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@ Reach
                            Internet-penetration
90%

80%

70%

60%
                                                            France
50%
                                                            Germany
40%

30%
                                                            Netherlands, The
20%                                                         United Kingdom
10%

0%



                                                             Source: Worldbank 2010

• Everybody is online
      – Classic Internet Time:         65 minutes per day
                                                             Source: Spot.nl 2010
      – New Internet Time:             28 minutes per day
@ Reach
                                                 Cell phones in the Netherlands
                                       140
                                       120
                                       100
                                        80
                                                                             Mobile cellular
                                        60                                   subscriptions (per
                                        40                                   100 people)
                                        20
                                         0


Source: beursgorilla.nl                                               Source: Worldbank 2010

• Mobile internet
         –    2010: 41%
         –    2015: 60%                                               Source:Q&A Research 2010

         –    Classic Internet Time:         132 minutes per day
         –    New Internet Time:              72 minutes per day Source:TNS Nipo 2010
@ Reach
       Expected Revenue 2011 in the US in billions
                 for electronic products
30
25
20
15
10
 5
 0




Source: NPD 2010


• Instant Internet within reach
       – iPad fastest product adaption ever
       – iPad is just start of tablet revolution
@ Reach

                           Social Netwerk Accounts in the Netherlands

 50%

 40%

 30%
                                                                                                  2010
 20%
                                                                                                  2015
 10%

 0%
         Twitter account     Hyves account   Facebook account     Ander social Source:Q&A Research 2010
                                                                netwerk account

• 43% New Internet Time is on Social networks                                    Source: Spot.nl 2010

       – 1 out of 6 shares store information
       – 1 out of 3 reads store information
                                                                                 Source:Q&A Research 2010
       – 49% makes store selection based on reviews
@ Reach




• From WWW to MOA
  – App’s will replace the browser                          Source: Wired.com 2010

  – Classic Internet surfing declined 24% since 2008        Source: Spot.nl 2010

  – Infodising: 46% is not able to properly search online   Source:Q&A Research 2010
@ Reach for Retail 2020
• Consumer is Crosschannel

• From TOMA to TOIA

• Brand awareness



• Brand search results

• Fewer visitors, higher purchase intention, more customers
                         .      .
ontgrendelen
© Resources


• The World isn’t endless
   – Growing population
   – Growing wealth
   – Growing consumption


• Increasing scarcity
   – Rising wages
   – Rising prices
   – Lack of raw materials

                             Source: janjuffermans.nl
© Resources for Retail 2020
• Sustainable production
• Sustainable logistics
• Sustainable stores
     –   Sustainable
     –   Green
     –   Secure
     –   Recycling
     –   Economical


                              Source: laatstedag.wordpress.com

 .
ontgrendelen
# Repopulation


• The Dutch are 40

• 65+ increases 33% till 2020

• Youth constant

• Population growth 3%

• 80% NW Dutch


                                Source: CBS 2010
# Repopulation     100%
                    90%
                    80%
                    70%
                    60%
                    50%                                                           Single person
                    40%                                                           Multiple persons
                    30%
                    20%
                    10%
                     0%
                          1960   1970   1980   1990   2000   2010   2020
                                                                           Source: CBS; SCP 2010




• Number of households is growing +7%
• In 2020 we have 3 million Dutch single households
• Decreasing outskirts 5% till 15% tot 2040
# Repopulation                Samenstelling ondernemers detailhandel
                                            naar leeftijd


                       100%

                        80%
                                                               51 jaar en ouder
                        60%
                                                               31 tot 50 jaar
                        40%
                                                               Tot 30 jaar
                        20%

                        0%
                                1994        2010        Source: ITS/HBD 2010




• Average age entrepreneurs 45
• 35% entrepreneurs is 50+                              Source: ITS/HBD 2010


• 30% entrepreneurs want to retire by 2015              Source: CBW-Mitex 2010
# Repopulation for Retail 2020

