatic instincts by making it a habit to always
question dramatic stories that trigger your dramatic instincts.
1
3
5
7
9
2
4
6
8
10
www.gapminder.org/factfulness

11. To control the negativity instinct, expect bad news.
• Better and bad. Practice distinguishing between a level (e.g., bad) and a direction
of change (e.g., better). Convince yourself that things can be both better and bad.
• Good news is not news. Good news is almost never reported. So news is almost
always bad. When you see bad news, ask whether equally positive news would have
reached you.
• Gradual improvement is not news. When a trend is gradually improving, with
periodic dips, you are more likely to notice the dips than the overall improvement.
• More news does not equal more suffering. More bad news is sometimes due
to better surveillance of suffering, not a worsening world.
• Beware of rosy pasts. People often glorify their early experiences, and nations
often glorify their histories.

17. Are we safer today or 100
years ago?
If so, by how much?
a. twice as safe
b. ten times safer
c. 100 times safer

21. The safer people are
The more afraid they are

35. Chapters
1-12
13-24
25-35
Tue Jan 25
Thu Jan 27
Tue Jan 1
Exam 1
Wednesday February 2