• New target groups, new approach
    – Sense of age versus Calendar age

    – Mass individualisation

    – Time is scarce

• A store is the mirror of society       Source: vougue.frl




• Time to start, time to quit
    – Next generation
               .
ontgrendelen
€ Revenue

                      Development Food, Non Food and inflation
130

125

120

115
                                                                             Food Index
110
                                                                             Non Food Index
105
                                                                             Inflation Index
100

95

90
      2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010


• Stagflation seems horror scenario

• Reality in Non Food for 10 years                     Source: HBD,CBS bewerking Q&A Research 2010
€ Revenue

• Forecasts Retail
    – Low 0,0% till 1,0%
    – Not corrected for inflation
                      Source: ABN Amro,ING, Rabobank 2010




• Price sensitive consumers

• Calculated consumers

• The end of consumertisme
€ Revenue for Retail 2020

                                   • The new middle market

                                   • Value retailers

                                   • Price is back in marketing mix
Source: opoegaatdigitaal.punt.nl
                                                               Source: wugly.nl




                                                   .
ontgrendelen
m² Reshaping        More meters


• 2,5 m² per
                          Development square meters
                                  (millions)

  person
               30


               25


               20

                                                                wvo
               15


               10


                5


                0                                     Source: Locatus HBD 2010
                       2001             2009
m² Reshaping        More Sales


• € 7.400 per                    Development Retail Sales
                                        (millions)
  person per year
                    85000



                    80000



                                                                      omzet
                    75000



                    70000


                                                            Source: HBD 2010
                    65000
                            2001              2009
m² Reshaping        Decreasing floorproductivity

                           Development floorproductivity in €
• m²: + 23,0%

• €: + 14,3%        3300




                    3200



• €/ m²: -/- 7,0%   3100
                                                                 omzet/m



                    3000



                                                       Source: Q&A Research 2010
                    2900
                            2001          2009
m² Reshaping for retail 2020
• Minus 20% to 35% square meters

• Demand driven Malls, differentiated leases

• End of channel conflict, Local Hero as brand extension
Meer weten over Re’structure?


• Kijk op: www.retail2020.nl
ontgrendelen
Cross Channel
                  Wehkamp’s Wapp gives
                  consumers insight what discount
                  they will get if they buy from the
                  current location at the e-tailer site




Google Goggles performs a Google search when
the item or image is scanned in the application


                                                                IKEA launched a mobile app to help
                                           Bicycle
                                           Trek XO 2               potential customers view IKEA
                                 www.trekbikes.com/be/nl/bike
                                                                      furniture in their homes.
                                 s/road/xo/xo2z/
Digital Superconsumer
Yelp uses the power of the
community to develop ratings and
reviews for restaurants in the area.




                                       On Wugly.nl consumers write reviews
                                       on shops. 70% to 85% of reviews on
                                       these kind of sites are positive.
Digital Superconsumer


                          Groupon (consumer-consumer) where
                         group purchasing creates a team dynamic
                        and discounts only kick in if enough people
                                  purchase the groupon

               -commerce
 Levi’s links its store to Facebook
through a “Like” button allowing
shoppers to see people who liked
various items including Facebook
                friends
Transparancy
Houddewarmtebinnen.nl is an
initiative to save energy by closing
doors.




                                         Green Stars from Q2 2011 shops can
                                         receive green stars. A consumer seal for
                                         being a “good and green” sustainable
                                         company
Individualization

NIKEiD customizing your own sports gear.




                                           Mass Customization enabled by digital
                                           design tools, allowed Ralph Lauren Rugby
                                           to launch an apparel customization
                                           application in November 2009.
Individualization
In Berlin’s Oakley store consumers are
able to design their own glasses.




                                         Mass Customization by design tools, on the
                                         website of the Italian Pinarello.
Individualization
Bemz offers a wide array of slipcovers
to personalize standard merchandise
offered by IKEA




                                         Eeeefun.com create your own
                                         electrical scooter with your own
                                         custom made design
Affluenza
Retailers accross the globe in
electronics , books and
entertainment first to leave
physical market space.




                                             HEMA newest campaign price
                                             presented as value driver
Affluenza
                                          Best Buy offers a platform
                                          where consumers can trade in
                                          their products for giftcards




IKEA started in Sweden platform
for used IKEA products
Re structure english

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Re structure english

  • 2.
  • 3. @ Reach Internet-penetration 90% 80% 70% 60% France 50% Germany 40% 30% Netherlands, The 20% United Kingdom 10% 0% Source: Worldbank 2010 • Everybody is online – Classic Internet Time: 65 minutes per day Source: Spot.nl 2010 – New Internet Time: 28 minutes per day
  • 4.
  • 5. @ Reach Cell phones in the Netherlands 140 120 100 80 Mobile cellular 60 subscriptions (per 40 100 people) 20 0 Source: beursgorilla.nl Source: Worldbank 2010 • Mobile internet – 2010: 41% – 2015: 60% Source:Q&A Research 2010 – Classic Internet Time: 132 minutes per day – New Internet Time: 72 minutes per day Source:TNS Nipo 2010
  • 6.
  • 7. @ Reach Expected Revenue 2011 in the US in billions for electronic products 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Source: NPD 2010 • Instant Internet within reach – iPad fastest product adaption ever – iPad is just start of tablet revolution
  • 8.
  • 9. @ Reach Social Netwerk Accounts in the Netherlands 50% 40% 30% 2010 20% 2015 10% 0% Twitter account Hyves account Facebook account Ander social Source:Q&A Research 2010 netwerk account • 43% New Internet Time is on Social networks Source: Spot.nl 2010 – 1 out of 6 shares store information – 1 out of 3 reads store information Source:Q&A Research 2010 – 49% makes store selection based on reviews
  • 10.
  • 11. @ Reach • From WWW to MOA – App’s will replace the browser Source: Wired.com 2010 – Classic Internet surfing declined 24% since 2008 Source: Spot.nl 2010 – Infodising: 46% is not able to properly search online Source:Q&A Research 2010
  • 12.
  • 13. @ Reach for Retail 2020 • Consumer is Crosschannel • From TOMA to TOIA • Brand awareness • Brand search results • Fewer visitors, higher purchase intention, more customers . .
  • 14.
  • 16.
  • 17. © Resources • The World isn’t endless – Growing population – Growing wealth – Growing consumption • Increasing scarcity – Rising wages – Rising prices – Lack of raw materials Source: janjuffermans.nl
  • 18.
  • 19. © Resources for Retail 2020 • Sustainable production • Sustainable logistics • Sustainable stores – Sustainable – Green – Secure – Recycling – Economical Source: laatstedag.wordpress.com .
  • 20.
  • 22.
  • 23. # Repopulation • The Dutch are 40 • 65+ increases 33% till 2020 • Youth constant • Population growth 3% • 80% NW Dutch Source: CBS 2010
  • 24.
  • 25. # Repopulation 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Single person 40% Multiple persons 30% 20% 10% 0% 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Source: CBS; SCP 2010 • Number of households is growing +7% • In 2020 we have 3 million Dutch single households • Decreasing outskirts 5% till 15% tot 2040
  • 26.
  • 27. # Repopulation Samenstelling ondernemers detailhandel naar leeftijd 100% 80% 51 jaar en ouder 60% 31 tot 50 jaar 40% Tot 30 jaar 20% 0% 1994 2010 Source: ITS/HBD 2010 • Average age entrepreneurs 45 • 35% entrepreneurs is 50+ Source: ITS/HBD 2010 • 30% entrepreneurs want to retire by 2015 Source: CBW-Mitex 2010
  • 28.
  • 29. # Repopulation for Retail 2020 • New target groups, new approach – Sense of age versus Calendar age – Mass individualisation – Time is scarce • A store is the mirror of society Source: vougue.frl • Time to start, time to quit – Next generation .
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33. € Revenue Development Food, Non Food and inflation 130 125 120 115 Food Index 110 Non Food Index 105 Inflation Index 100 95 90 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 • Stagflation seems horror scenario • Reality in Non Food for 10 years Source: HBD,CBS bewerking Q&A Research 2010
  • 34.
  • 35. € Revenue • Forecasts Retail – Low 0,0% till 1,0% – Not corrected for inflation Source: ABN Amro,ING, Rabobank 2010 • Price sensitive consumers • Calculated consumers • The end of consumertisme
  • 36.
  • 37. € Revenue for Retail 2020 • The new middle market • Value retailers • Price is back in marketing mix Source: opoegaatdigitaal.punt.nl Source: wugly.nl .
  • 38.
  • 40.
  • 41. m² Reshaping More meters • 2,5 m² per Development square meters (millions) person 30 25 20 wvo 15 10 5 0 Source: Locatus HBD 2010 2001 2009
  • 42.
  • 43. m² Reshaping More Sales • € 7.400 per Development Retail Sales (millions) person per year 85000 80000 omzet 75000 70000 Source: HBD 2010 65000 2001 2009
  • 44.
  • 45. m² Reshaping Decreasing floorproductivity Development floorproductivity in € • m²: + 23,0% • €: + 14,3% 3300 3200 • €/ m²: -/- 7,0% 3100 omzet/m 3000 Source: Q&A Research 2010 2900 2001 2009
  • 46.
  • 47. m² Reshaping for retail 2020 • Minus 20% to 35% square meters • Demand driven Malls, differentiated leases • End of channel conflict, Local Hero as brand extension
  • 48.
  • 49. Meer weten over Re’structure? • Kijk op: www.retail2020.nl
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 55.
  • 56. Cross Channel Wehkamp’s Wapp gives consumers insight what discount they will get if they buy from the current location at the e-tailer site Google Goggles performs a Google search when the item or image is scanned in the application IKEA launched a mobile app to help Bicycle Trek XO 2 potential customers view IKEA www.trekbikes.com/be/nl/bike furniture in their homes. s/road/xo/xo2z/
  • 57.
  • 58. Digital Superconsumer Yelp uses the power of the community to develop ratings and reviews for restaurants in the area. On Wugly.nl consumers write reviews on shops. 70% to 85% of reviews on these kind of sites are positive.
  • 59.
  • 60. Digital Superconsumer Groupon (consumer-consumer) where group purchasing creates a team dynamic and discounts only kick in if enough people purchase the groupon -commerce Levi’s links its store to Facebook through a “Like” button allowing shoppers to see people who liked various items including Facebook friends
  • 61.
  • 62. Transparancy Houddewarmtebinnen.nl is an initiative to save energy by closing doors. Green Stars from Q2 2011 shops can receive green stars. A consumer seal for being a “good and green” sustainable company
  • 63.
  • 64. Individualization NIKEiD customizing your own sports gear. Mass Customization enabled by digital design tools, allowed Ralph Lauren Rugby to launch an apparel customization application in November 2009.
  • 65.
  • 66. Individualization In Berlin’s Oakley store consumers are able to design their own glasses. Mass Customization by design tools, on the website of the Italian Pinarello.
  • 67.
  • 68. Individualization Bemz offers a wide array of slipcovers to personalize standard merchandise offered by IKEA Eeeefun.com create your own electrical scooter with your own custom made design
  • 69.
  • 70. Affluenza Retailers accross the globe in electronics , books and entertainment first to leave physical market space. HEMA newest campaign price presented as value driver
  • 71.
  • 72. Affluenza Best Buy offers a platform where consumers can trade in their products for giftcards IKEA started in Sweden platform for used IKEA products